Murphy USA (MUSA) Financials: Revenue & Earnings

MUSA price $534.81 +19.53 +3.79%

Ticker
MUSA
Price
$534.81
Change
+19.53 +3.79%
Market cap ?
$9.83B
P/E ?
14.33
Forward P/E ?
15.40
Dividend yield ?
0.49%
Beta ?
0.25
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail
Stocklytics score
53
Value
60
Quality
35
Growth
65

Stocklytics score rationale: value 60, quality 35, growth 65.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
11594553000128265530001436290000014034600000112643000001736050000023446100000215294000002024430000019384000000

Murphy USA Inc. specializes in providing retail gasoline and a variety of convenience store items. It manages a network of retail outlets operating under its well-known banners: Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek. Established in 1996, the corporation maintains its headquarters in El Dorado, Arkansas.

Fair value

MUSA fair value $398.84. Price $534.81. Price is 34% above fair value.

Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 81% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 559.40M. Growth 6.40%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 18.38M. Net debt 3.22B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare MUSA

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-03—7.77—5.94B
2026-10-289.598.376.89B6.25B
2026-08-0511.279.956.81B6.03B
2026-04-297.285.374.82B4.70B
2026-02-047.536.674.74B4.84B
2025-10-297.256.605.11B4.88B
2025-07-307.366.825.00B5.26B
2025-05-072.633.964.53B4.67B
2025-02-056.966.464.71B4.90B
2024-10-307.206.685.24B5.54B
2024-07-316.926.925.45B5.69B
2024-05-013.124.584.84B4.89B
2024-02-077.006.255.07B5.50B
2023-11-017.696.385.80B5.56B
2023-08-026.025.985.59B5.64B
2023-05-024.804.025.08B5.53B
2023-02-015.216.255.37B5.36B
2022-10-269.287.576.19B6.00B
2022-07-277.534.426.77B6.18B
2022-05-036.083.015.12B4.75B
2022-02-024.233.204.77B4.56B
2021-10-273.983.254.60B4.45B
2021-07-284.792.884.46B4.24B
2021-04-282.251.473.54B3.18B
2021-02-032.162.172.86B2.95B
2020-10-282.532.422.84B2.72B
2020-07-215.734.792.38B1.99B
2020-04-172.922.223.18B2.74B
2020-01-291.541.463.46B3.28B
2019-10-302.541.443.66B3.21B
2019-07-311.011.083.80B4.06B
2019-04-290.160.193.12B3.70B
2019-01-302.382.653.50B3.47B
2018-10-311.381.513.79B4.14B
2018-08-011.501.153.83B2.94B
2018-05-010.120.243.24B7.03B
2018-01-311.031.133.38B4.08B
2017-11-011.901.323.24B2.25B
2017-08-021.511.133.21B2.25B
2017-05-01-0.08-0.093.00B—

Dividends

Yield 0.48%. Payout ratio 7.12%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 84/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 7% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 7 separate years. Yield is 0.5%, which is modest.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-11-04$0.722026-11-042026-12-01Quarterly
2026-08-24$0.652026-08-242026-09-03Quarterly
2026-05-18$0.642026-05-182026-06-01Quarterly
2026-02-23$0.632026-02-232026-03-05Quarterly
2025-11-10$0.632025-11-102025-12-01Quarterly
2025-08-25$0.532025-08-252025-09-04Quarterly
2025-05-12$0.502025-05-122025-06-02Quarterly
2025-02-24$0.492025-02-242025-03-05Quarterly
2024-11-04$0.482024-11-042024-12-02Quarterly
2024-08-26$0.452024-08-262024-09-05Quarterly
2024-05-17$0.442024-05-202024-06-03Quarterly
2024-02-23$0.422024-02-262024-03-07Quarterly
2023-11-03$0.412023-11-062023-12-01Quarterly
2023-08-25$0.392023-08-282023-09-07Quarterly
2023-05-12$0.382023-05-152023-06-01Quarterly
2023-02-17$0.372023-02-212023-03-01Quarterly
2022-11-07$0.352022-11-082022-12-01Quarterly
2022-08-29$0.322022-08-302022-09-08Quarterly
2022-05-16$0.312022-05-172022-06-01Quarterly
2022-02-17$0.292022-02-212022-03-03Quarterly
2021-11-05$0.292021-11-082021-12-01Quarterly
2021-08-27$0.252021-08-302021-09-09Quarterly
2021-05-14$0.252021-05-172021-06-01Quarterly
2021-02-19$0.252021-02-222021-03-04Quarterly
2020-11-12$0.252020-11-132020-12-01Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-30DEMING CLAIBORNE PBuy61——
2026-09-30MILLER DAVID BBuy51——
2026-09-30Phillips Jeanne LinderBuy51——
2026-09-30Taylor Jack TBuy63——
2026-09-03Bartko Eric J.Sell100$523.6052.36K
2026-09-01Shah Anish K.Other0——
2026-08-20Turner RosemarySell966$571.88552.44K
2026-08-17Turner RosemaryBuy449——
2026-08-17Turner RosemaryBuy617——
2026-08-17Turner RosemarySell617——
2026-08-17Turner RosemarySell449——
2026-08-11Keyes James WSell2.00K——
2026-06-30MILLER DAVID BBuy48——
2026-06-30DEMING CLAIBORNE PBuy57——
2026-06-30Phillips Jeanne LinderBuy48——
2026-06-30Taylor Jack TBuy59——
2026-06-05Landen Diane NSell3.00K$547.251.64M
2026-06-05Landen Diane NSell3.00K——
2026-05-27Bacon Renee MSell1.05K$529.44555.91K
2026-05-26Bacon Renee MBuy2.60K——
2026-05-26Bacon Renee MSell1.55K$542.74841.25K
2026-05-26Bacon Renee MSell2.60K$181.18471.07K
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Buy700——
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Sell428$576.20246.61K
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Buy500——
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Sell255$576.20146.93K
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Sell517$574.49297.01K
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Sell500$181.1890.59K
2026-05-15Emery Keith A.Sell700$263.48184.44K
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Buy250——
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Buy350——
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Sell202$592.81119.75K
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Sell240$592.81142.27K
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Sell158$600.5094.88K
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Sell250$391.5497.89K
2026-05-05Woodward Scott G.Sell350$263.4892.22K
2026-05-04MURPHY ROBERT MADISONSell26.00K$597.0015.52M
2026-05-04MURPHY ROBERT MADISONSell15.50K$596.909.25M
2026-04-06Smith Donald R JrBuy134——
2026-04-06Smith Donald R JrBuy267——
2026-04-06Smith Donald R JrBuy427$507.56216.73K
2026-03-31DEMING CLAIBORNE PBuy65——
2026-03-31MILLER DAVID BBuy55——
2026-03-31Phillips Jeanne LinderBuy55——
2026-03-31Taylor Jack TBuy68——
2026-03-05Woodward Scott G.Sell137$422.4457.72K
2026-03-05CHUMLEY ROBERT JSell5.04K$420.002.12M
2026-02-26Emery Keith A.Sell899$382.53343.89K
2026-02-24Phillips Jeanne LinderSell1.16K$395.19456.44K
2026-02-23Bacon Renee MSell2.84K$388.611.11M
2026-02-13Phillips Jeanne LinderBuy349——
2026-02-13Phillips Jeanne LinderSell349——
2026-02-13Haley David C.Sell244——
2026-02-13Haley David C.Buy244——
2026-02-13Turner RosemarySell349——
2026-02-13Turner RosemaryBuy349——
2026-02-13GOEBEL DAVIDBuy349——
2026-02-13GOEBEL DAVIDSell349——
2026-02-13MURPHY ROBERT MADISONBuy349——
2026-02-13MURPHY ROBERT MADISONSell349——
2026-02-13Landen Diane NBuy349——
2026-02-13Landen Diane NSell349——
2026-02-13Keyes James WBuy349——
2026-02-13Keyes James WSell349——
2026-02-13Bartko Eric J.Sell345$404.84139.67K
2026-02-13Bacon Renee MSell1.22K$386.09470.64K
2026-02-12Phillips Jeanne LinderBuy421——
2026-02-12Haley David C.Buy421——
2026-02-12Taylor Jack TBuy421——
2026-02-12Turner RosemaryBuy421——
2026-02-12GOEBEL DAVIDBuy421——
2026-02-12MILLER DAVID BBuy421——
2026-02-12DEMING CLAIBORNE PBuy421——
2026-02-12MURPHY ROBERT MADISONBuy421——
2026-02-12Landen Diane NBuy421——
2026-02-12Keyes James WBuy421——
2026-02-12Kulp Michael G.Buy421——
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Buy1.23K——
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Buy490——
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Buy838——
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Sell500——
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Sell368$363.36133.72K
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Buy809$380.92308.16K
2026-02-11Emery Keith A.Buy245——
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Buy1.23K——
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Buy454——
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Sell300——
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Buy502——
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Buy749$380.92285.31K
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Sell228$363.3682.85K
2026-02-11Bartko Eric J.Buy227——
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JBuy1.84K——
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JSell798$363.36289.96K
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JBuy797——
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JBuy1.23K——
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JSell1.10K——
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JBuy1.31K$380.92500.91K
2026-02-11CHUMLEY ROBERT JBuy399——
2026-02-11Click Christopher ABuy1.84K——
2026-02-11Click Christopher ASell798$363.36289.96K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 627, holders +69 vs prior quarter. Ownership 84.09%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.1.70M18.68K+1.11%915.73M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC776.17K47.73K+6.55%418.25M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC752.80K1.99K+0.26%405.66M
FMR LLC707.66K-758.13K-51.72%381.34M
BOSTON PARTNERS561.25K24.34K+4.53%303.01M
STATE STREET CORP557.93K1.22K+0.22%300.61M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC480.81K104.79K+27.87%259.15M
HUNTINGTON NATIONAL BANK414.72K1+0.00%223.48M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC340.18K108.32K+46.72%183.31M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP302.86K5.56K+1.87%163.20M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC304.07K-11.85K-3.75%161.35M
NORGES BANK275.21K275.21KNew148.30M
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P.292.02K107.86K+58.57%144.25M
CLEARBRIDGE INVESTMENTS, LLC263.10K-6.08K-2.26%141.77M
BARCLAYS PLC262.89K-269.55K-50.63%141.66M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP245.82K41.29K+20.19%132.47M
MORGAN STANLEY228.74K18.13K+8.61%123.26M
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.212.23K80.64K+61.28%114.36M
SQUAREPOINT OPS LLC187.34K161.75K+631.98%100.95M
INVESCO LTD.170.27K101.14K+146.32%91.75M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP167.66K100.09K+148.15%90.34M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC165.99K165.99KNew89.45M
RECURRENT INVESTMENT ADVISORS LLC146.26K144+0.10%78.59M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP145.44K-3.62K-2.43%78.37M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP143.75K-904-0.62%77.46M

Earnings and financials

Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) trades at $534.81, with a market cap of $9.83B and a trailing P/E of 14.33. Revenue below is the annual history on file. It describes what the business has already reported. It is not a forecast and it is not a recommendation.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
11594553000128265530001436290000014034600000112643000001736050000023446100000215294000002024430000019384000000

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Murphy USA (MUSA) Financials: Revenue & Earnings

MUSA$534.81+19.53 +3.79%

$9.83B

Market Cap

14.33

P/E

15.40

Forward P/E

53

Score

Price History