Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) Stock Forecast & Price Target

BCSF price $10.70 +0.10 +0.90%

Ticker
BCSF
Price
$10.70
Change
+0.10 +0.90%
Market cap ?
$693.77M
Beta ?
0.65
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Asset Management

Fair value

BCSF fair value $8.36. Price $10.70. Price is 28% above fair value.

Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 86% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 74.56M. Growth 4.42%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 64.87M. Net debt 1.41B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare BCSF

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-09—0.44—61.03M
2026-08-100.440.4262.35M64.44M
2026-05-110.420.4466.17M65.58M
2026-02-260.460.4568.20M68.48M
2025-11-100.450.4542.67M69.53M
2025-08-050.470.4373.71M66.70M
2025-05-050.500.4851.99M71.00M
2025-02-270.520.4927.11M67.50M
2024-11-050.530.5055.73M67.50M
2024-08-060.510.5254.43M75.00M
2024-05-060.530.5578.41M69.70M
2024-02-270.540.5335.63M64.99M
2023-11-060.550.5472.39M71.62M
2023-08-080.600.4875.49M69.23M
2023-05-090.490.4074.74M64.42M
2023-02-280.310.4262.36M58.37M
2022-11-090.530.3549.38M50.16M
2022-08-030.410.3439.83M46.08M
2022-05-050.340.3435.67M48.28M
2022-02-230.340.3451.53M48.65M
2021-11-030.340.3440.09M46.04M
2021-08-040.340.3437.32M47.03M
2021-05-050.340.3449.83M48.28M
2021-02-240.340.3438.79M38.79M
2020-11-050.330.3546.82M55.08M
2020-08-050.370.3747.87M47.87M
2020-05-040.440.41-102.05M47.90M
2020-02-260.400.4052.67M54.77M
2019-11-060.400.4052.69M52.69M
2019-08-070.400.4150.60M20.05M
2019-05-080.410.4236.58M39.89M
2019-02-280.410.39-18.01M32.90M
2018-10-170.36—26.66M—
2018-08-100.31—19.77M—
2018-05-100.57—17.46M—
2018-03-160.35—9.99M—
2017-11-130.36—7.82M—
2017-08-140.18—4.40M—
2017-05-120.08—2.24M—
2017-03-290.07—2.12M—

Dividends

Yield 17.39%. Payout ratio 1.92%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 48/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 2% of earnings. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 9 separate years. Yield is 17.4%, which is unusually high.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-09-15$0.422026-09-152026-09-29Quarterly
2026-06-15$0.422026-06-152026-06-29Quarterly
2026-03-16$0.422026-03-162026-03-30Irregular
2025-12-31$0.152025-12-312026-01-26Special
2025-12-16$0.452025-12-162025-12-30Special
2025-09-16$0.452025-09-162025-09-30Special
2025-06-16$0.452025-06-162025-06-30Special
2025-03-17$0.452025-03-172025-03-31Special
2024-12-31$0.452024-12-312025-01-31Special
2024-09-30$0.452024-09-302024-10-31Special
2024-06-28$0.452024-06-282024-07-29Special
2024-06-28$0.452024-06-282024-07-29Special
2024-03-27$0.452024-03-282024-04-30Special
2023-12-28$0.422023-12-292024-01-31Quarterly
2023-09-28$0.422023-09-292023-10-31Quarterly
2023-06-29$0.382023-06-302023-07-31Quarterly
2023-03-30$0.382023-03-312023-04-28Quarterly
2022-12-29$0.362022-12-312023-01-27Quarterly
2022-09-29$0.342022-09-302022-10-28Quarterly
2022-06-29$0.342022-06-302022-07-29Quarterly
2022-03-30$0.342022-03-312022-04-29Quarterly
2021-12-30$0.342021-12-312022-01-28Quarterly
2021-09-29$0.342021-09-302021-10-29Quarterly
2021-06-29$0.342021-06-302021-07-30Quarterly
2021-03-30$0.342021-03-312021-04-30Quarterly
2020-12-30$0.342020-12-312021-01-29Quarterly
2020-09-29$0.342020-09-302020-10-30Quarterly
2020-06-29$0.342020-06-302020-07-30Quarterly
2020-03-30$0.412020-03-312020-04-30Quarterly
2019-12-30$0.412019-12-312020-01-30Quarterly
2019-09-27$0.412019-09-302019-10-30Quarterly
2019-06-27$0.412019-06-282019-07-29Quarterly
2019-03-28$0.412019-03-292019-04-12Quarterly
2018-12-28$0.412018-12-312019-01-14Special

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-03-03Rusnak-Carlson SabrinaBuy2.30K$12.5528.86K
2026-02-18Hooper Caroline WillisOther0——
2025-11-05Rusnak-Carlson SabrinaOther0——
2025-03-17Richer Clare StackBuy1.53K$16.4325.14K
2024-01-01Joshi AmitOther0——
2022-08-10Richer Clare StackBuy3.40K$14.5949.61K
2022-07-27Yeager JessicaOther0——
2022-03-25Hough Thomas A.Buy6.27K$15.9499.97K
2022-03-03Richer Clare StackBuy3.09K$16.1850.00K
2022-02-25Butte AmyBuy1.30K$15.8620.62K
2021-05-11Richer Clare StackBuy1.56K$15.9024.85K
2020-12-03Ewald Michael ABuy4.00K$12.5250.08K
2020-12-03Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy18.20K$12.50227.55K
2020-08-19Dornaus Sally FBuy2.50K$10.4326.07K
2020-06-23Richer Clare StackBuy596$10.226.09K
2020-06-17Hough Thomas A.Buy877$10.228.96K
2020-06-16BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCBuy952.12K$10.229.73M
2020-06-05Boyle Michael JohnBuy4.80K$10.2249.05K
2020-06-05Boyle Michael JohnSell19.20K$10.22196.23K
2020-06-05Ewald Michael ABuy10.53K$10.22107.65K
2020-06-05Ewald Michael ABuy9.81K$10.22100.23K
2020-06-05Ewald Michael ASell42.13K$10.22430.59K
2020-06-05Butte AmyBuy700$10.227.15K
2020-06-05Butte AmySell2.80K$10.2228.62K
2020-06-05Richer Clare StackBuy1.35K$10.2213.84K
2020-06-05Richer Clare StackSell5.42K$10.2255.36K
2020-06-05BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCBuy2.17M$10.2222.22M
2020-06-05BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCSell8.70M$10.2288.88M
2020-06-05Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy16.36K$10.22167.19K
2020-06-05Hawkins Jeffrey B.Sell65.44K$10.22668.77K
2020-06-05Hough Thomas A.Buy3.92K$10.2240.10K
2020-06-05Hough Thomas A.Sell15.70K$10.22160.44K
2020-06-05MARGOLIS JAYBuy5.77K$10.2258.98K
2020-06-05MARGOLIS JAYSell23.09K$10.22235.93K
2020-06-05Richer Clare StackBuy5.42K$10.2255.36K
2020-03-12Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy16.65K$14.91248.25K
2020-03-11Ewald Michael ABuy6.00K$16.69100.14K
2020-03-11Ewald Michael ABuy3.00K$16.6950.07K
2020-03-10Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy14.50K$17.16248.82K
2020-03-10Ewald Michael ABuy12.00K$17.12205.44K
2020-03-10Ewald Michael ABuy6.00K$17.14102.84K
2020-03-03MARGOLIS JAYBuy6.00K$19.39116.34K
2020-03-02Hough Thomas A.Buy8.01K$18.74150.09K
2019-11-12Butte AmyBuy2.80K$18.9953.17K
2019-08-28Richer Clare StackBuy5.42K$18.46100.00K
2019-08-27Boyle Michael JohnBuy4.15K$18.3476.11K
2019-08-22Ewald Michael ABuy12.88K$18.33236.00K
2019-08-21Ewald Michael ABuy14.61K$18.11264.55K
2019-07-23BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCSell1.73M——
2019-07-17Richer Clare StackOther0——
2019-07-17Butte AmyOther0——
2019-05-16BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCSell182.82K——
2019-05-15BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCSell2.18M——
2019-05-14BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCSell6.54M——
2019-02-25Boyle Michael JohnBuy232$20.154.67K
2019-02-25Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy577$20.1511.63K
2019-02-25Ewald Michael ABuy577$20.1511.63K
2019-02-22Boyle Michael JohnBuy358$20.247.25K
2019-02-22Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy896$20.2418.14K
2019-02-22Ewald Michael ABuy896$20.2418.14K
2019-02-21Boyle Michael JohnBuy152$20.163.06K
2019-02-21Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy379$20.167.64K
2019-02-21Ewald Michael ABuy379$20.167.64K
2019-02-20Boyle Michael JohnBuy416$20.108.36K
2019-02-20Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.04K$20.1020.94K
2019-02-20Ewald Michael ABuy1.04K$20.1020.94K
2019-02-19Boyle Michael JohnBuy538$19.9210.72K
2019-02-19Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.34K$19.9226.75K
2019-02-19Ewald Michael ABuy1.34K$19.9226.75K
2019-02-15Boyle Michael JohnBuy380$20.167.66K
2019-02-15Ewald Michael ABuy950$20.1619.15K
2019-02-15Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy950$20.1619.15K
2019-02-14Boyle Michael JohnBuy498$19.879.90K
2019-02-14Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.25K$19.8724.78K
2019-02-14Ewald Michael ABuy1.25K$19.8724.78K
2019-02-13Boyle Michael JohnBuy485$19.949.67K
2019-02-13Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.21K$19.9424.17K
2019-02-13Ewald Michael ABuy1.21K$19.9424.17K
2019-02-12Boyle Michael JohnBuy508$19.8910.10K
2019-02-12Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.27K$19.8925.28K
2019-02-12Ewald Michael ABuy1.27K$19.8925.28K
2019-02-11Boyle Michael JohnBuy489$19.949.75K
2019-02-11Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.22K$19.9424.31K
2019-02-11Ewald Michael ABuy1.22K$19.9424.31K
2019-02-08Boyle Michael JohnBuy468$19.659.20K
2019-02-08Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.17K$19.6522.99K
2019-02-08Ewald Michael ABuy1.17K$19.6522.99K
2019-02-07Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy1.24K$19.5524.22K
2019-02-07Ewald Michael ABuy1.24K$19.5524.22K
2019-02-07Boyle Michael JohnBuy494$19.559.66K
2018-11-19Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy12.50K$20.25253.12K
2018-11-19Ewald Michael ABuy12.50K$20.25253.12K
2018-07-17Hough Thomas A.Buy992$20,000.0019.83M
2018-07-17Hawkins Jeffrey B.Buy8.68K$175,000.001.52B
2018-07-17Ewald Michael ABuy8.68K$175,000.001.52B
2018-07-17Boyle Michael JohnBuy8.68K$175,000.001.52B
2018-07-17BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT MEMBER, LLCBuy2.75M$55,526,697.00152.86T
2018-07-17MARGOLIS JAYBuy2.23K$45,000.00100.40M
2018-06-01Dury Patrick M.Other0——
2018-05-01Treisman Michael BennettOther0——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 134, holders -3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 56.61%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, LP11.82M00.00%148.02M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/2.54M-197.19K-7.20%31.80M
CRESSET ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC2.39M321.72K+15.52%29.98M
UBS GROUP AG1.46M55.59K+3.96%18.28M
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP1.38M253.90K+22.58%17.26M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP1.37M-140.57K-9.28%17.21M
MORGAN STANLEY1.25M108.76K+9.49%15.71M
DIMENSION CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.25M29.17K+2.38%15.70M
MELIA WEALTH LLC872.75K-290.33K-24.96%10.93M
MUZINICH & CO., INC.846.76K45.50K+5.68%10.60M
RUSSELL INVESTMENTS GROUP, LTD.779.03K246.50K+46.29%9.75M
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC643.80K57.80K+9.86%8.06M
SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUST GROUP, INC.617.82K16.73K+2.78%7.74M
ARES MANAGEMENT LLC588.47K493.82K+521.71%7.37M
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC541.55K41.33K+8.26%6.78M
ARAX ADVISORY PARTNERS482.58K252.53K+109.77%6.04M
ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC457.49K457.49KNew5.73M
COLUMBUS MACRO, LLC451.31K451.31KNew5.65M
CAZ INVESTMENTS LP448.20K448.20KNew5.61M
CETERA INVESTMENT ADVISERS445.68K445.68KNew5.58M
HENNION & WALSH ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.370.14K14.24K+4.00%4.63M
GCM GROSVENOR HOLDINGS, LLC315.00K315.00KNew3.94M
HIGHTOWER ADVISORS, LLC313.57K-60.40K-16.15%3.93M
NORTH GROUND CAPITAL224.00K-109.98K-32.93%2.80M
ADVISORS ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.221.09K-13.03K-5.56%2.77M

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The Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) forecast collects the published price target, analyst ratings, and earnings estimates when they are available.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

BCSF price target

A low, average, and high target are shown in the tool when analysts have published them.

Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance a buy or sell?

A Buy, Hold, and Sell split is shown when analysts have published ratings. It is not a recommendation.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance earnings and revenue forecast

EPS and revenue estimates for the coming years are drawn in the chart when analysts have published them.

BCSF score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score, when it is published for BCSF, averages value, quality, and growth on a 0–100 scale. It is not a price target. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

BCSF forecast FAQs

What is the BCSF price target?

A 12-month average target is shown on this page when analysts have published one.

Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance a buy or sell?

A consensus is shown when analysts have published ratings. It is not a recommendation.

What is the Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock forecast for 2026?

An EPS estimate for 2026 is shown in the chart on this page when analysts have published one.

What will BCSF be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Bain Capital Specialty Finance's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

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Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) Stock Forecast & Price Target

BCSF$10.70+0.10 +0.90%

$693.77M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History