BellRing Brands (BRBR) Stock Price & Analysis

BRBR price $9.24 -0.04 -0.48%

Ticker
BRBR
Price
$9.24
Change
-0.04 -0.48%
Market cap ?
$1.07B
Beta ?
0.51
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Packaged Foods

Fair value

BRBR fair value $33.74. Price $9.24. Price is 73% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 89% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 225.00M. Growth 14.94%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 116.28M. Net debt 1.02B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare BRBR

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-17—0.21—657.61M
2026-08-040.300.37570.40M548.72M
2026-05-050.140.31598.70M608.88M
2026-02-030.370.31537.30M504.41M
2025-11-180.510.55648.20M633.84M
2025-08-040.550.49547.50M633.84M
2025-05-050.530.53588.00M578.69M
2025-02-030.580.47532.90M577.56M
2024-11-180.510.50555.80M545.00M
2024-08-050.540.44515.40M542.84M
2024-05-060.450.33494.60M505.67M
2024-02-050.430.39430.40M467.46M
2023-11-200.410.39472.60M407.72M
2023-08-070.340.32445.90M439.90M
2023-05-080.240.20385.60M372.18M
2023-02-060.330.27362.70M459.90M
2022-11-170.310.29379.20M400.42M
2022-08-040.310.30370.60M386.63M
2022-05-050.230.16315.20M307.54M
2022-02-030.250.22306.50M301.49M
2021-11-180.250.25340.00M304.18M
2021-08-050.300.22342.60M291.44M
2021-05-060.150.12282.10M211.57M
2021-02-040.230.22282.40M282.00M
2020-11-190.250.19282.60M193.36M
2020-08-060.080.17204.20M408.40M
2020-05-070.110.08257.50M187.27M
2020-02-060.160.20244.00M305.00M
2019-11-210.840.17214.50M567.79M
2019-09-200.90—216.50M—
2019-06-301.18—237.60M—
2018-12-310.73—185.80M—
2018-09-300.77—219.90M—
2018-06-300.83—216.40M—
2018-03-310.53—205.20M—
2017-12-310.60—195.60M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-30Nwamu Chonda JBuy4.12K$7.9632.78K
2026-09-30VITALE ROBERT VBuy7.59K$7.9660.38K
2026-09-30CONWAY SHAWNBuy4.33K$7.6933.33K
2026-09-30JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy4.01K$7.9631.92K
2026-09-30Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy4.12K$7.9632.78K
2026-09-30ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy6.18K$7.9649.17K
2026-09-30STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy824$7.966.56K
2026-09-08CONWAY SHAWNBuy2.02K$9.8920.00K
2026-07-29Axelrod Michael CareyBuy142.96K$13.291.90M
2026-07-29Axelrod Michael CareyOther0——
2026-07-01Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy2.45K$12.9431.67K
2026-07-01STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy489——
2026-07-01VITALE ROBERT VBuy4.51K——
2026-07-01JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy2.38K——
2026-07-01CONWAY SHAWNBuy2.58K——
2026-07-01Nwamu Chonda JBuy2.45K——
2026-07-01ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy3.67K——
2026-05-13Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy4.00K$9.2336.94K
2026-03-31VITALE ROBERT VBuy3.63K——
2026-03-31Nwamu Chonda JBuy1.97K——
2026-03-31Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy1.97K——
2026-03-31CONWAY SHAWNBuy2.07K——
2026-03-31JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy1.92K——
2026-03-31STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy394——
2026-03-31ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy2.95K——
2026-03-03VITALE ROBERT VSell82.00K——
2026-03-02VITALE ROBERT VSell82.00K——
2026-02-19ROSENTHAL CRAIG LBuy26.35K$18.98500.10K
2026-02-19RODE PAUL ABuy29.04K$18.98551.24K
2026-02-19SINGH ROBINBuy23.88K$18.98453.19K
2026-02-19CORNILLE DOUGLAS JBuy27.21K$18.98516.43K
2026-02-17Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy1.94K——
2026-02-17Nwamu Chonda JBuy1.94K——
2026-02-17CONWAY SHAWNBuy2.77K——
2026-02-13Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy2.00K$17.7535.50K
2026-01-29Finkelstein David IsaiahBuy5.39K——
2026-01-29VITALE ROBERT VBuy5.39K——
2026-01-29STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy3.59K——
2026-01-29Nwamu Chonda JBuy5.39K——
2026-01-29CONWAY SHAWNBuy5.39K——
2026-01-29JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy5.39K——
2026-01-29ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy5.39K——
2026-01-01Finkelstein David IsaiahOther0——
2025-12-31ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy1.65K——
2025-12-31VITALE ROBERT VBuy2.18K——
2025-12-31STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy237——
2025-12-31CONWAY SHAWNBuy1.25K——
2025-12-31Nwamu Chonda JBuy1.18K——
2025-12-31JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy1.15K——
2025-12-23STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy4.92K——
2025-12-01ROSENTHAL CRAIG LBuy46.92K——
2025-12-01ROSENTHAL CRAIG LSell15.90K$30.89491.15K
2025-12-01DAVENPORT DARCY HORNBuy293.30K——
2025-12-01DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell157.06K$30.894.85M
2025-12-01RODE PAUL ABuy62.57K——
2025-12-01RODE PAUL ASell26.62K$30.89822.17K
2025-12-01CORNILLE DOUGLAS JBuy54.97K——
2025-12-01CORNILLE DOUGLAS JSell27.91K$30.89862.29K
2025-12-01CORNILLE DOUGLAS JSell3.97K$30.93122.79K
2025-11-12CORNILLE DOUGLAS JBuy5.25K$27.61144.98K
2025-11-12RODE PAUL ABuy6.41K$27.61176.98K
2025-11-12SINGH ROBINBuy3.51K$27.6196.99K
2025-11-12DAVENPORT DARCY HORNBuy33.68K$27.61929.99K
2025-11-12ROSENTHAL CRAIG LBuy4.78K$27.61131.98K
2025-11-11SINGH ROBINSell1.81K$28.2751.06K
2025-11-07SINGH ROBINSell221$29.006.41K
2025-11-07CORNILLE DOUGLAS JSell335$29.009.71K
2025-11-07DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell2.28K$29.0066.12K
2025-11-07ROSENTHAL CRAIG LSell267$29.007.74K
2025-11-07RODE PAUL ASell308$29.008.93K
2025-10-01JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy848——
2025-10-01Nwamu Chonda JBuy871——
2025-10-01STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy196——
2025-10-01ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy1.15K——
2025-10-01CONWAY SHAWNBuy902——
2025-10-01VITALE ROBERT VBuy1.60K——
2025-09-03CORNILLE DOUGLAS JSell3.97K$42.03166.86K
2025-08-14CONWAY SHAWNBuy1.32K$37.9850.00K
2025-08-14CONWAY SHAWNBuy1.32K$49,999.9965.82M
2025-08-11DAVENPORT DARCY HORNBuy11.00K$17.30190.30K
2025-08-11DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell11.00K$17.30190.30K
2025-08-06STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy2.66K$37.4999.84K
2025-08-06CONWAY SHAWNBuy2.70K$36.4198.31K
2025-08-06ROSENTHAL CRAIG LBuy2.60K$37.2996.96K
2025-08-01DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.60K$54.1886.69K
2025-07-25DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.60K$54.4387.09K
2025-07-18DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.11K$57.5364.15K
2025-07-18DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell485$58.1028.18K
2025-07-11DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.60K$57.6692.26K
2025-07-03DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.60K$57.4591.92K
2025-07-01CONWAY SHAWNBuy547——
2025-07-01Nwamu Chonda JBuy547——
2025-07-01JOHNSON JENNIFER KUPERMANBuy532——
2025-07-01STEIN ELLIOT JRBuy150——
2025-07-01VITALE ROBERT VBuy1.01K——
2025-07-01ERICKSON THOMAS PBuy647——
2025-06-27DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.40K$57.9781.16K
2025-06-27DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell200$58.5611.71K
2025-06-20DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell1.00K$59.0759.07K
2025-06-20DAVENPORT DARCY HORNSell600$60.7336.44K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 395, holders -7 vs prior quarter. Ownership 114.02%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.10.94M-333.07K-2.96%141.51M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC6.61M705.03K+11.94%85.51M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.07M-2.47M-28.90%76.39M
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC5.84M5.61M+2492.32%75.54M
YACKTMAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LP5.26M3.77M+251.34%68.10M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.25M35.95K+0.69%67.87M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC5.19M3.63M+232.63%67.21M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP4.97M1.70M+51.96%64.34M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC4.54M4.32M+1994.56%58.73M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC4.40M4.15M+1651.48%56.91M
MORGAN STANLEY3.53M1.12M+46.62%45.67M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.3.38M3.16M+1441.61%43.77M
STATE STREET CORP3.33M-346.70K-9.42%43.12M
DIAMOND HILL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC (INVESTMENT ADVISOR)3.31M1.24M+59.68%42.87M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.03M853.24K+39.27%39.17M
UBS GROUP AG2.93M2.68M+1070.76%37.87M
POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P.2.91M1.98M+211.53%37.69M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/2.39M1.14M+91.35%30.92M
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.2.14M603.95K+39.32%27.69M
BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS2.13M928.58K+77.14%27.59M
PHILOSOPHY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.10M979.51K+87.36%27.18M
CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A.2.00M1.02M+103.56%25.91M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC1.48M235.09K+18.84%19.19M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.1.48M1.48MNew19.19M
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.30M558.30K+75.45%16.80M

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BellRing Brands (BRBR) Stock Price & Analysis

BRBR$9.24-0.04 -0.48%

$1.07B

Market Cap

—

P/E

—

Forward P/E

—

Score

Price History