CF Industries (CF) Stock Price & Analysis

CF$123.22+0.85 +0.70%
Agricultural InputsLarge CapValue StockGrowth StockHigh Quality
Compare
Market cap$18.02BEnterprise value$17.74BRevenue (TTM)$7.94BMarket positionTop 25%

Score

72
Bullish
Value
71
Quality
84
Growth
62

AI Analysis

Snapshot

CF Industries Holdings looks like a quality compounder first — Quality 84/100 and an overall 72/100. Under the hood: P/E 7.9, about 53% below its own multi-year median, plus revenue compounding ~-11% annually over recent years.

Price History

Bullish (65+)Neutral (45–64)Bearish (<45)

Score Breakdown

Market percentile scores loading…

Value

71
PE Ratio (F)–
PEG Ratio–
Free Cashflow Yield %–
EV/EBITDA Ratio–
Discount vs All Time Peak–
Discount vs 1Y Peak–

Growth

62
Earnings Forecast–
Last 3M Earnings Growth %–
12M Revenue Growth %–
12M Earnings Growth %–
5 YR CAGR % Earnings–
Analyst Price Forecast–

Quality

84
FCF Margin %–
Net Debt / EBITDA–
Operating Margin %–
Operating Margin Growth %–
ROCE %–
Current Ratio–

Financial Summary

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) last printed $123.22. Equity value is $18.02B. Trailing earnings multiple 8.20. The revenue row is reported history. Targets and ratings are on the forecast page.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
$3.69B$4.13B$4.43B$4.59B$4.12B$6.54B$11.19B$6.63B$5.94B$7.08B

About

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global producer and distributor of hydrogen and nitrogen-based products. These essential chemicals serve a variety of purposes worldwide, including energy generation, agricultural fertilization, environmental emissions reduction, and numerous other industrial applications. The company's core product lineup features vital nitrogen compounds such as anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and different forms of ammonium nitrate. In addition to these primary offerings, CF Industries also provides specialized chemicals like diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia, alongside complex fertilizers containing nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. Its diverse customer base includes agricultural cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, commodity traders, wholesalers, and a wide array of industrial end-users. Founded in 1946, the firm is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

CF Industries (CF) Stock Price & Analysis

CF price $123.22 +0.85 +0.70%

Ticker
CF
Price
$123.22
Change
+0.85 +0.70%
Market cap
$18.02B
P/E
8.20
Forward P/E
9.62
Dividend yield
1.88%
Beta
0.40
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Agricultural Inputs
Stocklytics score
72
Value
71
Quality
84
Growth
62

Stocklytics score rationale: value 71, quality 84, growth 62.

AI Score 85. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. has strong fundamentals with a net profit margin of 27.5% and a low price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 7.9, indicating good valuation

Fair value

CF fair value $206.56. Price $123.22. Price is 40% below fair value.

Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 97% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price.

Fair value blends a 10-year DCF and an earnings multiple: the average of the DCF value and an earnings value from next-twelve-months EPS times 17.1, a blend of the Basic Materials median (17.7) and the stock's own 10-year median (16.6). How we calculate it →

Compare CF

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-17—3.57—2.01B
2026-11-042.873.001.86B1.77B
2026-08-054.735.632.22B2.45B
2026-05-063.992.631.99B1.84B
2026-02-182.992.431.87B1.78B
2025-11-052.192.161.66B1.67B
2025-08-062.372.501.89B1.80B
2025-05-071.851.481.66B1.54B
2025-02-191.891.541.52B1.50B
2024-10-301.341.181.37B1.28B
2024-08-072.301.841.57B1.52B
2024-05-010.901.521.47B1.46B
2024-02-141.581.571.57B1.64B
2023-11-020.851.021.27B1.29B
2023-08-022.712.251.77B1.36B
2023-05-012.902.522.01B2.00B
2023-02-154.284.302.61B2.83B
2022-11-022.273.332.32B2.37B
2022-08-016.196.033.39B3.53B
2022-05-044.214.352.87B2.60B
2022-02-153.273.552.54B2.56B
2021-11-030.960.971.36B1.38B
2021-08-091.151.571.59B1.59B
2021-05-050.730.601.05B1.08B
2021-02-170.400.111.10B999.64M
2020-11-04-0.130.05847.00M456.08M
2020-08-050.890.651.20B879.33M
2020-05-060.310.25971.00M783.06M
2020-02-120.250.261.05B826.48M
2019-10-300.370.351.04B1.25B
2019-07-311.120.861.50B1.01B
2019-05-010.270.281.00B875.87M
2019-02-130.210.451.13B2.43B
2018-10-310.130.141.04B1.12B
2018-08-010.630.451.30B928.57M
2018-05-020.240.26957.00M921.56M
2018-02-14-0.02-0.111.10B4.40B
2017-11-01-0.39-0.55870.00M1.20B
2017-08-020.10-0.081.12B449.60M
2017-05-030.050.091.04B414.80M

Dividends

Yield 1.70%. Payout ratio 17.78%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 100/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 18% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 22 separate years. Yield is 1.7%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-11-16$0.602026-11-162026-11-30Quarterly
2026-08-14$0.602026-08-142026-08-31Quarterly
2026-05-15$0.502026-05-152026-05-29Quarterly
2026-02-13$0.502026-02-132026-02-27Quarterly
2025-11-14$0.502025-11-142025-11-28Quarterly
2025-08-15$0.502025-08-152025-08-29Quarterly
2025-05-15$0.502025-05-152025-05-30Quarterly
2025-02-14$0.502025-02-142025-02-28Quarterly
2024-11-15$0.502024-11-152024-11-29Quarterly
2024-08-15$0.502024-08-152024-08-30Quarterly
2024-05-14$0.502024-05-152024-05-31Quarterly
2024-02-14$0.502024-02-152024-02-29Quarterly
2023-11-14$0.402023-11-152023-11-30Quarterly
2023-08-14$0.402023-08-152023-08-31Quarterly
2023-05-12$0.402023-05-152023-05-31Quarterly
2023-02-14$0.402023-02-152023-02-28Quarterly
2022-11-14$0.402022-11-152022-11-30Quarterly
2022-08-12$0.402022-08-152022-08-31Quarterly
2022-05-13$0.402022-05-162022-05-31Quarterly
2022-02-14$0.302022-02-152022-02-28Quarterly
2021-11-12$0.302021-11-152021-11-30Quarterly
2021-08-13$0.302021-08-162021-08-31Quarterly
2021-05-14$0.302021-05-172021-05-28Quarterly
2021-02-12$0.302021-02-162021-02-26Quarterly
2020-11-13$0.302020-11-162020-11-30Quarterly
2020-08-14$0.302020-08-172020-08-31Quarterly
2020-05-14$0.302020-05-152020-05-29Quarterly
2020-02-13$0.302020-02-142020-02-28Quarterly
2019-11-14$0.302019-11-152019-11-29Quarterly
2019-08-14$0.302019-08-152019-08-30Quarterly
2019-05-14$0.302019-05-152019-05-31Quarterly
2019-02-14$0.302019-02-152019-02-28Quarterly
2018-11-14$0.302018-11-152018-11-30Quarterly
2018-08-14$0.302018-08-152018-08-31Quarterly
2018-05-14$0.302018-05-152018-05-31Quarterly
2018-02-15$0.302018-02-162018-02-28Quarterly
2017-11-14$0.302017-11-152017-11-30Quarterly
2017-08-11$0.302017-08-152017-08-31Quarterly
2017-05-11$0.302017-05-152017-05-31Quarterly
2017-02-15$0.302017-02-172017-02-28Quarterly
2016-11-10$0.302016-11-152016-11-30Quarterly
2016-08-11$0.302016-08-152016-08-31Quarterly
2016-05-11$0.302016-05-132016-05-31Quarterly
2016-02-10$0.302016-02-122016-02-29Quarterly
2015-11-12$0.302015-11-162015-11-30Quarterly
2015-08-12$0.302015-08-142015-08-31Quarterly
2015-05-13$0.302015-05-152015-05-29Quarterly
2015-02-12$0.302015-02-172015-02-27Quarterly
2014-11-12$0.302014-11-142014-11-28Quarterly
2014-08-14$0.302014-08-182014-08-29Quarterly
2014-05-14$0.202014-05-162014-05-30Quarterly
2014-02-12$0.202014-02-142014-02-28Quarterly
2013-11-13$0.202013-11-152013-11-29Quarterly
2013-08-14$0.082013-08-162013-08-29Quarterly
2013-05-15$0.082013-05-172013-05-30Quarterly
2013-02-14$0.082013-02-192013-02-28Quarterly
2012-11-14$0.082012-11-162012-11-29Quarterly
2012-08-10$0.082012-08-142012-08-29Quarterly
2012-05-11$0.082012-05-152012-05-30Quarterly
2012-02-10$0.082012-02-142012-02-29Quarterly
2011-11-09$0.082011-11-142011-11-29Quarterly
2011-08-11$0.082011-08-152011-08-29Quarterly
2011-05-12$0.022011-05-162011-05-27Quarterly
2011-02-10$0.022011-02-142011-03-01Quarterly
2010-11-10$0.022010-11-152010-11-29Quarterly
2010-08-11$0.022010-08-132010-08-31Quarterly
2010-05-12$0.022010-05-142010-06-01Quarterly
2010-02-18$0.022010-02-162010-03-01Quarterly
2009-11-12$0.022009-11-162009-11-30Quarterly
2009-08-12$0.022009-08-142009-08-31Quarterly
2009-05-12$0.022009-05-142009-06-01Quarterly
2009-02-12$0.022009-02-172009-03-02Quarterly
2008-11-12$0.022008-11-142008-12-01Quarterly
2008-08-13$0.022008-08-152008-09-02Quarterly
2008-05-13$0.022008-05-152008-06-02Quarterly
2008-02-20$0.022008-02-222008-02-29Quarterly
2007-11-13$0.002007-11-152007-11-30Quarterly
2007-08-13$0.002007-08-152007-08-31Quarterly
2007-05-10$0.002007-05-142007-05-31Quarterly
2007-02-15$0.002007-02-202007-02-28Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-05-26Scribner AndrewBuy6.46K——
2026-05-26Scribner AndrewOther0——
2026-04-28DeHaas Deborah LBuy1.39K——
2026-04-28Wagler Theresa EBuy1.39K——
2026-04-28EAVES JOHN WBuy1.39K——
2026-04-28Ellerbusch Susan ABuy1.39K——
2026-04-28Madrazo Yris JesusBuy1.39K——
2026-04-28Noonan Anne PBuy2.21K——
2026-04-28TOELLE MICHAELBuy1.39K——
2026-04-28White Celso L.Buy1.39K——
2026-04-28Williams Trevor LeighBuy4.18K——
2026-04-28Ahmed JavedBuy1.39K——
2026-04-28ARZBAECHER ROBERT CBuy1.39K——
2026-04-01Williams Trevor LeighOther0——
2026-03-17Mayer Erik M.Sell1.50K$124.69187.03K
2026-03-17Hoker Richard ASell3.50K$125.38438.70K
2026-03-17Frost Bert ASell6.00K$126.00756.00K
2026-03-17Will W AnthonySell17.65K——
2026-03-15Will W AnthonyBuy96.86K——
2026-03-15Will W AnthonySell33.16K——
2026-03-13Will W AnthonySell32.66K$130.624.27M
2026-03-13Will W AnthonySell20.37K$131.172.67M
2026-03-12Menzel Susan LSell18.04K$136.062.45M
2026-03-12Frost Bert ASell6.25K$136.69854.32K
2026-03-11Will W AnthonySell28.62K$118.643.40M
2026-03-09Frost Bert ASell5.53K$116.21643.11K
2026-03-06McGrane Michael PatrickSell3.67K$116.50427.09K
2026-03-06Mayer Erik M.Sell2.20K$116.25255.75K
2026-03-06Frost Bert ASell10.00K$119.011.19M
2026-03-05Will W AnthonySell57.36K$109.356.27M
2026-03-05Will W AnthonySell29.50K——
2026-03-05Menzel Susan LSell7.20K$111.00799.20K
2026-03-05Malik Ashraf KSell2.44K$111.00270.73K
2026-03-05Hoker Richard ASell6.18K$109.33676.10K
2026-03-05Dempsey Linda MSell864$107.0092.45K
2026-03-05ARZBAECHER ROBERT CSell5.00K——
2026-03-04Dempsey Linda MSell1.00K$106.00106.00K
2026-03-04Dempsey Linda MSell136$107.0014.55K
2026-03-03Will W AnthonySell30.41K$108.783.31M
2026-03-03Will W AnthonySell33.87K$109.323.70M
2026-03-03Menzel Susan LSell3.91K$106.09415.25K
2026-03-03McGrane Michael PatrickSell2.77K$105.36291.43K
2026-03-03ARZBAECHER ROBERT CSell5.00K——
2026-03-03ARZBAECHER ROBERT CSell1.60K——
2026-03-02Will W AnthonySell44.34K$103.614.59M
2026-03-02Will W AnthonySell45.87K$105.524.84M
2026-03-02Will W AnthonySell44.10K$106.594.70M
2026-03-02Will W AnthonySell1.95K$107.04208.72K
2026-03-02Menzel Susan LSell6.86K$104.00713.23K
2026-03-02Malik Ashraf KSell8.63K$103.08889.70K
2026-03-02Frost Bert ASell5.10K$105.99540.76K
2026-02-27McGrane Michael PatrickBuy1.26K——
2026-02-27McGrane Michael PatrickSell523$99.5452.06K
2026-02-27Mayer Erik M.Buy968——
2026-02-27Mayer Erik M.Sell284$99.5428.27K
2026-02-27Will W AnthonyBuy40.65K——
2026-02-27Will W AnthonySell18.01K$99.541.79M
2026-02-27Will W AnthonySell100.00K$99.069.91M
2026-02-27Will W AnthonySell1.15K$100.00114.80K
2026-02-27Menzel Susan LBuy6.97K——
2026-02-27Menzel Susan LSell3.05K$99.54304.00K
2026-02-27Malik Ashraf KBuy4.06K——
2026-02-27Malik Ashraf KSell1.62K$99.54161.75K
2026-02-27Hoker Richard ABuy1.97K——
2026-02-27Hoker Richard ASell5.62K$98.50553.57K
2026-02-27Hoker Richard ABuy3.48K——
2026-02-27Hoker Richard ASell1.51K$99.54150.40K
2026-02-27Hoker Richard ASell1.97K——
2026-02-27Dempsey Linda MBuy2.32K——
2026-02-27Dempsey Linda MSell1.03K$99.54102.53K
2026-02-27Dempsey Linda MSell1.00K$100.00100.00K
2026-02-27Frost Bert ABuy9.87K——
2026-02-27Frost Bert ASell4.34K$99.54431.70K
2026-02-27Bohn Christopher DBuy10.45K——
2026-02-27Bohn Christopher DSell4.60K$99.54457.68K
2026-02-26Menzel Susan LSell3.21K$97.00311.86K
2026-02-20Will W AnthonySell111.89K$100.2511.22M
2026-01-12Mayer Erik M.Other0——
2026-01-06McGrane Michael PatrickBuy6.15K——
2026-01-06Menzel Susan LBuy7.69K——
2026-01-06Hoker Richard ABuy3.33K——
2026-01-06Frost Bert ABuy10.76K——
2026-01-06Dempsey Linda MBuy2.56K——
2026-01-06Bohn Christopher DBuy38.44K——
2026-01-05McGrane Michael PatrickSell691$80.2655.46K
2026-01-05Malik Ashraf KSell1.04K$80.2683.63K
2026-01-05Will W AnthonySell10.06K$80.26807.74K
2026-01-05Menzel Susan LSell1.85K$80.26148.56K
2026-01-05Hoker Richard ABuy1.07K——
2026-01-05Hoker Richard ASell898$80.2672.07K
2026-01-05Hoker Richard ASell1.07K——
2026-01-05Frost Bert ASell2.62K$80.26210.12K
2026-01-05Dempsey Linda MSell697$80.2655.94K
2026-01-05Cameron Gregory DSell2.29K$80.26183.88K
2026-01-05Bohn Christopher DSell2.84K$80.26227.70K
2026-01-02Will W AnthonySell5.51K$80.13441.60K
2026-01-02Menzel Susan LSell1.09K$80.1387.74K
2026-01-02McGrane Michael PatrickSell639$80.1351.20K
2026-01-02Malik Ashraf KSell593$80.1347.52K
2026-01-02Hoker Richard ABuy540——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 1.02K, holders +37 vs prior quarter. Ownership 104.36%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.13.03M838.08K+6.87%1.41B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC10.04M-11.48K-0.11%1.09B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC8.53M793.21K+10.25%923.77M
STATE STREET CORP8.53M643.59K+8.16%923.60M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/8.47M945.96K+12.57%917.26M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC5.39M207.82K+4.01%629.98M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP3.63M-826.87K-18.54%393.15M
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS3.32M1.15M+53.02%359.63M
INVESCO LTD.3.14M152.27K+5.09%340.35M
ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH3.11M473.10K+17.96%336.37M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP3.08M-24.42K-0.79%333.69M
NORGES BANK3.00M3.00MNew325.30M
FMR LLC2.59M-1.77M-40.61%280.14M
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC2.43M208.62K+9.40%262.79M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC2.35M538.11K+29.67%254.62M
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC2.29M-834.84K-26.69%248.28M
MORGAN STANLEY2.15M-221.32K-9.33%232.97M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP1.84M104.94K+6.06%198.86M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP1.83M737.60K+67.78%197.67M
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC1.75M32.29K+1.88%189.14M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.72M-327.32K-15.98%186.35M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.1.63M1.63MNew176.64M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC1.63M-9.62K-0.59%176.64M
EARNEST PARTNERS LLC1.62M-565.36K-25.87%175.39M
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT1.58M122.33K+8.38%171.19M

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