Corteva (CTVA) Stock Forecast & Price Target
CTVA$11.45+0.12 +1.06%
$7.64B
Market Cap
49.91
P/E
19.87
Forward P/E
58
Score
Corteva (CTVA) Stock Forecast & Price Target
CTVA price $11.45 +0.12 +1.06%
- Ticker
- CTVA
- Price
- $11.45
- Change
- +0.12 +1.06%
- Market cap ?
- $7.64B
- P/E ?
- 49.91
- Forward P/E ?
- 19.87
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.95%
- Beta ?
- 0.58
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Agricultural Inputs
- Stocklytics score
- 58
- Value
- 62
- Quality
- 55
- Growth
- 57
Stocklytics score rationale: value 62, quality 55, growth 57.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14041000000 | 14240000000 | 14287000000 | 13846000000 | 14217000000 | 15655000000 | 17455000000 | 17226000000 | 16908000000 | 17401000000 |
Corteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms. It offers trait technologies that enhance resistance to weather, disease, insects, and herbicides used to control weeds, as well as food and nutritional characteristics. This segment also…
Fair value
CTVA fair value $76.00. Price $11.45. Price is 85% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.85B. Growth 9.33%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 667.30M. Net debt -1.94B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | — | 0.02 | — | 1.77B |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 6.38B | 6.60B |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 4.91B | 4.64B |
| 2026-02-04 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 3.91B | 4.24B |
| 2025-11-05 | -0.03 | -0.08 | 2.62B | 2.47B |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.33 | 0.28 | 6.46B | 6.27B |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 4.42B | 4.54B |
| 2025-02-05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 4.00B | 4.04B |
| 2024-11-06 | -0.07 | -0.05 | 2.33B | 2.70B |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 6.11B | 6.15B |
| 2024-05-02 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 4.49B | 4.65B |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 3.71B | 3.61B |
| 2023-11-08 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 2.59B | 2.63B |
| 2023-08-04 | 1.60 | 0.24 | 6.05B | 6.44B |
| 2023-05-04 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 4.88B | 4.76B |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 3.83B | 3.79B |
| 2022-11-03 | -0.12 | -0.03 | 2.78B | 2.59B |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 6.25B | 6.08B |
| 2022-05-04 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 4.60B | 4.48B |
| 2022-02-02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 3.48B | 3.45B |
| 2021-11-03 | -0.02 | -0.05 | 2.37B | 2.03B |
| 2021-08-05 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 5.63B | 5.63B |
| 2021-05-04 | 0.79 | 0.10 | 4.18B | 3.88B |
| 2021-02-03 | 0.04 | -0.03 | 3.21B | 8.08B |
| 2020-11-04 | -0.08 | -0.06 | 1.86B | 2.00B |
| 2020-08-05 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 5.19B | 5.11B |
| 2020-05-06 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 3.96B | 2.68B |
| 2020-01-30 | 0.01 | -0.02 | 2.98B | 5.11B |
| 2019-10-31 | -0.10 | -0.07 | 1.91B | 2.25B |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 5.56B | 3.91B |
| 2019-05-31 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 6.29B | 3.40B |
| 2019-03-19 | -0.09 | — | 2.81B | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.94%. Payout ratio 47.97%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 79/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 48% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 8 separate years. Yield is 0.9%, which is modest.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-12-01 | $0.05 | 2026-12-01 | 2026-12-15 | Quarterly |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.03 | 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-15 | Quarterly |
| 2026-06-01 | $0.03 | 2026-06-01 | 2026-06-15 | Quarterly |
| 2026-03-02 | $0.03 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-16 | Quarterly |
| 2025-12-01 | $0.03 | 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-15 | Quarterly |
| 2025-09-02 | $0.03 | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-15 | Quarterly |
| 2025-06-02 | $0.03 | 2025-06-02 | 2025-06-16 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-03 | $0.03 | 2025-03-03 | 2025-03-17 | Quarterly |
| 2024-12-02 | $0.03 | 2024-12-02 | 2024-12-16 | Quarterly |
| 2024-09-03 | $0.03 | 2024-09-03 | 2024-09-17 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-04 | $0.02 | 2024-06-04 | 2024-06-18 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-29 | $0.02 | 2024-03-01 | 2024-03-15 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-30 | $0.02 | 2023-12-01 | 2023-12-15 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-31 | $0.02 | 2023-09-01 | 2023-09-15 | Quarterly |
| 2023-05-31 | $0.02 | 2023-06-01 | 2023-06-15 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-28 | $0.02 | 2023-03-01 | 2023-03-15 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-10 | $0.02 | 2022-11-14 | 2022-12-15 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-11 | $0.02 | 2022-08-12 | 2022-09-15 | Quarterly |
| 2022-05-12 | $0.02 | 2022-05-13 | 2022-06-15 | Quarterly |
| 2022-02-28 | $0.02 | 2022-03-01 | 2022-03-15 | Quarterly |
| 2021-11-10 | $0.02 | 2021-11-12 | 2021-12-15 | Quarterly |
| 2021-08-12 | $0.02 | 2021-08-13 | 2021-09-15 | Quarterly |
| 2021-05-13 | $0.02 | 2021-05-14 | 2021-06-15 | Quarterly |
| 2021-02-26 | $0.02 | 2021-03-01 | 2021-03-15 | Quarterly |
| 2020-11-12 | $0.02 | 2020-11-13 | 2020-12-15 | Quarterly |
| 2020-08-13 | $0.02 | 2020-08-14 | 2020-09-15 | Quarterly |
| 2020-05-14 | $0.02 | 2020-05-15 | 2020-06-15 | Quarterly |
| 2020-03-02 | $0.02 | 2020-03-03 | 2020-03-13 | Quarterly |
| 2019-11-27 | $0.02 | 2019-11-29 | 2019-12-18 | Quarterly |
| 2019-07-30 | $0.02 | 2019-07-31 | 2019-09-13 | Irregular |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Rudolph Jeffrey A. | Other | 5.51K | $8.67 | 47.74K |
| 2026-10-01 | Sloan Jennifer L. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Sloan Jennifer L. | Other | 10.01K | $8.67 | 86.79K |
| 2026-10-01 | Sloan Jennifer L. | Other | 4.40K | $9.94 | 43.70K |
| 2026-10-01 | Sloan Jennifer L. | Other | 13.17K | $10.28 | 135.40K |
| 2026-10-01 | NARWOLD KAREN G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Rasoulpour Reza J. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Rasoulpour Reza J. | Other | 13.34K | $8.67 | 115.66K |
| 2026-10-01 | Rasoulpour Reza J. | Other | 10.25K | $9.94 | 101.87K |
| 2026-10-01 | Rasoulpour Reza J. | Other | 11.85K | $10.28 | 121.86K |
| 2026-10-01 | Ford Ralph H. III | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Ford Ralph H. III | Other | 5.86K | $9.94 | 58.23K |
| 2026-10-01 | Ford Ralph H. III | Other | 14.45K | $8.67 | 125.29K |
| 2026-10-01 | Ford Ralph H. III | Other | 18.44K | $10.28 | 189.56K |
| 2026-10-01 | Cunningham Brook M. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Cunningham Brook M. | Other | 68.49K | $10.28 | 704.10K |
| 2026-10-01 | Cunningham Brook M. | Other | 64.42K | $9.94 | 640.34K |
| 2026-10-01 | Cunningham Brook M. | Other | 76.70K | $8.67 | 664.95K |
| 2026-10-01 | Rudolph Jeffrey A. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Rudolph Jeffrey A. | Other | 9.66K | $10.28 | 99.29K |
| 2026-10-01 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 11.08K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 13.32K | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | TITUS BRIAN | Buy | 17.66K | $8.67 | 153.12K |
| 2026-10-01 | TITUS BRIAN | Buy | 14.77K | $9.94 | 146.83K |
| 2026-10-01 | TITUS BRIAN | Buy | 14.39K | $10.28 | 147.96K |
| 2026-10-01 | KISSAM LUTHER C IV | Sell | 127.95K | — | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Johnson David Paul | Sell | 8.52K | $81.01 | 689.96K |
| 2026-09-15 | Johnson Jennifer Amy | Sell | 446 | $83.39 | 37.19K |
| 2026-07-31 | Policinski Christopher J. | Buy | 413 | $78.71 | 32.50K |
| 2026-07-31 | Nayyar Nayaki R | Buy | 413 | $78.71 | 32.50K |
| 2026-07-31 | Giesselman Janet Plaut | Buy | 98 | $78.71 | 7.75K |
| 2026-06-01 | KISSAM LUTHER C IV | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-30 | Nayyar Nayaki R | Buy | 401 | $81.01 | 32.50K |
| 2026-04-30 | Lutz Marcos M | Sell | 906 | $81.01 | 73.40K |
| 2026-04-30 | Giesselman Janet Plaut | Buy | 96 | $81.01 | 7.75K |
| 2026-04-30 | Engel Klaus A | Sell | 906 | $81.01 | 73.40K |
| 2026-04-28 | EVERITT DAVID C | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Ward Pat | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Preete Kerry J | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Policinski Christopher J. | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Nayyar Nayaki R | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Lutz Marcos M | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Grimes Karen H. | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Giesselman Janet Plaut | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Gilson Jean-Marc | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Engel Klaus A | Buy | 2.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | PAGE GREGORY R | Buy | 3.87K | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Policinski Christopher J. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | Gilson Jean-Marc | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-02-28 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 111 | $80.12 | 8.89K |
| 2026-02-28 | Grimm Audrey | Sell | 285 | $80.12 | 22.83K |
| 2026-02-28 | Eathington Samuel R | Sell | 471 | $80.12 | 37.74K |
| 2026-02-28 | O'Connor Judd M | Sell | 188 | $80.12 | 15.06K |
| 2026-02-28 | King Robert D. | Sell | 574 | $80.12 | 45.99K |
| 2026-02-28 | Magro Charles V. | Sell | 4.96K | $80.12 | 397.23K |
| 2026-02-24 | TITUS BRIAN | Buy | 2.08K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Grimm Audrey | Buy | 11.26K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Johnson Jennifer Amy | Buy | 12.92K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | O'Connor Judd M | Buy | 14.17K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | King Robert D. | Buy | 15.01K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Eathington Samuel R | Buy | 14.17K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Johnson David Paul | Buy | 24.11K | — | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Magro Charles V. | Buy | 108.38K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | TITUS BRIAN | Buy | 4.31K | $50.70 | 218.57K |
| 2026-02-20 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 132 | $76.31 | 10.07K |
| 2026-02-20 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 4.31K | $76.57 | 330.07K |
| 2026-02-20 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 4.00K | $76.53 | 306.13K |
| 2026-02-20 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 4.31K | $50.70 | 218.57K |
| 2026-02-20 | O'Connor Judd M | Sell | 247 | $76.31 | 18.85K |
| 2026-02-20 | Grimm Audrey | Sell | 387 | $76.31 | 29.53K |
| 2026-02-20 | Eathington Samuel R | Sell | 572 | $76.31 | 43.65K |
| 2026-02-20 | King Robert D. | Sell | 576 | $76.31 | 43.95K |
| 2026-02-20 | Magro Charles V. | Sell | 6.03K | $76.31 | 459.84K |
| 2026-02-18 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 113 | $76.59 | 8.65K |
| 2026-02-18 | Grimm Audrey | Sell | 399 | $76.59 | 30.56K |
| 2026-02-18 | Eathington Samuel R | Sell | 524 | $76.59 | 40.13K |
| 2026-02-18 | Johnson David Paul | Sell | 704 | $76.59 | 53.92K |
| 2026-02-18 | O'Connor Judd M | Sell | 352 | $76.59 | 26.96K |
| 2026-02-18 | King Robert D. | Sell | 526 | $76.59 | 40.29K |
| 2026-02-18 | Magro Charles V. | Sell | 5.32K | $76.59 | 407.38K |
| 2026-01-30 | Giesselman Janet Plaut | Buy | 106 | $72.80 | 7.75K |
| 2026-01-30 | Nayyar Nayaki R | Buy | 446 | $72.80 | 32.50K |
| 2026-01-27 | TITUS BRIAN | Buy | 1.71K | — | — |
| 2026-01-27 | TITUS BRIAN | Sell | 639 | $73.00 | 46.65K |
| 2026-01-27 | Grimm Audrey | Buy | 5.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-27 | Grimm Audrey | Sell | 1.56K | $73.00 | 114.10K |
| 2026-01-27 | O'Connor Judd M | Buy | 3.43K | — | — |
| 2026-01-27 | O'Connor Judd M | Sell | 1.14K | $73.00 | 83.07K |
| 2026-01-27 | Eathington Samuel R | Buy | 7.99K | — | — |
| 2026-01-27 | Eathington Samuel R | Sell | 2.52K | $73.00 | 183.96K |
| 2026-01-27 | King Robert D. | Buy | 8.56K | — | — |
| 2026-01-27 | King Robert D. | Sell | 2.55K | $73.00 | 186.22K |
| 2026-01-27 | Magro Charles V. | Buy | 58.52K | — | — |
| 2026-01-27 | Magro Charles V. | Sell | 23.56K | $73.00 | 1.72M |
| 2025-10-31 | Nayyar Nayaki R | Buy | 529 | $61.44 | 32.50K |
| 2025-10-31 | Giesselman Janet Plaut | Buy | 63 | $61.44 | 3.88K |
| 2025-09-16 | Johnson David Paul | Sell | 6.75K | $69.88 | 471.97K |
| 2025-09-15 | Johnson Jennifer Amy | Buy | 12.42K | $70.07 | 870.13K |
| 2025-09-15 | Johnson Jennifer Amy | Buy | 4.28K | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | Johnson Jennifer Amy | Other | 0 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.52K. Ownership 89.03%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 53.85M | New | New | 4.56B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 43.79M | New | New | 3.71B |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 42.92M | New | New | 3.64B |
| FMR LLC | 41.07M | New | New | 3.48B |
| STATE STREET CORP | 38.26M | New | New | 3.24B |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 29.80M | New | New | 2.52B |
| FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC | 22.33M | New | New | 1.89B |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 18.90M | New | New | 1.59B |
| ARISTOTLE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 17.77M | New | New | 1.50B |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 16.33M | New | New | 1.38B |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 12.07M | New | New | 1.02B |
| INVESCO LTD. | 9.53M | New | New | 806.77M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 9.21M | New | New | 779.98M |
| WCM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 8.94M | New | New | 745.32M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 7.99M | New | New | 676.93M |
| STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE CO | 7.63M | New | New | 646.58M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 7.61M | New | New | 644.72M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 7.11M | New | New | 602.31M |
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 6.43M | New | New | 544.25M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 6.42M | New | New | 535.50M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 5.73M | New | New | 484.93M |
| LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC | 5.70M | New | New | 482.84M |
| NORGES BANK | 5.50M | New | New | 465.47M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 4.85M | New | New | 410.64M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 4.84M | New | New | 410.11M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 21 analysts. Average price target $38.64, +237.5% versus the current price. Low $15.00. High $101.00.
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