National Vision (EYE) Financials: Revenue & Earnings

EYE price $15.26 -0.94 -5.80%

Ticker
EYE
Price
$15.26
Change
-0.94 -5.80%
Market cap ?
$1.21B
Beta ?
0.98
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail

Fair value

EYE fair value $37.14. Price $15.26. Price is 59% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 49.08M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 9.71% (beta 1.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 79.07M. Net debt 655.89M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare EYE

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-04—0.17—512.53M
2026-08-120.250.18498.81M499.07M
2026-05-130.450.43543.88M545.09M
2026-03-040.150.06503.41M495.26M
2025-11-050.130.12487.33M495.10M
2025-08-060.180.13486.42M471.28M
2025-05-070.340.29510.32M466.40M
2025-02-26-0.04-0.07437.28M437.04M
2024-11-060.120.05451.51M432.80M
2024-08-070.150.06451.73M452.36M
2024-05-080.300.28542.52M552.98M
2024-02-27-0.02-0.09506.40M499.80M
2023-11-090.150.06532.36M499.90M
2023-08-100.170.15525.34M525.15M
2023-05-110.310.19562.37M551.64M
2023-03-01-0.08-0.06468.93M471.53M
2022-11-100.150.13499.21M503.00M
2022-08-110.210.08509.56M500.72M
2022-05-100.330.30527.71M538.38M
2022-02-280.130.01477.85M457.47M
2021-11-100.380.25518.00M388.50M
2021-08-120.480.23549.49M429.47M
2021-05-130.480.31534.18M519.86M
2021-03-030.450.13496.70M472.70M
2020-11-050.540.27485.35M242.68M
2020-08-06-0.41-0.57260.01M317.08M
2020-05-070.28-0.09469.70M234.85M
2020-02-260.110.01401.76M36.52M
2019-11-070.180.12431.90M287.93M
2019-08-060.200.21429.45M450.92M
2019-05-090.330.32461.21M433.26M
2019-02-270.010.01355.92M355.92M
2018-11-130.120.12387.43M387.43M
2018-08-140.210.19385.53M348.81M
2018-05-150.350.39407.98M454.60M
2018-03-08-0.04-0.01321.82M80.45M
2017-12-070.100.06346.09M—
2017-10-26-0.02—337.54M—
2017-03-310.24—369.86M—
2016-12-31-0.13—277.11M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-08Cutler David GSell13.00K——
2026-09-08Cutler David GBuy13.00K——
2026-09-08Cutler David GSell5.11K$17.0086.87K
2026-09-02Moeddel AnaSell11.39K——
2026-09-02Moeddel AnaBuy11.39K——
2026-09-02Moeddel AnaSell3.11K$16.8252.38K
2026-08-19Wilkes AlexanderSell61.79K——
2026-08-19Wilkes AlexanderBuy61.79K——
2026-08-19Wilkes AlexanderSell29.88K$18.92565.41K
2026-07-31Wilkes AlexanderSell13.77K——
2026-07-31Wilkes AlexanderBuy13.77K——
2026-07-31Wilkes AlexanderSell6.66K$22.04146.79K
2026-07-08Banner MarkSell11.73K——
2026-07-08Banner MarkBuy11.73K——
2026-07-08Banner MarkSell4.96K$19.4196.35K
2026-06-17Zulla CaitlinBuy16.26K——
2026-06-17OFarrell Susan CBuy14.57K——
2026-06-17Nicholson Michael JBuy11.35K——
2026-06-17McGrann James M.Buy11.35K——
2026-06-17Kelman NaomiBuy11.35K——
2026-06-17Johnson Susan SBuy11.35K——
2026-06-17Hepner Virginia ABuy11.35K——
2026-06-17Armario JoseBuy16.26K——
2026-06-05Nicholson Michael JBuy50.00K$15.52776.00K
2026-04-29Brandman JaredBuy1.89K——
2026-04-29Brandman JaredSell842$22.3918.85K
2026-04-29Brandman JaredSell1.89K——
2026-03-31Laden ChristopherSell26.08K——
2026-03-31Laden ChristopherBuy26.08K——
2026-03-31Laden ChristopherSell9.70K$25.90251.28K
2026-03-11Wilkes AlexanderSell35.00K$26.54928.90K
2026-03-06Cutler David GBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06Moeddel AnaBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06Patel Priti VBuy8.22K——
2026-03-06Patel Priti VSell2.74K$27.9076.39K
2026-03-06Patel Priti VBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06Patel Priti VSell8.22K——
2026-03-06VanDette JosephBuy8.22K——
2026-03-06VanDette JosephSell2.43K$27.9067.80K
2026-03-06VanDette JosephBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06VanDette JosephSell8.22K——
2026-03-06Banner MarkBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06Banner MarkSell13.71K——
2026-03-06Banner MarkBuy13.71K——
2026-03-06Banner MarkSell4.13K$27.90115.31K
2026-03-06Clark BillBuy8.22K——
2026-03-06Clark BillSell2.43K$27.9067.80K
2026-03-06Clark BillBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06Clark BillSell8.22K——
2026-03-06Brandman JaredBuy10.28K——
2026-03-06Brandman JaredSell3.49K$27.9097.48K
2026-03-06Brandman JaredBuy10.75K——
2026-03-06Brandman JaredSell10.28K——
2026-03-06Laden ChristopherBuy17.92K——
2026-03-06Wilkes AlexanderBuy62.73K——
2026-03-06Wilkes AlexanderSell27.41K——
2026-03-06Wilkes AlexanderBuy27.41K——
2026-03-06Wilkes AlexanderSell13.99K$27.90390.43K
2026-03-06FAHS L READEBuy54.82K——
2026-03-06FAHS L READESell24.42K$27.90681.29K
2026-03-06FAHS L READESell7.60K$29.58224.84K
2026-03-06FAHS L READESell4.07K$29.57120.38K
2026-03-06FAHS L READEBuy71.69K——
2026-03-06FAHS L READESell54.82K——
2026-03-03Patel Priti VBuy11.95K——
2026-03-03Patel Priti VSell2.99K——
2026-03-03Patel Priti VSell4.31K$26.63114.88K
2026-03-03Patel Priti VBuy2.99K——
2026-03-03Patel Priti VSell1.07K$26.6328.49K
2026-03-03VanDette JosephBuy25.39K——
2026-03-03VanDette JosephSell7.50K$26.63199.78K
2026-03-03VanDette JosephSell6.35K——
2026-03-03VanDette JosephBuy6.35K——
2026-03-03VanDette JosephSell2.10K$26.6355.79K
2026-03-03Clark BillBuy25.39K——
2026-03-03Clark BillSell7.50K$26.63199.78K
2026-03-03Clark BillBuy6.35K——
2026-03-03Clark BillSell2.07K$26.6355.10K
2026-03-03Clark BillSell6.35K——
2026-03-03Brandman JaredBuy25.39K——
2026-03-03Brandman JaredSell7.50K$26.63199.78K
2026-03-03Brandman JaredBuy6.35K——
2026-03-03Brandman JaredSell2.04K$26.6354.22K
2026-03-03Brandman JaredSell6.35K——
2026-03-03FAHS L READEBuy179.25K——
2026-03-03FAHS L READESell79.84K$26.632.13M
2026-03-03FAHS L READEBuy44.82K——
2026-03-03FAHS L READESell19.96K$26.63531.67K
2026-03-03FAHS L READESell44.82K——
2026-02-27Patel Priti VSell3.36K——
2026-02-27Patel Priti VBuy3.36K——
2026-02-27Patel Priti VSell1.38K$26.9737.27K
2026-02-27VanDette JosephSell3.36K——
2026-02-27VanDette JosephBuy3.36K——
2026-02-27VanDette JosephSell1.17K$26.9731.61K
2026-02-27Clark BillBuy3.36K——
2026-02-27Clark BillSell1.17K$26.9731.61K
2026-02-27Clark BillSell3.36K——
2026-02-27Brandman JaredBuy3.54K——
2026-02-27Brandman JaredSell1.21K$26.9732.50K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 241, holders -25 vs prior quarter. Ownership 126.72%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.12.11M578.75K+5.02%230.29M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP7.67M2.17M+39.55%145.80M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.43M-314.42K-5.47%103.27M
WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC4.75M521.66K+12.34%90.25M
FMR LLC4.07M2.98M+273.28%77.38M
ENGINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP3.52M3.52MNew66.93M
STATE STREET CORP3.47M287.08K+9.03%65.87M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC3.40M-37.74K-1.10%64.64M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP3.38M322.61K+10.54%64.34M
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC3.15M1.85M+142.38%59.86M
GLENVIEW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.10M1.54M+98.04%58.95M
BOSTON PARTNERS2.25M823.95K+57.86%42.74M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.13M-65.25K-2.97%40.47M
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC2.06M255.37K+14.15%39.16M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP2.02M-390.71K-16.23%38.33M
EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC2.01M504.05K+33.54%38.15M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC1.93M-1.30M-40.26%36.62M
DIVISADERO STREET CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP1.90M1.20M+172.90%36.11M
MORGAN STANLEY1.69M480.15K+39.58%32.19M
INVESCO LTD.1.67M464.87K+38.58%31.74M
JUPITER ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD1.46M18.06K+1.25%27.78M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC1.38M516.96K+60.09%26.18M
EMERALD MUTUAL FUND ADVISERS TRUST1.30M360.69K+38.47%24.68M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC1.21M-81.62K-6.30%23.09M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.1.21M1.21MNew23.09M

Earnings and financials

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) trades at $15.26, with a market cap of $1.21B and a trailing P/E of n/a. Revenue below is the annual history on file. It describes what the business has already reported. It is not a forecast and it is not a recommendation.

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National Vision (EYE) Financials: Revenue & Earnings

EYE$15.26-0.94 -5.80%

$1.21B

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History