Graco (GGG) Stock Price & Analysis

GGG price $68.44 +1.28 +1.91%

Ticker
GGG
Price
$68.44
Change
+1.28 +1.91%
Market cap ?
$10.98B
P/E ?
21.32
Forward P/E ?
21.15
Dividend yield ?
1.76%
Beta ?
0.88
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial - Machinery
Stocklytics score
55
Value
49
Quality
76
Growth
39

Stocklytics score rationale: value 49, quality 76, growth 39.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
1329293000147474400016532920001646045000165011500019876080002143521000219560600021133160002236604000

Graco Inc., a Minneapolis, Minnesota-based company established in 1926, specializes globally in the engineering, production, and distribution of sophisticated systems and apparatus. These solutions are designed for the precise handling, measurement, regulation, discharge, and application of diverse fluid and powder materials worldwide. Within its Industrial segment, Graco provides specialized proportioning systems…

Fair value

GGG fair value $74.15. Price $68.44. Price is 8% below fair value.

Around fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 93% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 587.87M. Growth 5.30%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 9.15% (beta 0.9). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 160.38M. Net debt -563.12M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare GGG

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-01-25—0.82—628.34M
2026-10-210.810.83586.38M590.17M
2026-07-220.910.81590.55M608.06M
2026-04-220.660.74540.10M560.61M
2026-01-260.770.77593.16M590.48M
2025-10-220.730.74543.36M562.08M
2025-07-230.750.79571.81M590.75M
2025-04-230.700.67528.28M524.67M
2025-01-270.640.77548.67M556.94M
2024-10-230.710.75519.20M536.31M
2024-07-240.770.76553.20M562.27M
2024-04-250.650.74492.20M536.10M
2024-01-290.800.79566.60M561.88M
2023-10-260.760.73539.70M557.12M
2023-07-270.750.78559.60M576.14M
2023-04-270.740.61529.60M501.88M
2023-01-300.730.68555.00M554.17M
2022-10-260.660.65545.60M519.26M
2022-07-270.680.67548.55M533.44M
2022-04-270.570.63494.30M513.25M
2022-01-310.660.64539.62M519.61M
2021-10-200.570.64486.70M493.48M
2021-07-210.620.61507.16M493.48M
2021-04-210.580.50454.13M426.77M
2021-01-250.610.51470.34M378.12M
2020-10-210.590.42439.32M312.73M
2020-07-220.370.27366.89M257.82M
2020-04-220.380.44373.57M432.55M
2020-01-270.480.39412.29M334.99M
2019-10-230.450.51400.56M453.96M
2019-07-240.500.53428.33M454.03M
2019-04-240.470.49404.87M422.10M
2019-01-280.430.43406.44M406.44M
2018-10-240.500.46415.94M382.63M
2018-07-250.480.50424.57M442.29M
2018-04-250.480.41406.35M347.05M
2018-01-290.340.36374.86M396.95M
2017-10-250.380.35379.81M349.82M
2017-07-260.460.35379.48M349.54M
2017-04-260.350.25340.59M258.03M

Dividends

Yield 1.72%. Payout ratio 36.90%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 95/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 37% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 42 separate years. Yield is 1.7%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-10-19$0.292026-10-192026-11-04Quarterly
2026-07-20$0.292026-07-202026-08-05Quarterly
2026-04-13$0.292026-04-132026-05-06Quarterly
2026-01-16$0.292026-01-192026-02-04Quarterly
2025-10-20$0.282025-10-202025-11-05Quarterly
2025-07-21$0.282025-07-212025-08-06Quarterly
2025-04-14$0.282025-04-142025-05-07Quarterly
2025-01-17$0.282025-01-202025-02-05Quarterly
2024-10-21$0.262024-10-212024-11-06Quarterly
2024-07-22$0.262024-07-222024-08-07Quarterly
2024-04-12$0.262024-04-152024-05-01Quarterly
2024-01-19$0.262024-01-222024-02-07Quarterly
2023-10-13$0.232023-10-162023-11-01Quarterly
2023-07-14$0.232023-07-172023-08-02Quarterly
2023-04-14$0.232023-04-172023-05-03Quarterly
2023-01-17$0.232023-01-182023-02-01Quarterly
2022-10-14$0.212022-10-172022-11-02Quarterly
2022-07-15$0.212022-07-182022-08-03Quarterly
2022-04-14$0.212022-04-182022-05-04Quarterly
2022-01-14$0.212022-01-182022-02-02Quarterly
2021-10-15$0.192021-10-182021-11-03Quarterly
2021-07-16$0.192021-07-192021-08-04Quarterly
2021-04-16$0.192021-04-192021-05-05Quarterly
2021-01-15$0.192021-01-192021-02-03Quarterly
2020-10-16$0.172020-10-192020-11-04Quarterly
2020-07-17$0.172020-07-202020-08-05Quarterly
2020-04-17$0.172020-04-202020-05-06Quarterly
2020-01-17$0.172020-01-212020-02-05Quarterly
2019-10-18$0.162019-10-212019-11-06Quarterly
2019-07-19$0.162019-07-222019-08-07Quarterly
2019-04-12$0.162019-04-152019-05-01Quarterly
2019-01-18$0.162019-01-222019-02-06Quarterly
2018-10-19$0.132018-10-222018-11-07Quarterly
2018-07-12$0.132018-07-152018-08-01Quarterly
2018-04-13$0.132018-04-162018-05-02Quarterly
2018-01-19$0.132018-01-222018-02-07Quarterly
2017-10-13$0.122017-10-162017-11-01Quarterly
2017-07-13$0.122017-07-172017-08-02Quarterly
2017-04-12$0.122017-04-172017-05-03Quarterly
2017-01-12$0.122017-01-172017-02-01Quarterly
2016-10-13$0.112016-10-172016-11-02Quarterly
2016-07-14$0.112016-07-182016-08-03Quarterly
2016-04-14$0.112016-04-182016-05-04Quarterly
2016-01-14$0.112016-01-192016-02-03Quarterly
2015-10-15$0.102015-10-192015-11-04Quarterly
2015-07-16$0.102015-07-202015-08-05Quarterly
2015-04-16$0.102015-04-202015-05-06Quarterly
2015-01-15$0.102015-01-202015-02-04Quarterly
2014-10-16$0.092014-10-202014-11-05Quarterly
2014-07-17$0.092014-07-212014-08-06Quarterly
2014-04-16$0.092014-04-212014-05-07Quarterly
2014-01-16$0.092014-01-212014-02-05Quarterly
2013-10-17$0.082013-10-212013-11-06Quarterly
2013-07-18$0.082013-07-222013-08-07Quarterly
2013-04-11$0.082013-04-152013-05-01Quarterly
2013-01-17$0.082013-01-222013-02-06Quarterly
2012-10-18$0.072012-10-222012-11-07Quarterly
2012-07-12$0.072012-07-162012-08-01Quarterly
2012-04-12$0.072012-04-162012-05-02Quarterly
2012-01-12$0.072012-01-172012-02-01Quarterly
2011-10-13$0.072011-10-172011-11-02Quarterly
2011-07-14$0.072011-07-182011-08-03Quarterly
2011-04-14$0.072011-04-182011-05-04Quarterly
2011-01-13$0.072011-01-182011-02-02Quarterly
2010-10-14$0.072010-10-182010-11-03Quarterly
2010-07-15$0.072010-07-192010-08-04Quarterly
2010-04-15$0.072010-04-192010-05-05Quarterly
2010-01-14$0.072010-01-192010-02-03Quarterly
2009-10-15$0.062009-10-192009-11-04Quarterly
2009-07-16$0.062009-07-202009-08-05Quarterly
2009-04-16$0.062009-04-202009-05-06Quarterly
2009-01-15$0.062009-01-202009-02-04Quarterly
2008-10-16$0.062008-10-202008-11-05Quarterly
2008-07-17$0.062008-07-212008-08-06Quarterly
2008-04-17$0.062008-04-212008-05-07Quarterly
2008-01-17$0.062008-01-222008-02-06Quarterly
2007-10-18$0.052007-10-222007-11-07Quarterly
2007-07-12$0.052007-07-162007-08-01Quarterly
2007-04-12$0.052007-04-162007-05-02Quarterly
2007-01-18$0.052007-01-222007-02-07Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MBuy13.77K$44.52613.04K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MBuy9.47K$50.87481.74K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MBuy9.13K$45.98419.80K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MBuy12.87K$36.09464.44K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MSell13.77K$44.52613.04K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MSell12.87K$36.09464.44K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MSell9.13K$45.98419.80K
2026-10-26MORFITT MARTHA A MSell9.47K$50.87481.74K
2026-10-01Wheeler Kevin J.Buy337$76.8425.88K
2026-10-01FERAGEN JODY HBuy418$76.8432.13K
2026-10-01Etchart EricBuy176$76.8413.56K
2026-10-01Black Archie C.Buy358$76.8427.50K
2026-10-01Anfang Heather LBuy358$76.8427.50K
2026-10-01GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy698$76.8453.63K
2026-10-01Hedlund Steven BBuy87$76.846.71K
2026-09-10Hedlund Steven BBuy2.71K$76.41207.07K
2026-09-10Hedlund Steven BOther0——
2026-08-03Etchart EricBuy3.22K$36.09116.13K
2026-08-03Etchart EricSell3.22K$80.01257.49K
2026-08-03Etchart EricSell3.22K$36.09116.13K
2026-07-01Wheeler Kevin J.Buy331$75.6125.05K
2026-07-01GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy621——
2026-07-01FERAGEN JODY HBuy414——
2026-07-01Etchart EricBuy174——
2026-07-01Black Archie C.Buy353——
2026-07-01Anfang Heather LBuy353——
2026-04-27Simon Andrea HelenBuy1.24K$80.5399.86K
2026-04-15Gupta SanjivBuy53.33K$87.484.67M
2026-04-15Gupta SanjivBuy13.08K——
2026-04-15Gupta SanjivOther0——
2026-04-01Wheeler Kevin J.Buy276——
2026-04-01GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy394——
2026-04-01FERAGEN JODY HBuy350——
2026-04-01Etchart EricBuy145——
2026-04-01Black Archie C.Buy295——
2026-04-01Anfang Heather LBuy295——
2026-02-13Wheeler Kevin J.Buy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13Simon Andrea HelenBuy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13MORFITT MARTHA A MBuy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13FERAGEN JODY HBuy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13Etchart EricBuy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13Black Archie C.Buy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13Anfang Heather LBuy5.24K$94.28494.03K
2026-02-13Banerjee RonitaBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13Wordell Angela FBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13White Timothy RBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13Thompson David JBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13Schoenrock Kathryn LBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13O'Shea Peter JBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13Merengo ClaudioBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13LOWE DAVID MBuy32.15K$94.283.03M
2026-02-13Knutson Christopher D.Buy8.46K$94.28797.61K
2026-02-13Humke Joseph JBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13Grasdal IngeBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13Evanson Laura LBuy17.77K$94.281.68M
2026-02-13SHEAHAN MARK WBuy194.65K$94.2818.35M
2026-02-09LOWE DAVID MBuy3.00K$23.8571.54K
2026-02-09LOWE DAVID MSell3.00K$23.8571.54K
2026-02-06Wordell Angela FBuy2.83K$30.3585.94K
2026-02-06Wordell Angela FSell2.83K$93.22263.99K
2026-02-06Wordell Angela FSell2.83K$30.3585.94K
2026-02-04White Timothy RBuy1.47K$23.8535.04K
2026-02-04White Timothy RSell1.47K$90.70133.23K
2026-02-04White Timothy RSell1.47K$23.8535.04K
2026-02-03GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy12.87K$36.09464.44K
2026-02-03GILLIGAN J KEVINSell12.87K$89.071.15M
2026-02-03GILLIGAN J KEVINSell12.87K$36.09464.44K
2026-02-02Schoenrock Kathryn LBuy3.34K$23.8579.55K
2026-02-02Schoenrock Kathryn LSell2.22K$88.06195.76K
2026-02-02Schoenrock Kathryn LSell3.34K$23.8579.55K
2026-02-02O'Shea Peter JBuy8.82K$23.85210.33K
2026-02-02O'Shea Peter JSell8.82K$88.10777.01K
2026-02-02O'Shea Peter JSell8.82K$23.85210.33K
2026-01-30Merengo ClaudioBuy14.41K$30.35437.30K
2026-01-30Merengo ClaudioSell14.41K$87.031.25M
2026-01-30Merengo ClaudioSell14.41K$30.35437.30K
2026-01-29LOWE DAVID MBuy60.51K$23.851.44M
2026-01-29LOWE DAVID MSell38.33K$86.833.33M
2026-01-29LOWE DAVID MSell60.51K$23.851.44M
2026-01-29SHEAHAN MARK WBuy63.51K$23.851.51M
2026-01-29SHEAHAN MARK WSell40.22K$86.833.49M
2026-01-29SHEAHAN MARK WSell63.51K$23.851.51M
2026-01-29MORFITT MARTHA A MBuy18.00K$26.68480.24K
2026-01-29MORFITT MARTHA A MSell5.53K$86.83480.26K
2026-01-29MORFITT MARTHA A MSell18.00K$26.68480.24K
2026-01-01Wheeler Kevin J.Buy285——
2026-01-01GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy407——
2026-01-01FERAGEN JODY HBuy361——
2026-01-01Etchart EricBuy300——
2026-01-01Carter Brett CBuy76$81.976.23K
2026-01-01Anfang Heather LBuy305——
2026-01-01Black Archie C.Buy305——
2025-12-24White Timothy RBuy2.50K$23.8559.62K
2025-12-24White Timothy RSell2.50K$23.8559.62K
2025-12-05Simon Andrea HelenBuy5.40K$83.42450.47K
2025-12-05Simon Andrea HelenOther0——
2025-10-01Etchart EricBuy290——
2025-10-01Wheeler Kevin J.Buy275——
2025-10-01GILLIGAN J KEVINBuy393——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 740, holders -33 vs prior quarter. Ownership 90.94%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.18.47M75.93K+0.41%1.40B
STATE STREET CORP8.14M144.62K+1.81%615.46M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC8.05M83.21K+1.04%608.37M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC7.47M84.17K+1.14%564.61M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC5.10M234.50K+4.82%384.64M
MORGAN STANLEY4.13M196.69K+5.00%312.49M
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC3.83M-311.76K-7.52%289.72M
MAIRS & POWER INC3.80M-18.23K-0.48%287.13M
FIERA CAPITAL CORP3.43M-506.64K-12.86%259.51M
PINESTONE ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.3.19M-439.75K-12.13%240.88M
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC2.22M-168.14K-7.04%167.99M
NORGES BANK2.13M2.13MNew161.05M
AMUNDI2.09M146.03K+7.51%158.04M
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/1.85M594.60K+47.46%151.63M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP1.99M40.04K+2.05%150.83M
CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC1.87M36.76K+2.00%141.67M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP1.76M-484.65K-21.63%132.78M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP1.65M696.58K+72.99%124.83M
INVESCO LTD.1.59M146.31K+10.13%120.23M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.44M163.18K+12.73%109.25M
JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC1.37M302.57K+28.45%103.30M
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP1.33M-202.62K-13.19%100.81M
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC1.32M130.41K+10.92%100.16M
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD.1.32M78.20K+6.29%99.92M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP1.29M-98.74K-7.10%97.62M

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Graco (GGG) Stock Price & Analysis

GGG$68.44+1.28 +1.91%

$10.98B

Market Cap

21.32

P/E

21.15

Forward P/E

55

Score

Price History