Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) Stock Forecast & Price Target
LSPD$10.84-0.07 -0.60%
$1.44B
Market Cap
-15.68
P/E
17.33
Forward P/E
44
Score
Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) Stock Forecast & Price Target
LSPD price $10.84 -0.07 -0.60%
- Ticker
- LSPD
- Price
- $10.84
- Change
- -0.07 -0.60%
- Market cap ?
- $1.44B
- P/E ?
- -15.68
- Forward P/E ?
- 17.33
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 1.76
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Stocklytics score
- 44
- Value
- 38
- Quality
- 51
- Growth
- 42
Stocklytics score rationale: value 38, quality 51, growth 42.
Financials
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42612000 | 57079000 | 77451000 | 120637000 | 221728000 | 548372000 | 730506000 | 909270000 | 1076826000 | 1227046000 |
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. offers an extensive cloud-based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform engineered to empower a wide array of businesses. This includes small and mid-sized enterprises, retailers, hospitality establishments like restaurants, and even golf course facilities, operating in diverse regions such as Canada, the United States, Australia, the Netherlands, and numerous international territories. The…
Fair value
LSPD fair value $15.82. Price $10.84. Price is 32% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 134.57M. Growth 2.99%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 133.10M. Net debt -436.70M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | 0.16 | — | 321.07M |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 322.70M | 310.58M |
| 2026-05-21 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 290.80M | 282.87M |
| 2026-02-05 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 312.35M | 311.31M |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 318.96M | 308.32M |
| 2025-07-31 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 304.94M | 287.25M |
| 2025-05-22 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 253.42M | 251.23M |
| 2025-02-06 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 280.13M | 282.77M |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 277.18M | 274.38M |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 266.09M | 258.58M |
| 2024-05-16 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 230.22M | 224.57M |
| 2024-02-08 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 239.69M | 236.68M |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 230.27M | 213.95M |
| 2023-08-03 | -0.01 | -0.05 | 209.09M | 197.72M |
| 2023-05-18 | -0.10 | -0.03 | 184.23M | 183.92M |
| 2023-02-02 | -0.23 | -0.05 | 188.70M | 188.40M |
| 2022-11-03 | -0.05 | -0.08 | 183.70M | 182.31M |
| 2022-08-04 | -0.12 | -0.12 | 173.88M | 168.40M |
| 2022-05-19 | -0.15 | -0.15 | 146.56M | 141.88M |
| 2022-02-02 | -0.07 | -0.08 | 152.68M | 143.04M |
| 2021-11-04 | -0.08 | -0.10 | 133.22M | 138.34M |
| 2021-08-05 | -0.05 | -0.16 | 115.92M | 176.05M |
| 2021-05-20 | -0.33 | -0.11 | 82.39M | 107.11M |
| 2021-02-04 | -0.06 | -0.14 | 57.61M | 72.59M |
| 2020-11-05 | -0.20 | -0.16 | 45.49M | 38.99M |
| 2020-08-06 | -0.22 | -0.10 | 36.23M | 26.90M |
| 2020-05-21 | -0.21 | -0.14 | 36.27M | 24.15M |
| 2020-02-06 | -0.18 | -0.09 | 32.27M | 35.50M |
| 2019-11-07 | -0.12 | -0.09 | 28.03M | 18.68M |
| 2019-08-07 | -0.11 | -0.08 | 24.07M | 22.56M |
| 2019-05-30 | -2.21 | -0.62 | 21.29M | 29.97M |
| 2019-03-15 | -0.87 | — | 20.10M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 117, holders +10 vs prior quarter. Ownership 55.45%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC | 24.29M | 0 | 0.00% | 254.20M |
| FIL LTD | 16.01M | -15.00K | -0.09% | 167.63M |
| PALE FIRE CAPITAL SE | 5.77M | 249.34K | +4.51% | 60.57M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.69M | 77.44K | +2.14% | 38.63M |
| ARTISAN PARTNERS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 3.62M | -324.81K | -8.23% | 37.91M |
| CONNOR, CLARK & LUNN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD. | 3.02M | 358.46K | +13.47% | 31.63M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1.75M | 1.75M | New | 18.29M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 1.31M | -14.60K | -1.10% | 13.69M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.27M | -546.55K | -30.10% | 13.31M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.18M | -354.63K | -23.17% | 12.34M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 1.12M | -1.11M | -49.66% | 11.76M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 1.12M | -17.39K | -1.53% | 11.75M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 711.24K | 69.32K | +10.80% | 7.46M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 661.85K | 188.49K | +39.82% | 6.94M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 636.04K | -390.70K | -38.05% | 6.67M |
| LOUISBOURG INVESTMENTS INC. | 577.98K | -94.78K | -14.09% | 6.04M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 570.58K | 278.07K | +95.07% | 5.99M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 474.28K | 67.50K | +16.59% | 4.98M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 463.90K | 446.20K | +2520.90% | 4.87M |
| TD ASSET MANAGEMENT INC | 444.31K | 18.42K | +4.32% | 4.65M |
| VANGUARD GLOBAL ADVISERS, LLC | 422.10K | 30.80K | +7.87% | 4.42M |
| PCJ INVESTMENT COUNSEL LTD. | 397.91K | 147.01K | +58.59% | 4.16M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 348.22K | 348.22K | New | 3.65M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 338.09K | 47.31K | +16.27% | 3.54M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 338.09K | 338.09K | New | 3.54M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 15 analysts. Average price target $11.79, +8.8% versus the current price. Low $9.50. High $16.00.
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