Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) Stock Forecast & Price Target
LYV$175.47+2.97 +1.72%
$40.88B
Market Cap
-156.82
P/E
95.66
Forward P/E
36
Score
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) Stock Forecast & Price Target
LYV price $175.47 +2.97 +1.72%
- Ticker
- LYV
- Price
- $175.47
- Change
- +2.97 +1.72%
- Market cap ?
- $40.88B
- P/E ?
- -156.82
- Forward P/E ?
- 95.66
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 1.17
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Entertainment
- Stocklytics score
- 36
- Value
- 17
- Quality
- 32
- Growth
- 60
Stocklytics score rationale: value 17, quality 32, growth 60.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7826336000 | 9687222000 | 10787800000 | 11547969000 | 1861178000 | 6268447000 | 16681254000 | 22726317000 | 23155625000 | 25201406000 |
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., incorporated in 2005 and formerly known as Live Nation, Inc. until its name change in January 2010, is a global leader in live entertainment, headquartered in Beverly Hills, California. The company's diverse operations are organized into three primary business segments: Concerts, Ticketing, and Sponsorship & Advertising. The Concerts segment is responsible for organizing and…
Fair value
LYV fair value $90.82. Price $175.47. Price is 93% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 92% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 1.37B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.74% (beta 1.2). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 232.96M. Net debt 5.33B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | 1.51 | — | 9.60B |
| 2026-07-30 | 1.05 | 0.66 | 7.67B | 7.56B |
| 2026-05-05 | -1.85 | -0.35 | 3.79B | 3.57B |
| 2026-02-19 | -1.06 | -1.02 | 6.31B | 6.10B |
| 2025-11-04 | 0.73 | 1.31 | 8.50B | 8.56B |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.41 | 1.03 | 7.01B | 6.85B |
| 2025-05-01 | -0.32 | -0.41 | 3.38B | 3.48B |
| 2025-02-20 | 0.56 | -0.93 | 5.68B | 5.60B |
| 2024-11-11 | 1.66 | 1.59 | 7.65B | 7.75B |
| 2024-07-30 | 1.03 | 1.07 | 6.02B | 6.02B |
| 2024-05-02 | -0.53 | -0.18 | 3.80B | 3.26B |
| 2024-02-22 | -1.22 | -1.13 | 5.84B | 4.77B |
| 2023-11-02 | 1.78 | 1.27 | 8.15B | 6.94B |
| 2023-07-27 | 1.02 | 0.63 | 5.63B | 6.50B |
| 2023-05-04 | -0.25 | -0.45 | 3.13B | 2.28B |
| 2023-02-23 | -1.09 | -0.96 | 4.29B | 3.60B |
| 2022-11-03 | 1.39 | 1.03 | 6.15B | 5.10B |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.66 | 0.51 | 4.43B | 3.92B |
| 2022-05-05 | -0.39 | -0.98 | 1.80B | 1.88B |
| 2022-02-23 | -0.96 | -0.55 | 2.70B | 2.07B |
| 2021-11-04 | 0.19 | -0.05 | 2.70B | 2.08B |
| 2021-08-03 | -0.90 | -1.35 | 575.95M | 575.95M |
| 2021-05-06 | -1.44 | -1.66 | 290.61M | 291.29M |
| 2021-02-25 | -2.04 | -2.42 | 237.38M | 216.79M |
| 2020-11-05 | -2.45 | -2.12 | 184.02M | 165.24M |
| 2020-08-05 | -2.67 | -2.10 | 74.08M | 57.71M |
| 2020-05-07 | -0.94 | -0.68 | 1.37B | 1.41B |
| 2020-02-27 | -0.88 | -0.70 | 2.89B | 2.33B |
| 2019-10-31 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 3.77B | 4.09B |
| 2019-07-25 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 3.16B | 3.08B |
| 2019-05-02 | -0.31 | -0.32 | 1.73B | 1.90B |
| 2019-02-28 | -0.82 | -0.74 | 2.60B | 2.41B |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 3.84B | 3.45B |
| 2018-07-26 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 2.87B | 2.27B |
| 2018-05-03 | -0.24 | -0.29 | 1.48B | 1.79B |
| 2018-02-27 | -1.12 | -1.08 | 2.55B | 2.13B |
| 2017-11-02 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 3.56B | 3.76B |
| 2017-08-09 | 0.29 | 0.19 | 2.82B | 1.85B |
| 2017-05-04 | -0.22 | -0.33 | 1.41B | 2.12B |
| 2017-02-23 | -0.58 | -0.58 | 1.80B | 1.83B |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Rapino Michael | Buy | 117.81K | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Capo Brian | Sell | 2.90K | $184.00 | 533.60K |
| 2026-08-06 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 16.25K | $181.77 | 2.95M |
| 2026-08-06 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 10.83K | $181.77 | 1.97M |
| 2026-08-06 | Hopmans John | Sell | 3.97K | $181.77 | 721.63K |
| 2026-08-06 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 1.08K | $181.77 | 197.04K |
| 2026-07-11 | Hopmans John | Sell | 6.08K | $179.79 | 1.09M |
| 2026-06-15 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 2.12K | $175.00 | 370.12K |
| 2026-06-11 | Watkins Latriece | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | VOGEL CARL E | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Paul Richard A. | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | MAYS RANDALL THOMAS | Buy | 2.29K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | KAHAN JAMES S | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Iovine Jimmy | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Hollingsworth Chad | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Grenell Richard Allen | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Fu Ping | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-06-11 | Carter Maverick | Buy | 1.21K | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 1.66K | $165.55 | 274.98K |
| 2026-05-22 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 16.60K | $165.55 | 2.75M |
| 2026-05-13 | Hopmans John | Sell | 4.27K | $168.46 | 718.65K |
| 2026-05-13 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 1.17K | $168.46 | 196.26K |
| 2026-05-13 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 11.64K | $168.46 | 1.96M |
| 2026-05-13 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 17.46K | $168.46 | 2.94M |
| 2026-05-08 | Rowles Michael | Buy | 63.78K | $29.03 | 1.85M |
| 2026-05-08 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 37.66K | $163.07 | 6.14M |
| 2026-05-08 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 3.65K | $164.96 | 601.77K |
| 2026-05-08 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 16.76K | $165.98 | 2.78M |
| 2026-05-08 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 5.71K | $166.36 | 950.41K |
| 2026-05-08 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 63.78K | $29.03 | 1.85M |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Buy | 83.48K | $29.03 | 2.42M |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 18.94K | $164.37 | 3.11M |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 12.80K | $165.81 | 2.12M |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 3.62K | $166.19 | 601.61K |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 46.99K | $166.60 | 7.83M |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 5.98K | $166.78 | 997.01K |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 4.75K | $167.41 | 795.70K |
| 2026-05-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 83.48K | $29.03 | 2.42M |
| 2026-04-09 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 24.90K | $163.66 | 4.08M |
| 2026-03-31 | Capo Brian | Sell | 474 | $152.51 | 72.29K |
| 2026-03-31 | Capo Brian | Sell | 647 | $152.51 | 98.67K |
| 2026-03-20 | Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | Buy | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-20 | Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-12 | Capo Brian | Buy | 3.04K | — | — |
| 2026-03-12 | Rapino Michael | Buy | 61.90K | — | — |
| 2026-03-12 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 16.70K | $160.32 | 2.68M |
| 2026-03-10 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 200 | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 200 | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 150 | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 200 | — | — |
| 2026-03-10 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 944 | $165.87 | 156.58K |
| 2026-02-26 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 17.84K | $157.91 | 2.82M |
| 2026-02-06 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 18.87K | $140.84 | 2.66M |
| 2026-02-06 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 1.26K | $140.84 | 177.32K |
| 2026-02-06 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 12.58K | $140.84 | 1.77M |
| 2026-02-06 | Hopmans John | Sell | 4.61K | $140.84 | 649.27K |
| 2026-01-20 | KAHAN JAMES S | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | KAHAN JAMES S | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | KAHAN JAMES S | Buy | 960 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | KAHAN JAMES S | Buy | 750 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | KAHAN JAMES S | Buy | 40 | — | — |
| 2026-01-20 | KAHAN JAMES S | Sell | 4.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-07 | Hopmans John | Sell | 4.04K | $143.96 | 581.60K |
| 2026-01-07 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 1.44K | $143.96 | 206.73K |
| 2026-01-07 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 13.76K | $143.96 | 1.98M |
| 2026-01-07 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 20.53K | $143.96 | 2.96M |
| 2026-01-01 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 32.16K | $145.31 | 4.67M |
| 2025-12-15 | Berchtold Joe | Buy | 134.88K | $19.36 | 2.61M |
| 2025-12-15 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 81.14K | $141.66 | 11.49M |
| 2025-12-15 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 53.74K | $141.66 | 7.61M |
| 2025-12-15 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 134.88K | $19.36 | 2.61M |
| 2025-12-15 | Rapino Michael | Buy | 282.02K | $19.36 | 5.46M |
| 2025-12-15 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 169.66K | $141.66 | 24.03M |
| 2025-12-15 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 112.37K | $141.66 | 15.92M |
| 2025-12-15 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 282.02K | $19.36 | 5.46M |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | Other | 10.96M | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | Other | 10.49M | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Media Corp | Sell | 19.46M | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Media Corp | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-15 | Liberty Media Corp | Sell | 10.49M | — | — |
| 2025-12-09 | HINSON JEFFREY T. | Sell | 200 | — | — |
| 2025-11-25 | Hopmans John | Sell | 5.49K | $129.56 | 710.90K |
| 2025-11-25 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 1.50K | $129.56 | 194.08K |
| 2025-11-25 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 14.98K | $129.56 | 1.94M |
| 2025-11-25 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 22.47K | $129.56 | 2.91M |
| 2025-08-06 | Rapino Michael | Buy | 150.60K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 40.55K | $149.29 | 6.05M |
| 2025-08-06 | Rapino Michael | Sell | 150.60K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Rowles Michael | Buy | 10.04K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 2.70K | $149.29 | 403.68K |
| 2025-08-06 | Rowles Michael | Sell | 10.04K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Hopmans John | Buy | 39.01K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Hopmans John | Sell | 9.90K | $149.29 | 1.48M |
| 2025-08-06 | Hopmans John | Sell | 39.01K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Berchtold Joe | Buy | 100.40K | — | — |
| 2025-08-06 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 27.03K | $149.29 | 4.04M |
| 2025-08-06 | Berchtold Joe | Sell | 100.40K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 916, holders +35 vs prior quarter. Ownership 85.30%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 13.52M | 36.75K | +0.27% | 2.48B |
| STATE STREET CORP | 11.39M | -1.32M | -10.36% | 2.09B |
| FMR LLC | 10.70M | 2.80M | +35.50% | 1.96B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 10.56M | 88.90K | +0.85% | 1.93B |
| PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC | 9.97M | -1.13M | -10.17% | 1.83B |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 8.21M | -152.12K | -1.82% | 1.50B |
| CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS | 7.22M | 103.56K | +1.46% | 1.32B |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 6.67M | 106.75K | +1.63% | 1.22B |
| INDEPENDENT FRANCHISE PARTNERS LLP | 6.01M | 148.68K | +2.54% | 1.10B |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 4.75M | 707.17K | +17.49% | 869.82M |
| CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD | 4.69M | -4.11M | -46.68% | 859.02M |
| SELECT EQUITY GROUP, L.P. | 4.52M | -820.63K | -15.35% | 828.36M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 4.44M | 35.24K | +0.80% | 810.53M |
| JERICHO CAPITAL ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P. | 4.19M | 266.82K | +6.79% | 768.00M |
| MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ | 3.23M | 48.92K | +1.54% | 591.28M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 3.24M | -319.78K | -8.99% | 590.93M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 3.11M | 1.02M | +48.48% | 570.35M |
| JENNISON ASSOCIATES LLC | 2.37M | 2.37M | New | 433.22M |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 2.35M | -144.90K | -5.81% | 430.18M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 2.29M | 1.17M | +105.47% | 418.72M |
| FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC | 2.22M | 616.35K | +38.47% | 406.24M |
| NORGES BANK | 2.20M | 2.20M | New | 402.72M |
| BESSEMER GROUP INC | 2.11M | -210.86K | -9.09% | 386.04M |
| DZ BANK AG DEUTSCHE ZENTRAL GENOSSENSCHAFTS BANK, FRANKFURT AM MAIN | 2.10M | 602.76K | +40.26% | 384.53M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 2.07M | 326.66K | +18.71% | 379.48M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 25 analysts. Average price target $208.27, +18.7% versus the current price. Low $183.00. High $222.00.
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