Navigator (NVGS) Stock Price & Analysis
NVGS$21.79+0.28 +1.30%
$1.33B
Market Cap
9.82
P/E
9.89
Forward P/E
—
Score
Navigator (NVGS) Stock Price & Analysis
NVGS price $21.79 +0.28 +1.30%
- Ticker
- NVGS
- Price
- $21.79
- Change
- +0.28 +1.30%
- Market cap ?
- $1.33B
- P/E ?
- 9.82
- Forward P/E ?
- 9.89
- Dividend yield ?
- 1.30%
- Beta ?
- 0.48
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Marine Shipping
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294112000 | 298595000 | 310046000 | 301385000 | 332495000 | 406481000 | 473792000 | 550737000 | 566679000 | 586961000 |
Navigator Holdings Ltd. owns and operates a fleet of liquefied gas carriers worldwide. It engages in the international and regional seaborne transportation of petrochemical gases, liquefied petroleum gases, and ammonia for energy companies, industrial users, and commodity traders. The company also provides ship shore infrastructure and consultancy services. It operates through a fleet of 57 semi- or…
Fair value
NVGS fair value $21.51. Price $21.79. Price is about fair value.
Below fair value, around its usual discount.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 133.25M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 60.83M. Net debt 698.18M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | — | 0.54 | — | 135.21M |
| 2026-08-04 | 0.85 | 0.53 | 167.94M | 139.46M |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 140.62M | 139.35M |
| 2026-03-11 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 139.48M | 139.87M |
| 2025-11-04 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 153.09M | 141.91M |
| 2025-08-13 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 129.63M | 127.27M |
| 2025-05-14 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 151.41M | 134.90M |
| 2025-03-12 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 144.03M | 131.67M |
| 2024-11-06 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 141.82M | 122.18M |
| 2024-08-14 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 146.68M | 134.07M |
| 2024-05-15 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 134.16M | 134.07M |
| 2024-03-13 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 141.63M | 146.50M |
| 2023-11-13 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 137.77M | 130.76M |
| 2023-08-16 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 135.34M | 121.75M |
| 2023-05-22 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 136.00M | 118.45M |
| 2023-03-20 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 123.28M | 116.98M |
| 2022-11-15 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 106.81M | 112.84M |
| 2022-08-18 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 123.92M | 96.08M |
| 2022-05-23 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 119.78M | 101.38M |
| 2022-03-10 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 129.39M | 93.46M |
| 2021-11-29 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 102.74M | 84.76M |
| 2021-08-16 | 0.01 | 0.19 | 85.70M | 83.57M |
| 2021-06-10 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 85.75M | 71.29M |
| 2021-03-18 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 87.42M | 66.86M |
| 2020-11-12 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 81.35M | 130.16M |
| 2020-08-13 | 0.01 | -0.05 | 82.47M | — |
| 2020-05-28 | 0.06 | -0.00 | 81.26M | — |
| 2020-04-02 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 76.07M | 16.25M |
| 2019-11-13 | -0.03 | -0.08 | 75.62M | 529.37M |
| 2019-08-08 | -0.14 | -0.06 | 73.59M | 26.28M |
| 2019-05-13 | -0.06 | -0.02 | 76.10M | 54.36M |
| 2019-04-01 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 78.23M | 114.15M |
| 2018-11-12 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 80.84M | 161.69M |
| 2018-08-06 | -0.06 | -0.01 | 73.16M | 24.39M |
| 2018-05-09 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 77.81M | 466.86M |
| 2018-03-05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 76.68M | — |
| 2017-11-08 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 70.21M | 105.31M |
| 2017-08-07 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 74.38M | 104.13M |
| 2017-05-08 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 77.32M | 64.43M |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 75.45M | 32.34M |
Dividends
Yield 1.28%. Payout ratio 11.67%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 78/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 12% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 4 separate years. Yield is 1.3%, which is modest.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | $0.07 | 2026-08-19 | 2026-09-01 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-20 | $0.07 | 2026-05-20 | 2026-06-10 | Quarterly |
| 2026-03-23 | $0.07 | 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-31 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-25 | $0.07 | 2025-11-25 | 2025-12-16 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-28 | $0.05 | 2025-08-28 | 2025-09-17 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-29 | $0.05 | 2025-05-29 | 2025-06-17 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-24 | $0.05 | 2025-03-24 | 2025-04-03 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-25 | $0.05 | 2024-11-25 | 2024-12-17 | Quarterly |
| 2024-09-03 | $0.05 | 2024-09-03 | 2024-09-24 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-04 | $0.05 | 2024-06-04 | 2024-06-25 | Quarterly |
| 2024-04-03 | $0.05 | 2024-04-04 | 2024-04-25 | Quarterly |
| 2023-12-06 | $0.05 | 2023-12-07 | 2023-12-21 | Quarterly |
| 2023-09-07 | $0.05 | 2023-09-08 | 2023-09-22 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-11 | Zacho Mads Peter | Other | 123.49K | $17.94 | 2.22M |
| 2027-04-11 | Schroder Michael | Other | 46.31K | $17.94 | 830.77K |
| 2027-04-11 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Other | 46.31K | $17.94 | 830.77K |
| 2027-04-11 | Chapman Gary | Other | 46.31K | $17.94 | 830.77K |
| 2026-08-20 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Sell | 7.50K | $21.68 | 162.60K |
| 2026-08-12 | Stokes Peter George Charles Andrew | Sell | 5.00K | $20.28 | 101.39K |
| 2026-06-18 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Buy | 46.31K | $14.79 | 684.90K |
| 2026-06-18 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Sell | 31.56K | $22.54 | 711.41K |
| 2026-06-18 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Sell | 46.31K | $14.79 | 684.90K |
| 2026-05-29 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Sell | 6.26K | $21.70 | 135.82K |
| 2026-05-20 | Schroder Michael | Sell | 25.00K | $23.63 | 590.77K |
| 2026-03-18 | von Appen Dag Karl Albert | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | von Appen Dag Karl Albert | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Stokes Peter George Charles Andrew | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Fischer Heiko | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Zacho Mads Peter | Other | 123.49K | $15.45 | 1.91M |
| 2026-03-17 | Schroder Michael | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Schroder Michael | Other | 46.31K | $15.45 | 715.46K |
| 2026-03-17 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Other | 46.31K | $15.45 | 715.46K |
| 2026-03-16 | Weidinger Florian | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Marx Janette | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Lindeman Oeyvind | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Odedra Anita | Other | 0 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 178, holders -7 vs prior quarter. Ownership 41.27%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.13M | 649.23K | +43.71% | 39.76M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.94M | 251.36K | +14.84% | 36.19M |
| FIRST MANHATTAN CO. LLC. | 1.16M | -170.73K | -12.87% | 21.53M |
| FIRST EAGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.03M | 250.20K | +32.05% | 19.20M |
| ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP | 1.01M | 143.00K | +16.54% | 18.77M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 947.19K | 507.90K | +115.62% | 17.65M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 859.15K | 578.70K | +206.35% | 16.01M |
| LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT | 722.18K | 51.10K | +7.61% | 13.45M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 719.81K | 697.21K | +3084.99% | 13.41M |
| FMR LLC | 682.77K | 4.72K | +0.70% | 12.72M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 578.72K | 261.28K | +82.31% | 10.78M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 552.92K | 120.86K | +27.97% | 10.30M |
| ROBOTTI ROBERT | 535.53K | 0 | 0.00% | 9.98M |
| HODGES CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC. | 532.65K | -129.14K | -19.51% | 9.92M |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 527.78K | 7.74K | +1.49% | 9.83M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 507.75K | 153.31K | +43.25% | 9.46M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 483.99K | -49.00K | -9.19% | 9.02M |
| GAMCO INVESTORS, INC. ET AL | 453.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 8.44M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 423.65K | 102.78K | +32.03% | 7.89M |
| OPPENHEIMER & CO INC | 405.26K | -1.59K | -0.39% | 7.55M |
| POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 384.80K | 304.07K | +376.67% | 7.17M |
| EMPOWERED FUNDS, LLC | 332.68K | 7.74K | +2.38% | 6.20M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 290.64K | 53.31K | +22.46% | 5.55M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 296.47K | 64.78K | +27.96% | 5.52M |
| MINERVA ADVISORS LLC | 296.21K | 0 | 0.00% | 5.52M |
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