Parsons (PSN) Stock Forecast & Price Target
PSN$50.22-0.30 -0.59%
$5.36B
Market Cap
30.88
P/E
20.55
Forward P/E
45
Score
Parsons (PSN) Stock Forecast & Price Target
PSN price $50.22 -0.30 -0.59%
- Ticker
- PSN
- Price
- $50.22
- Change
- -0.30 -0.59%
- Market cap ?
- $5.36B
- P/E ?
- 30.88
- Forward P/E ?
- 20.55
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 0.71
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Stocklytics score
- 45
- Value
- 64
- Quality
- 39
- Growth
- 33
Stocklytics score rationale: value 64, quality 39, growth 33.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3039191000 | 3017011000 | 3560508000 | 3954812000 | 3918946000 | 3660771000 | 4195272000 | 5442749000 | 6750576000 | 6364245000 |
Parsons Corporation is a global provider of comprehensive solutions and services, primarily operating in the defense, intelligence, and critical infrastructure sectors. Its reach extends across North America, the Middle East, and other international regions. The company organizes its operations into two main divisions: Federal Solutions and Critical Infrastructure. Within its Federal Solutions segment, Parsons…
Fair value
PSN fair value $107.59. Price $50.22. Price is 53% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 93% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 409.24M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 106.81M. Net debt 916.07M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-10 | — | 0.85 | — | 1.66B |
| 2026-10-28 | 0.89 | 0.80 | 1.65B | 1.62B |
| 2026-07-29 | -0.06 | 0.76 | 1.58B | 1.61B |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.79 | 0.70 | 1.49B | 1.50B |
| 2026-02-11 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 1.60B | 1.67B |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.86 | 0.79 | 1.62B | 1.66B |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 1.58B | 1.60B |
| 2025-04-30 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 1.55B | 1.63B |
| 2025-02-19 | 0.78 | 0.91 | 1.73B | 1.76B |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.95 | 0.79 | 1.81B | 1.64B |
| 2024-07-31 | 0.84 | 0.66 | 1.67B | 1.56B |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.70 | 0.62 | 1.54B | 1.38B |
| 2024-02-14 | 0.69 | 0.63 | 1.49B | 1.32B |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 1.42B | 1.27B |
| 2023-08-02 | 0.63 | 0.51 | 1.36B | 1.13B |
| 2023-05-03 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.17B | 1.06B |
| 2023-02-15 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 1.10B | 1.07B |
| 2022-11-02 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 1.13B | 1.05B |
| 2022-08-03 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 1.01B | 930.97M |
| 2022-05-04 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 949.07M | 885.54M |
| 2022-02-23 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 950.67M | 944.21M |
| 2021-11-03 | 0.44 | 0.50 | 956.05M | 956.60M |
| 2021-08-04 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 879.36M | 982.18M |
| 2021-05-05 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 874.70M | 924.70M |
| 2021-02-24 | 0.21 | 0.57 | 964.26M | 1.33B |
| 2020-11-04 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1.00B | 828.49M |
| 2020-08-05 | 0.23 | 0.48 | 979.46M | 1.23B |
| 2020-05-06 | 0.13 | 0.52 | 970.99M | 2.02B |
| 2020-03-10 | 0.14 | 0.44 | 1.04B | 1.85B |
| 2019-11-12 | 0.53 | 0.32 | 1.02B | 377.00M |
| 2019-08-13 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 989.74M | 1.28B |
| 2019-06-18 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 904.40M | 979.77M |
| 2019-05-09 | -0.49 | — | 928.94M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 22.81%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 23% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 954 | — | — |
| 2026-10-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 688 | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | Ball George L. | Buy | 20.00K | $47.97 | 959.40K |
| 2026-07-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 604 | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 837 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Ball George L. | Buy | 10.00K | $50.00 | 500.00K |
| 2026-05-12 | Holdsworth Mark Keith | Buy | 6.75K | $51.54 | 348.10K |
| 2026-05-12 | Holdsworth Mark Keith | Buy | 3.25K | $50.70 | 164.57K |
| 2026-05-11 | McMahon Harry T. | Buy | 10.00K | $49.14 | 491.40K |
| 2026-05-08 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 500 | $50.73 | 25.36K |
| 2026-05-08 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 12.00K | $49.94 | 599.28K |
| 2026-04-14 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | Vautrinot Suzanne M | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | Smith Robert Hanson | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | MITCHELL M CHRISTIAN | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | McMahon Harry T. | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | McDew Darren W | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | Lord Ellen M. | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | Long Letitia A | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | Holdsworth Mark Keith | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | Ball George L. | Buy | 2.95K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 518 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 718 | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Lagasse Soo | Buy | 3.69K | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | Lagasse Soo | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-09 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 798 | $62.55 | 49.91K |
| 2026-03-09 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 10.47K | $62.55 | 655.15K |
| 2026-03-09 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 2.13K | $62.55 | 133.54K |
| 2026-03-01 | Martinez John Thomas | Buy | 45.43K | — | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 614 | $66.31 | 40.71K |
| 2026-02-26 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 1.49K | $66.31 | 98.60K |
| 2026-02-26 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 7.13K | $66.31 | 472.92K |
| 2026-02-20 | Balaguer Susan M. | Buy | 12.64K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 5.88K | $65.53 | 385.38K |
| 2026-02-20 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 150.23K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 67.75K | $65.53 | 4.44M |
| 2026-02-20 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 44.88K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 59.84K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Martinez John Thomas | Buy | 9.57K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Ofilos Matthew | Buy | 31.31K | — | — |
| 2026-02-20 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 14.17K | $65.53 | 928.63K |
| 2026-02-20 | Ofilos Matthew | Buy | 10.47K | — | — |
| 2026-02-16 | Martinez John Thomas | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 442 | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 562 | — | — |
| 2025-12-18 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 4.98K | $60.55 | 301.30K |
| 2025-12-17 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 7.54K | $60.20 | 453.97K |
| 2025-12-01 | Smith Robert Hanson | Buy | 726 | — | — |
| 2025-12-01 | Smith Robert Hanson | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 529 | — | — |
| 2025-10-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 417 | — | — |
| 2025-07-31 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 7.01K | $74.20 | 519.85K |
| 2025-07-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 490 | — | — |
| 2025-07-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 623 | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | MITCHELL M CHRISTIAN | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Holdsworth Mark Keith | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Lord Ellen M. | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Ball George L. | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | McDew Darren W | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | McMahon Harry T. | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Long Letitia A | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-15 | Vautrinot Suzanne M | Buy | 2.68K | — | — |
| 2025-04-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 460 | — | — |
| 2025-04-01 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 620 | — | — |
| 2025-03-09 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 5.24K | $60.17 | 315.47K |
| 2025-03-09 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 412 | $60.17 | 24.79K |
| 2025-03-09 | Kolloway Michael Richard | Sell | 710 | $60.17 | 42.72K |
| 2025-03-09 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 1.09K | $60.17 | 65.71K |
| 2025-03-03 | Kolloway Michael Richard | Buy | 23.20K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Kolloway Michael Richard | Buy | 4.29K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Kolloway Michael Richard | Sell | 10.18K | $55.35 | 563.19K |
| 2025-03-03 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 121.83K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Smith Carey A. | Buy | 34.79K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 54.95K | $55.35 | 3.04M |
| 2025-03-03 | Ofilos Matthew | Buy | 22.97K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Ofilos Matthew | Buy | 6.93K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 10.36K | $55.35 | 573.43K |
| 2025-03-03 | Balaguer Susan M. | Buy | 12.38K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Balaguer Susan M. | Buy | 2.52K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 5.70K | $55.35 | 315.33K |
| 2025-03-03 | Ball George L. | Buy | 8.99K | — | — |
| 2025-03-03 | Ball George L. | Sell | 3.91K | $55.35 | 216.20K |
| 2025-03-01 | Kolloway Michael Richard | Sell | 1.45K | $58.22 | 84.30K |
| 2025-03-01 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 7.82K | $58.22 | 454.99K |
| 2025-03-01 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 242 | $58.22 | 14.09K |
| 2025-03-01 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 812 | $58.22 | 47.27K |
| 2025-02-28 | McMahon Harry T. | Buy | 8.06K | $58.30 | 470.13K |
| 2025-02-26 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 1.56K | $59.08 | 92.05K |
| 2025-02-26 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 682 | $59.08 | 40.29K |
| 2025-02-26 | Kolloway Michael Richard | Sell | 1.34K | $59.08 | 79.05K |
| 2025-02-26 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 7.14K | $59.08 | 421.89K |
| 2025-01-02 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 320 | — | — |
| 2025-01-02 | LEER STEVEN F | Buy | 431 | — | — |
| 2024-12-17 | Smith Carey A. | Sell | 7.54K | $96.33 | 726.42K |
| 2024-10-01 | WAJSGRAS DAVID C | Buy | 326 | — | — |
| 2024-07-31 | Ofilos Matthew | Sell | 1.23K | $91.37 | 112.57K |
| 2024-07-15 | Balaguer Susan M. | Sell | 624 | $77.80 | 48.55K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 354, holders -3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 101.17%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEWPORT TRUST COMPANY, LLC | 49.37M | -768.07K | -1.53% | 2.59B |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 5.37M | 54.36K | +1.02% | 281.33M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 4.60M | 1.41M | +44.08% | 241.01M |
| SWEDBANK AB | 3.67M | 1.28M | +53.71% | 192.27M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2.63M | 65.94K | +2.57% | 137.77M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.40M | 1.71K | +0.07% | 125.91M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2.38M | 485.19K | +25.64% | 124.55M |
| EARNEST PARTNERS LLC | 2.29M | 514.15K | +28.88% | 120.21M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.24M | -15.80K | -0.70% | 117.39M |
| CHANNING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.03M | 419.40K | +26.00% | 106.48M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.99M | -72.02K | -3.49% | 104.40M |
| PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/ | 1.71M | 691.70K | +67.79% | 89.70M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.70M | 871.57K | +105.20% | 89.07M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 1.58M | 284.97K | +21.99% | 82.83M |
| FMR LLC | 1.41M | 421.63K | +42.65% | 73.88M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD. | 1.23M | -253.41K | -17.09% | 64.42M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.16M | 332.10K | +40.08% | 60.81M |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 1.13M | 895.69K | +389.30% | 58.98M |
| T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 1.11M | 317.61K | +40.01% | 58.23M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.09M | 1.03M | +1721.24% | 55.64M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.02M | 18.39K | +1.83% | 53.65M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 983.59K | 356.80K | +56.93% | 51.53M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 940.62K | -70.67K | -6.99% | 49.29M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 863.42K | -6.30K | -0.72% | 45.23M |
| CLEARLINE CAPITAL LP | 691.29K | 146.84K | +26.97% | 36.22M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 17 analysts. Average price target $47.75, -4.9% versus the current price. Low $17.00. High $65.00.
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