Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target
STZ$129.68-0.12 -0.10%
$21.94B
Market Cap
11.63
P/E
10.97
Forward P/E
56
Score
Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target
STZ price $129.68 -0.12 -0.10%
- Ticker
- STZ
- Price
- $129.68
- Change
- -0.12 -0.10%
- Market cap ?
- $21.94B
- P/E ?
- 11.63
- Forward P/E ?
- 10.97
- Dividend yield ?
- 3.16%
- Beta ?
- 0.43
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Beverages - Alcoholic
- Stocklytics score
- 56
- Value
- 75
- Quality
- 49
- Growth
- 44
Stocklytics score rationale: value 75, quality 49, growth 44.
Financials
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7330400000 | 7581700000 | 8115600000 | 8343500000 | 8613500000 | 8821800000 | 9453900000 | 9961900000 | 10207900000 | 9139000000 |
Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. The company offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Hard Seltzer, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Corona Refresca, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Oro, Victoria, Vicky…
Fair value
STZ fair value $202.30. Price $129.68. Price is 36% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 90% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 2.25B. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 169.22M. Net debt 11.10B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Free cash flow adds back growth capex above depreciation.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-06 | — | 2.77 | — | 2.18B |
| 2026-10-06 | 3.74 | 3.62 | 2.63B | 2.54B |
| 2026-06-30 | 3.43 | 3.22 | 2.43B | 2.39B |
| 2026-04-08 | 1.90 | 1.71 | 1.92B | 1.88B |
| 2026-01-07 | 3.06 | 2.63 | 2.22B | 2.15B |
| 2025-10-06 | 3.63 | 3.38 | 2.48B | 2.46B |
| 2025-07-01 | 3.22 | 3.31 | 2.51B | 2.55B |
| 2025-04-09 | 2.63 | 2.27 | 2.16B | 2.13B |
| 2025-01-10 | 3.25 | 3.31 | 2.46B | 2.53B |
| 2024-10-03 | 4.32 | 4.08 | 2.92B | 2.95B |
| 2024-07-03 | 3.57 | 3.46 | 2.66B | 2.67B |
| 2024-04-11 | 2.26 | 2.08 | 2.14B | 2.09B |
| 2024-01-05 | 3.19 | 3.00 | 2.47B | 2.54B |
| 2023-10-05 | 3.70 | 3.36 | 2.84B | 2.82B |
| 2023-06-30 | 2.91 | 2.83 | 2.51B | 2.81B |
| 2023-04-06 | 1.98 | 1.86 | 2.00B | 2.02B |
| 2023-01-05 | 2.83 | 2.89 | 2.44B | 2.38B |
| 2022-10-06 | 3.17 | 2.88 | 2.66B | 2.51B |
| 2022-06-30 | 2.66 | 2.51 | 2.36B | 2.17B |
| 2022-04-07 | 2.37 | 2.10 | 2.10B | 2.02B |
| 2022-01-06 | 3.12 | 2.76 | 2.32B | 2.02B |
| 2021-10-06 | 2.38 | 2.78 | 2.37B | 2.28B |
| 2021-06-30 | 2.33 | 2.35 | 2.03B | 2.04B |
| 2021-04-08 | 1.82 | 1.55 | 1.95B | 1.86B |
| 2021-01-07 | 3.09 | 2.41 | 2.44B | 1.72B |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.76 | 2.51 | 2.26B | 2.06B |
| 2020-07-01 | 2.30 | 2.03 | 1.96B | 1.72B |
| 2020-04-03 | 2.06 | 1.65 | 1.90B | 1.52B |
| 2020-01-08 | 2.14 | 1.83 | 2.00B | 1.71B |
| 2019-10-03 | 2.72 | 2.61 | 2.34B | 2.24B |
| 2019-06-28 | 2.21 | 2.07 | 2.10B | 1.95B |
| 2019-04-04 | 1.84 | 1.71 | 1.80B | 1.67B |
| 2019-01-09 | 2.37 | 2.04 | 1.97B | 1.71B |
| 2018-10-04 | 2.87 | 2.58 | 2.30B | 2.08B |
| 2018-06-29 | 2.20 | 2.42 | 2.05B | 2.26B |
| 2018-03-29 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 1.77B | 1.62B |
| 2018-01-05 | 2.00 | 1.89 | 1.80B | 1.70B |
| 2017-10-05 | 2.47 | 2.16 | 2.08B | 1.83B |
| 2017-06-29 | 2.34 | 1.98 | 1.94B | 1.63B |
| 2017-04-06 | 1.48 | 1.37 | 1.63B | 1.49B |
Dividends
Yield 3.16%. Payout ratio 36.82%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 95/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 37% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 12 separate years. Yield is 3.2%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | $1.03 | 2026-10-30 | 2026-11-13 | Quarterly |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.03 | 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-13 | Quarterly |
| 2026-04-29 | $1.03 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-05-14 | Quarterly |
| 2026-01-29 | $1.02 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-12 | Quarterly |
| 2025-10-30 | $1.02 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-13 | Quarterly |
| 2025-07-30 | $1.02 | 2025-07-30 | 2025-08-14 | Quarterly |
| 2025-04-29 | $1.02 | 2025-04-29 | 2025-05-15 | Quarterly |
| 2025-02-07 | $1.01 | 2025-02-07 | 2025-02-21 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-05 | $1.01 | 2024-11-05 | 2024-11-21 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-14 | $1.01 | 2024-08-14 | 2024-08-23 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-02 | $1.01 | 2024-05-03 | 2024-05-17 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-07 | $0.89 | 2024-02-08 | 2024-02-22 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-02 | $0.89 | 2023-11-03 | 2023-11-17 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-09 | $0.89 | 2023-08-10 | 2023-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2023-05-03 | $0.89 | 2023-05-04 | 2023-05-18 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-07 | $0.80 | 2023-02-08 | 2023-02-22 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-03 | $0.80 | 2022-11-04 | 2022-11-18 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-09 | $0.80 | 2022-08-10 | 2022-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-05-04 | $0.80 | 2022-05-05 | 2022-05-19 | Quarterly |
| 2022-02-08 | $0.76 | 2022-02-09 | 2022-02-23 | Quarterly |
| 2021-11-04 | $0.76 | 2021-11-05 | 2021-11-19 | Quarterly |
| 2021-08-09 | $0.76 | 2021-08-10 | 2021-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2021-05-03 | $0.76 | 2021-05-04 | 2021-05-18 | Quarterly |
| 2021-02-08 | $0.75 | 2021-02-09 | 2021-02-23 | Quarterly |
| 2020-11-05 | $0.75 | 2020-11-06 | 2020-11-20 | Quarterly |
| 2020-08-10 | $0.75 | 2020-08-11 | 2020-08-25 | Quarterly |
| 2020-05-04 | $0.75 | 2020-05-05 | 2020-05-19 | Quarterly |
| 2020-02-10 | $0.75 | 2020-02-11 | 2020-02-25 | Quarterly |
| 2019-11-07 | $0.75 | 2019-11-08 | 2019-11-22 | Quarterly |
| 2019-08-12 | $0.75 | 2019-08-13 | 2019-08-27 | Quarterly |
| 2019-05-09 | $0.75 | 2019-05-10 | 2019-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2019-02-11 | $0.74 | 2019-02-12 | 2019-02-26 | Quarterly |
| 2018-11-05 | $0.74 | 2018-11-06 | 2018-11-20 | Quarterly |
| 2018-08-09 | $0.74 | 2018-08-10 | 2018-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2018-05-09 | $0.74 | 2018-05-10 | 2018-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2018-02-08 | $0.52 | 2018-02-09 | 2018-02-23 | Quarterly |
| 2017-11-06 | $0.52 | 2017-11-07 | 2017-11-21 | Quarterly |
| 2017-08-07 | $0.52 | 2017-08-09 | 2017-08-23 | Quarterly |
| 2017-05-08 | $0.52 | 2017-05-10 | 2017-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2017-02-07 | $0.40 | 2017-02-09 | 2017-02-23 | Quarterly |
| 2016-11-04 | $0.40 | 2016-11-08 | 2016-11-22 | Quarterly |
| 2016-08-08 | $0.40 | 2016-08-10 | 2016-08-24 | Quarterly |
| 2016-05-06 | $0.40 | 2016-05-10 | 2016-05-24 | Quarterly |
| 2016-02-05 | $0.31 | 2016-02-09 | 2016-02-24 | Quarterly |
| 2015-11-05 | $0.31 | 2015-11-09 | 2015-11-24 | Quarterly |
| 2015-08-07 | $0.31 | 2015-08-11 | 2015-08-25 | Quarterly |
| 2015-05-06 | $0.31 | 2015-05-08 | 2015-05-22 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Zaramella Luca | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | SANDS ROBERT | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | SANDS RICHARD | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | MCCARTHY DANIEL J | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Madero Garza Jose Manuel | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Hernandez Ernesto M | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | GILES WILLIAM T | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Flatley Edith Morgan | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Daniels Jennifer | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Clark Christy | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-22 | Baldwin Christopher J | Buy | 1.40K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Daniels Jennifer | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Daniels Jennifer | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Clark Christy | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Clark Christy | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Zaramella Luca | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Zaramella Luca | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | MCCARTHY DANIEL J | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | MCCARTHY DANIEL J | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Madero Garza Jose Manuel | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Madero Garza Jose Manuel | Sell | 311 | $134.06 | 41.69K |
| 2026-07-10 | Madero Garza Jose Manuel | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | SANDS ROBERT | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | SANDS ROBERT | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | SANDS RICHARD | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | SANDS RICHARD | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Hernandez Ernesto M | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Hernandez Ernesto M | Sell | 15 | $134.06 | 2.01K |
| 2026-07-10 | Hernandez Ernesto M | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Flatley Edith Morgan | Buy | 187 | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Flatley Edith Morgan | Sell | 187 | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Fink Nicholas I. | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Fink Nicholas I. | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Baldwin Christopher J | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | Baldwin Christopher J | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | GILES WILLIAM T | Buy | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-07-10 | GILES WILLIAM T | Sell | 1.11K | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Flatley Edith Morgan | Buy | 187 | — | — |
| 2026-05-20 | Flatley Edith Morgan | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-12 | Bourdeau James O. | Sell | 4.41K | $143.24 | 631.26K |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Buy | 1.43K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Sell | 507 | $152.82 | 77.48K |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Buy | 127 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Sell | 536 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Sell | 220 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Sell | 138 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Sell | 127 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Buy | 2.62K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Sell | 921 | $152.82 | 140.75K |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Buy | 192 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Sell | 1.37K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Sell | 583 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Sell | 192 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Sell | 318 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Buy | 1.95K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Sell | 730 | $152.82 | 111.56K |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Buy | 990 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Sell | 720 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Sell | 306 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Sell | 990 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Monteiro Mallika | Sell | 594 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Buy | 5.25K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Sell | 3.04K | $152.82 | 465.03K |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Buy | 2.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Sell | 2.25K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Sell | 879 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Sell | 2.28K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Hankinson Garth | Sell | 1.37K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Buy | 4.07K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Sell | 2.11K | $152.82 | 322.14K |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Buy | 1.90K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Sell | 1.62K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Sell | 688 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Sell | 1.90K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Bourdeau James O. | Sell | 1.14K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Buy | 4.11K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Sell | 1.51K | $152.82 | 230.45K |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Buy | 1.38K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Sell | 2.02K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Sell | 860 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Sell | 1.38K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Sabia James A. Jr. | Sell | 824 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Erickson Paula Kristine | Sell | 1.80K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Erickson Paula Kristine | Buy | 1.80K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | Erickson Paula Kristine | Sell | 506 | $152.82 | 77.33K |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Buy | 1.37K | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Sell | 527 | $152.82 | 80.54K |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Buy | 757 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Sell | 468 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Sell | 199 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Sell | 453 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | McGrew Michael | Sell | 757 | — | — |
| 2026-05-01 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Other | 1.61K | — | — |
| 2026-04-27 | Hernandez Ernesto M | Sell | 2.00K | $153.91 | 307.83K |
| 2026-04-24 | Erickson Paula Kristine | Buy | 3.53K | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | McGrew Michael | Buy | 1.76K | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | LaBarge Jeffrey H. | Buy | 4.81K | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | Monteiro Mallika | Buy | 2.88K | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | Hankinson Garth | Buy | 8.33K | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | Glaetzer Samuel J | Buy | 5.29K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.09K, holders -12 vs prior quarter. Ownership 85.20%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 11.54M | 420.32K | +3.78% | 1.61B |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 11.21M | -997.71K | -8.17% | 1.56B |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 9.34M | 261.43K | +2.88% | 1.30B |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 7.84M | 320.31K | +4.26% | 1.09B |
| STATE STREET CORP | 6.79M | -236.75K | -3.37% | 944.28M |
| FMR LLC | 4.60M | -525.98K | -10.26% | 639.89M |
| GRANTHAM, MAYO, VAN OTTERLOO & CO. LLC | 4.00M | -27.36K | -0.68% | 556.14M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 3.82M | -2.81M | -42.43% | 531.00M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.82M | 11.23K | +0.29% | 529.28M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 3.46M | 52.75K | +1.55% | 481.14M |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 3.10M | -136.21K | -4.21% | 430.77M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 2.82M | 2.32M | +463.13% | 391.71M |
| POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 2.46M | 2.23M | +949.58% | 342.63M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2.41M | 179.83K | +8.05% | 335.55M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 2.41M | 2.41M | New | 335.55M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2.41M | -134.16K | -5.28% | 334.58M |
| HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.39M | 627.35K | +35.56% | 332.67M |
| INVESCO LTD. | 2.37M | 468.85K | +24.72% | 329.02M |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 2.16M | -184.46K | -7.86% | 300.64M |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 2.07M | 1.73M | +510.10% | 287.98M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 1.88M | 1.56M | +487.15% | 261.42M |
| NORGES BANK | 1.79M | 1.79M | New | 249.01M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.55M | -274.44K | -15.02% | 215.91M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.50M | 162.02K | +12.12% | 208.48M |
| JUPITER TOPCO LLC | 1.49M | 1.49M | New | 207.85M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 25 analysts. Average price target $149.71, +15.5% versus the current price. Low $122.00. High $182.00.
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