Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

VMC price $285.11 +20.11 +7.59%

Ticker
VMC
Price
$285.11
Change
+20.11 +7.59%
Market cap ?
$36.94B
P/E ?
31.18
Forward P/E ?
32.40
Dividend yield ?
0.77%
Beta ?
1.05
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Construction Materials
Stocklytics score
49
Value
33
Quality
57
Growth
56

Stocklytics score rationale: value 33, quality 57, growth 56.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
3592667000389029600043828690004929100000485680000055522000007315200000778190000074177000007932800000

Vulcan Materials Company, alongside its affiliated entities, stands as a prominent producer and distributor of construction aggregates, primarily operating within the United States. The company's activities are organized into four distinct divisions: Aggregates, Asphalt, Concrete, and Calcium. The Aggregates division focuses on providing essential materials like crushed stone, sand, gravel, and other foundational…

Fair value

VMC fair value $148.02. Price $285.11. Price is 93% above fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 90% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 781.20M. Growth 9.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.05% (beta 1.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 129.58M. Net debt 5.22B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare VMC

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-10-292.832.812.18B2.24B
2026-07-292.592.462.16B2.14B
2026-04-291.351.101.76B1.64B
2026-02-171.702.111.91B1.96B
2025-10-302.842.732.28B2.27B
2025-07-312.452.532.10B2.20B
2025-04-301.000.761.63B1.65B
2025-02-182.171.791.85B1.81B
2024-10-302.222.302.00B2.00B
2024-08-062.352.482.01B2.03B
2024-05-020.800.971.55B1.50B
2024-02-161.461.391.83B1.84B
2023-10-262.292.302.19B2.17B
2023-08-032.291.912.11B2.04B
2023-05-040.950.611.65B1.57B
2023-02-161.081.261.73B1.84B
2022-11-021.781.712.09B2.01B
2022-08-041.641.691.95B1.86B
2022-05-040.730.621.54B1.44B
2022-02-161.251.161.61B1.60B
2021-11-041.541.651.52B1.45B
2021-08-041.571.661.36B1.36B
2021-05-040.690.411.07B1.02B
2021-02-161.070.981.18B1.08B
2020-11-051.561.631.31B1.36B
2020-08-041.601.381.32B1.14B
2020-05-060.470.431.05B959.94M
2020-02-181.081.171.19B1.28B
2019-11-061.681.701.42B1.44B
2019-07-251.481.471.33B1.32B
2019-05-020.460.36996.51M779.88M
2019-02-140.990.891.09B978.14M
2018-10-301.401.381.24B1.22B
2018-07-311.231.351.20B1.33B
2018-05-030.440.22854.47M427.25M
2018-02-160.740.72977.49M977.50M
2017-11-011.041.051.09B1.11B
2017-08-020.901.201.03B1.37B
2017-05-100.340.20787.33M584.59M
2017-02-070.690.85872.98M1.08B

Dividends

Yield 0.72%. Payout ratio 23.61%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 91/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 24% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 42 separate years. Yield is 0.7%, which is modest.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-11-09$0.522026-11-092026-11-24Quarterly
2026-08-13$0.522026-08-132026-09-02Quarterly
2026-05-22$0.522026-05-222026-06-05Quarterly
2026-03-09$0.522026-03-092026-03-23Quarterly
2025-11-10$0.492025-11-102025-11-25Quarterly
2025-08-14$0.492025-08-142025-09-03Quarterly
2025-05-23$0.492025-05-232025-06-06Quarterly
2025-03-10$0.492025-03-102025-03-24Quarterly
2024-11-04$0.462024-11-042024-11-27Quarterly
2024-08-15$0.462024-08-152024-09-04Quarterly
2024-05-23$0.462024-05-242024-06-07Quarterly
2024-03-01$0.462024-03-042024-03-18Quarterly
2023-11-10$0.432023-11-132023-11-29Quarterly
2023-08-16$0.432023-08-172023-09-06Quarterly
2023-05-25$0.432023-05-262023-06-09Quarterly
2023-03-03$0.432023-03-062023-03-20Quarterly
2022-11-14$0.402022-11-152022-12-05Quarterly
2022-08-16$0.402022-08-172022-09-02Quarterly
2022-05-26$0.402022-05-272022-06-10Quarterly
2022-02-28$0.402022-03-012022-03-14Quarterly
2021-11-15$0.372021-11-162021-12-02Quarterly
2021-08-17$0.372021-08-182021-09-03Quarterly
2021-05-27$0.372021-05-282021-06-11Quarterly
2021-02-26$0.372021-03-012021-03-15Quarterly
2020-11-16$0.342020-11-172020-12-03Quarterly
2020-08-18$0.342020-08-192020-09-04Quarterly
2020-05-21$0.342020-05-222020-06-05Quarterly
2020-02-25$0.342020-02-262020-03-10Quarterly
2019-11-18$0.312019-11-192019-12-05Quarterly
2019-08-20$0.312019-08-212019-09-06Quarterly
2019-05-23$0.312019-05-242019-06-07Quarterly
2019-02-21$0.312019-02-222019-03-08Quarterly
2018-11-20$0.282018-11-212018-12-07Quarterly
2018-08-21$0.282018-08-222018-09-07Quarterly
2018-05-23$0.282018-05-242018-06-08Quarterly
2018-02-22$0.282018-02-232018-03-09Quarterly
2017-11-21$0.252017-11-222017-12-08Quarterly
2017-08-21$0.252017-08-232017-09-08Quarterly
2017-05-22$0.252017-05-242017-06-09Quarterly
2017-02-22$0.252017-02-242017-03-10Quarterly
2016-11-21$0.202016-11-232016-12-09Quarterly
2016-08-22$0.202016-08-242016-09-09Quarterly
2016-05-24$0.202016-05-262016-06-10Quarterly
2016-02-22$0.202016-02-242016-03-10Quarterly
2015-11-20$0.102015-11-242015-12-10Quarterly
2015-08-21$0.102015-08-252015-09-10Quarterly
2015-05-21$0.102015-05-262015-06-10Quarterly
2015-02-25$0.102015-02-272015-03-10Quarterly
2014-11-24$0.062014-11-262014-12-10Quarterly
2014-08-25$0.062014-08-272014-09-10Quarterly
2014-05-22$0.052014-05-272014-06-10Quarterly
2014-02-20$0.052014-02-242014-03-10Quarterly
2013-11-21$0.012013-11-252013-12-10Quarterly
2013-08-26$0.012013-08-282013-09-10Quarterly
2013-05-23$0.012013-05-282013-06-10Quarterly
2013-02-21$0.012013-02-252013-03-11Quarterly
2012-11-21$0.012012-11-262012-12-10Quarterly
2012-08-23$0.012012-08-272012-09-10Quarterly
2012-06-07$0.012012-06-112012-06-25Quarterly
2012-02-23$0.012012-02-272012-03-12Quarterly
2011-11-21$0.012011-11-232011-12-09Quarterly
2011-08-24$0.252011-08-262011-09-09Quarterly
2011-05-25$0.252011-05-272011-06-10Quarterly
2011-02-23$0.252011-02-252011-03-10Quarterly
2010-11-02$0.252010-11-042010-12-10Quarterly
2010-08-24$0.252010-08-262010-09-10Quarterly
2010-05-26$0.252010-05-282010-06-10Quarterly
2010-02-24$0.252010-02-262010-03-10Quarterly
2009-11-23$0.252009-11-252009-12-10Quarterly
2009-08-24$0.252009-08-262009-09-10Quarterly
2009-05-21$0.492009-05-262009-06-10Quarterly
2009-02-25$0.492009-02-272009-03-10Quarterly
2008-11-24$0.492008-11-262008-12-10Quarterly
2008-08-25$0.492008-08-272008-09-10Quarterly
2008-05-22$0.492008-05-272008-06-10Quarterly
2008-02-21$0.492008-02-252008-03-10Quarterly
2007-11-21$0.462007-11-262007-12-10Quarterly
2007-08-22$0.462007-08-242007-09-10Quarterly
2007-05-23$0.462007-05-252007-06-11Quarterly
2007-02-21$0.462007-02-232007-03-09Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2029-02-19Render Stephen JOther85——
2029-02-19Polomsky James TOther520——
2029-02-19Goodsell Brent POther590——
2028-12-31Render Stephen JOther680——
2028-12-31Polomsky James TOther1.57K——
2028-12-31Goodsell Brent POther1.77K——
2028-02-20Shah Mitesh BansilalOther260——
2027-12-31Shah Mitesh BansilalOther770——
2027-02-19Render Stephen JOther560$302.85169.60K
2027-02-19Polomsky James TOther1.29K$302.85390.68K
2027-02-19Goodsell Brent POther1.45K$302.85439.13K
2026-08-21Hill J ThomasSell5.70K$275.491.57M
2026-08-21Hill J ThomasSell3.76K$276.511.04M
2026-08-21Hill J ThomasSell542$277.09150.18K
2026-08-21Hill J ThomasSell4.00K$276.701.11M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasBuy27.00K$133.953.62M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell18.88K$287.795.43M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasBuy21.67K$180.523.91M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell18.97K$287.795.46M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasBuy22.40K$185.314.15M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell17.29K$287.794.98M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasBuy24.80K$164.384.08M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell17.18K$287.794.94M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell17.96K$287.795.17M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasBuy26.10K$113.162.95M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell24.80K$164.384.08M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell27.00K$133.953.62M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell26.10K$113.162.95M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell21.67K$180.523.91M
2026-08-12Hill J ThomasSell22.40K$185.314.15M
2026-08-07Clement David PSell2.00K$285.10570.20K
2026-08-04Render Stephen JOther0——
2026-08-04Render Stephen JOther0——
2026-08-04Render Stephen JOther0——
2026-07-16Polomsky James TOther0——
2026-07-16Polomsky James TOther0——
2026-07-16Goodsell Brent POther0——
2026-07-16Goodsell Brent POther0——
2026-07-13Carlisle Mary AndrewsBuy5.24K——
2026-06-15Clement David PSell2.21K$292.29646.55K
2026-06-12HALL GRAYSONBuy655——
2026-06-12HALL GRAYSONSell655——
2026-06-12KENNARD LYDIA HBuy655——
2026-06-12KENNARD LYDIA HSell655——
2026-06-12QUIRK KATHLEEN LBuy320$273.7087.50K
2026-06-12STYSLINGER LEE J IIIBuy228——
2026-06-12STEINER DAVID PBuy301——
2026-06-12FANNING THOMAS ABuy301——
2026-06-12Anderson Melissa H.Buy228——
2026-05-08KENNARD LYDIA HBuy617——
2026-05-08HALL GRAYSONBuy617——
2026-05-08STYSLINGER LEE J IIIBuy617——
2026-05-08Willis GeorgeBuy617——
2026-05-08STEINER DAVID PBuy617——
2026-05-08QUIRK KATHLEEN LBuy617——
2026-05-08PROKOPANKO JAMES TBuy617——
2026-05-08OBRIEN RICHARD TBuy617——
2026-05-08Hostetler Cynthia LynnBuy617——
2026-05-08Anderson Melissa H.Buy617——
2026-05-08FANNING THOMAS ABuy617——
2026-05-08Shah Mitesh BansilalBuy3.61K——
2026-02-23Perkins Jerry F JrSell433$305.29132.19K
2026-02-23Perkins Jerry F JrSell3.79K$305.291.16M
2026-02-23Pruitt Ronnie ASell475$305.29145.01K
2026-02-23Pruitt Ronnie ASell3.79K$305.291.16M
2026-02-23Shah Mitesh BansilalSell134$305.2940.91K
2026-02-23Pigg Randy L.Sell149$305.2945.49K
2026-02-23Carlisle Mary AndrewsSell790$305.29241.18K
2026-02-23Bass Stanley GSell832$305.29254.00K
2026-02-23BAKER THOMPSON S IISell951$305.29290.33K
2026-02-23Clement David PSell411$305.29125.47K
2026-02-23Clement David PSell3.05K$305.29929.91K
2026-02-23Hill J ThomasSell3.75K$305.291.15M
2026-02-21Perkins Jerry F JrBuy8.55K——
2026-02-21Perkins Jerry F JrBuy1.01K——
2026-02-21Perkins Jerry F JrSell1.01K——
2026-02-21Pruitt Ronnie ABuy8.55K——
2026-02-21Pruitt Ronnie ABuy1.11K——
2026-02-21Pruitt Ronnie ASell1.11K——
2026-02-21Shah Mitesh BansilalBuy300——
2026-02-21Shah Mitesh BansilalSell300——
2026-02-21Pigg Randy L.Buy420——
2026-02-21Pigg Randy L.Sell420——
2026-02-21Carlisle Mary AndrewsBuy1.78K——
2026-02-21Carlisle Mary AndrewsSell1.78K——
2026-02-21Bass Stanley GBuy1.98K——
2026-02-21Bass Stanley GSell1.98K——
2026-02-21BAKER THOMPSON S IIBuy2.57K——
2026-02-21BAKER THOMPSON S IISell2.57K——
2026-02-21Clement David PBuy8.23K——
2026-02-21Clement David PBuy1.11K——
2026-02-21Clement David PSell1.11K——
2026-02-21Hill J ThomasBuy8.94K——
2026-02-21Hill J ThomasSell8.94K——
2026-02-20Render Stephen JOther620$258.59160.33K
2026-02-20Polomsky James TOther680$258.59175.84K
2026-02-20Goodsell Brent POther660$258.59170.67K
2026-02-20Anderson Melissa H.Sell1.14K$303.72345.33K
2026-02-20Shah Mitesh BansilalOther620$258.59160.33K
2026-02-19Pigg Randy L.Buy390——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 1.09K, holders +34 vs prior quarter. Ownership 99.05%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.9.72M-239.59K-2.40%2.87B
STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE CO9.52M00.00%2.81B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC8.47M-59.60K-0.70%2.50B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC7.02M-14.50K-0.21%2.07B
STATE STREET CORP6.15M344.93K+5.95%1.81B
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC5.47M-1.18M-17.70%1.61B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO5.06M-712.62K-12.35%1.54B
FMR LLC3.67M-5.08K-0.14%1.08B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.45M-16.59K-0.48%1.01B
TCI FUND MANAGEMENT LTD2.45M2.45MNew721.89M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/2.33M79.01K+3.50%688.58M
CLEARBRIDGE INVESTMENTS, LLC2.30M-27.19K-1.17%678.25M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP2.14M-18.78K-0.87%631.06M
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/2.10M-175.96K-7.72%625.23M
EGERTON CAPITAL (UK) LLP1.97M202.48K+11.44%581.67M
PARNASSUS INVESTMENTS, LLC1.89M162.40K+9.38%558.54M
MORGAN STANLEY1.77M83.09K+4.91%523.38M
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE1.53M773.48K+102.36%451.12M
ALKEON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.48M00.00%436.22M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.40M56.27K+4.18%413.91M
ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, LLC1.35M-42.31K-3.04%397.90M
NORGES BANK1.22M1.22MNew360.70M
INVESCO LTD.1.18M37.88K+3.33%346.65M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC1.11M-395.46K-26.20%328.69M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC1.07M61.32K+6.10%314.62M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 24 analysts. Average price target $306.11, +7.4% versus the current price. Low $249.00. High $340.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $306.11 for Vulcan Materials (VMC), 7.4% above the current price of $285.03. Of 24 analysts covering the stock, 16 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 7 Hold, and 1 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

VMC price target

12-month price target
Low$249.00
Average$306.11
High$340.00

The average is 7.4% above the current price of $285.03.

Is Vulcan Materials a buy or sell?

Of 24 analysts, 16 rate Vulcan Materials Buy or Strong Buy, 7 Hold, and 1 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

Vulcan Materials earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $8.80, revenue $8.11 billion. 2027, EPS $10.13, revenue $8.53 billion.

VMC score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for VMC is 49 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

VMC forecast FAQs

What is the VMC price target?

$306.11 average, with a published range of $249.00 to $340.00.

Is Vulcan Materials a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 24 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Vulcan Materials stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $8.80. The average revenue estimate is $8.11 billion.

What will VMC be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Vulcan Materials's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Forecast & Price Target

VMC$285.11+20.11 +7.59%

$36.94B

Market Cap

31.18

P/E

32.40

Forward P/E

49

Score

Price History