35% of the S&P 500 Controlled by 'Magnificent Seven': What It Means for Investors
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Updated Jul 10, 2024
Large-cap growth stocks remain the primary drivers of gains in major indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. Yet the sheer value of some of the largest companies might surprise you.
The Magnificent Seven companies now constitute a total of 35.5% of the S&P 500 index. These seven prominent tech-focused firms include Microsoft (MSFT -1.44%), Apple (AAPL 0.38%), Nvidia (NVDA 2.48%), Alphabet (GOOGL -0.03%, GOOG -0.02%), Amazon (AMZN 0.03%), Meta Platforms (META 0.13%), and Tesla (TSLA 3.71%).
The S&P 500 is up over 44% since the end of 2022. The primary reason is that the sectors containing Magnificent Seven stocks are outperforming the S&P 500 as a whole, while the other eight sectors are underperforming.
Impact of Mega-Cap Growth
Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia bolster the tech sector, while Alphabet and Meta Platforms lead in communications, and Amazon and Tesla drive consumer discretionary. This concentration amplifies market movements, exemplified by Broadcom (AVGO -0.72%) and its over $800 billion valuation, tripling since late 2022.
The Magnificent Seven’s dominance poses a dual-edged impact: while their growth propels market highs, their collective weight also heightens vulnerability to downturns. A notable correction, defined as a 10% to 20% index drop, could stem from a substantial decline in these key stocks, potentially compounded by broader market adjustments.
Evaluating the S&P 500’s Elevated P/E Ratio and Investor Sentiment
Investors face heightened expectations amidst the S&P 500’s elevated P/E ratio nearing 29, suggesting rich valuations. Nonetheless, history favors investing despite record highs, with market rallies historically rewarding such strategies.
Just as those stocks helped push up overall returns, a downturn in one or many of them could put a lot of investor money in jeopardy. For example, Nvidia shed more than $500 billion in market value after a recent three-day sell-off in June, dragging down the S&P 500 into a multiday losing streak. (The stock has since recovered a bit.)
The S&P 500′s concentration “is a bit riskier than people realize,” said Charlie Fitzgerald III, a certified financial planner based in Orlando, Florida.
“Nearly a third of [the S&P 500] is sitting in seven stocks,” he said. “You’re not diversifying when you’re concentrating like this.”
Earnings growth drives investor optimism, reflecting a shift towards future potentials over past performance valuation. This evolution marks a departure from earlier metrics emphasizing consumer staples, banks, and oil. Amidst this, integrating quality dividend stocks and ETFs like Coca-Cola (KO -0.43%), PepsiCo (PEP -0.14%), and the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA -0.13%) offers income-focused stability.
Navigating current market dynamics underscores the importance of aligning investments with risk tolerance and income goals. As the market evolves, reviewing and diversifying portfolios ensures resilience against volatility, balancing growth stocks with income-generating assets for long-term stability.
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