CTO Realty Growth (CTO) Stock Price & Analysis

CTO price $19.30 +0.27 +1.39%

Ticker
CTO
Price
$19.30
Change
+0.27 +1.39%
Market cap ?
$723.28M
P/E ?
13.80
Forward P/E ?
20.67
Dividend yield ?
7.74%
Beta ?
0.63
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
REIT - Diversified

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
71074861914122918668860044941000563810007027200082320000109119000124519000149545000

CTO Realty Growth, Inc., a publicly traded real estate enterprise headquartered in Florida, manages a diverse portfolio of income-generating properties. These assets span various markets throughout the United States, collectively encompassing around 2.4 million square feet. The company also holds a substantial stake, approximately 23.5%, in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., which is a publicly listed net lease…

Fair value

CTO fair value $30.89. Price $19.30. Price is 38% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 65% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Average free cash flow, last three years 56.96M. Growth 19.16%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 37.49M. Net debt 610.11M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare CTO

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-18—0.22—47.28M
2026-10-27-0.190.2046.91M45.21M
2026-07-280.380.1043.83M42.31M
2026-04-280.130.4841.17M38.89M
2026-02-190.820.5038.34M37.91M
2025-10-280.030.4937.76M37.91M
2025-07-29-0.770.4937.64M37.20M
2025-05-010.010.4835.81M35.25M
2025-02-20-0.560.0135.74M33.39M
2024-10-240.170.0231.80M33.16M
2024-07-25-0.030.4328.84M27.55M
2024-05-020.200.0228.13M28.13M
2024-02-220.25-0.1329.89M26.36M
2023-10-260.07-0.1528.47M25.50M
2023-07-270.030.4126.05M26.05M
2023-04-27-0.320.4124.72M22.54M
2023-02-23-0.210.4722.53M21.14M
2022-10-270.190.0923.12M17.88M
2022-07-280.071.5219.46M17.15M
2022-04-28-0.060.3617.21M16.54M
2022-02-240.040.0024.70M14.68M
2021-10-281.290.0516.58M14.88M
2021-07-29-0.210.3414.28M14.39M
2021-04-290.440.5414.71M17.36M
2021-02-185.532.2215.96M12.97M
2020-10-28-0.110.0914.57M14.03M
2020-07-290.740.8613.01M18.66M
2020-04-28-0.07-0.0212.84M423.91K
2020-02-125.445.09994.97K1.14M
2019-10-160.121.0711.75M151.32M
2019-07-170.580.5517.94M21.03M
2019-04-160.330.3414.26M11.32M
2019-02-050.590.5533.23M80.70M
2018-10-170.020.0218.43M18.43M
2018-07-180.030.3913.83M13.06M
2018-04-170.530.3424.85M14.99M
2018-02-070.111.7217.48M167.92M
2017-10-180.050.0612.38M15.13M
2017-07-190.180.0722.84M8.52M
2017-04-170.550.5238.71M32.57M

Dividends

Yield 7.88%. Payout ratio 136.78%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 137% of earnings, above what earnings cover. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 42 separate years. Yield is 7.9%, which is on the high side.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-09-10$0.382026-09-102026-09-30Quarterly
2026-06-11$0.382026-06-112026-06-30Quarterly
2026-03-12$0.382026-03-122026-03-31Quarterly
2025-12-11$0.382025-12-112025-12-31Quarterly
2025-09-11$0.382025-09-112025-09-30Quarterly
2025-06-12$0.382025-06-122025-06-30Quarterly
2025-03-13$0.382025-03-132025-03-31Quarterly
2024-12-12$0.382024-12-122024-12-31Quarterly
2024-09-12$0.382024-09-122024-09-30Quarterly
2024-06-13$0.382024-06-132024-06-28Quarterly
2024-03-13$0.382024-03-142024-03-28Quarterly
2023-12-13$0.382023-12-142023-12-29Quarterly
2023-09-13$0.382023-09-142023-09-29Quarterly
2023-06-07$0.382023-06-082023-06-30Quarterly
2023-03-08$0.382023-03-092023-03-31Quarterly
2022-12-09$0.382022-12-122022-12-30Quarterly
2022-09-09$0.382022-09-122022-09-30Quarterly
2022-06-08$0.372022-06-092022-06-30Quarterly
2022-03-09$0.362022-03-102022-03-31Quarterly
2021-12-08$0.332021-12-092021-12-30Quarterly
2021-09-08$0.332021-09-092021-09-30Quarterly
2021-06-18$0.332021-06-212021-06-30Quarterly
2021-03-19$0.332021-03-222021-03-31Quarterly
2020-11-18$0.392020-11-192020-12-21Quarterly
2020-11-13$0.332020-11-162020-11-30Special
2020-08-14$0.112020-08-172020-08-31Quarterly
2020-05-08$0.072020-05-112020-05-29Quarterly
2020-02-21$0.072020-02-242020-02-28Quarterly
2019-11-08$0.042019-11-122019-11-29Quarterly
2019-08-09$0.032019-08-122019-08-30Quarterly
2019-05-09$0.032019-05-102019-05-30Quarterly
2019-02-07$0.032019-02-082019-02-28Quarterly
2018-11-08$0.022018-11-092018-11-30Quarterly
2018-08-09$0.022018-08-102018-08-30Quarterly
2018-05-09$0.022018-05-102018-05-30Quarterly
2018-02-08$0.022018-02-102018-02-28Quarterly
2017-11-09$0.012017-11-102017-11-30Quarterly
2017-08-08$0.012017-08-102017-08-30Quarterly
2017-05-08$0.012017-05-102017-05-30Quarterly
2017-02-08$0.012017-02-102017-02-28Quarterly
2016-11-08$0.012016-11-102016-11-30Quarterly
2016-08-08$0.012016-08-102016-08-30Quarterly
2016-05-06$0.012016-05-102016-05-27Semi-Annual
2015-11-06$0.012015-11-102015-11-30Semi-Annual
2015-05-06$0.012015-05-082015-05-27Semi-Annual
2014-11-05$0.012014-11-072014-11-25Semi-Annual
2014-05-07$0.012014-05-092014-05-28Semi-Annual
2013-11-06$0.012013-11-082013-11-26Semi-Annual
2013-05-08$0.012013-05-102013-05-28Semi-Annual
2012-11-07$0.012012-11-092012-11-28Semi-Annual
2012-05-08$0.012012-05-102012-05-25Semi-Annual
2011-11-08$0.012011-11-102011-11-28Semi-Annual
2011-05-11$0.002011-05-132011-05-27Semi-Annual
2011-02-08$0.002011-02-102011-03-01Quarterly
2010-11-09$0.002010-11-122010-11-30Quarterly
2010-08-11$0.002010-08-132010-08-30Quarterly
2010-05-12$0.002010-05-142010-06-01Quarterly
2010-02-08$0.002010-02-102010-03-01Quarterly
2009-11-09$0.012009-11-122009-11-30Quarterly
2009-08-04$0.012009-08-062009-08-26Quarterly
2009-05-06$0.032009-05-082009-05-28Quarterly
2009-02-05$0.032009-02-092009-02-27Quarterly
2008-11-04$0.032008-11-062008-11-25Quarterly
2008-08-05$0.032008-08-072008-08-27Quarterly
2008-05-06$0.032008-05-082008-05-28Quarterly
2008-02-06$0.032008-02-082008-02-29Quarterly
2007-11-07$0.032007-11-092007-11-30Quarterly
2007-08-07$0.032007-08-092007-08-29Quarterly
2007-05-08$0.022007-05-102007-05-31Quarterly
2007-02-07$0.022007-02-092007-03-01Quarterly
2006-11-08$0.022006-11-102006-12-01Quarterly
2006-08-07$0.022006-08-092006-08-29Quarterly
2006-05-10$0.022006-05-122006-06-01Quarterly
2006-02-07$0.022006-02-092006-03-01Quarterly
2005-11-08$0.022005-11-102005-12-01Quarterly
2005-08-08$0.022005-08-102005-08-30Quarterly
2005-05-10$0.022005-05-122005-06-03Quarterly
2005-02-07$0.022005-02-092005-03-01Quarterly
2004-11-08$0.022004-11-102004-12-01Quarterly
2004-08-06$0.022004-08-102004-08-31Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-01FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy601$20.7812.49K
2026-10-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.01K$20.7820.93K
2026-10-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy917$20.7819.06K
2026-10-01Drew Christopher JBuy781$20.7816.23K
2026-07-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.00K$20.8320.92K
2026-07-01FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy599$20.8312.48K
2026-07-01Drew Christopher JBuy779$20.8316.23K
2026-07-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy914$20.8319.04K
2026-04-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy1.01K$18.8819.05K
2026-04-01Drew Christopher JBuy860$18.8816.24K
2026-04-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.11K$18.8820.92K
2026-04-01FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy661$18.8812.48K
2026-02-11Haga Christopher WBuy3.46K$18.0562.49K
2026-02-11Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy3.46K$18.0562.49K
2026-02-11FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy3.46K$18.0562.49K
2026-02-11Brokaw George RBuy3.46K$18.0562.49K
2026-02-11Drew Christopher JBuy3.46K$18.0562.49K
2026-02-11Vorakoun LisaBuy10.09K——
2026-02-11Albright John PBuy37.11K——
2026-02-11Greathouse Steven RobertBuy17.49K——
2026-02-11Mays PhilipBuy14.96K——
2026-02-11Smith Daniel EarlBuy11.27K——
2026-01-28Mays PhilipSell1.27K$17.3922.07K
2026-01-28Albright John PSell11.73K$17.39203.93K
2026-01-28Smith Daniel EarlSell4.55K$17.3979.09K
2026-01-28Vorakoun LisaSell1.88K$17.3932.62K
2026-01-28Greathouse Steven RobertSell3.51K$17.3961.09K
2026-01-12Smith Daniel EarlBuy17.00K——
2026-01-12Smith Daniel EarlSell7.17K$18.37131.79K
2026-01-12Albright John PBuy59.16K——
2026-01-12Albright John PSell23.70K$18.37435.41K
2026-01-12Vorakoun LisaBuy5.52K——
2026-01-12Vorakoun LisaSell1.64K$18.3730.03K
2026-01-12Greathouse Steven RobertBuy22.66K——
2026-01-12Greathouse Steven RobertSell5.98K$18.37109.87K
2026-01-02Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy1.06K$18.0219.04K
2026-01-02Drew Christopher JBuy901$18.0216.23K
2026-01-02Haga Christopher WBuy1.16K$18.0220.94K
2026-01-02FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy693$18.0212.49K
2025-12-29Smith Daniel EarlSell2.00K——
2025-12-26Smith Daniel EarlSell195——
2025-10-01FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy755$16.5412.49K
2025-10-01Drew Christopher JBuy982$16.5416.25K
2025-10-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.26K$16.5420.93K
2025-10-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy1.15K$16.5419.06K
2025-09-16Albright John PBuy2.00K$16.3832.76K
2025-09-12Vorakoun LisaBuy750$16.5912.45K
2025-09-12Greathouse Steven RobertBuy600$16.7010.02K
2025-09-11Albright John PBuy2.00K$16.3832.76K
2025-09-11Mays PhilipBuy1.00K$16.6116.61K
2025-09-11Smith Daniel EarlBuy1.00K$16.5016.50K
2025-09-11Albright John PBuy4.20K$16.5369.44K
2025-07-01FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy689$18.1312.49K
2025-07-01Drew Christopher JBuy896$18.1316.24K
2025-07-01Brokaw George RBuy1.10K$18.1319.99K
2025-07-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy1.05K$18.1319.05K
2025-07-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.16K$18.1320.94K
2025-06-26Mays PhilipBuy1.00K$17.2917.29K
2025-06-26Brokaw George RBuy2.00K$16.9433.88K
2025-06-26Smith Daniel EarlBuy1.00K$17.0017.00K
2025-06-26Albright John PBuy3.80K$17.0564.81K
2025-04-01FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy659$18.9512.49K
2025-04-01Brokaw George RBuy1.05K$18.9519.99K
2025-04-01Drew Christopher JBuy857$18.9516.24K
2025-04-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy1.00K$18.9519.04K
2025-04-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.10K$18.9520.92K
2025-02-12Brokaw George RBuy3.19K$19.6262.48K
2025-02-12Haga Christopher WBuy3.19K$19.6262.48K
2025-02-12Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy3.19K$19.6262.48K
2025-02-12Drew Christopher JBuy3.19K$19.6262.48K
2025-02-12FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy3.19K$19.6262.48K
2025-02-12Mays PhilipBuy12.84K——
2025-02-12Greathouse Steven RobertBuy16.09K——
2025-02-12Vorakoun LisaBuy9.28K——
2025-02-12Smith Daniel EarlBuy10.37K——
2025-02-12Albright John PBuy34.15K——
2025-02-11Greathouse Steven RobertBuy17.08K——
2025-02-11Greathouse Steven RobertSell4.16K$20.2684.24K
2025-02-11Vorakoun LisaBuy4.12K——
2025-02-11Vorakoun LisaSell1.61K$20.2632.72K
2025-02-11Smith Daniel EarlBuy12.08K——
2025-02-11Smith Daniel EarlSell2.94K$20.2659.56K
2025-02-11Albright John PBuy49.80K——
2025-02-11Albright John PSell19.60K$20.26397.04K
2025-01-28Vorakoun LisaSell1.75K$19.7234.61K
2025-01-28Greathouse Steven RobertSell3.26K$19.7264.37K
2025-01-28Smith Daniel EarlSell2.84K$19.7256.00K
2025-01-28Albright John PSell10.36K$19.72204.28K
2025-01-02Brokaw George RBuy1.00K$19.9819.98K
2025-01-02FRANKLIN LAURA MBuy625$19.9812.49K
2025-01-02Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy954$19.9819.06K
2025-01-02Haga Christopher WBuy1.05K$19.9820.92K
2025-01-02Drew Christopher JBuy813$19.9816.24K
2024-12-27Haga Christopher WBuy28.52K——
2024-12-27Haga Christopher WSell28.52K——
2024-11-29Smith Daniel EarlSell836——
2024-11-11Albright John PSell29.49K$20.71610.58K
2024-10-01Drew Christopher JBuy845$19.2216.24K
2024-10-01Gable Robert BlakesleeBuy991$19.2219.05K
2024-10-01Haga Christopher WBuy1.09K$19.2220.93K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 223, holders +22 vs prior quarter. Ownership 75.32%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.3.61M310.57K+9.42%77.58M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.63M10.01K+0.62%35.09M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.39M36.09K+2.67%29.80M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP1.36M476.46K+54.04%29.21M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.01M176.50K+21.06%21.82M
STATE STREET CORP732.99K22.81K+3.21%15.77M
HEITMAN REAL ESTATE SECURITIES LLC710.45K-32.24K-4.34%15.28M
CUTLER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC651.27K-8.10K-1.23%14.01M
INVESCO LTD.572.29K33.24K+6.17%12.31M
GRACE & WHITE INC /NY558.50K-32.62K-5.52%12.01M
MILLER VALUE PARTNERS, LLC539.90K-16.15K-2.90%11.61M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP469.02K25.28K+5.70%10.09M
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC460.12K460.12KNew9.89M
MORGAN STANLEY458.21K70.29K+18.12%9.86M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC458.07K145.90K+46.74%9.85M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.458.07K458.07KNew9.85M
INGALLS & SNYDER LLC454.35K-14.80K-3.15%9.77M
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT421.20K-6.50K-1.52%9.06M
MAN GROUP PLC379.35K132.21K+53.49%8.16M
QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD368.70K329.17K+832.73%7.93M
LEEWARD INVESTMENTS, LLC - MA349.57K-7.69K-2.15%7.52M
KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC329.91K-5.24K-1.56%7.10M
STATE OF NEW JERSEY COMMON PENSION FUND D299.07K10.00K+3.46%6.43M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP293.91K29.56K+11.18%6.32M
UBS GROUP AG247.44K11.95K+5.08%5.32M

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CTO Realty Growth (CTO) Stock Price & Analysis

CTO$19.30+0.27 +1.39%

$723.28M

Market Cap

13.80

P/E

20.67

Forward P/E

—

Score

Price History