West Fraser Timber Co (WFG) Stock Price & Analysis
WFG$67.63-1.03 -1.50%
$5.14B
Market Cap
-3.66
P/E
162.36
Forward P/E
31
Score
West Fraser Timber Co (WFG) Stock Price & Analysis
WFG price $67.63 -1.03 -1.50%
- Ticker
- WFG
- Price
- $67.63
- Change
- -1.03 -1.50%
- Market cap ?
- $5.14B
- P/E ?
- -3.66
- Forward P/E ?
- 162.36
- Dividend yield ?
- 1.82%
- Beta ?
- 1.14
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
- Stocklytics score
- 31
- Value
- 37
- Quality
- 24
- Growth
- 32
Stocklytics score rationale: value 37, quality 24, growth 32.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3310765568 | 4082703777 | 4491824702 | 5009970748 | 5564292660 | 10518000000 | 9701000000 | 6454000000 | 6174000000 | 5553086134 |
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. operates as a diverse forest products enterprise, actively involved in the creation, promotion, sale, and distribution of a wide array of wood-based goods. Its offerings encompass various types of lumber, including spruce-pine-fir, southern yellow pine, and treated wood, alongside engineered wood products such as medium density fiberboard (MDF) panels, plywood, oriented strand board…
Fair value
WFG fair value $71.47. Price $67.63. Price is 5% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 82% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 786.41M. Growth 0.54%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.58% (beta 1.1). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 76.02M. Net debt 131.26M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-17 | — | -0.87 | — | 1.34B |
| 2026-10-28 | -1.03 | -0.76 | 1.36B | 1.42B |
| 2026-07-29 | -0.78 | -0.70 | 1.43B | 1.45B |
| 2026-04-29 | -2.40 | -1.23 | 1.33B | 1.32B |
| 2026-02-11 | -9.63 | -2.37 | 1.17B | 1.19B |
| 2025-10-22 | -2.63 | -1.72 | 1.29B | 1.18B |
| 2025-07-23 | -0.38 | 0.36 | 1.56B | 1.51B |
| 2025-04-22 | 0.46 | 0.61 | 1.46B | 1.62B |
| 2025-02-12 | 0.08 | -0.55 | 1.41B | 1.41B |
| 2024-10-23 | -1.03 | -0.56 | 1.44B | 1.36B |
| 2024-07-24 | 1.20 | 1.32 | 1.71B | 1.61B |
| 2024-04-23 | 0.42 | 0.26 | 1.63B | 1.47B |
| 2024-02-14 | -1.87 | -0.28 | 1.51B | 1.47B |
| 2023-10-25 | 1.81 | 1.44 | 1.71B | 1.75B |
| 2023-07-26 | -0.03 | -0.12 | 1.61B | 1.72B |
| 2023-04-25 | -0.52 | -0.67 | 1.63B | 1.51B |
| 2023-02-14 | -1.13 | -0.09 | 2.19B | 1.59B |
| 2022-10-26 | 2.50 | 1.58 | 2.09B | 1.95B |
| 2022-07-27 | 7.59 | 6.36 | 2.89B | 2.72B |
| 2022-04-28 | 10.35 | 10.00 | 3.11B | 2.93B |
| 2022-02-15 | 3.13 | 3.34 | 2.04B | 2.08B |
| 2021-10-27 | 4.20 | 4.16 | 2.36B | 2.34B |
| 2021-07-28 | 12.39 | 11.28 | 3.78B | 3.51B |
| 2021-05-06 | 8.90 | 7.70 | 2.34B | 1.87B |
| 2021-03-27 | 4.40 | — | 1.48B | — |
| 2020-10-26 | 5.63 | 4.88 | 1.69B | — |
| 2020-07-27 | 1.13 | 0.33 | 1.25B | — |
| 2020-04-28 | 0.42 | -0.20 | 839.57M | — |
| 2020-02-11 | -0.16 | -0.43 | 1.13B | — |
| 2019-10-21 | -0.22 | -0.43 | 898.93M | — |
| 2019-07-18 | -0.25 | 0.09 | 1.00B | — |
| 2019-04-25 | 0.32 | 0.56 | 929.45M | — |
| 2019-02-12 | 0.48 | 1.40 | 742.63M | — |
| 2018-10-22 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 1.27B | — |
| 2018-07-19 | 5.19 | 3.45 | 1.39B | — |
| 2018-04-25 | 2.98 | 2.77 | 1.06B | — |
| 2018-02-14 | 2.58 | 2.20 | 1.05B | — |
| 2017-10-23 | 1.90 | 1.18 | 1.01B | — |
| 2017-07-20 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 1.02B | — |
| 2017-04-24 | 1.71 | 1.48 | 891.59M | — |
Dividends
Yield 1.89%. Payout ratio —. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 87/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is not reported, so this part stays neutral. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 38 separate years. Yield is 1.9%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | $0.32 | 2026-09-29 | 2026-10-19 | Quarterly |
| 2026-06-25 | $0.32 | 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-13 | Quarterly |
| 2026-03-13 | $0.32 | 2026-03-13 | 2026-04-02 | Quarterly |
| 2025-12-29 | $0.32 | 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-14 | Quarterly |
| 2025-09-25 | $0.32 | 2025-09-25 | 2025-10-14 | Quarterly |
| 2025-06-26 | $0.32 | 2025-06-26 | 2025-07-14 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-14 | $0.32 | 2025-03-14 | 2025-04-03 | Quarterly |
| 2024-12-27 | $0.32 | 2024-12-27 | 2025-01-14 | Irregular |
| 2024-09-26 | $0.32 | 2024-09-26 | 2024-10-11 | Quarterly |
| 2024-06-26 | $0.32 | 2024-06-26 | 2024-07-12 | Quarterly |
| 2024-03-14 | $0.30 | 2024-03-15 | 2024-04-04 | Quarterly |
| 2023-12-28 | $0.30 | 2023-12-29 | 2024-01-15 | Quarterly |
| 2023-09-26 | $0.30 | 2023-09-27 | 2023-10-13 | Quarterly |
| 2023-06-20 | $0.30 | 2023-06-21 | 2023-07-07 | Quarterly |
| 2023-03-16 | $0.30 | 2023-03-17 | 2023-04-04 | Quarterly |
| 2022-12-29 | $0.30 | 2022-12-30 | 2023-01-13 | Quarterly |
| 2022-09-21 | $0.30 | 2022-09-22 | 2022-10-07 | Quarterly |
| 2022-06-21 | $0.30 | 2022-06-22 | 2022-07-08 | Quarterly |
| 2022-03-17 | $0.25 | 2022-03-18 | 2022-04-05 | Quarterly |
| 2021-12-23 | $0.20 | 2021-12-28 | 2022-01-11 | Quarterly |
| 2021-09-22 | $0.20 | 2021-09-23 | 2021-10-05 | Quarterly |
| 2021-06-18 | $0.21 | 2021-06-21 | 2021-07-06 | Quarterly |
| 2021-03-17 | $0.16 | 2021-03-18 | 2021-04-01 | Quarterly |
| 2020-12-24 | $0.16 | 2020-12-29 | 2021-01-12 | Quarterly |
| 2020-09-29 | $0.15 | 2020-09-30 | 2020-10-14 | Quarterly |
| 2020-07-06 | $0.15 | 2020-07-07 | 2020-07-15 | Quarterly |
| 2020-03-17 | $0.14 | 2020-03-18 | 2020-04-02 | Quarterly |
| 2019-12-24 | $0.15 | 2019-12-27 | 2020-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2019-09-27 | $0.15 | 2019-09-30 | 2019-10-10 | Quarterly |
| 2019-06-25 | $0.15 | 2019-06-26 | 2019-07-17 | Quarterly |
| 2019-03-15 | $0.15 | 2019-03-18 | 2019-04-01 | Quarterly |
| 2018-12-24 | $0.15 | 2018-12-27 | 2019-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2018-09-24 | $0.15 | 2018-09-25 | 2018-10-09 | Quarterly |
| 2018-06-26 | $0.11 | 2018-06-27 | 2018-07-18 | Quarterly |
| 2018-03-16 | $0.12 | 2018-03-19 | 2018-04-03 | Quarterly |
| 2017-12-22 | $0.09 | 2017-12-27 | 2018-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2017-09-25 | $0.09 | 2017-09-26 | 2017-10-10 | Quarterly |
| 2017-06-23 | $0.05 | 2017-06-27 | 2017-07-18 | Quarterly |
| 2017-03-16 | $0.05 | 2017-03-20 | 2017-04-03 | Quarterly |
| 2016-12-16 | $0.05 | 2016-12-20 | 2017-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2016-09-27 | $0.05 | 2016-09-29 | 2016-10-13 | Quarterly |
| 2016-06-24 | $0.06 | 2016-06-28 | 2016-07-19 | Quarterly |
| 2016-03-17 | $0.05 | 2016-03-21 | 2016-04-04 | Quarterly |
| 2015-12-17 | $0.05 | 2015-12-21 | 2016-01-11 | Quarterly |
| 2015-09-24 | $0.05 | 2015-09-28 | 2015-10-13 | Quarterly |
| 2015-06-25 | $0.06 | 2015-06-29 | 2015-07-20 | Quarterly |
| 2015-03-18 | $0.06 | 2015-03-20 | 2015-04-02 | Quarterly |
| 2014-12-18 | $0.06 | 2014-12-22 | 2015-01-12 | Quarterly |
| 2014-09-25 | $0.06 | 2014-09-29 | 2014-10-14 | Quarterly |
| 2014-06-26 | $0.07 | 2014-06-30 | 2014-07-21 | Quarterly |
| 2014-03-19 | $0.06 | 2014-03-21 | 2014-04-04 | Quarterly |
| 2013-12-19 | $0.07 | 2013-12-23 | 2014-01-13 | Semi-Annual |
| 2013-09-26 | $0.07 | 2013-09-30 | 2013-10-15 | Quarterly |
| 2013-06-20 | $0.07 | 2013-06-24 | 2013-07-15 | Semi-Annual |
| 2013-03-20 | $0.07 | 2013-03-22 | 2013-04-05 | Quarterly |
| 2012-12-14 | $0.07 | 2012-12-18 | 2012-12-28 | Quarterly |
| 2012-09-20 | $0.07 | 2012-09-24 | 2012-10-09 | Quarterly |
| 2012-06-21 | $0.07 | 2012-06-25 | 2012-07-16 | Quarterly |
| 2012-03-21 | $0.07 | 2012-03-23 | 2012-04-05 | Quarterly |
| 2011-12-15 | $0.07 | 2011-12-19 | 2012-01-09 | Quarterly |
| 2011-09-23 | $0.07 | 2011-09-27 | 2011-10-11 | Quarterly |
| 2011-06-23 | $0.07 | 2011-06-27 | 2011-07-18 | Quarterly |
| 2011-03-16 | $0.07 | 2011-03-18 | 2011-04-01 | Quarterly |
| 2010-12-16 | $0.03 | 2010-12-20 | 2011-01-10 | Quarterly |
| 2010-09-23 | $0.03 | 2010-09-27 | 2010-10-12 | Quarterly |
| 2010-06-24 | $0.01 | 2010-06-28 | 2010-07-19 | Quarterly |
| 2010-03-17 | $0.01 | 2010-03-19 | 2010-04-01 | Quarterly |
| 2009-12-18 | $0.01 | 2009-12-22 | 2010-01-11 | Quarterly |
| 2009-09-24 | $0.01 | 2009-09-28 | 2009-10-13 | Quarterly |
| 2009-06-25 | $0.01 | 2009-06-29 | 2009-07-20 | Quarterly |
| 2009-03-18 | $0.06 | 2009-03-20 | 2009-04-03 | Quarterly |
| 2008-12-18 | $0.06 | 2008-12-22 | 2009-01-12 | Quarterly |
| 2008-09-25 | $0.07 | 2008-09-29 | 2008-10-14 | Quarterly |
| 2008-06-26 | $0.07 | 2008-06-30 | 2008-07-21 | Quarterly |
| 2008-03-18 | $0.07 | 2008-03-20 | 2008-04-04 | Quarterly |
| 2007-12-20 | $0.07 | 2007-12-24 | 2008-01-14 | Quarterly |
| 2007-09-20 | $0.07 | 2007-09-24 | 2007-10-15 | Quarterly |
| 2007-06-21 | $0.07 | 2007-06-25 | 2007-07-16 | Quarterly |
| 2007-03-21 | $0.06 | 2007-03-23 | 2007-04-05 | Quarterly |
| 2006-12-21 | $0.06 | 2006-12-27 | 2007-01-15 | Quarterly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 173, holders -4 vs prior quarter. Ownership 50.65%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIL LTD | 8.73M | -4.95K | -0.06% | 590.94M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 3.76M | 62.87K | +1.70% | 254.35M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 3.49M | 41.15K | +1.19% | 236.37M |
| MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP | 1.88M | 90.73K | +5.07% | 180.37M |
| 1832 ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P. | 1.80M | 38.12K | +2.17% | 121.54M |
| DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. | 1.63M | -72.83K | -4.28% | 110.33M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.50M | -20.73K | -1.36% | 101.40M |
| LETKO, BROSSEAU & ASSOCIATES INC | 1.42M | 755 | +0.05% | 95.96M |
| MANNING & NAPIER ADVISORS LLC | 1.09M | -371.08K | -25.37% | 73.91M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.02M | 214.92K | +26.85% | 68.73M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 831.93K | -14.74K | -1.74% | 56.26M |
| PICTET ASSET MANAGEMENT HOLDING SA | 802.24K | -65.73K | -7.57% | 54.29M |
| ATLAS FRM LLC | 740.00K | 684.00K | +1221.43% | 50.09M |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 736.91K | 465.69K | +171.70% | 49.84M |
| NORGES BANK | 675.79K | 675.79K | New | 45.70M |
| T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. | 601.49K | -124.17K | -17.11% | 40.72M |
| SAILINGSTONE CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC | 412.18K | 150.98K | +57.80% | 39.57M |
| FMR LLC | 531.87K | -577.44K | -52.05% | 36.01M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 455.27K | -9.76K | -2.10% | 30.82M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 418.51K | 23.86K | +6.05% | 28.32M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 418.51K | 418.51K | New | 28.32M |
| QV INVESTORS INC. | 355.99K | 119.94K | +50.82% | 24.09M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 344.54K | -533 | -0.15% | 23.32M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 316.58K | 316.58K | New | 21.43M |
| ROBOTTI ROBERT | 296.04K | 163 | +0.06% | 20.02M |
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