Allied Gold (AAUC) Stock Forecast & Price Target
$2.75B
Market Cap
-38.28
P/E
9.55
Forward P/E
71
Score
AAUC price $19.75 -0.45 -2.20%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 49, quality 64, growth 100.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 669551000 | 655691000 | 730382000 | 1331824000 |
Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, explores and produces mineral deposits in Africa. It primarily explores for gold and silver ores. The company’s flagship project is the Sadiola gold project, an open pit mine located in the Republic of Mali. It also holds interest in the Bonikro and Hiré mines located in Côte d’Ivoire; and the Agbaou mine located in Côte d’Ivoire. In addition, the company…
AAUC fair value $141.96. Price $19.75. Price is 86% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 343.27M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 139.35M. Net debt -310.00M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.18 | — | 350.00M |
| 2026-08-05 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 366.30M | 411.50M |
| 2026-05-14 | 0.39 | 0.32 | 394.11M | 458.00M |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.56 | 0.64 | 427.82M | 427.50M |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.29 | 0.47 | 305.62M | 323.50M |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 251.98M | 289.00M |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 346.41M | 360.00M |
| 2025-03-26 | 0.09 | -0.21 | 170.85M | 199.20M |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 188.85M | 209.50M |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 195.61M | 195.25M |
| 2024-03-31 | -0.02 | 0.07 | 175.07M | 176.00M |
| 2023-12-31 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 179.67M | 187.00M |
| 2023-11-10 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 176.69M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 138, holders +24 vs prior quarter. Ownership 61.77%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HELIKON INVESTMENTS LTD | 11.56M | -708.91K | -5.78% | 274.98M |
| FIL LTD | 7.48M | 2.53M | +51.04% | 177.69M |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 3.91M | -126.32K | -3.13% | 131.81M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 4.44M | 1.78M | +67.23% | 105.33M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 4.11M | 1.59M | +63.11% | 97.80M |
| ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. | 2.59M | 797.11K | +44.42% | 80.44M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 3.01M | -758.16K | -20.10% | 71.65M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.75M | 124.13K | +4.73% | 65.26M |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 2.32M | -136.21K | -5.55% | 55.08M |
| LMR PARTNERS LLP | 2.29M | -120.23K | -4.99% | 54.35M |
| MAGNETAR FINANCIAL LLC | 2.11M | -410.06K | -16.28% | 50.06M |
| ODDO BHF ASSET MANAGEMENT SAS | 1.31M | 1.20M | +1097.44% | 44.15M |
| MAN GROUP PLC | 1.83M | 58.25K | +3.28% | 43.54M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 1.83M | 1.08M | +144.48% | 43.40M |
| TORONTO DOMINION BANK | 1.64M | 886.88K | +118.32% | 38.84M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 1.54M | -97.10K | -5.93% | 36.65M |
| CONDIRE MANAGEMENT, LP | 1.39M | 1.39M | New | 33.00M |
| SAND GROVE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLP | 1.35M | 209.79K | +18.48% | 31.93M |
| NORGES BANK | 1.25M | 1.25M | New | 29.66M |
| GRANTHAM, MAYO, VAN OTTERLOO & CO. LLC | 1.15M | 1.15M | New | 27.33M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1.03M | -1.29K | -0.12% | 24.45M |
| OMERS ADMINISTRATION CORP | 834.40K | -417.80K | -33.37% | 19.82M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 828.32K | 33.68K | +4.24% | 19.68M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 738.74K | -1.17M | -61.34% | 17.29M |
| CAPULA MANAGEMENT LTD | 692.46K | -309.54K | -30.89% | 16.47M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
The Allied Gold (AAUC) forecast collects the published price target, analyst ratings, and earnings estimates when they are available.
Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.
A low, average, and high target are shown in the tool when analysts have published them.
A Buy, Hold, and Sell split is shown when analysts have published ratings. It is not a recommendation.
Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $2.07, revenue $1.87 billion. 2027, EPS $6.71, revenue $2.96 billion.
The Stocklytics Score for AAUC is 71 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.
A 12-month average target is shown on this page when analysts have published one.
A consensus is shown when analysts have published ratings. It is not a recommendation.
Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $2.07. The average revenue estimate is $1.87 billion.
No reliable forecast exists that far out.
The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.
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$2.75B
Market Cap
-38.28
P/E
9.55
Forward P/E
71
Score