Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Stock Insights
ACEL$11.23+0.14 +1.31%
$912.21M
Market Cap
16.13
P/E
16.01
Forward P/E
58
Score
Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Stock Insights
ACEL price $11.23 +0.14 +1.31%
- Ticker
- ACEL
- Price
- $11.23
- Change
- +0.14 +1.31%
- Market cap ?
- $912.21M
- P/E ?
- 16.13
- Forward P/E ?
- 16.01
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 1.07
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- Stocklytics score
- 58
- Value
- 64
- Quality
- 50
- Growth
- 59
Stocklytics score rationale: value 64, quality 50, growth 59.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173329965 | 248435000 | 335081000 | 428696000 | 316352000 | 734707000 | 969797000 | 1170420000 | 1230972000 | 1330960000 |
Accel Entertainment, Inc., in conjunction with its subsidiary entities, functions as a leading distributed gaming operator across the United States. The company's primary activities involve the installation, upkeep, and operation of gaming terminals, redemption devices—which facilitate prize disbursement and include automated teller machine (ATM) capabilities—and various other amusement machines. These services are…
Fair value
ACEL fair value $12.97. Price $11.23. Price is 13% below fair value.
Around fair value, but more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 81% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 167.86M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.20% (beta 1.1). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 81.19M. Net debt 332.79M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | — | 0.17 | — | 358.42M |
| 2026-08-04 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 368.12M | 356.66M |
| 2026-05-05 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 351.56M | 342.88M |
| 2026-03-03 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 341.45M | 335.66M |
| 2025-11-04 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 329.69M | 328.04M |
| 2025-08-05 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 335.91M | 326.11M |
| 2025-05-05 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 323.91M | 327.37M |
| 2025-02-27 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 317.51M | 306.07M |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 302.23M | 304.11M |
| 2024-07-30 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 309.41M | 297.03M |
| 2024-05-08 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 301.82M | 295.74M |
| 2024-02-28 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 297.07M | 284.97M |
| 2023-11-07 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 287.50M | 284.33M |
| 2023-08-03 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 292.65M | 276.00M |
| 2023-05-03 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 293.21M | 276.50M |
| 2023-02-28 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 278.07M | 275.54M |
| 2022-11-08 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 266.97M | 269.92M |
| 2022-08-09 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 227.87M | 222.07M |
| 2022-05-04 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 196.89M | 197.80M |
| 2022-03-09 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 192.31M | 191.55M |
| 2021-11-03 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 193.35M | 185.11M |
| 2021-08-04 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 201.97M | 202.55M |
| 2021-05-10 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 147.07M | — |
| 2021-03-16 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 74.41M | — |
| 2020-11-04 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 136.33M | — |
| 2020-08-06 | -0.17 | -0.21 | 379.00K | 379.00K |
| 2020-05-11 | 0.06 | -0.08 | 106.46M | 86.81M |
| 2020-03-16 | -0.18 | — | 424.38M | — |
| 2019-11-01 | -0.06 | — | 101.29M | — |
| 2019-08-02 | 0.07 | — | 104.27M | — |
| 2019-05-08 | 0.06 | — | 97.42M | — |
| 2019-02-13 | 0.04 | — | 87.83M | — |
| 2018-11-05 | 0.03 | — | 81.72M | — |
| 2018-08-03 | 0.03 | — | 76.59M | — |
| 2018-05-08 | 0.02 | — | 76.59M | — |
| 2018-02-14 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| 2017-11-08 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| 2017-08-10 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| 2017-03-31 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-25 | Arntzen Steven W. | Other | 19.28K | — | — |
| 2026-10-16 | Arntzen Steven W. | Buy | 10.00K | — | — |
| 2026-10-16 | Arntzen Steven W. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-10-12 | Feldman Irina | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Houseal John | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Kozlik Christen | Buy | 1.88K | $11.55 | 21.66K |
| 2026-09-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 550 | $11.55 | 6.35K |
| 2026-09-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 1.88K | $11.55 | 21.66K |
| 2026-09-15 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 230 | — | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 13.16K | $11.60 | 152.73K |
| 2026-09-11 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 26.32K | $11.63 | 306.05K |
| 2026-08-10 | Phelan Mark T. | Buy | 55.23K | — | — |
| 2026-08-10 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 335.52K | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 346.83K | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 151.22K | $12.16 | 1.84M |
| 2026-08-07 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 346.83K | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 173.42K | — | — |
| 2026-08-05 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 15.00K | $12.64 | 189.53K |
| 2026-07-15 | Harmer Derek | Buy | 13.33K | — | — |
| 2026-07-15 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 3.91K | $12.31 | 48.10K |
| 2026-07-15 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 13.33K | — | — |
| 2026-07-13 | Guidroz Stan | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-13 | Guidroz Stan | Other | 22.81K | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Summerer Brett Andrew | Buy | 6.61K | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Summerer Brett Andrew | Buy | 4.63K | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Phelan Mark T. | Buy | 41.31K | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Levin Scott D | Buy | 24.96K | — | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Levin Scott D | Buy | 16.22K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Kozlik Christen | Buy | 1.88K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 550 | $13.13 | 7.22K |
| 2026-06-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 1.88K | — | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 20.00K | $13.00 | 260.00K |
| 2026-06-15 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 25.00K | $13.00 | 325.00K |
| 2026-06-10 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 1.50K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | Kozlik Christen | Buy | 16.85K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 78.93K | — | — |
| 2026-06-05 | Harmer Derek | Buy | 42.09K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 1.50K | — | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 25.00K | $12.09 | 302.21K |
| 2026-05-29 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 2.23K | — | — |
| 2026-05-27 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 4.20K | — | — |
| 2026-05-26 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 4.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Kozlik Christen | Buy | 4.90K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 1.44K | $11.61 | 16.68K |
| 2026-05-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 4.90K | — | — |
| 2026-05-11 | WARDINSKI BRUCE D | Buy | 50.00K | $11.55 | 577.50K |
| 2026-05-08 | Rubenstein Gordon | Sell | 7.99K | $11.55 | 92.26K |
| 2026-05-08 | Rubenstein Gordon | Sell | 4.95K | $11.55 | 57.15K |
| 2026-05-08 | Rubenstein Gordon | Sell | 9.00K | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | WARDINSKI BRUCE D | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Rubenstein Gordon | Sell | 28.62K | $11.34 | 324.55K |
| 2026-05-07 | Rubenstein Gordon | Sell | 17.73K | $11.34 | 201.05K |
| 2026-04-01 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 45.00K | $11.05 | 497.28K |
| 2026-03-19 | Philips Kathleen | Buy | 13.91K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Philips Kathleen | Buy | 9.94K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Rubenstein Gordon | Buy | 27.83K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Robinson Dee M | Buy | 13.91K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Robinson Dee M | Buy | 6.90K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Ruttenberg David W. | Buy | 13.91K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Ruttenberg David W. | Buy | 8.09K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Rotman Kenneth | Buy | 13.91K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Rotman Kenneth | Buy | 6.16K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Peterson Karl Mr. | Buy | 26.81K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Kondra Cheryl | Buy | 13.91K | — | — |
| 2026-03-19 | Kondra Cheryl | Buy | 9.50K | — | — |
| 2026-03-17 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 3.94K | $11.23 | 44.22K |
| 2026-03-16 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 7.12K | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 36.06K | $11.21 | 404.43K |
| 2026-03-16 | Harmer Derek | Buy | 1.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Phelan Mark T. | Buy | 9.65K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 2.83K | $11.29 | 31.92K |
| 2026-03-15 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 9.65K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 26.84K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 11.70K | $11.29 | 132.10K |
| 2026-03-15 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 26.84K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Harmer Derek | Buy | 7.73K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 2.27K | $11.29 | 25.57K |
| 2026-03-15 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 7.73K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 1.88K | $7.80 | 14.62K |
| 2026-03-15 | Kozlik Christen | Buy | 1.88K | — | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Kozlik Christen | Sell | 550 | $11.29 | 6.21K |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 102.03K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 10.46K | $11.29 | 118.14K |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Buy | 10.55K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 3.09K | $11.29 | 34.89K |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Buy | 1.78K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 523 | $11.29 | 5.90K |
| 2026-03-14 | Phelan Mark T. | Sell | 10.55K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 102.03K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 30.13K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 11.90K | $11.29 | 134.38K |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Buy | 6.96K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 1.99K | $11.29 | 22.47K |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 44.49K | $11.29 | 502.25K |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 102.03K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Rubenstein Andrew H. | Sell | 6.96K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Harmer Derek | Buy | 23.04K | — | — |
| 2026-03-14 | Harmer Derek | Sell | 6.75K | $11.29 | 76.21K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 175, holders +1 vs prior quarter. Ownership 55.86%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DARLINGTON PARTNERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 8.10M | 0 | 0.00% | 102.12M |
| GREENVALE CAPITAL LLP | 5.63M | -227.25K | -3.88% | 71.02M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.92M | 780.46K | +18.84% | 62.08M |
| HILL PATH CAPITAL LP | 2.79M | 0 | 0.00% | 35.17M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.52M | -80.11K | -3.08% | 31.75M |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1.74M | 415.34K | +31.27% | 21.99M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.37M | 78.22K | +6.07% | 17.25M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.35M | 115.10K | +9.35% | 16.97M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 1.07M | -12.80K | -1.18% | 13.49M |
| HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 886.27K | -19.65K | -2.17% | 11.18M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 825.23K | 48.37K | +6.23% | 10.41M |
| ALGERT GLOBAL LLC | 801.70K | -3.11K | -0.39% | 10.11M |
| LPL FINANCIAL LLC | 796.77K | -150.00K | -15.84% | 10.05M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 712.11K | -32.90K | -4.42% | 8.98M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 686.83K | 3.04K | +0.44% | 8.66M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 673.61K | 673.61K | New | 8.49M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 673.61K | 126.83K | +23.20% | 8.49M |
| HUB INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LLC | 668.81K | 313 | +0.05% | 8.43M |
| HILLSDALE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC. | 537.00K | 56.20K | +11.69% | 6.77M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 474.46K | 31.70K | +7.16% | 5.98M |
| HIGHTOWER ADVISORS, LLC | 432.05K | 42 | +0.01% | 5.45M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 405.08K | 3.38K | +0.84% | 5.11M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 377.39K | 165.03K | +77.72% | 4.76M |
| CIBC BANCORP USA INC. | 376.42K | -161 | -0.04% | 4.75M |
| TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | 360.50K | 61.61K | +20.61% | 4.55M |
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