Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Stock Insights

ADM price $77.23 -0.97 -1.24%

Ticker
ADM
Price
$77.23
Change
-0.97 -1.24%
Market cap ?
$37.22B
P/E ?
21.16
Forward P/E ?
13.97
Dividend yield ?
2.68%
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Agricultural Farm Products
Stocklytics score
51
Value
58
Quality
38
Growth
57

Stocklytics score rationale: value 58, quality 38, growth 57.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
623460000006082800000064341000000646560000006435500000085249000000101556000000939350000008553000000080269000000

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) stands as a major global enterprise in the agricultural sector, focused on the sourcing, transportation, storage, processing, and distribution of a wide array of agricultural commodities, finished goods, and essential ingredients. Its expansive operations span numerous countries, including pivotal markets such as the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico…

Fair value

ADM fair value $89.34. Price $77.23. Price is 14% below fair value.

Around fair value, but more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 82% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 2.80B. Growth 5.96%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 481.96M. Net debt 8.74B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare ADM

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-03—1.60—23.27B
2026-08-041.841.4222.68B22.75B
2026-05-050.710.6620.49B21.35B
2026-02-030.870.8018.56B21.06B
2025-11-040.920.8520.37B20.77B
2025-08-050.930.8221.17B22.03B
2025-05-060.700.6620.18B22.08B
2025-02-041.141.1121.50B22.77B
2024-11-181.091.1919.94B21.48B
2024-07-301.031.2222.25B23.12B
2024-04-301.461.3721.85B22.26B
2024-03-121.361.4222.98B23.79B
2023-10-241.631.5021.70B23.69B
2023-07-251.891.5925.19B25.66B
2023-04-252.091.7824.07B24.29B
2023-01-261.931.6426.23B25.28B
2022-10-251.861.4224.68B22.18B
2022-07-262.151.7527.28B24.90B
2022-04-261.901.4123.65B20.78B
2022-01-251.501.3623.09B20.21B
2021-10-260.970.9120.34B17.78B
2021-07-271.331.0122.93B17.78B
2021-04-271.391.0018.89B16.32B
2021-01-261.211.1017.98B16.44B
2020-10-290.890.7115.13B12.07B
2020-07-290.850.5116.28B13.43B
2020-04-290.640.5314.97B12.86B
2020-01-291.420.7216.33B11.86B
2019-10-310.770.6716.73B14.99B
2019-08-010.600.6116.30B16.57B
2019-04-260.460.6215.30B19.96B
2019-02-050.880.9215.95B16.67B
2018-11-060.920.8015.80B14.25B
2018-07-311.020.7817.07B12.88B
2018-05-010.680.4715.53B11.42B
2018-02-060.820.7016.07B13.72B
2017-10-310.450.5514.83B18.45B
2017-08-010.570.5214.94B13.63B
2017-05-020.600.6114.99B15.49B
2017-02-070.750.8016.50B16.94B

Dividends

Yield 2.68%. Payout ratio 56.61%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 89/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 57% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 44 separate years. Yield is 2.7%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-08-19$0.522026-08-192026-09-09Quarterly
2026-05-20$0.522026-05-202026-06-10Quarterly
2026-02-17$0.522026-02-172026-03-10Quarterly
2025-11-19$0.512025-11-192025-12-11Quarterly
2025-08-20$0.512025-08-202025-09-10Quarterly
2025-05-21$0.512025-05-212025-06-11Quarterly
2025-02-18$0.512025-02-182025-03-11Quarterly
2024-11-21$0.502024-11-212024-12-12Quarterly
2024-08-21$0.502024-08-212024-09-11Quarterly
2024-05-15$0.502024-05-162024-06-05Quarterly
2024-02-07$0.502024-02-082024-02-29Quarterly
2023-11-14$0.452023-11-152023-12-06Quarterly
2023-08-15$0.452023-08-162023-09-06Quarterly
2023-05-16$0.452023-05-172023-06-07Quarterly
2023-02-08$0.452023-02-092023-03-02Quarterly
2022-11-15$0.402022-11-162022-12-07Quarterly
2022-08-16$0.402022-08-172022-09-07Quarterly
2022-05-17$0.402022-05-182022-06-08Quarterly
2022-02-07$0.402022-02-082022-03-01Quarterly
2021-11-16$0.372021-11-172021-12-08Quarterly
2021-08-17$0.372021-08-182021-09-08Quarterly
2021-05-18$0.372021-05-192021-06-09Quarterly
2021-02-08$0.372021-02-092021-03-02Quarterly
2020-11-18$0.362020-11-192020-12-10Quarterly
2020-08-18$0.362020-08-192020-09-09Quarterly
2020-05-19$0.362020-05-202020-06-10Quarterly
2020-02-12$0.362020-02-132020-03-05Quarterly
2019-11-20$0.352019-11-212019-12-12Quarterly
2019-08-21$0.352019-08-222019-09-12Quarterly
2019-05-14$0.352019-05-152019-06-05Quarterly
2019-02-15$0.352019-02-192019-03-12Quarterly
2018-11-21$0.342018-11-232018-12-14Quarterly
2018-08-15$0.342018-08-162018-09-06Quarterly
2018-05-16$0.342018-05-172018-06-07Quarterly
2018-02-16$0.342018-02-202018-03-13Quarterly
2017-11-15$0.322017-11-162017-12-07Quarterly
2017-08-15$0.322017-08-172017-09-07Quarterly
2017-05-16$0.322017-05-182017-06-08Quarterly
2017-02-16$0.322017-02-212017-03-14Quarterly
2016-11-14$0.302016-11-162016-12-07Quarterly
2016-08-15$0.302016-08-172016-09-07Quarterly
2016-05-16$0.302016-05-182016-06-08Quarterly
2016-02-11$0.302016-02-162016-03-08Quarterly
2015-11-16$0.282015-11-182015-12-09Quarterly
2015-08-17$0.282015-08-192015-09-09Quarterly
2015-05-19$0.282015-05-212015-06-11Quarterly
2015-02-12$0.282015-02-172015-03-10Quarterly
2014-11-18$0.242014-11-202014-12-11Quarterly
2014-08-19$0.242014-08-212014-09-11Quarterly
2014-05-13$0.242014-05-152014-06-05Quarterly
2014-02-18$0.242014-02-202014-03-13Quarterly
2013-11-12$0.192013-11-142013-12-05Quarterly
2013-08-20$0.192013-08-222013-09-12Quarterly
2013-05-14$0.192013-05-162013-06-06Quarterly
2013-02-15$0.192013-02-202013-03-13Quarterly
2012-11-13$0.172012-11-152012-12-06Quarterly
2012-08-14$0.172012-08-162012-09-06Quarterly
2012-05-15$0.172012-05-172012-06-07Quarterly
2012-02-14$0.172012-02-162012-03-08Quarterly
2011-11-15$0.172011-11-172011-12-08Quarterly
2011-08-16$0.162011-08-182011-09-08Quarterly
2011-05-17$0.162011-05-192011-06-09Quarterly
2011-02-15$0.162011-02-172011-03-10Quarterly
2010-11-16$0.152010-11-182010-12-09Quarterly
2010-08-17$0.152010-08-192010-09-09Quarterly
2010-05-18$0.152010-05-202010-06-10Quarterly
2010-02-16$0.152010-02-182010-03-11Quarterly
2009-11-17$0.142009-11-192009-12-10Quarterly
2009-08-18$0.142009-08-202009-09-10Quarterly
2009-05-19$0.142009-05-212009-06-11Quarterly
2009-02-17$0.142009-02-192009-03-12Quarterly
2008-11-18$0.132008-11-202008-12-11Quarterly
2008-08-19$0.132008-08-212008-09-11Quarterly
2008-05-13$0.132008-05-152008-06-05Quarterly
2008-02-14$0.132008-02-192008-03-11Quarterly
2007-11-20$0.122007-11-232007-12-06Quarterly
2007-08-13$0.122007-08-152007-09-05Quarterly
2007-05-15$0.122007-05-172007-06-07Quarterly
2007-02-14$0.122007-02-162007-03-09Quarterly
2006-11-15$0.102006-11-172006-12-18Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-01WESTBROOK KELVIN RBuy722——
2026-10-01Schlitz Lei ZhangBuy722——
2026-10-01Sandler Debra A.Buy800——
2026-10-01MOORE PATRICK JBuy722——
2026-10-01McMurray Michael C.Buy722——
2026-10-01McAtee David R IIBuy722——
2026-10-01Harrison Suzan F.Buy800——
2026-10-01de Brabander EllenBuy722——
2026-10-01CREWS TERRELL KBuy878——
2026-10-01Collins James C. Jr.Buy800——
2026-10-01COLBERT THEODORE IIIBuy722——
2026-10-01Burke Michael SBuy831——
2026-09-09WESTBROOK KELVIN RBuy215——
2026-09-09Schlitz Lei ZhangBuy110——
2026-09-09Sandler Debra A.Buy184——
2026-09-09McAtee David R IIBuy36——
2026-09-09MOORE PATRICK JBuy616——
2026-09-09Harrison Suzan F.Buy120——
2026-09-09McMurray Michael C.Buy5——
2026-09-09de Brabander EllenBuy67——
2026-09-09CREWS TERRELL KBuy412——
2026-09-09Collins James C. Jr.Buy79——
2026-09-09COLBERT THEODORE IIIBuy111——
2026-09-09Burke Michael SBuy121——
2026-09-08Jones ReginaSell1.71K$84.61144.34K
2026-08-17Rowe Jeffrey DBuy259.94K——
2026-08-17Rowe Jeffrey DOther0——
2026-08-03Patolawala Monish DSell6.72K$79.27532.69K
2026-07-01WESTBROOK KELVIN RBuy747——
2026-07-01Sandler Debra A.Buy766——
2026-07-01MOORE PATRICK JBuy747——
2026-07-01Collins James C. Jr.Buy766——
2026-07-01Schlitz Lei ZhangBuy716——
2026-07-01McMurray Michael C.Buy716——
2026-07-01McAtee David R IIBuy716——
2026-07-01Harrison Suzan F.Buy797——
2026-07-01de Brabander EllenBuy716——
2026-07-01CREWS TERRELL KBuy878——
2026-07-01COLBERT THEODORE IIIBuy716——
2026-07-01Burke Michael SBuy829——
2026-06-10McAtee David R IIBuy34——
2026-06-10WESTBROOK KELVIN RBuy220——
2026-06-10Harrison Suzan F.Buy121——
2026-06-10Schlitz Lei ZhangBuy110——
2026-06-10de Brabander EllenBuy65——
2026-06-10McMurray Michael C.Buy1——
2026-06-10CREWS TERRELL KBuy427——
2026-06-10Sandler Debra A.Buy188——
2026-06-10Collins James C. Jr.Buy78——
2026-06-10MOORE PATRICK JBuy642——
2026-06-10COLBERT THEODORE IIIBuy112——
2026-06-10Burke Michael SBuy122——
2026-04-01Schlitz Lei ZhangBuy707——
2026-04-01Sandler Debra A.Buy707——
2026-04-01MOORE PATRICK JBuy793——
2026-04-01McAtee David R IIBuy707——
2026-04-01Harrison Suzan F.Buy793——
2026-04-01WESTBROOK KELVIN RBuy793——
2026-04-01McMurray Michael C.Buy181——
2026-04-01de Brabander EllenBuy707——
2026-04-01CREWS TERRELL KBuy879——
2026-04-01Collins James C. Jr.Buy707——
2026-04-01COLBERT THEODORE IIIBuy707——
2026-04-01Burke Michael SBuy828——
2026-03-20LUCIANO JUAN RSell16.88K$68.641.16M
2026-03-18Jones ReginaSell2.42K$72.12174.60K
2026-03-18Morris Gregory ASell3.19K$72.12230.42K
2026-03-18Cuddy Christopher MSell3.00K$72.12216.43K
2026-03-18Pinner Ian RSell2.90K$72.12209.44K
2026-03-18Weber Jennifer LSell2.03K$72.12146.62K
2026-03-13Cuddy Christopher MSell35.00K$73.502.57M
2026-03-13Pinner Ian RSell34.11K$71.532.44M
2026-03-10WESTBROOK KELVIN RBuy254——
2026-03-10McAtee David R IIBuy34——
2026-03-10Schlitz Lei ZhangBuy125——
2026-03-10CREWS TERRELL KBuy497——
2026-03-10Collins James C. Jr.Buy87——
2026-03-10COLBERT THEODORE IIIBuy127——
2026-03-10Sandler Debra A.Buy216——
2026-03-10de Brabander EllenBuy72——
2026-03-10MOORE PATRICK JBuy751——
2026-03-10Harrison Suzan F.Buy137——
2026-03-10Burke Michael SBuy138——
2026-03-10Morris Gregory ASell50.00K$68.483.42M
2026-03-03Nichol Carrie AnnSell5.37K$69.61373.60K
2026-02-17Weber Jennifer LSell25.00K$67.041.68M
2026-02-13Weber Jennifer LSell2.54K$69.50176.25K
2026-02-13Pinner Ian RSell3.77K$69.50261.95K
2026-02-13Patolawala Monish DSell9.16K$69.50636.69K
2026-02-13Morris Gregory ASell4.35K$69.50302.32K
2026-02-13LUCIANO JUAN RSell23.33K$69.501.62M
2026-02-13Jones ReginaSell2.96K$69.50205.58K
2026-02-13Cuddy Christopher MSell4.32K$69.50300.10K
2026-02-12Nichol Carrie AnnBuy7.57K——
2026-02-12Weber Jennifer LBuy13.09K——
2026-02-12Pinner Ian RBuy17.84K——
2026-02-12Patolawala Monish DBuy40.00K——
2026-02-12Morris Gregory ABuy18.99K——
2026-02-12LUCIANO JUAN RBuy106.47K——
2026-02-12Jones ReginaBuy16.12K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 1.21K, holders +50 vs prior quarter. Ownership 90.34%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE CO46.80M00.00%3.58B
BLACKROCK, INC.44.62M1.76M+4.11%3.41B
STATE STREET CORP33.64M-26.72K-0.08%2.57B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC31.49M251.07K+0.80%2.41B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC26.92M875.23K+3.36%2.06B
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP17.67M382.46K+2.21%1.35B
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.16.62M16.62MNew1.27B
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC16.62M1.31M+8.54%1.27B
DODGE & COX14.18M-1.57M-9.99%1.08B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC13.31M271.33K+2.08%1.01B
NORTHERN TRUST CORP11.45M-637.28K-5.27%875.14M
MORGAN STANLEY7.03M-614.59K-8.04%537.15M
NORGES BANK6.82M6.82MNew521.09M
INVESCO LTD.5.77M-338.21K-5.54%440.77M
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC4.81M-953.81K-16.55%367.50M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC4.79M1.20M+33.23%366.29M
CAPITAL WEALTH PLANNING, LLC4.15M4.15MNew317.17M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP3.89M81.41K+2.14%297.03M
FMR LLC3.67M1.09M+42.00%280.70M
PACER ADVISORS, INC.3.39M-468.16K-12.15%258.62M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP3.37M-63.62K-1.85%257.39M
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC2.88M112.98K+4.09%219.68M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO2.71M1.85K+0.07%206.73M
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC2.59M-131.96K-4.84%198.23M
PROSHARE ADVISORS LLC2.38M-153.72K-6.06%182.06M

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2010Intersegment elimination and Corporate: -2515000000.0
FY2011Agricultural Services: 3726000000.0, Corn Processing: 194000000.0, Intersegment elimination and Corporate: -6188000000.0, Oilseeds Processing: 2118000000.0, Other: 150000000.0
FY2012Agricultural Services: 5609000000.0, Corn Processing: 173000000.0, Intersegment Elimination: -8218000000.0, Oilseeds Processing: 2275000000.0, Other Segment: 161000000.0
FY2013Other Segments: 515000000.0
FY2014Other Segments: 885000000.0
FY2015Other Segments: 634000000.0
FY2016Other Segments: 585000000.0
FY2017Other Segments: 387000000.0
FY2018Carbohydrate Solutions: 11421000000.0, Nutrition: 3835000000.0, Other Segments: 381000000.0
FY2019Ag Services and Oilseeds: 54633000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 11154000000.0, Nutrition: 5786000000.0, Other Segments: 352000000.0
FY2020Ag Services and Oilseeds: 55667000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 9423000000.0, Nutrition: 5959000000.0, Other Segments: 367000000.0
FY2021Ag Services and Oilseeds: 70455000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 12672000000.0, Nutrition: 6933000000.0, Other Segments: 380000000.0
FY2022Ag Services and Oilseeds: 83686000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 16336000000.0, Nutrition: 7836000000.0, Other Segments: 396000000.0
FY2023Ag Services and Oilseeds: 77458000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 14539000000.0, Nutrition: 7466000000.0, Other Segments: 424000000.0
FY2024Ag Services and Oilseeds: 66516000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 11234000000.0, Nutrition: 7349000000.0
FY2025Ag Services and Oilseeds: 61571000000.0, Carbohydrate Solutions: 10737000000.0, Nutrition: 7512000000.0
Revenue by region
PeriodValue
FY2010GERMANY: 6424000000.0, Other Foreign: 21896000000.0, UNITED STATES: 33362000000.0
FY2011GERMANY: 6217000000.0, Other Foreign: 23656000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 8413000000.0, UNITED STATES: 42390000000.0
FY2012C: 9698000000.0, D: 9656000000.0, Other Foreign: 23091000000.0, U: 46593000000.0
FY2013GERMANY: 10029000000.0, Other Foreign: 27881000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 10467000000.0, UNITED STATES: 41427000000.0
FY2014GERMANY: 7174000000.0, Other Foreign: 24300000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 10118000000.0, UNITED STATES: 39609000000.0
FY2015GERMANY: 3436000000.0, Other Foreign: 20757000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 11681000000.0, UNITED STATES: 31828000000.0
FY2016CAYMAN ISLANDS: 3617000000.0, GERMANY: 2341000000.0, Other Foreign: 13556000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 13413000000.0, UNITED STATES: 29419000000.0
FY2017CAYMAN ISLANDS: 4189000000.0, GERMANY: 2090000000.0, Other Foreign: 12560000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 14095000000.0, UNITED STATES: 27894000000.0
FY2018CAYMAN ISLANDS: 5724000000.0, GERMANY: 2179000000.0, Other Foreign: 14801000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 12911000000.0, UNITED STATES: 28726000000.0
FY2019BRAZIL: 2381000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 4374000000.0, GERMANY: 2026000000.0, Other Foreign: 15350000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 13016000000.0, UNITED STATES: 27509000000.0
FY2020BRAZIL: 2357000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 3958000000.0, GERMANY: 1979000000.0, MEXICO: 2244000000.0, Other Foreign: 14012000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 13819000000.0, UNITED STATES: 25986000000.0
FY2021BRAZIL: 3213000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 5515000000.0, MEXICO: 2934000000.0, Other Foreign: 17890000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 18453000000.0, UNITED KINGDOM: 1848000000.0, UNITED STATES: 35396000000.0
FY2022BRAZIL: 4004000000.0, CANADA: 2272000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 5883000000.0, MEXICO: 3709000000.0, Other Foreign: 18364000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 21821000000.0, UNITED KINGDOM: 2231000000.0, UNITED STATES: 43272000000.0
FY2023BRAZIL: 3361000000.0, CANADA: 2400000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 7646000000.0, MEXICO: 3185000000.0, Other Foreign: 16443000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 19898000000.0, UNITED KINGDOM: 2219000000.0, UNITED STATES: 38783000000.0
FY2024BRAZIL: 3353000000.0, CANADA: 2055000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 5603000000.0, MEXICO: 3209000000.0, Other Foreign: 15697000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 19877000000.0, UNITED KINGDOM: 2186000000.0, UNITED STATES: 33550000000.0
FY2025BRAZIL: 3358000000.0, CANADA: 1767000000.0, CAYMAN ISLANDS: 6093000000.0, MEXICO: 2741000000.0, Other Foreign: 15227000000.0, SWITZERLAND: 17793000000.0, UNITED KINGDOM: 2115000000.0, UNITED STATES: 31175000000.0

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Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Stock Insights

ADM$77.23-0.97 -1.24%

$37.22B

Market Cap

21.16

P/E

13.97

Forward P/E

51

Score

Price History