AerCap (AER) Stock Forecast & Price Target
$24.96B
Market Cap
7.59
P/E
8.33
Forward P/E
45
Score
AER price $158.82 +3.34 +2.15%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 46, quality 39, growth 50.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5043031000 | 5037493000 | 4799980000 | 4937340000 | 4493629000 | 4588930000 | 7013550000 | 7580418000 | 7996644000 | 8188951999 |
AerCap Holdings N.V., a company founded in 1995 and based in Dublin, Ireland, operates extensively in the global aviation industry. The firm specializes in the acquisition, leasing, funding, sale, and general management of commercial aircraft and engines. Its operations span crucial international markets, including China, Hong Kong, Macau, the United States, and Ireland, alongside its broader global activities. A…
AER fair value $130.90. Price $158.82. Price is 21% above fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-05 | — | 4.51 | — | 2.15B |
| 2026-10-28 | 6.56 | 4.56 | 2.42B | 2.15B |
| 2026-07-29 | 5.14 | 4.14 | 2.17B | 2.10B |
| 2026-04-29 | 5.39 | 3.72 | 2.24B | 2.07B |
| 2026-02-06 | 3.95 | 3.40 | 2.24B | 2.11B |
| 2025-10-29 | 4.97 | 3.10 | 1.89B | 1.98B |
| 2025-07-30 | 2.83 | 2.68 | 1.89B | 2.01B |
| 2025-04-30 | 3.68 | 2.75 | 2.08B | 2.01B |
| 2025-02-26 | 3.31 | 2.57 | 2.07B | 1.96B |
| 2024-10-30 | 2.41 | 2.41 | 1.95B | 1.92B |
| 2024-08-01 | 3.01 | 2.37 | 1.89B | 1.89B |
| 2024-05-01 | 3.29 | 2.41 | 1.93B | 1.95B |
| 2024-02-23 | 3.11 | 2.44 | 1.73B | 1.91B |
| 2023-10-27 | 2.81 | 2.44 | 1.89B | 1.90B |
| 2023-07-31 | 2.56 | 2.06 | 1.92B | 1.89B |
| 2023-05-02 | 2.34 | 1.98 | 1.87B | 1.82B |
| 2023-03-02 | 2.66 | 1.98 | 1.80B | 1.76B |
| 2022-11-03 | 2.21 | 1.38 | 1.69B | 1.65B |
| 2022-08-11 | 1.91 | 1.45 | 1.63B | 1.62B |
| 2022-05-17 | 2.23 | 1.39 | 1.79B | 1.90B |
| 2022-03-30 | 0.44 | 1.94 | 1.44B | 1.35B |
| 2021-11-10 | 3.35 | 2.37 | 1.01B | 704.55M |
| 2021-07-29 | 1.92 | 1.38 | 1.04B | 1.09B |
| 2021-04-28 | 1.93 | 1.12 | 1.10B | 1.02B |
| 2021-03-02 | 1.02 | 0.83 | 1.03B | 1.02B |
| 2020-11-10 | 1.24 | 1.37 | 1.03B | 5.92B |
| 2020-07-29 | 1.82 | 1.37 | 1.20B | 847.17M |
| 2020-05-05 | 2.14 | 1.75 | 1.24B | 964.80M |
| 2020-02-13 | 2.34 | 1.95 | 1.26B | 1.01B |
| 2019-11-08 | 2.01 | 1.89 | 1.19B | 1.08B |
| 2019-07-30 | 2.42 | 1.66 | 1.28B | 825.28M |
| 2019-05-01 | 1.68 | 1.61 | 1.21B | 1.13B |
| 2019-02-14 | 1.62 | 1.65 | 1.22B | 1.20B |
| 2018-10-30 | 1.79 | 1.58 | 1.17B | 1.01B |
| 2018-07-30 | 1.70 | 1.47 | 1.19B | 988.70M |
| 2018-05-03 | 1.73 | 1.57 | 1.22B | 1.03B |
| 2018-02-14 | 1.67 | 1.43 | 1.26B | 1.04B |
| 2017-11-02 | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1.27B | 1.09B |
| 2017-08-03 | 1.67 | 1.41 | 1.26B | 1.01B |
| 2017-05-09 | 1.62 | 1.44 | 1.24B | 1.16B |
Yield 0.93%. Payout ratio 6.60%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 65/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 7% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividends were paid in 3 separate years. Yield is 0.9%, which is modest.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | $0.40 | 2026-08-12 | 2026-09-03 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-13 | $0.40 | 2026-05-13 | 2026-06-04 | Quarterly |
| 2026-02-25 | $0.40 | 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-19 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-12 | $0.27 | 2025-11-12 | 2025-12-04 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-13 | $0.27 | 2025-08-13 | 2025-09-04 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-14 | $0.27 | 2025-05-14 | 2025-06-05 | Quarterly |
| 2025-03-12 | $0.27 | 2025-03-12 | 2025-04-03 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-13 | $0.25 | 2024-11-13 | 2024-12-05 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-14 | $0.25 | 2024-08-14 | 2024-09-05 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-21 | $0.25 | 2024-05-22 | 2024-06-13 | Quarterly |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Forst Rita | Sell | 2.00K | $155.64 | 311.28K |
| 2026-08-06 | Forst Rita | Sell | 2.00K | $155.64 | 311.28K |
| 2026-06-15 | Stuart Cormac | Sell | 11.64K | $143.21 | 1.67M |
| 2026-05-12 | Juhas Peter | Sell | 23.84K | $143.77 | 3.43M |
| 2026-05-12 | Juhas Peter | Sell | 43.80K | $145.02 | 6.35M |
| 2026-05-12 | Juhas Peter | Sell | 8.19K | $145.85 | 1.20M |
| 2026-05-12 | Juhas Peter | Sell | 164 | $146.51 | 24.03K |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 740 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 337 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 632 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 265 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 240 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 240 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 240 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 240 | — | — |
| 2026-05-08 | Warden Robert G | Buy | 240 | — | — |
| 2026-05-07 | Drouillard Vincent | Sell | 4.50K | $150.00 | 675.60K |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 2.56K | $147.59 | 378.27K |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 11.16K | $148.43 | 1.66M |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 8.20K | $149.19 | 1.22M |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 3.07K | $150.35 | 461.72K |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 2.56K | $147.59 | 378.13K |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 11.16K | $148.43 | 1.66M |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 8.20K | $149.19 | 1.22M |
| 2026-05-06 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 3.07K | $150.35 | 461.72K |
| 2026-04-20 | Kelly Aengus | Buy | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 152.01K | $147.45 | 22.41M |
| 2026-04-20 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Juhas Peter | Buy | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Juhas Peter | Sell | 11.80K | $147.45 | 1.74M |
| 2026-04-20 | Juhas Peter | Sell | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Drouillard Vincent | Buy | 15.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | Drouillard Vincent | Sell | 5.90K | $147.45 | 870.40K |
| 2026-04-20 | Drouillard Vincent | Sell | 15.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | PARKER W DOUGLAS | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Warden Robert G | Buy | 3.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 1.24K | $148.97 | 184.42K |
| 2026-04-15 | Warden Robert G | Sell | 1.47K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Forst Rita | Buy | 3.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Forst Rita | Sell | 1.61K | $148.97 | 239.25K |
| 2026-04-15 | Forst Rita | Sell | 1.47K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Branch Julian Bradford | Buy | 25.04K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Branch Julian Bradford | Sell | 12.02K | $148.97 | 1.79M |
| 2026-04-15 | Branch Julian Bradford | Sell | 20.00K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Cartwright Stacey | Buy | 3.35K | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | Cartwright Stacey | Sell | 1.61K | $148.97 | 239.25K |
| 2026-04-15 | Cartwright Stacey | Sell | 1.47K | — | — |
| 2026-03-24 | Stuart Cormac | Buy | 109 | $135.21 | 14.74K |
| 2026-03-18 | Jarman Victoria Clare | Other | 1.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | VanBelle Jennifer | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | VanBelle Jennifer | Other | 807 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Stuart Cormac | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Stuart Cormac | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kelly Aengus | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kelly Aengus | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kelly Aengus | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Kelly Aengus | Other | 500.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Juhas Peter | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Juhas Peter | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Juhas Peter | Other | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | LAWRENCE JAMES A | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | LAWRENCE JAMES A | Other | 1.42K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Warden Robert G | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Warden Robert G | Other | 807 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Walsh Michael George | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Walsh Michael George | Other | 1.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Forst Rita | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Forst Rita | Other | 807 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Drouillard Vincent | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Drouillard Vincent | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Drouillard Vincent | Other | 15.00K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | DACIER PAUL T | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | DACIER PAUL T | Other | 2.04K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Cartwright Stacey | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Cartwright Stacey | Other | 807 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Branch Julian Bradford | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Branch Julian Bradford | Other | 1.22K | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Anderson Peter Deane | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Anderson Peter Deane | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2018-05-31 | Scruggs Philip Gene | Sell | 742.00K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | Korteweg Pieter | Buy | 5.71K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | Gradon Michael | Buy | 3.39K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | Warden Robert G | Buy | 2.25K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | Jonkhart Marius | Buy | 3.39K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | CHAPMAN JAMES N | Buy | 3.96K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | Al Noaimi Salem Rashed Abdulla Ali | Buy | 2.25K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | DACIER PAUL T | Buy | 2.94K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | LAWRENCE JAMES A | Buy | 3.39K | — | — |
| 2017-12-31 | Walsh Michael George | Buy | 2.25K | — | — |
| 2017-12-11 | Scruggs Philip Gene | Buy | 320.00K | — | — |
| 2017-08-24 | Walsh Michael George | Buy | 500 | $48.58 | 24.29K |
| 2017-08-09 | LAWRENCE JAMES A | Buy | 46.72K | $49.69 | 2.32M |
| 2017-08-07 | LAWRENCE JAMES A | Buy | 53.28K | $49.91 | 2.66M |
| 2017-08-07 | Gradon Michael | Sell | 742 | $50.16 | 37.22K |
| 2017-08-04 | Kelly Aengus | Sell | 100.00K | $49.87 | 4.99M |
| 2017-05-30 | den Dikken Wouter Marinus | Sell | 50.00K | $43.99 | 2.20M |
| 2017-05-11 | CHAPMAN JAMES N | Sell | 4.00K | $44.58 | 178.32K |
| 2017-05-11 | den Dikken Wouter Marinus | Buy | 52.39K | — | — |
| 2017-05-11 | den Dikken Wouter Marinus | Sell | 100.00K | $2.95 | 295.00K |
| 2017-05-05 | Walsh Michael George | Other | 0 | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 720, holders +33 vs prior quarter. Ownership 87.77%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 13.75M | 810.42K | +6.26% | 2.00B |
| HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P | 6.46M | 558.52K | +9.46% | 941.76M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 5.35M | 257.54K | +5.06% | 780.15M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 3.39M | -140.61K | -3.98% | 494.92M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 3.34M | 264.37K | +8.61% | 492.12M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 3.18M | -916.29K | -22.36% | 463.87M |
| DONALD SMITH & CO., INC. | 2.91M | -238.17K | -7.56% | 424.58M |
| 59 NORTH CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 2.79M | -328.96K | -10.53% | 407.37M |
| FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC | 2.61M | -1.17M | -31.00% | 381.17M |
| ARGA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LP | 2.52M | 2.52M | New | 367.49M |
| LYRICAL ASSET MANAGEMENT LP | 2.48M | -118.12K | -4.54% | 362.08M |
| ALLSPRING GLOBAL INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS, LLC | 2.51M | 95.83K | +3.98% | 355.63M |
| NORGES BANK | 2.43M | 2.43M | New | 353.66M |
| LONDON CO OF VIRGINIA | 2.42M | -120.98K | -4.76% | 353.25M |
| MAWER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD. | 2.42M | -259.62K | -9.69% | 352.82M |
| WGI DM, LLC | 2.38M | -82.47K | -3.34% | 347.63M |
| AMUNDI | 2.07M | -16.73K | -0.80% | 301.99M |
| NINETY ONE UK LTD | 2.03M | -778.31K | -27.69% | 296.23M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2.02M | 179.58K | +9.76% | 294.47M |
| LORD, ABBETT & CO. LLC | 1.76M | -9.85K | -0.56% | 255.93M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 1.63M | -31.50K | -1.90% | 237.96M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.61M | 43.65K | +2.79% | 232.46M |
| HIGH GROUND INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLP | 1.59M | 381.56K | +31.49% | 232.25M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 1.59M | 46.65K | +3.02% | 231.96M |
| AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD | 1.53M | 83.46K | +5.76% | 223.41M |
Consensus Buy from 10 analysts. Average price target $178.00, +12.1% versus the current price. Low $165.00. High $190.00.
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $178.00 for AerCap Holdings (AER), 11.8% above the current price of $159.16. Of 10 analysts covering the stock, 9 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.
Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.
| Low | $165.00 |
|---|---|
| Average | $178.00 |
| High | $190.00 |
The average is 11.8% above the current price of $159.16.
Of 10 analysts, 9 rate AerCap Holdings Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.
Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $19.07, revenue $8.66 billion. 2027, EPS $18.22, revenue $8.43 billion.
The Stocklytics Score for AER is 45 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.
$178.00 average, with a published range of $165.00 to $190.00.
The consensus is Buy from 10 analysts. This is not a recommendation.
Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $19.07. The average revenue estimate is $8.66 billion.
No reliable forecast exists that far out.
The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.
Related: AerCap Holdings · Financials · Dividends · Compare · AI stocks
Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.
$24.96B
Market Cap
7.59
P/E
8.33
Forward P/E
45
Score