Alamos Gold (AGI) Stock Forecast & Price Target

AGI price $29.12 -2.55 -8.05%

Ticker
AGI
Price
$29.12
Change
-2.55 -8.05%
Market cap ?
$12.19B
P/E ?
10.85
Forward P/E ?
13.51
Dividend yield ?
0.48%
Beta ?
1.40
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Gold
Stocklytics score
72
Value
61
Quality
77
Growth
79

Stocklytics score rationale: value 61, quality 77, growth 79.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
482200000542800000651800000683100000748100000823600000821200000102330000013469000001812517992

Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Fair value

AGI fair value $54.98. Price $29.12. Price is 47% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 97% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 210.26M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.99% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 418.60M. Net debt -388.19M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare AGI

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-24—0.59—633.17M
2026-10-280.430.43510.40M551.03M
2026-07-290.590.52594.10M593.58M
2026-04-290.540.54596.70M612.34M
2026-02-180.540.49575.30M568.00M
2025-10-290.370.37457.17M640.88M
2025-07-300.340.33438.20M493.64M
2025-04-300.140.19333.00M363.26M
2025-02-190.250.24375.80M388.06M
2024-11-060.190.21360.90M343.85M
2024-07-310.240.19332.53M268.98M
2024-04-240.130.13276.36M272.00M
2024-02-210.120.12261.64M255.73M
2023-10-250.140.11256.20M255.45M
2023-07-260.150.13261.00M249.75M
2023-04-260.120.10251.50M237.00M
2023-02-220.090.08231.90M232.92M
2022-10-260.070.07213.60M218.86M
2022-07-270.070.06191.20M197.33M
2022-04-270.050.06184.50M189.37M
2022-02-230.090.11203.10M202.62M
2021-10-270.100.11198.00M167.43M
2021-07-280.100.11195.10M167.43M
2021-04-280.130.12227.40M208.45M
2021-02-240.150.13226.60M191.74M
2020-10-280.150.12218.40M163.80M
2020-07-290.030.03126.20M126.20M
2020-04-290.080.05176.90M110.56M
2020-02-190.080.07186.00M162.75M
2019-10-300.060.07172.90M201.72M
2019-07-310.050.04168.10M134.48M
2019-05-010.030.04156.10M208.13M
2019-02-200.010.01163.10M163.10M
2018-11-010.02—146.70M142.96M
2018-08-010.010.03168.90M506.70M
2018-05-010.030.03173.10M173.10M
2018-02-220.040.05161.70M242.55M
2017-11-020.050.03128.80M64.40M
2017-08-030.040.01131.30M32.83M
2017-05-040.000.00121.00M121.00M

Dividends

Yield 0.50%. Payout ratio 4.46%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 91/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 4% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 17 separate years. Yield is 0.5%, which is modest.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-09-10$0.042026-09-102026-09-24Quarterly
2026-06-11$0.042026-06-112026-06-25Quarterly
2026-03-12$0.042026-03-122026-03-26Quarterly
2025-12-04$0.032025-12-042025-12-18Quarterly
2025-09-11$0.032025-09-112025-09-25Quarterly
2025-06-12$0.032025-06-122025-06-26Quarterly
2025-03-13$0.032025-03-132025-03-27Quarterly
2024-12-05$0.032024-12-052024-12-19Quarterly
2024-09-12$0.032024-09-122024-09-26Quarterly
2024-06-13$0.032024-06-132024-06-27Quarterly
2024-03-13$0.032024-03-142024-03-28Quarterly
2023-12-05$0.032023-12-062023-12-20Quarterly
2023-09-13$0.032023-09-142023-09-28Quarterly
2023-06-14$0.032023-06-152023-06-29Quarterly
2023-03-15$0.032023-03-162023-03-30Quarterly
2022-12-05$0.032022-12-062022-12-20Quarterly
2022-09-14$0.032022-09-152022-09-29Quarterly
2022-06-15$0.032022-06-162022-06-30Quarterly
2022-03-16$0.032022-03-172022-03-31Quarterly
2021-12-06$0.032021-12-072021-12-21Quarterly
2021-09-15$0.032021-09-162021-09-30Quarterly
2021-06-15$0.032021-06-162021-06-30Quarterly
2021-03-16$0.032021-03-172021-03-31Quarterly
2020-12-04$0.022020-12-072020-12-21Quarterly
2020-09-15$0.012020-09-162020-09-30Quarterly
2020-06-15$0.012020-06-162020-06-30Quarterly
2020-03-16$0.012020-03-172020-03-31Quarterly
2019-12-05$0.012019-12-062019-12-20Quarterly
2019-09-13$0.012019-09-162019-09-30Quarterly
2019-06-13$0.012019-06-142019-06-28Quarterly
2019-03-14$0.012019-03-152019-03-29Semi-Annual
2018-10-12$0.012018-10-152018-10-30Semi-Annual
2018-04-13$0.012018-04-162018-04-30Semi-Annual
2017-10-13$0.012017-10-162017-10-31Semi-Annual
2017-04-11$0.012017-04-132017-04-28Semi-Annual
2016-10-12$0.012016-10-142016-10-31Semi-Annual
2016-04-13$0.012016-04-152016-04-29Annual
2015-10-28$0.012015-10-302015-11-16Semi-Annual
2015-05-13$0.032015-05-152015-05-29Semi-Annual
2014-10-10$0.102014-10-152014-10-31Semi-Annual
2014-04-11$0.102014-04-152014-04-30Semi-Annual
2013-10-10$0.102013-10-152013-10-31Semi-Annual
2013-04-11$0.102013-04-152013-04-30Semi-Annual
2012-10-11$0.102012-10-152012-10-31Semi-Annual
2012-04-11$0.102012-04-132012-04-30Semi-Annual
2011-10-12$0.072011-10-142011-10-28Semi-Annual
2011-04-13$0.052011-04-152011-05-02Semi-Annual
2010-10-13$0.042010-10-152010-10-29Semi-Annual
2010-04-13$0.032010-04-152010-04-30Semi-Annual

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2005-06-13HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy35.00K$14.77516.95K
2005-06-08HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy5.70K$13.6577.81K
2005-06-08HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy50.00K$13.76688.06K
2005-01-18LIPPARELLI MARK ASell0——
2005-01-18LIPPARELLI MARK ASell30.00K$13.86415.80K
2005-01-18LIPPARELLI MARK ASell75.00K$11.16837.00K
2005-01-18LIPPARELLI MARK ASell30.00K$21.53645.90K
2005-01-18LIPPARELLI MARK ASell58.00K$13.93807.94K
2004-12-22HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy156.51K——
2004-12-22HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy300.00K$13.354.00M
2004-10-27HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy95.00K$17.161.63M
2004-09-08HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy1.20K$15.7818.94K
2004-09-08HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy800$15.6912.55K
2004-09-08HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy3.10K$15.8449.10K
2004-09-08HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy4.20K$15.7065.94K
2004-06-30HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy405.00K$17.166.95M
2004-06-30HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy500.00K$17.168.58M
2004-06-30HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy377.03K——
2004-06-03HADDRILL RICHARD MBuy500.00K$17.168.58M

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 514, holders -17 vs prior quarter. Ownership 57.01%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP35.50M-1.72M-4.62%1.08B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC11.69M183.87K+1.60%354.53M
MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP6.32M-14.27K-0.23%271.90M
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC7.39M242.49K+3.39%224.21M
FIRST EAGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC6.17M00.00%186.87M
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA5.64M-1.80M-24.21%171.01M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC5.21M571.32K+12.32%167.88M
NORGES BANK5.41M5.41MNew163.80M
CIBC ASSET MANAGEMENT INC5.01M-1.26M-20.11%152.31M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC4.77M-345.36K-6.75%144.81M
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC4.55M1.83M+67.31%138.13M
BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/4.33M-1.05M-19.53%131.26M
MORGAN STANLEY4.28M1.51M+54.71%129.79M
1832 ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.4.02M-396.69K-8.98%121.97M
MANUFACTURERS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, THE3.76M-382.08K-9.23%113.76M
AMUNDI3.74M326.24K+9.56%113.39M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO3.73M60.28K+1.64%112.96M
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP3.71M-3.46M-48.22%112.58M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC3.56M1.31M+58.14%107.95M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/3.52M518.14K+17.26%106.82M
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/3.43M664.28K+23.99%105.88M
CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD3.19M838.89K+35.70%96.58M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.92M2.92MNew89.68M
FIL LTD2.84M-2.87M-50.27%86.00M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/2.75M307.28K+12.60%83.32M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 13 analysts. Average price target $42.00, +44.2% versus the current price. Low $42.00. High $42.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $42.00 for Alamos Gold (AGI), 44.2% above the current price of $29.12. Of 13 analysts covering the stock, 7 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 6 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

AGI price target

12-month price target
Low$42.00
Average$42.00
High$42.00

The average is 44.2% above the current price of $29.12.

Is Alamos Gold a buy or sell?

Of 13 analysts, 7 rate Alamos Gold Buy or Strong Buy, 6 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

Alamos Gold earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $2.16, revenue $2.40 billion. 2027, EPS $2.86, revenue $3.05 billion.

AGI score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for AGI is 72 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

AGI forecast FAQs

What is the AGI price target?

$42.00 average, with a published range of $42.00 to $42.00.

Is Alamos Gold a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 13 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Alamos Gold stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $2.16. The average revenue estimate is $2.40 billion.

What will AGI be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Alamos Gold's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

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Alamos Gold (AGI) Stock Forecast & Price Target

AGI$29.12-2.55 -8.05%

$12.19B

Market Cap

10.85

P/E

13.51

Forward P/E

72

Score

Price History