AAR (AIR) Stock Price & Analysis

AIR price $105.38 +4.56 +4.52%

Ticker
AIR
Price
$105.38
Change
+4.56 +4.52%
Market cap ?
$4.24B
P/E ?
20.45
Forward P/E ?
17.98
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.13
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Stocklytics score
60
Value
57
Quality
52
Growth
72

Stocklytics score rationale: value 57, quality 52, growth 72.

Financials

2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
1767600000174830000020518000002072000000165230000018200000001990500000231890000027805000003308000000

AAR Corp. delivers a wide array of products and services to the global commercial aviation, government, and defense sectors. Its Aviation Services division focuses on comprehensive aftermarket support, encompassing inventory management, distribution, and extensive maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) capabilities, alongside specialized engineering services. This segment is also involved in the sale and leasing of…

Fair value

AIR fair value $118.89. Price $105.38. Price is 11% below fair value.

Around fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 91% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 149.70M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.54% (beta 1.1). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 40.19M. Net debt 911.00M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare AIR

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-01-05—1.39—896.46M
2026-09-281.491.30918.00M878.81M
2026-07-211.531.38928.00M893.03M
2026-03-241.251.15845.10M812.57M
2026-01-061.181.02795.30M763.65M
2025-09-231.080.98739.60M689.25M
2025-07-161.161.00754.50M695.81M
2025-03-270.990.96678.20M695.79M
2025-01-070.900.83686.10M679.95M
2024-09-230.850.82661.70M645.60M
2024-07-180.880.86656.50M660.05M
2024-03-210.850.84567.30M569.66M
2023-12-210.810.80545.40M557.04M
2023-09-260.780.73549.70M507.92M
2023-07-180.830.78553.30M525.92M
2023-03-210.750.70521.10M487.41M
2022-12-200.690.68469.80M461.73M
2022-09-220.610.57446.30M455.10M
2022-07-210.720.67476.10M461.88M
2022-03-220.630.58452.20M443.73M
2021-12-210.530.54436.60M432.50M
2021-09-230.520.49455.10M427.24M
2021-07-200.470.47437.60M442.57M
2021-03-230.370.31410.30M412.37M
2020-12-170.310.17403.60M396.63M
2020-09-240.17-0.16400.80M117.88M
2020-07-210.26-0.24416.50M464.56M
2020-03-240.670.66553.10M528.33M
2019-12-190.640.61560.90M525.84M
2019-09-250.570.52541.50M484.50M
2019-07-100.640.62562.70M545.12M
2019-03-190.790.69529.50M469.18M
2018-12-180.590.57493.30M476.58M
2018-09-250.540.52466.30M449.03M
2018-07-100.540.52473.50M447.19M
2018-03-200.490.48456.30M446.99M
2017-12-210.350.37449.70M432.62M
2017-09-190.270.30439.20M397.90M
2017-07-110.500.43492.30M271.33M
2017-03-210.390.36446.70M412.34M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 62/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividends were paid in 29 separate years. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2020-03-27$0.072020-03-302020-04-09Quarterly
2020-01-02$0.072020-01-032020-01-14Quarterly
2019-10-04$0.072019-10-072019-10-21Quarterly
2019-07-18$0.072019-07-192019-07-31Quarterly
2019-04-30$0.072019-05-012019-05-16Quarterly
2019-01-25$0.072019-01-282019-02-08Quarterly
2018-10-19$0.072018-10-222018-11-02Quarterly
2018-07-19$0.072018-07-202018-07-31Quarterly
2018-04-30$0.072018-05-012018-05-16Quarterly
2018-01-19$0.072018-01-222018-02-05Quarterly
2017-10-20$0.072017-10-232017-11-03Quarterly
2017-07-19$0.072017-07-212017-08-02Quarterly
2017-04-27$0.072017-05-012017-05-12Quarterly
2017-01-19$0.072017-01-232017-02-06Quarterly
2016-10-20$0.072016-10-242016-11-04Quarterly
2016-07-20$0.072016-07-222016-08-05Quarterly
2016-04-27$0.072016-04-292016-05-10Quarterly
2016-01-26$0.072016-01-282016-02-12Quarterly
2015-10-26$0.072015-10-282015-11-12Quarterly
2015-07-24$0.072015-07-282015-08-12Quarterly
2015-04-27$0.072015-04-292015-05-13Quarterly
2015-01-26$0.072015-01-282015-02-16Quarterly
2014-10-17$0.072014-10-212014-11-04Quarterly
2014-07-24$0.072014-07-282014-08-13Quarterly
2014-04-25$0.072014-04-292014-05-13Quarterly
2014-01-24$0.072014-01-282014-02-14Quarterly
2013-10-18$0.072013-10-222013-11-04Quarterly
2013-07-25$0.072013-07-292013-08-14Quarterly
2013-04-30$0.072013-05-022013-05-16Quarterly
2013-01-25$0.072013-01-292013-02-12Quarterly
2012-10-18$0.072012-10-222012-11-05Quarterly
2012-07-25$0.072012-07-272012-08-09Quarterly
2012-04-27$0.072012-05-012012-05-15Quarterly
2012-01-26$0.072012-01-302012-02-13Quarterly
2011-10-20$0.072011-10-242011-11-04Quarterly
2011-07-20$0.072011-07-222011-08-02Quarterly
2011-04-19$0.072011-04-222011-05-02Quarterly
2002-07-26$0.032002-07-302002-09-04Quarterly
2002-05-03$0.032002-05-072002-06-05Quarterly
2002-01-24$0.032002-01-282002-03-05Quarterly
2001-10-29$0.032001-10-312001-12-05Quarterly
2001-07-27$0.092001-07-312001-09-05Quarterly
2001-04-27$0.092001-05-012001-06-05Quarterly
2001-01-25$0.092001-01-292001-03-03Quarterly
2000-10-30$0.092000-11-012000-12-05Quarterly
2000-07-28$0.092000-08-012000-09-05Quarterly
2000-04-28$0.092000-05-022000-06-05Quarterly
2000-01-27$0.092000-01-312000-03-03Quarterly
1999-10-29$0.091999-11-021999-12-03Quarterly
1999-07-29$0.091999-08-021999-09-03Quarterly
1999-04-29$0.091999-05-031999-06-03Quarterly
1999-01-28$0.091999-02-011999-03-03Quarterly
1998-10-29$0.091998-11-021998-12-03Quarterly
1998-07-30$0.091998-08-031998-09-03Monthly
1998-07-20$0.09——Quarterly
1998-04-30$0.091998-05-041998-06-03Quarterly
1998-02-26$0.091998-03-021998-03-24Special
1997-10-23$0.081997-10-271997-12-03Quarterly
1997-07-24$0.081997-07-281997-09-03Quarterly
1997-04-24$0.081997-04-281997-06-04Quarterly
1997-01-30$0.081997-02-031997-03-05Quarterly
1996-10-24$0.081996-10-281996-12-04Quarterly
1996-07-25$0.081996-07-291996-09-04Quarterly
1996-04-25$0.081996-04-291996-06-05Quarterly
1996-01-25$0.081996-01-291996-03-05Quarterly
1995-10-27$0.081995-10-311995-12-05Quarterly
1995-07-27$0.081995-07-311995-09-03Quarterly
1995-04-25$0.081995-05-011995-06-05Quarterly
1995-01-31$0.081995-02-061995-03-03Quarterly
1994-10-25$0.081994-10-311994-12-05Quarterly
1994-07-26$0.081994-08-011994-09-06Quarterly
1994-04-26$0.081994-05-021994-06-03Quarterly
1994-01-25$0.081994-01-311994-03-03Quarterly
1993-10-26$0.081993-11-011993-12-03Quarterly
1993-07-27$0.081993-08-021993-09-03Quarterly
1993-04-27$0.081993-05-031993-06-03Quarterly
1993-01-26$0.081993-02-011993-03-04Quarterly
1992-10-27$0.081992-11-021992-12-03Quarterly
1992-07-28$0.081992-08-031992-09-03Quarterly
1992-04-28$0.081992-05-041992-06-03Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-26Holmes John McClain IIISell35.00K$97.413.41M
2026-10-20Lord Ellen M.Sell4.24K$100.24425.13K
2026-08-31WALFISH MARC JAYBuy300$129.2938.79K
2026-08-31LEDUC ROBERT FBuy122$129.2915.77K
2026-07-31Pachapa EricSell3.37K$140.04471.23K
2026-07-31Pachapa EricSell614$140.0485.98K
2026-07-31Jessup Christopher A.Sell7.10K$140.04994.00K
2026-07-31Jessup Christopher A.Sell1.29K$140.04181.21K
2026-07-31Garascia Jessica A.Sell5.63K$140.04789.13K
2026-07-31Garascia Jessica A.Sell1.03K$140.04143.96K
2026-07-31Holmes John McClain IIISell34.14K$140.044.78M
2026-07-31Holmes John McClain IIISell6.22K$140.04871.05K
2026-07-31Flanagan Sarah LouiseOther6.09K$79.45483.85K
2026-07-23Pachapa EricBuy2.09K——
2026-07-23Pachapa EricBuy1.39K——
2026-07-23Wolin Dylan ZacharyBuy5.79K——
2026-07-23Wolin Dylan ZacharyBuy3.86K——
2026-07-23Garascia Jessica A.Buy5.19K——
2026-07-23Garascia Jessica A.Buy3.46K——
2026-07-23Jessup Christopher A.Buy8.04K——
2026-07-23Jessup Christopher A.Buy5.36K——
2026-07-23Holmes John McClain IIIBuy161.50K——
2026-07-23Holmes John McClain IIIBuy30.12K——
2026-07-23Holmes John McClain IIIBuy20.08K——
2026-07-14Garascia Jessica A.Buy4.81K——
2026-07-14Pachapa EricBuy3.44K——
2026-07-14Jessup Christopher A.Buy7.27K——
2026-07-14Holmes John McClain IIIBuy34.96K——
2026-06-01McNabb Duncan J.Buy1.36K——
2026-06-01Lord Ellen M.Buy1.36K——
2026-06-01DIETRICH JOHN WBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01Widhani HemaBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01Nolen BillyBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01WALFISH MARC JAYBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01VOGEL JENNIFER LBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01PACE PETERBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01LEDUC ROBERT FBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01Edwards Jeffrey NBuy1.36K——
2026-06-01Boyce Michael RossBuy1.36K——
2026-05-29WALFISH MARC JAYBuy322$112.6236.26K
2026-05-29LEDUC ROBERT FBuy127$112.6214.30K
2026-03-27Holmes John McClain IIIBuy23.95K$37.74903.87K
2026-03-27Holmes John McClain IIIBuy2.23K$37.6683.79K
2026-03-27Holmes John McClain IIISell23.95K$107.602.58M
2026-03-27Holmes John McClain IIISell2.23K$37.6683.79K
2026-03-27Holmes John McClain IIISell23.95K$37.74903.87K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Buy2.37K$41.8899.17K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Buy2.14K$67.02143.29K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Buy1.78K$58.27103.60K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Sell2.14K$112.20239.88K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Sell2.14K$67.02143.29K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Sell1.78K$58.27103.60K
2026-03-26Garascia Jessica A.Sell2.37K$41.8899.17K
2026-03-26Holmes John McClain IIIBuy60.00K$37.662.26M
2026-03-26Holmes John McClain IIISell60.00K$112.416.74M
2026-03-26Holmes John McClain IIISell60.00K$37.662.26M
2026-03-26Wolin Dylan ZacharyBuy7.58K——
2026-03-26Nolen BillySell1.56K$111.00173.38K
2026-02-27WALFISH MARC JAYBuy309$117.1736.21K
2026-02-27LEDUC ROBERT FBuy121$117.1714.18K
2026-02-23Wolin Dylan ZacharyOther0——
2026-02-04Flanagan Sarah LouiseBuy10.75K$37.66404.84K
2026-02-04Flanagan Sarah LouiseSell10.75K$108.561.17M
2026-02-04Flanagan Sarah LouiseSell10.75K$37.66404.84K
2026-02-03Holmes John McClain IIIBuy10.00K$37.66376.60K
2026-02-03Holmes John McClain IIISell10.00K$108.441.08M
2026-02-03Holmes John McClain IIISell2.00K——
2026-02-03Holmes John McClain IIISell10.00K$37.66376.60K
2026-01-22Flanagan Sarah LouiseBuy2.79K——
2026-01-22Flanagan Sarah LouiseBuy930——
2026-01-22Flanagan Sarah LouiseBuy2.51K$107.74270.43K
2026-01-22Pachapa EricBuy3.84K$18.9472.67K
2026-01-22Pachapa EricBuy1.40K——
2026-01-22Pachapa EricBuy1.15K$67.0276.80K
2026-01-22Pachapa EricBuy465——
2026-01-22Pachapa EricSell1.15K$105.94121.40K
2026-01-22Pachapa EricSell1.15K$67.0276.80K
2026-01-22Pachapa EricBuy1.25K$107.74134.68K
2026-01-22Pachapa EricSell3.84K$18.9472.67K
2026-01-14Holmes John McClain IIIBuy6.00K$37.66225.96K
2026-01-14Holmes John McClain IIIBuy3.95K$48.09189.81K
2026-01-14Holmes John McClain IIISell6.00K$99.41596.44K
2026-01-14Holmes John McClain IIISell6.00K$37.66225.96K
2026-01-14Holmes John McClain IIISell3.95K$48.09189.81K
2026-01-13Holmes John McClain IIIBuy16.80K$48.09808.01K
2026-01-13Holmes John McClain IIISell16.80K$98.931.66M
2026-01-13Holmes John McClain IIISell16.80K$48.09808.01K
2026-01-12Holmes John McClain IIIBuy30.00K$48.091.44M
2026-01-12Holmes John McClain IIISell30.00K$97.502.93M
2026-01-12Holmes John McClain IIISell30.00K$48.091.44M
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Buy12.06K$41.88505.28K
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Buy2.53K$37.7495.41K
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Buy59$50.933.00K
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Sell8.97K$97.13871.15K
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Sell12.06K$97.001.17M
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Sell2.53K$37.7495.41K
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Sell59$50.933.00K
2026-01-09Jessup Christopher A.Sell12.06K$41.88505.28K
2026-01-08Garascia Jessica A.Sell4.79K$95.25455.98K
2026-01-02Holmes John McClain IIISell23.08K$84.121.94M

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 419, holders +28 vs prior quarter. Ownership 106.94%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.6.47M298.13K+4.83%925.07M
STATE STREET CORP2.83M246.46K+9.52%405.06M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.18M52.46K+2.46%311.93M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.93M-11.09K-0.57%276.37M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.72M21.23K+1.25%245.55M
INVESCO LTD.1.60M207.47K+14.89%228.85M
EARNEST PARTNERS LLC1.25M-53.03K-4.06%178.95M
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS1.16M-63.19K-5.17%165.81M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.14M165.35K+16.97%162.92M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC783.01K-45.04K-5.44%111.92M
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC777.45K-171.22K-18.05%111.12M
BROAD BAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP749.67K-68.65K-8.39%107.15M
FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC.742.08K23.99K+3.34%106.06M
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC633.60K-42.09K-6.23%90.56M
BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC589.45K-32.64K-5.25%84.25M
LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P582.57K-56.31K-8.81%83.27M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.538.06K538.06KNew76.91M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC538.06K-7.71K-1.41%76.91M
EMERALD ADVISERS, LLC521.92K76.23K+17.10%74.60M
MORGAN STANLEY474.64K-48.04K-9.19%67.84M
OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD447.14K-92.83K-17.19%63.91M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP437.86K36.82K+9.18%62.58M
FMR LLC391.95K180.49K+85.35%56.02M
NUVEEN, LLC386.52K58.17K+17.72%55.24M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP377.78K-151.16K-28.58%54.00M

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AAR (AIR) Stock Price & Analysis

AIR$105.38+4.56 +4.52%

$4.24B

Market Cap

20.45

P/E

17.98

Forward P/E

60

Score

Price History