AIRO Group (AIRO) Stock Insights
AIRO$5.12+0.07 +1.29%
$161.41M
Market Cap
-5.69
P/E
6.09
Forward P/E
53
Score
AIRO Group (AIRO) Stock Insights
AIRO price $5.12 +0.07 +1.29%
- Ticker
- AIRO
- Price
- $5.12
- Change
- +0.07 +1.29%
- Market cap ?
- $161.41M
- P/E ?
- -5.69
- Forward P/E ?
- 6.09
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 2.05
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Stocklytics score
- 53
- Value
- 59
- Quality
- 28
- Growth
- 72
Stocklytics score rationale: value 59, quality 28, growth 72.
Financials
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11782570 | 17081041 | 43253815 | 86935059 | 90907000 |
AIRO Group, an American aerospace and defense enterprise, maintains its primary operations from Albuquerque, New Mexico. The company's diversified portfolio encompasses four key areas: unmanned aircraft systems (drones), aviation electronics (avionics), flight crew training, and electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) mobility solutions. Noteworthy among its product line are advanced AI-powered surveillance…
Fair value
AIRO fair value $17.07. Price $5.12. Price is 70% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 98% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 10.61M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 31.56M. Net debt -68.13M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | — | -0.52 | — | 18.15M |
| 2026-08-13 | -0.06 | -0.30 | 43.18M | 31.14M |
| 2026-05-14 | -0.49 | -0.29 | 8.90M | 18.43M |
| 2026-03-31 | -0.00 | 0.13 | 48.28M | 52.22M |
| 2025-11-14 | -0.28 | 0.10 | 6.28B | 52.22M |
| 2025-08-14 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 24.55M | 13.91M |
| 2025-05-20 | -0.12 | — | 11.80M | — |
| 2025-02-21 | -0.03 | — | 39.73M | — |
| 2024-09-30 | -1.16 | — | 23.69M | — |
| 2024-06-30 | -0.23 | — | 9.78M | — |
| 2024-03-31 | -0.08 | — | 13.74M | — |
| 2023-12-31 | -0.14 | — | 11.03M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Pylypiv Mariya | Sell | 8.70K | $7.08 | 61.59K |
| 2026-09-02 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 7.23K | $7.10 | 51.34K |
| 2026-08-14 | Pylypiv Mariya | Sell | 17.69K | $9.61 | 170.08K |
| 2026-08-14 | Pylypiv Mariya | Sell | 1.70K | $10.86 | 18.45K |
| 2026-08-14 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 15.46K | $9.61 | 148.60K |
| 2026-08-14 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 1.43K | $10.86 | 15.53K |
| 2026-08-13 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 215.23K | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 215.23K | — | — |
| 2026-07-06 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 154 | $7.76 | 1.20K |
| 2026-06-17 | Pylypiv Mariya | Sell | 30.03K | $7.66 | 229.92K |
| 2026-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 60.33K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Belcher John M. | Buy | 11.03K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | McCandless Sherrie | Buy | 11.03K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Nelson Brian James | Buy | 11.03K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Ng Elizabeth | Buy | 11.03K | — | — |
| 2026-06-04 | Winfree Gregory D. | Buy | 11.03K | — | — |
| 2026-04-06 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 144 | $8.84 | 1.27K |
| 2026-04-06 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 3.42K | $8.84 | 30.18K |
| 2026-03-12 | Pylypiv Mariya | Sell | 20.08K | $10.26 | 205.97K |
| 2026-03-12 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 396 | $10.43 | 4.13K |
| 2026-02-01 | Nelson Brian James | Buy | 4.46K | — | — |
| 2026-02-01 | Winfree Gregory D. | Buy | 4.46K | — | — |
| 2026-02-01 | McCandless Sherrie | Buy | 4.46K | — | — |
| 2026-02-01 | Ng Elizabeth | Buy | 4.46K | — | — |
| 2026-02-01 | Belcher John M. | Buy | 4.46K | — | — |
| 2026-01-05 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 183 | $9.42 | 1.72K |
| 2025-09-15 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Buy | 7.08K | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 12.23K | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Buy | 10.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 17.50K | — | — |
| 2025-09-15 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 2.31K | — | — |
| 2025-09-12 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Sell | 405.63K | $17.39 | 7.05M |
| 2025-09-12 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Sell | 103.73K | $17.39 | 1.80M |
| 2025-09-12 | New Generation Aerospace, LLC | Sell | 405.63K | $17.39 | 7.05M |
| 2025-09-12 | Burns Joseph D | Sell | 179.80K | $17.39 | 3.13M |
| 2025-09-12 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 35.90K | $17.39 | 624.30K |
| 2025-09-12 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 2.23K | $17.39 | 38.69K |
| 2025-07-01 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 22.63K | — | — |
| 2025-07-01 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 7.87K | $22.25 | 175.15K |
| 2025-06-30 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 1.31K | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 1.77K | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 149 | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 19.96K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 250 | $2,500.00 | 625.00K |
| 2025-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Sell | 250 | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | New Generation Aerospace, LLC | Buy | 33.99K | $1,349,992.22 | 45.89B |
| 2025-06-16 | New Generation Aerospace, LLC | Sell | 33.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 2.50K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 14.70K | $648,492.00 | 9.53B |
| 2025-06-16 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 14.88K | $656,476.00 | 9.77B |
| 2025-06-16 | Burns Joseph D | Sell | 14.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Burns Joseph D | Sell | 14.88K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Burns Joseph D | Sell | 2.50K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Buy | 33.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Sell | 33.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 2.50K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 51.31K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Uczekaj John | Buy | 1.30K | $57,363.53 | 74.57M |
| 2025-06-16 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 1.30K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Uczekaj John | Sell | 2.50K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 50.00K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2025-06-16 | Pylypiv Mariya | Buy | 2.50K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Svehag Per Erik Edvard | Buy | 546.17K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Belcher John M. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | New Generation Aerospace, LLC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | New Generation Aerospace, LLC | Other | 33.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | KATHURIA CHIRINJEEV | Other | 33.99K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | McCandless Sherrie | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Svehag Per Erik Edvard | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Uczekaj John | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Uczekaj John | Other | 1.30K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Pylypiv Mariya | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Ng Elizabeth | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Nelson Brian James | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Burns Joseph D | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Burns Joseph D | Other | 14.88K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Burns Joseph D | Other | 14.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-12 | Winfree Gregory D. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-06-09 | Burns Joseph D | Buy | 1.00K | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 103, holders +2 vs prior quarter. Ownership 36.52%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOODLINE PARTNERS LP | 2.79M | 33.71K | +1.22% | 20.60M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 1.30M | 172.24K | +15.27% | 9.61M |
| HIGHTOWER ADVISORS, LLC | 970.16K | -7.94K | -0.81% | 7.17M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 798.09K | -417 | -0.05% | 5.90M |
| BRIGHTON JONES LLC | 683.34K | 1.15K | +0.17% | 5.05M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 449.98K | 52.80K | +13.29% | 3.33M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 380.88K | 66.13K | +21.01% | 2.81M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 375.96K | 375.96K | New | 2.78M |
| DEFIANCE ETFS, LLC | 272.26K | 105.74K | +63.50% | 2.08M |
| PENSERRA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 267.20K | 100.67K | +60.46% | 1.97M |
| VIDENT ADVISORY, LLC | 233.54K | -10.06K | -4.13% | 1.73M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 201.61K | 130.53K | +183.64% | 1.49M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 201.09K | 201.09K | New | 1.49M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 199.99K | -25.84K | -11.44% | 1.48M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 194.40K | 165.80K | +579.72% | 1.44M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 174.94K | 7.50K | +4.48% | 1.29M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 168.95K | 25.20K | +17.53% | 1.25M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 160.65K | 3.27K | +2.08% | 1.19M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 148.70K | 27.34K | +22.53% | 1.10M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 147.30K | 19.12K | +14.92% | 1.09M |
| LPL FINANCIAL LLC | 118.34K | 108.26K | +1074.09% | 874.51K |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 101.01K | 101.01K | New | 746.44K |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 101.01K | 6.18K | +6.52% | 746.44K |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 88.97K | 60.37K | +211.08% | 657.48K |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 87.08K | 76.78K | +745.39% | 643.48K |
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