Akebia Therapeutics (AKBA) Stock Insights
$192.95M
Market Cap
-5.25
P/E
12.11
Forward P/E
69
Score
AKBA price $0.70 +0.04 +5.44%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 79, quality 55, growth 72.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1535000 | 177984000 | 207742000 | 335001000 | 294644000 | 211650000 | 292484000 | 194623000 | 160180000 | 236196000 |
Akebia Therapeutics, Inc., established in 2007 and headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts, is a biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and commercializing therapies for patients suffering from kidney diseases. The firm's leading experimental drug, vadadustat, is an oral treatment currently in Phase III clinical trials. Its purpose is to address anemia resulting from chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adult…
AKBA fair value $1.44. Price $0.70. Price is 52% below fair value.
Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 90% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 13.60M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 277.11M. Net debt 31.45M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | — | -0.04 | — | 46.94M |
| 2026-08-05 | -0.02 | -0.04 | 49.13M | 48.85M |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.03 | -0.01 | 53.54M | 51.67M |
| 2026-02-26 | -0.05 | -0.03 | 57.62M | 46.09M |
| 2025-11-10 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 58.77M | 48.37M |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 62.47M | 47.89M |
| 2025-05-08 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 57.34M | 50.80M |
| 2025-03-13 | -0.10 | -0.05 | 46.50M | 37.41M |
| 2024-11-07 | -0.10 | -0.05 | 37.43M | 40.91M |
| 2024-08-08 | -0.04 | -0.06 | 43.65M | 49.45M |
| 2024-05-09 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 32.61M | 49.45M |
| 2024-03-14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.20M | 55.39M |
| 2023-11-08 | -0.08 | -0.09 | 42.05M | 55.54M |
| 2023-08-25 | -0.06 | -0.03 | 56.38M | 59.10M |
| 2023-05-08 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 40.13M | 46.68M |
| 2023-03-09 | -0.04 | -0.14 | 55.18M | 47.40M |
| 2022-11-03 | -0.28 | -0.15 | 48.96M | 48.88M |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.23 | -0.31 | 126.76M | 53.03M |
| 2022-05-09 | -0.35 | -0.27 | 61.70M | 44.27M |
| 2022-03-01 | -0.40 | -0.33 | 59.60M | 51.77M |
| 2021-11-04 | -0.34 | -0.32 | 48.76M | 47.31M |
| 2021-08-05 | -0.51 | -0.30 | 52.91M | 39.29M |
| 2021-05-10 | -0.45 | -0.33 | 52.30M | 42.84M |
| 2021-02-25 | -0.60 | -0.43 | 56.70M | 51.16M |
| 2020-11-05 | -0.42 | -0.23 | 59.99M | 24.28M |
| 2020-08-10 | -0.44 | -0.46 | 90.14M | 35.21M |
| 2020-05-05 | -0.47 | -0.63 | 88.48M | 116.72M |
| 2020-03-10 | -0.61 | -0.45 | 69.56M | 41.38M |
| 2019-11-12 | -0.28 | -0.37 | 91.98M | 85.98M |
| 2019-08-08 | -0.30 | -0.35 | 100.80M | 65.83M |
| 2019-05-09 | -0.44 | -0.42 | 72.67M | 46.88M |
| 2019-03-26 | -0.91 | -0.27 | 59.85M | 62.45M |
| 2018-11-08 | -0.46 | -0.77 | 53.17M | 74.02M |
| 2018-08-08 | -0.60 | -0.52 | 48.79M | 41.48M |
| 2018-05-09 | -0.48 | -0.55 | 45.93M | 56.42M |
| 2018-03-12 | 0.25 | -0.35 | 87.32M | 126.84M |
| 2017-11-08 | -0.49 | -0.70 | 41.28M | 42.99M |
| 2017-08-08 | -0.53 | -0.82 | 28.52M | 46.78M |
| 2017-05-09 | -1.15 | -0.56 | 20.86M | 7.09M |
| 2017-03-06 | -0.99 | 2.13 | 1.53M | 1.17M |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Butler John P. | Buy | 350.00K | $0.63 | 220.50K |
| 2026-08-06 | Butler John P. | Sell | 350.00K | $0.63 | 220.50K |
| 2026-06-29 | Ostrowski Erik | Sell | 56.02K | $1.11 | 62.18K |
| 2026-06-17 | Wolf Myles | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Wolf Myles | Buy | 53.60K | $1.02 | 54.67K |
| 2026-06-17 | Smith Cynthia | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Smith Cynthia | Buy | 53.60K | $1.02 | 54.67K |
| 2026-06-17 | ROGERS MICHAEL W | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | ROGERS MICHAEL W | Buy | 53.60K | $1.02 | 54.67K |
| 2026-06-17 | FRIESON RON | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | FRIESON RON | Buy | 53.60K | $1.02 | 54.67K |
| 2026-06-17 | ZUMWALT LEANNE M | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | ZUMWALT LEANNE M | Buy | 53.60K | $1.02 | 54.67K |
| 2026-06-17 | ADAMS ADRIAN | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | ADAMS ADRIAN | Buy | 53.60K | $1.02 | 54.67K |
| 2026-04-01 | Vickers Philip J. | Buy | 214.40K | $1.41 | 302.30K |
| 2026-04-01 | Vickers Philip J. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Butler John P. | Buy | 69.27K | $1.25 | 86.59K |
| 2026-02-02 | Malabre Richard C | Sell | 36.14K | $1.39 | 50.24K |
| 2026-02-02 | Malabre Richard C | Sell | 13.38K | $1.39 | 18.60K |
| 2026-02-02 | Grund Nicholas | Sell | 53.59K | $1.39 | 74.48K |
| 2026-02-02 | Grund Nicholas | Sell | 31.24K | $1.39 | 43.43K |
| 2026-02-02 | Burke Steven Keith | Sell | 21.58K | $1.39 | 30.00K |
| 2026-02-02 | Burke Steven Keith | Sell | 25.38K | $1.39 | 35.27K |
| 2026-02-02 | Burke Steven Keith | Sell | 20.70K | $1.39 | 28.77K |
| 2026-02-02 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Sell | 16.85K | $1.39 | 23.42K |
| 2026-02-02 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Sell | 25.38K | $1.39 | 35.28K |
| 2026-02-02 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Sell | 27.54K | $1.39 | 38.29K |
| 2026-02-02 | Ostrowski Erik | Sell | 34.95K | $1.39 | 48.58K |
| 2026-02-02 | Butler John P. | Sell | 46.66K | $1.39 | 64.86K |
| 2026-02-02 | Butler John P. | Buy | 175.25K | $1.41 | 247.10K |
| 2026-02-02 | Butler John P. | Sell | 96.06K | $1.39 | 133.53K |
| 2026-02-02 | Butler John P. | Sell | 83.69K | $1.39 | 116.33K |
| 2026-02-02 | Butler John P. | Sell | 114.89K | $1.39 | 159.70K |
| 2026-01-30 | Grund Nicholas | Buy | 204.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-30 | Grund Nicholas | Buy | 320.00K | $1.41 | 451.20K |
| 2026-01-30 | Burke Steven Keith | Buy | 204.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-30 | Burke Steven Keith | Buy | 320.00K | $1.41 | 451.20K |
| 2026-01-30 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Buy | 190.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-30 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Buy | 270.00K | $1.41 | 380.70K |
| 2026-01-30 | Malabre Richard C | Buy | 79.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-30 | Malabre Richard C | Buy | 119.00K | $1.41 | 167.79K |
| 2026-01-30 | Ostrowski Erik | Buy | 204.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-30 | Ostrowski Erik | Buy | 320.00K | $1.41 | 451.20K |
| 2026-01-30 | Butler John P. | Buy | 743.00K | — | — |
| 2026-01-30 | Butler John P. | Buy | 1.11M | $1.41 | 1.57M |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 224.00K | $1.68 | 376.32K |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 240.00K | $2.24 | 537.60K |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 61.00K | $2.88 | 175.68K |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 27.90K | $2.16 | 60.26K |
| 2026-01-26 | Rucci Carolyn M. | Other | 165.60K | $0.63 | 104.33K |
| 2025-06-30 | Ostrowski Erik | Sell | 41.31K | $3.67 | 151.62K |
| 2025-06-10 | ZUMWALT LEANNE M | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | ZUMWALT LEANNE M | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-10 | ADAMS ADRIAN | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | ADAMS ADRIAN | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-10 | Wolf Myles | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Wolf Myles | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-10 | Smith Cynthia | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | Smith Cynthia | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-10 | ROGERS MICHAEL W | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | ROGERS MICHAEL W | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-10 | GILMAN STEVEN C | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | GILMAN STEVEN C | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-10 | FRIESON RON | Buy | 35.70K | — | — |
| 2025-06-10 | FRIESON RON | Buy | 53.60K | $3.92 | 210.11K |
| 2025-06-09 | Malabre Richard C | Sell | 15.00K | $1.68 | 25.20K |
| 2025-06-09 | Malabre Richard C | Buy | 15.00K | $1.68 | 25.20K |
| 2025-06-09 | Malabre Richard C | Sell | 15.00K | $4.01 | 60.15K |
| 2025-06-04 | Malabre Richard C | Sell | 13.33K | $3.53 | 47.07K |
| 2025-03-03 | Butler John P. | Sell | 46.41K | $1.83 | 84.93K |
| 2025-03-03 | Burke Steven Keith | Sell | 7.14K | $1.83 | 13.07K |
| 2025-02-03 | Butler John P. | Sell | 46.27K | $2.10 | 97.16K |
| 2025-02-03 | Butler John P. | Sell | 97.98K | $2.10 | 205.76K |
| 2025-02-03 | Burke Steven Keith | Sell | 23.27K | $2.10 | 48.87K |
| 2025-02-03 | Burke Steven Keith | Sell | 27.24K | $2.10 | 57.20K |
| 2025-02-03 | Malabre Richard C | Sell | 30.20K | $2.10 | 63.42K |
| 2025-02-03 | Grund Nicholas | Sell | 55.62K | $2.10 | 116.80K |
| 2025-01-31 | Butler John P. | Buy | 701.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Butler John P. | Buy | 1.05M | $2.24 | 2.36M |
| 2025-01-31 | Butler John P. | Buy | 350.50K | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Burke Steven Keith | Buy | 194.90K | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Burke Steven Keith | Buy | 292.30K | $2.24 | 654.75K |
| 2025-01-31 | Malabre Richard C | Buy | 85.00K | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Malabre Richard C | Buy | 128.00K | $2.24 | 286.72K |
| 2025-01-31 | Grund Nicholas | Buy | 194.90K | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Grund Nicholas | Buy | 292.30K | $2.24 | 654.75K |
| 2025-01-31 | Ostrowski Erik | Buy | 194.90K | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Ostrowski Erik | Buy | 292.30K | $2.24 | 654.75K |
| 2025-01-17 | FRIESON RON | Buy | 20.10K | $0.45 | 9.04K |
| 2025-01-17 | FRIESON RON | Sell | 20.10K | $0.45 | 9.04K |
| 2024-06-28 | Ostrowski Erik | Buy | 500.00K | $1.02 | 510.00K |
| 2024-06-28 | Ostrowski Erik | Buy | 350.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-24 | Ostrowski Erik | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-06-06 | Wolf Myles | Buy | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2024-06-06 | Wolf Myles | Buy | 45.00K | $1.07 | 48.15K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 177, holders 0 vs prior quarter. Ownership 40.90%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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| STATE STREET CORP | 5.39M | -6.22M | -53.58% | 6.15M |
| JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC | 4.27M | 3.84M | +894.49% | 4.87M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 4.00M | 2.63M | +190.83% | 4.56M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 3.69M | 86.34K | +2.40% | 4.21M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 3.20M | 811.89K | +34.05% | 3.64M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.53M | 318.54K | +14.38% | 2.89M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 2.44M | 1.14M | +87.75% | 2.78M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 2.30M | 2.30M | New | 2.62M |
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| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 2.16M | 214.78K | +11.04% | 2.46M |
| NANTAHALA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2.00M | 0 | 0.00% | 2.28M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 1.91M | 129.50K | +7.28% | 2.18M |
| FMR LLC | 1.87M | 535.73K | +40.12% | 2.13M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 1.78M | -615.51K | -25.70% | 2.03M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 1.72M | 1.56M | +986.44% | 1.96M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 1.37M | 605.48K | +78.69% | 1.57M |
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| INVESCO LTD. | 694.93K | -25.21K | -3.50% | 792.22K |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$192.95M
Market Cap
-5.25
P/E
12.11
Forward P/E
69
Score