Alaska Air Group (ALK) Stock Forecast & Price Target

ALK price $36.47 +0.89 +2.50%

Ticker
ALK
Price
$36.47
Change
+0.89 +2.50%
Market cap ?
$4.07B
P/E ?
-10.18
Forward P/E ?
11.27
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.33
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Stocklytics score
35
Value
48
Quality
12
Growth
45

Stocklytics score rationale: value 48, quality 12, growth 45.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
5931000000789400000082640000008781000000356600000061760000009646000000104260000001173500000014239000000

Alaska Air Group, Inc. operates via its subsidiaries, providing comprehensive air transportation solutions for both passengers and freight. Its business is organized into three principal segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. The airline extends its services to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Originally established in Seattle, Washington, in 1932, the company maintains its corporate base…

Fair value

ALK fair value $156.72. Price $36.47. Price is 77% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 94% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare ALK

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-01-28—-2.03—4.11B
2026-10-200.360.394.31B4.31B
2026-07-21-0.92-0.994.07B4.09B
2026-04-20-1.68-1.653.30B3.29B
2026-01-220.430.113.63B3.64B
2025-10-231.051.093.77B3.76B
2025-07-231.781.563.70B3.75B
2025-04-23-0.77-0.773.14B3.17B
2025-01-220.970.453.53B3.16B
2024-10-312.252.173.07B3.00B
2024-07-172.552.362.90B2.94B
2024-04-18-0.92-1.052.23B2.18B
2024-01-250.300.182.55B2.55B
2023-10-191.831.882.84B2.58B
2023-07-253.002.702.84B2.77B
2023-04-20-0.62-0.482.20B2.19B
2023-01-260.920.902.48B2.51B
2022-10-202.532.412.83B2.82B
2022-07-212.191.942.66B2.57B
2022-04-21-1.33-1.581.68B1.66B
2022-01-270.240.171.90B1.61B
2021-10-211.471.301.95B1.93B
2021-07-22-0.30-0.311.53B1.93B
2021-04-22-3.51-3.71797.00M766.15M
2021-01-26-2.55-2.91808.00M898.09M
2020-10-22-3.23-2.86701.00M1.83B
2020-07-23-3.54-3.39421.00M443.60M
2020-05-05-0.82-1.271.64B2.25B
2020-01-281.461.412.23B2.15B
2019-10-242.632.522.39B2.29B
2019-07-252.172.132.29B2.25B
2019-04-250.170.131.88B1.32B
2019-01-240.750.732.06B1.95B
2018-10-251.911.812.21B2.10B
2018-07-261.661.632.16B2.12B
2018-04-230.140.111.83B1.57B
2018-01-250.830.831.94B1.92B
2017-10-252.242.262.12B2.13B
2017-07-262.512.522.10B2.11B
2017-04-261.051.041.75B1.67B

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 62/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividends were paid in 18 separate years. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2020-02-14$0.382020-02-182020-03-05Quarterly
2019-11-18$0.352019-11-192019-12-05Quarterly
2019-08-19$0.352019-08-202019-09-05Quarterly
2019-05-20$0.352019-05-212019-06-06Quarterly
2019-02-15$0.352019-02-192019-03-07Quarterly
2018-11-19$0.322018-11-202018-12-06Quarterly
2018-08-20$0.322018-08-212018-09-06Quarterly
2018-05-21$0.322018-05-222018-06-07Quarterly
2018-02-16$0.322018-02-202018-03-08Quarterly
2017-11-20$0.302017-11-212017-12-07Quarterly
2017-08-18$0.302017-08-222017-09-07Quarterly
2017-05-19$0.302017-05-232017-06-08Quarterly
2017-02-16$0.302017-02-212017-03-09Quarterly
2016-11-10$0.282016-11-152016-12-01Quarterly
2016-08-16$0.282016-08-182016-09-01Quarterly
2016-05-20$0.282016-05-242016-06-07Quarterly
2016-02-19$0.282016-02-232016-03-08Quarterly
2015-11-13$0.202015-11-172015-12-03Quarterly
2015-08-14$0.202015-08-182015-09-01Quarterly
2015-05-19$0.202015-05-212015-06-04Quarterly
2015-02-20$0.202015-02-242015-03-10Quarterly
2014-11-14$0.122014-11-182014-12-03Quarterly
2014-08-15$0.122014-08-192014-09-04Quarterly
2014-05-21$0.122014-05-232014-06-04Quarterly
2014-02-21$0.122014-02-252014-03-11Special
2013-11-15$0.102013-11-192013-12-04Quarterly
2013-08-02$0.102013-08-062013-08-22Quarterly
1992-10-08$0.011992-10-151992-11-05Quarterly
1992-07-09$0.011992-07-151992-08-05Quarterly
1992-04-09$0.011992-04-151992-05-05Quarterly
1992-01-09$0.011992-01-151992-02-05Quarterly
1991-10-08$0.011991-10-151991-11-05Quarterly
1991-07-09$0.011991-07-151991-08-05Quarterly
1991-04-09$0.011991-04-151991-05-05Quarterly
1991-01-09$0.011991-01-151991-02-05Quarterly
1990-10-05$0.011990-10-121990-11-02Quarterly
1990-07-09$0.011990-07-131990-08-03Quarterly
1990-04-06$0.011990-04-121990-05-04Quarterly
1990-01-08$0.011990-01-121990-02-05Quarterly
1989-10-06$0.011989-10-131989-11-03Quarterly
1989-07-10$0.011989-07-141989-08-04Quarterly
1989-04-10$0.011989-04-141989-05-04Quarterly
1989-01-09$0.011989-01-131989-02-05Quarterly
1988-10-07$0.01——Quarterly
1988-07-11$0.011988-07-151988-08-05Quarterly
1988-04-11$0.011988-04-151988-05-05Quarterly
1988-01-11$0.011988-01-151988-02-05Semi-Annual
1987-07-09$0.011987-07-151987-08-05Quarterly
1987-04-09$0.011987-04-151987-05-05Quarterly
1987-01-09$0.011987-01-151987-02-05Quarterly
1986-10-08$0.01——Quarterly
1986-07-09$0.01——Quarterly
1986-04-09$0.01——Quarterly
1986-01-09$0.01——Quarterly
1985-10-08$0.01——Quarterly
1985-07-09$0.01——Quarterly
1985-04-09$0.01——Quarterly
1985-01-08$0.01——Quarterly
1984-10-10$0.01——Quarterly
1984-07-10$0.01——Quarterly
1984-04-10$0.01——Quarterly
1984-01-10$0.01——Quarterly
1983-10-18$0.01——Special
1983-06-09$0.01——Quarterly
1983-03-21$0.01——Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-29BIRKETT RAKOW DIANABuy313——
2026-09-29BIRKETT RAKOW DIANASell148$39.305.82K
2026-09-29BIRKETT RAKOW DIANASell313——
2026-09-29LEVINE KYLE BSell83$39.933.31K
2026-09-29LEVINE KYLE BBuy210——
2026-09-29LEVINE KYLE BSell210——
2026-09-23Berry Jason MBuy2.01K——
2026-09-23Berry Jason MSell792$39.7031.44K
2026-09-23Berry Jason MSell2.01K——
2026-09-22SCHNEIDER ANDREA LBuy499$41.9120.91K
2026-09-22SCHNEIDER ANDREA LBuy48$41.912.01K
2026-09-22SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell499$41.9120.91K
2026-09-22SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell499$41.9120.91K
2026-09-22SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell48$41.912.01K
2026-09-22HARRISON ANDREW RBuy869$41.9136.42K
2026-09-22HARRISON ANDREW RSell869$41.9136.42K
2026-09-22HARRISON ANDREW RSell869$41.9136.42K
2026-09-22MINICUCCI BENITOBuy2.70K$49.91134.66K
2026-09-22MINICUCCI BENITOSell2.70K$49.91134.66K
2026-09-22MINICUCCI BENITOSell2.70K$49.91134.66K
2026-08-20MINICUCCI BENITOBuy25.00K$40.061.00M
2026-08-03HARRISON ANDREW RSell5.30K$49.67263.26K
2026-06-29DeHaan Tiffany JOther0——
2026-06-29DeHaan Tiffany JOther0——
2026-06-29DeHaan Tiffany JOther2.37K——
2026-06-29TACKETT SHANE RBuy4.10K——
2026-06-01SIEVERT G MICHAELOther0——
2026-05-13Hogan Kathleen TBuy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13YEAMAN ERIC KBuy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13Shimer Peter ABuy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13SANDVIK HELVI KAYBuy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13LOFTON ADRIENNE ROCHELLEBuy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13ELWELL DANIEL KEVINBuy2.59K$38.5699.99K
2026-05-13ELWELL DANIEL KEVINBuy2.59K$38.5699.99K
2026-05-13Conner Raymond L.Buy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13BEER JAMES ABuy5.19K$38.56199.97K
2026-05-13Bedient Patricia MBuy6.48K$38.56249.98K
2026-05-04Berry Jason MSell2.40K——
2026-04-01McIntyre Lindsay-RaeBuy44.90K——
2026-04-01McIntyre Lindsay-RaeBuy17.96K——
2026-04-01McIntyre Lindsay-RaeOther0——
2026-03-20Berry Jason MBuy697——
2026-03-20Berry Jason MSell279$36.9110.30K
2026-03-20Berry Jason MSell697——
2026-02-18HARRISON ANDREW RSell5.50K$56.63311.49K
2026-02-18TACKETT SHANE RSell24.00K$57.151.37M
2026-02-13VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE EBuy8.86K——
2026-02-13VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE ESell3.34K$55.27184.44K
2026-02-13VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE EBuy13.16K——
2026-02-13VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE ESell4.96K$55.27273.92K
2026-02-13VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE ESell8.86K——
2026-02-13VON MUEHLEN CONSTANCE ESell13.16K——
2026-02-13TACKETT SHANE RBuy10.22K——
2026-02-13TACKETT SHANE RBuy18.06K——
2026-02-13TACKETT SHANE RSell4.09K$55.27226.11K
2026-02-13TACKETT SHANE RSell7.23K$55.27399.38K
2026-02-13TACKETT SHANE RSell10.22K——
2026-02-13TACKETT SHANE RSell18.06K——
2026-02-13SCHNEIDER ANDREA LBuy4.54K——
2026-02-13SCHNEIDER ANDREA LBuy7.60K——
2026-02-13SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell1.71K$55.2794.57K
2026-02-13SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell2.86K$55.27158.24K
2026-02-13SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell4.54K——
2026-02-13SCHNEIDER ANDREA LSell7.60K——
2026-02-13MINICUCCI BENITOBuy22.72K——
2026-02-13MINICUCCI BENITOBuy39.16K——
2026-02-13MINICUCCI BENITOSell8.56K$55.27472.89K
2026-02-13MINICUCCI BENITOSell14.75K$55.27815.07K
2026-02-13MINICUCCI BENITOSell22.72K——
2026-02-13MINICUCCI BENITOSell39.16K——
2026-02-13LEVINE KYLE BBuy5.91K——
2026-02-13LEVINE KYLE BSell2.36K$55.27130.66K
2026-02-13LEVINE KYLE BBuy7.74K——
2026-02-13LEVINE KYLE BSell3.10K$55.27171.17K
2026-02-13LEVINE KYLE BSell5.91K——
2026-02-13LEVINE KYLE BSell7.74K——
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RBuy8.86K——
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RBuy17.02K——
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RSell3.34K$55.27184.44K
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RSell6.41K$55.27354.28K
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RSell14.50K$54.81794.76K
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RSell8.86K——
2026-02-13HARRISON ANDREW RSell17.02K——
2026-02-13HALVERSON EMILYBuy2.38K——
2026-02-13HALVERSON EMILYSell597$55.2733.00K
2026-02-13HALVERSON EMILYBuy2.55K——
2026-02-13HALVERSON EMILYSell638$55.2735.26K
2026-02-13HALVERSON EMILYSell2.38K——
2026-02-13HALVERSON EMILYSell2.55K——
2026-02-13BIRKETT RAKOW DIANABuy4.09K——
2026-02-13BIRKETT RAKOW DIANASell1.64K$55.2790.48K
2026-02-13BIRKETT RAKOW DIANABuy5.16K——
2026-02-13BIRKETT RAKOW DIANASell1.94K$55.27107.39K
2026-02-13BIRKETT RAKOW DIANASell4.09K——
2026-02-13BIRKETT RAKOW DIANASell5.16K——
2026-02-13Berry Jason MBuy2.73K——
2026-02-13Berry Jason MSell1.09K$55.2760.35K
2026-02-13Berry Jason MBuy2.40K——
2026-02-13Berry Jason MSell608$55.2733.60K
2026-02-13Berry Jason MSell2.73K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 529, holders +41 vs prior quarter. Ownership 92.30%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.11.62M-134.46K-1.14%606.31M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP6.49M140.60K+2.21%338.71M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC5.33M388.45K+7.87%278.08M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.97M-77.18K-1.53%259.61M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC4.96M-198.91K-3.86%258.90M
STATE STREET CORP3.56M80.00K+2.30%186.04M
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS3.47M-61.58K-1.74%181.05M
FRONTIER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LLC3.38M11.06K+0.33%176.68M
PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA/3.23M-23.00K-0.71%168.47M
CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC3.18M680.95K+27.21%166.16M
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/2.88M5.90K+0.21%150.12M
MORGAN STANLEY2.29M-506.93K-18.11%119.67M
FMR LLC2.18M-1.37M-38.67%113.73M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.10M-52.43K-2.44%109.52M
SEMPER AUGUSTUS INVESTMENTS GROUP LLC1.79M98.56K+5.81%93.63M
UBS GROUP AG1.71M45.95K+2.76%89.30M
PAR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC1.58M-1.86K-0.12%82.46M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.1.24M1.24MNew64.97M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC1.24M-18.30K-1.45%64.97M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP1.20M-764.90K-38.84%62.86M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC1.19M75.90K+6.82%62.09M
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP1.12M922.55K+465.92%58.49M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC1.08M640.18K+143.92%56.64M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC1.06M163.94K+18.32%55.27M
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.04M501.41K+93.95%54.00M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 16 analysts. Average price target $49.29, +35.2% versus the current price. Low $42.00. High $52.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $49.29 for Alaska Air Group (ALK), 35.6% above the current price of $36.36. Of 16 analysts covering the stock, 15 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 0 Hold, and 1 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

ALK price target

12-month price target
Low$42.00
Average$49.29
High$52.00

The average is 35.6% above the current price of $36.36.

Is Alaska Air Group a buy or sell?

Of 16 analysts, 15 rate Alaska Air Group Buy or Strong Buy, 0 Hold, and 1 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

Alaska Air Group earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS -4.54, revenue $15.79 billion. 2027, EPS $3.24, revenue $17.34 billion.

ALK score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for ALK is 35 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

ALK forecast FAQs

What is the ALK price target?

$49.29 average, with a published range of $42.00 to $52.00.

Is Alaska Air Group a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 16 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Alaska Air Group stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is -4.54. The average revenue estimate is $15.79 billion.

What will ALK be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Alaska Air Group's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Related: Alaska Air Group · Financials · Dividends · Compare · AI stocks

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

Alaska Air Group (ALK) Stock Forecast & Price Target

ALK$36.47+0.89 +2.50%

$4.07B

Market Cap

-10.18

P/E

11.27

Forward P/E

35

Score

Price History