Autoliv (ALV) Stock Forecast & Price Target

ALV price $117.89 +2.34 +2.03%

Ticker
ALV
Price
$117.89
Change
+2.34 +2.03%
Market cap ?
$8.49B
P/E ?
13.86
Forward P/E ?
11.54
Dividend yield ?
3.00%
Beta ?
1.40
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto - Parts
Stocklytics score
48
Value
48
Quality
48
Growth
49

Stocklytics score rationale: value 48, quality 48, growth 49.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
100736000001038260000086782000008547600000744740000082300000008842000000104750000001039000000010815000000

Autoliv, Inc., operating through its global subsidiaries, specializes in the development, production, and supply of passive safety equipment for the automotive sector. The company's market presence spans Europe, the Americas, China, Japan, and other parts of Asia. Its extensive range of passive safety offerings includes components and modules for frontal and side-impact airbag systems, seatbelts, steering wheels…

Fair value

ALV fair value $173.93. Price $117.89. Price is 32% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 82% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 728.00M. Growth 8.13%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.98% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 72.01M. Net debt 1.84B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare ALV

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-01-29—3.51—2.83B
2026-10-232.192.232.69B2.73B
2026-07-172.432.422.80B2.77B
2026-04-172.051.832.75B2.62B
2026-01-303.192.852.82B2.77B
2025-10-172.322.092.71B2.71B
2025-07-182.212.092.71B2.62B
2025-04-162.151.682.58B2.51B
2025-01-313.052.842.62B2.48B
2024-10-181.841.952.56B2.52B
2024-07-191.872.232.60B2.73B
2024-04-261.581.422.62B2.61B
2024-01-263.743.252.75B2.75B
2023-10-201.661.852.60B2.65B
2023-07-211.931.452.63B2.54B
2023-04-210.900.962.49B2.29B
2023-01-271.831.762.33B2.41B
2022-10-211.231.272.30B2.33B
2022-07-220.900.362.08B2.05B
2022-04-220.451.292.12B2.17B
2022-01-281.301.182.12B2.19B
2021-10-220.730.841.85B2.13B
2021-07-161.201.422.02B2.13B
2021-04-231.791.422.24B1.66B
2021-01-262.191.932.52B2.18B
2020-10-231.481.272.04B1.56B
2020-07-17-1.40-1.411.05B770.73M
2020-04-240.880.861.85B1.80B
2020-01-281.841.762.19B2.10B
2019-10-251.301.382.03B2.21B
2019-07-191.381.452.15B2.26B
2019-04-261.201.622.17B2.93B
2019-01-291.421.622.19B2.70B
2018-10-261.351.682.03B2.53B
2018-07-272.221.882.21B1.76B
2018-04-271.661.802.81B2.43B
2018-01-302.031.742.73B1.84B
2017-10-261.471.332.50B1.79B
2017-07-211.441.502.54B2.07B
2017-04-281.651.552.61B1.92B

Dividends

Yield 2.95%. Payout ratio 41.25%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 95/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 41% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 30 separate years. Yield is 3.0%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-08-28$0.872026-08-282026-09-15Quarterly
2026-05-20$0.872026-05-202026-06-08Quarterly
2026-03-04$0.872026-03-042026-03-19Quarterly
2025-11-21$0.872025-11-212025-12-10Quarterly
2025-09-05$0.852025-09-052025-09-23Quarterly
2025-05-21$0.702025-05-212025-06-10Quarterly
2025-03-07$0.702025-03-072025-03-24Quarterly
2024-12-03$0.702024-12-032024-12-19Quarterly
2024-09-04$0.682024-09-042024-09-23Quarterly
2024-05-22$0.682024-05-232024-06-12Quarterly
2024-03-11$0.682024-03-122024-03-27Quarterly
2023-11-27$0.682023-11-282023-12-13Quarterly
2023-09-06$0.662023-09-072023-09-22Quarterly
2023-05-24$0.662023-05-252023-06-13Quarterly
2023-03-07$0.662023-03-082023-03-23Quarterly
2022-11-21$0.662022-11-222022-12-09Quarterly
2022-09-06$0.642022-09-072022-09-22Quarterly
2022-05-23$0.642022-05-242022-06-13Quarterly
2022-03-07$0.642022-03-082022-03-23Quarterly
2021-11-26$0.642021-11-292021-12-13Quarterly
2021-09-08$0.622021-09-092021-09-24Quarterly
2021-05-27$0.622021-05-282021-06-14Annual
2020-05-18$0.622020-05-192020-06-04Quarterly
2020-02-19$0.622020-02-202020-03-05Quarterly
2019-11-19$0.622019-11-202019-12-05Quarterly
2019-08-20$0.622019-08-212019-09-05Quarterly
2019-05-21$0.622019-05-222019-06-07Quarterly
2019-02-21$0.622019-02-222019-03-07Quarterly
2018-11-20$0.622018-11-212018-12-06Quarterly
2018-08-21$0.622018-08-222018-09-06Quarterly
2018-05-22$0.452018-05-232018-06-07Quarterly
2018-02-21$0.432018-02-222018-03-08Quarterly
2017-11-21$0.432017-11-222017-12-07Quarterly
2017-08-21$0.432017-08-232017-09-07Quarterly
2017-05-15$0.432017-05-172017-06-01Quarterly
2017-02-13$0.422017-02-152017-03-02Quarterly
2016-11-14$0.422016-11-162016-12-01Quarterly
2016-08-16$0.422016-08-182016-09-01Quarterly
2016-05-16$0.422016-05-182016-06-02Quarterly
2016-02-16$0.402016-02-182016-03-03Quarterly
2015-11-16$0.402015-11-182015-12-03Quarterly
2015-08-18$0.402015-08-202015-09-03Quarterly
2015-05-18$0.402015-05-202015-06-04Quarterly
2015-02-17$0.392015-02-192015-03-05Quarterly
2014-11-17$0.392014-11-192014-12-04Quarterly
2014-08-18$0.392014-08-202014-09-04Quarterly
2014-05-19$0.372014-05-212014-06-05Quarterly
2014-02-18$0.372014-02-202014-03-06Quarterly
2013-11-18$0.362013-11-202013-12-05Quarterly
2013-08-19$0.362013-08-212013-09-05Quarterly
2013-05-20$0.362013-05-222013-06-07Quarterly
2013-02-19$0.362013-02-212013-03-07Quarterly
2012-11-19$0.362012-11-212012-12-06Quarterly
2012-08-20$0.342012-08-222012-09-06Quarterly
2012-05-21$0.342012-05-232012-06-07Quarterly
2012-02-13$0.322012-02-152012-03-01Quarterly
2011-11-15$0.322011-11-172011-12-01Quarterly
2011-08-16$0.322011-08-182011-09-01Quarterly
2011-05-03$0.312011-05-052011-06-02Quarterly
2011-02-01$0.292011-02-032011-03-03Quarterly
2010-11-02$0.252010-11-042010-12-09Quarterly
2010-08-03$0.222010-08-052010-09-02Semi-Annual
2009-02-03$0.152009-02-052009-03-05Quarterly
2008-11-04$0.302008-11-062008-12-04Quarterly
2008-08-05$0.302008-08-072008-09-04Quarterly
2008-05-06$0.282008-05-082008-06-05Quarterly
2008-02-05$0.282008-02-072008-03-06Quarterly
2007-11-06$0.282007-11-082007-12-06Quarterly
2007-08-07$0.282007-08-092007-09-06Quarterly
2007-05-08$0.282007-05-102007-06-07Quarterly
2007-01-30$0.272007-02-012007-03-01Quarterly
2006-11-07$0.272006-11-092006-12-07Quarterly
2006-08-08$0.252006-08-102006-09-07Quarterly
2006-05-02$0.232006-05-042006-06-01Quarterly
2006-01-31$0.232006-02-022006-03-02Quarterly
2005-11-08$0.232005-11-102005-12-08Quarterly
2005-08-09$0.222005-08-112005-09-08Quarterly
2005-05-02$0.222005-05-042005-06-02Quarterly
2005-02-01$0.182005-02-032005-03-03Quarterly
2004-11-08$0.142004-11-112004-12-09Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2029-02-19Grama MonikaOther345——
2029-02-19Naughton ColinBuy27——
2026-09-15Senko ThaddeusBuy11——
2026-09-15Lissalde FredericBuy11——
2026-09-15BRLAS LAURIEBuy11——
2026-09-15Karaboutis AdrianaBuy11——
2026-09-15Carlson JanBuy16——
2026-09-15Liu XiaozhiBuy11——
2026-09-15LUNDGREN GUSTAVBuy11——
2026-09-15JOHANSSON LEIFBuy11——
2026-09-15Grama MonikaBuy3——
2026-09-15Grama MonikaBuy3——
2026-09-15Grama MonikaBuy2——
2026-09-15Grama MonikaBuy2——
2026-09-15Grama MonikaBuy1——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy8——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy5——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy4——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy3——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy3——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy3——
2026-09-15ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy2——
2026-09-15Bratt MikaelBuy53——
2026-09-15Bratt MikaelBuy33——
2026-09-15Hagstrom MikaelBuy3——
2026-09-15Hagstrom MikaelBuy2——
2026-09-15Hagstrom MikaelBuy1——
2026-09-15Hagstrom MikaelBuy1——
2026-09-15Hagstrom MikaelBuy1——
2026-09-15Jarlegren MagnusBuy57——
2026-09-15Jarlegren MagnusBuy11——
2026-09-15JADEMYR PER JONASBuy8——
2026-09-15Jarlegren MagnusBuy7——
2026-09-15Jarlegren MagnusBuy5——
2026-09-15JADEMYR PER JONASBuy5——
2026-09-15Jarlegren MagnusBuy5——
2026-09-15Jarlegren MagnusBuy5——
2026-09-15JADEMYR PER JONASBuy4——
2026-09-15JADEMYR PER JONASBuy3——
2026-09-15JADEMYR PER JONASBuy3——
2026-09-15Naughton ColinBuy24——
2026-09-15Naughton ColinBuy11——
2026-09-15Naughton ColinBuy7——
2026-09-15Naughton ColinBuy5——
2026-09-15Naughton ColinBuy5——
2026-09-15Naughton ColinBuy5——
2026-09-15Dumont FabienBuy5——
2026-09-15Dumont FabienBuy4——
2026-09-15Dumont FabienBuy3——
2026-09-15Dumont FabienBuy3——
2026-09-15Dumont FabienBuy1——
2026-09-15Nellis Anthony JBuy38——
2026-09-15Nellis Anthony JBuy15——
2026-09-15Nellis Anthony JBuy10——
2026-09-15Swahn ChristianBuy8——
2026-09-15Nellis Anthony JBuy8——
2026-09-15Nellis Anthony JBuy7——
2026-09-15Nellis Anthony JBuy6——
2026-09-15Swahn ChristianBuy5——
2026-09-15Swahn ChristianBuy4——
2026-09-15Swahn ChristianBuy3——
2026-09-15Swahn ChristianBuy3——
2026-09-15Yih SngBuy11——
2026-09-15Yih SngBuy7——
2026-09-15Yih SngBuy5——
2026-09-15Olsson StaffanBuy5——
2026-09-15Yih SngBuy5——
2026-09-15Yih SngBuy5——
2026-09-15Olsson StaffanBuy4——
2026-09-15Olsson StaffanBuy3——
2026-09-15Olsson StaffanBuy3——
2026-09-15Olsson StaffanBuy1——
2026-06-12Carlson JanSell19.61K$130.002.55M
2026-06-08Senko ThaddeusBuy10——
2026-06-08Karaboutis AdrianaBuy10——
2026-06-08Carlson JanBuy15——
2026-06-08LUNDGREN GUSTAVBuy10——
2026-06-08JOHANSSON LEIFBuy10——
2026-06-08Liu XiaozhiBuy10——
2026-06-08Lissalde FredericBuy10——
2026-06-08BRLAS LAURIEBuy10——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy7——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy4——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy3——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy3——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy3——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy2——
2026-06-08ALBUSCHUS PETRABuy2——
2026-06-08Swahn ChristianBuy7——
2026-06-08Swahn ChristianBuy4——
2026-06-08Swahn ChristianBuy3——
2026-06-08Swahn ChristianBuy3——
2026-06-08Swahn ChristianBuy3——
2026-06-08Dumont FabienBuy5——
2026-06-08Dumont FabienBuy4——
2026-06-08Dumont FabienBuy3——
2026-06-08Dumont FabienBuy3——
2026-06-08Dumont FabienBuy1——
2026-06-08Fox KevinBuy15——
2026-06-08Fox KevinBuy9——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 421, holders -1 vs prior quarter. Ownership 70.76%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
CEVIAN CAPITAL II GP LTD6.30M00.00%731.70M
BLACKROCK, INC.4.93M95.83K+1.98%573.24M
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/866.29K77.85K+9.87%468.58M
SWEDBANK AB3.39M771.43K+29.44%393.99M
FMR LLC2.46M-90.77K-3.55%286.23M
FIL LTD2.39M-1.63K-0.07%277.44M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.2.28M2.28MNew265.31M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC2.28M223.22K+10.83%265.31M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP2.12M168.32K+8.62%246.35M
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT1.81M111.74K+6.59%209.90M
STATE STREET CORP1.49M65.66K+4.60%173.40M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.40M10.32K+0.74%162.99M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.37M246.78K+21.91%159.49M
UBS GROUP AG1.13M-193.82K-14.59%131.77M
MORGAN STANLEY1.12M275.75K+32.68%130.06M
INVESCO LTD.1.06M105.74K+11.03%123.68M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC855.63K22.80K+2.74%99.40M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP821.59K145.01K+21.43%95.44M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC592.31K23.74K+4.18%68.81M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP560.59K-5.03K-0.89%65.12M
NORGES BANK524.32K524.32KNew60.91M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP475.67K49.07K+11.50%55.26M
CITIGROUP INC457.09K374.40K+452.77%53.10M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC438.42K92.14K+26.61%50.93M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC417.33K125.50K+43.01%48.48M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 18 analysts. Average price target $129.00, +9.4% versus the current price. Low $119.00. High $146.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

Stocklytics home · Screener

Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $129.00 for Autoliv (ALV), 9.4% above the current price of $117.89. Of 18 analysts covering the stock, 11 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 7 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

ALV price target

12-month price target
Low$119.00
Average$129.00
High$146.00

The average is 9.4% above the current price of $117.89.

Is Autoliv a buy or sell?

Of 18 analysts, 11 rate Autoliv Buy or Strong Buy, 7 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

Autoliv earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $10.22, revenue $11.09 billion. 2027, EPS $11.84, revenue $11.38 billion.

ALV score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for ALV is 48 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

ALV forecast FAQs

What is the ALV price target?

$129.00 average, with a published range of $119.00 to $146.00.

Is Autoliv a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 18 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Autoliv stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $10.22. The average revenue estimate is $11.09 billion.

What will ALV be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Autoliv's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

Autoliv (ALV) Stock Forecast & Price Target

ALV$117.89+2.34 +2.03%

$8.49B

Market Cap

13.86

P/E

11.54

Forward P/E

48

Score

Price History