Aemetis (AMTX) Stock Insights

AMTX price $1.31 +0.00 +0.08%

Ticker
AMTX
Price
$1.31
Change
+0.00 +0.08%
Market cap ?
$94.61M
P/E ?
-1.43
Forward P/E ?
1.54
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.47
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty
Stocklytics score
51
Value
59
Quality
31
Growth
64

Stocklytics score rationale: value 59, quality 31, growth 64.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
143158000150157000171526000201998000165557000211949000256513000186717000267640000207981000

Aemetis, Inc. is an enterprise specializing in renewable natural gas and sustainable fuels, conducting operations across North America and India. The company's business activities are structured into three primary divisions: California Ethanol, Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. A core objective for Aemetis is the procurement, development, and market launch of innovative products and technologies that…

Fair value

AMTX fair value $13.99. Price $1.31. Price is 91% below fair value.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 38.31M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.5). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 72.17M. Net debt 376.87M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare AMTX

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-05—-0.20—74.20M
2026-08-06-0.13-0.2962.70M67.69M
2026-05-07-0.33-0.2754.62M66.70M
2026-03-12-0.08-0.2753.66M59.27M
2025-11-06-0.37-0.2559.19M72.07M
2025-08-07-0.41-0.3552.24M89.42M
2025-05-08-0.47-0.3942.89M91.05M
2025-03-13-0.36-0.4647.00M89.04M
2024-11-12-0.38-0.4781.44M88.72M
2024-08-01-0.66-0.5866.56M80.78M
2024-05-09-0.58-0.4372.63M77.22M
2024-03-07-0.64-0.3570.76M74.65M
2023-11-09-0.59-0.2368.69M75.77M
2023-08-03-0.68-0.2845.11M59.60M
2023-05-04-0.73-0.292.15M59.53M
2023-03-09-0.63-0.3466.73M71.44M
2022-11-03-0.47-0.3271.83M67.40M
2022-08-04-0.05-0.2965.90M59.23M
2022-05-12-0.54-0.3752.05M56.70M
2022-03-10-0.03-0.2764.36M56.99M
2021-11-11-0.55-0.3049.90M46.31M
2021-08-12-0.38-0.4754.88M54.97M
2021-05-12-0.69-0.6042.81M29.88M
2021-03-15-0.68-0.5837.33M48.93M
2020-11-12-0.59-0.0540.92M360.94M
2020-08-130.10-0.3147.82M148.25M
2020-05-14-0.58-0.3439.48M28.74M
2020-03-12-0.33-0.3352.10M52.10M
2019-11-14-0.31-0.2957.39M53.69M
2019-08-08-0.33-0.4450.62M35.35M
2019-05-09-0.48-0.3241.89M27.93M
2019-03-14-0.56-0.3138.84M21.50M
2018-11-07-0.29-0.3144.63M43.10M
2018-08-09-0.27-0.3945.03M56.70M
2018-05-10-0.32-0.4443.02M28.68M
2018-03-29-0.41-0.2838.88M26.55M
2017-11-09-0.38-0.2438.94M24.59M
2017-08-10-0.30-0.2440.76M32.61M
2017-05-11-0.43-0.1231.57M8.81M
2017-03-07-0.17-0.1837.40M96.17M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-06-10Simon Timothy AlanSell10.00K$2.0520.50K
2026-03-19Waltz ToddBuy200.00K$2.64528.00K
2026-03-19Gupta SanjeevBuy200.00K$2.64528.00K
2026-03-19ROCKETT JAMES MICHAELBuy200.00K$2.64528.00K
2026-03-19BLOCK JOHN RBuy10.00K$2.6426.40K
2026-03-19FOSTER ANDREW BBuy200.00K$2.64528.00K
2026-03-19MCAFEE ERIC ABuy300.00K$2.64792.00K
2026-01-22Simon Timothy AlanBuy12.00K$1.5418.48K
2026-01-22BLOCK JOHN RBuy12.00K$1.5418.48K
2026-01-22BARTON FRANCIS PBuy18.00K$1.5427.72K
2026-01-22Beebe Lydia IBuy14.50K$1.5422.33K
2026-01-22Boness Naomi LouiseBuy12.00K$1.5418.48K
2025-08-14BARTON FRANCIS PSell1.30K$2.533.29K
2025-08-14BARTON FRANCIS PSell12.15K$2.5330.79K
2025-08-14BARTON FRANCIS PSell5.00K$2.5312.67K
2025-08-14BARTON FRANCIS PSell8.00K$2.5320.27K
2025-06-09Simon Timothy AlanSell10.37K$1.9820.58K
2025-06-09Simon Timothy AlanSell5.00K$1.989.92K
2025-06-09Simon Timothy AlanSell4.63K$1.989.19K
2025-05-15ROCKETT JAMES MICHAELBuy27.92K$1.6345.51K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell50.00K$0.7035.00K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell5.00K$1.718.55K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell27.08K$0.9224.92K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell62.50K$0.6037.50K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell30.00K$0.6720.10K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell70.00K$0.7049.00K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell36.76K$0.7025.73K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddSell7.54K$0.866.48K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy7.54K$0.866.48K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy36.76K$0.7025.73K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy70.00K$0.7049.00K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy30.00K$0.6720.10K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy62.50K$0.6037.50K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy27.08K$0.9224.92K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy5.00K$1.718.55K
2025-04-07Waltz ToddBuy50.00K$0.7035.00K
2025-01-16MCAFEE ERIC ABuy300.00K——
2025-01-16Waltz ToddBuy165.57K$2.73452.00K
2025-01-16Waltz ToddBuy34.43K$2.7394.00K
2025-01-16ROCKETT JAMES MICHAELBuy165.57K$2.73452.00K
2025-01-16ROCKETT JAMES MICHAELBuy34.43K$2.7394.00K
2025-01-16Boness Naomi LouiseBuy12.00K——
2025-01-16Simon Timothy AlanBuy12.00K——
2025-01-16Beebe Lydia IBuy14.50K——
2025-01-16Gupta SanjeevBuy165.57K$2.73452.00K
2025-01-16Gupta SanjeevBuy34.43K$2.7394.00K
2025-01-16FOSTER ANDREW BBuy165.57K$2.73452.00K
2025-01-16FOSTER ANDREW BBuy34.43K$2.7394.00K
2025-01-16BARTON FRANCIS PBuy18.00K——
2025-01-16BLOCK JOHN RBuy12.00K——
2024-11-21BLOCK JOHN RBuy12.47K——
2024-11-21Boness Naomi LouiseBuy11.90K——
2024-11-21BARTON FRANCIS PBuy20.08K——
2024-11-21Beebe Lydia IBuy15.13K——
2024-11-21Simon Timothy AlanBuy5.19K——
2024-05-23BLOCK JOHN RSell51.58K$3.49180.01K
2024-01-18ROCKETT JAMES MICHAELBuy200.00K$3.09618.00K
2024-01-18FOSTER ANDREW BBuy200.00K$3.09618.00K
2024-01-18BLOCK JOHN RBuy11.00K——
2024-01-18Boness Naomi LouiseBuy11.00K——
2024-01-18Waltz ToddBuy200.00K$3.09618.00K
2024-01-18Gupta SanjeevBuy200.00K$3.09618.00K
2024-01-18Simon Timothy AlanBuy11.00K——
2024-01-18Beebe Lydia IBuy13.50K——
2024-01-18BARTON FRANCIS PBuy17.00K——
2024-01-18MCAFEE ERIC ABuy300.00K——
2023-11-28ROCKETT JAMES MICHAELSell100.00K$1.88188.00K
2023-09-12Boness Naomi LouiseSell1.30K$5.657.34K
2023-09-12Boness Naomi LouiseSell5.00K$5.6528.23K
2023-09-12Boness Naomi LouiseSell8.70K$5.6549.12K
2023-06-16BLOCK JOHN RSell19.20K$6.30121.01K
2023-06-15BLOCK JOHN RBuy50.00K$3.09154.50K
2023-06-15BLOCK JOHN RSell22.59K$6.84154.50K
2023-06-15BLOCK JOHN RBuy10.00K$2.5925.90K
2023-06-15BLOCK JOHN RSell3.79K$6.8425.90K
2023-06-15BLOCK JOHN RSell10.00K$2.5925.90K
2023-06-15BLOCK JOHN RSell50.00K$3.09154.50K
2023-01-05MCAFEE ERIC ABuy180.00K——
2023-01-05Waltz ToddBuy137.50K$3.75515.62K
2023-01-05Waltz ToddBuy12.50K$3.7546.88K
2023-01-05Beebe Lydia IBuy13.57K——
2023-01-05BLOCK JOHN RBuy11.07K——
2023-01-05Simon Timothy AlanBuy11.07K——
2023-01-05BARTON FRANCIS PBuy17.07K——
2023-01-05Boness Naomi LouiseBuy11.07K——
2023-01-05Gupta SanjeevBuy137.50K$3.75515.62K
2023-01-05Gupta SanjeevBuy12.50K$3.7546.88K
2023-01-05FOSTER ANDREW BBuy137.50K$3.75515.62K
2023-01-05FOSTER ANDREW BBuy12.50K$3.7546.88K
2022-08-18Waltz ToddBuy50.00K$10.11505.50K
2022-08-18Gupta SanjeevBuy50.00K$10.11505.50K
2022-08-18FOSTER ANDREW BBuy50.00K$10.11505.50K
2022-08-18Simon Timothy AlanBuy5.00K——
2022-08-18BLOCK JOHN RBuy5.00K——
2022-08-18Beebe Lydia IBuy6.00K——
2022-08-18BARTON FRANCIS PBuy8.00K——
2022-08-18Boness Naomi LouiseBuy5.00K——
2022-03-14BLOCK JOHN RSell35.00K$1.7260.20K
2022-03-14BLOCK JOHN RSell35.00K$12.12424.10K
2022-03-14BLOCK JOHN RSell1.30K$12.1215.75K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 97, holders +13 vs prior quarter. Ownership 25.18%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.3.97M3.34M+527.03%6.51M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.99M356.59K+13.53%4.91M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.72M989.42K+135.42%2.82M
GRANTHAM, MAYO, VAN OTTERLOO & CO. LLC1.06M14.30K+1.36%1.75M
STATE STREET CORP726.20K424.30K+140.54%1.19M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.623.03K77.60K+14.23%1.02M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP507.99K372.75K+275.64%833.10K
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC442.36K442.36KNew725.48K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO438.94K60.84K+16.09%719.86K
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP400.72K363.12K+965.75%657.18K
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC396.40K-20.42K-4.90%650.10K
MARSHALL WACE, LLP298.80K-580.88K-66.03%490.03K
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC267.31K227.11K+564.95%438.39K
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP267.20K-113.04K-29.73%438.21K
CIBC BANCORP USA INC.253.88K3.58K+1.43%416.36K
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC199.70K2.15K+1.09%327.51K
HAMILTON CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC195.31K195.31KNew320.31K
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC195.29K195.29KNew320.27K
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.195.29K195.29KNew320.27K
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP172.31K172.31KNew282.58K
JANE STREET GROUP, LLC164.00K148.80K+978.95%268.96K
LPL FINANCIAL LLC142.03K6.13K+4.51%232.93K
OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC.137.52K10.58K+8.33%225.54K
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC126.90K25.00K+24.53%208.12K
J. DEREK LEWIS & ASSOCIATES INC.125.00K-76.35K-37.92%205.00K

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Aemetis (AMTX) Stock Insights

AMTX$1.31+0.00 +0.08%

$94.61M

Market Cap

-1.43

P/E

1.54

Forward P/E

51

Score

Price History