A. O. Smith (AOS) Stock Insights

AOS price $61.91 +1.05 +1.73%

Ticker
AOS
Price
$61.91
Change
+1.05 +1.73%
Market cap ?
$8.41B
P/E ?
17.29
Forward P/E ?
16.68
Dividend yield ?
2.32%
Beta ?
1.11
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Industrial - Machinery
Stocklytics score
55
Value
69
Quality
63
Growth
34

Stocklytics score rationale: value 69, quality 63, growth 34.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
2685900000299670000031879000002992700000289530000035389000003753900000385280000038181000003830200000

A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is a global manufacturer and marketer specializing in a comprehensive array of water heating and treatment solutions. Its operations span North America, China, Europe, and India, organized into two primary geographic segments: North America and Rest of World. The company's product portfolio is extensive, featuring residential and commercial water heaters (gas, heat pump, and electric…

Fair value

AOS fair value $82.62. Price $61.91. Price is 25% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 89% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 639.40M. Growth 7.08%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.41% (beta 1.1). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 135.91M. Net debt 17.60M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare AOS

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-10-29—0.90—960.20M
2026-07-301.030.961.00B994.89M
2026-04-300.850.94945.60M974.06M
2026-01-290.900.84912.50M928.29M
2025-10-280.940.91942.50M948.03M
2025-07-241.070.971.01B937.05M
2025-04-290.950.91963.90M952.35M
2025-01-300.850.90912.40M987.42M
2024-10-220.820.83902.60M957.81M
2024-07-231.061.061.02B1.00B
2024-04-251.000.98978.80M995.91M
2024-01-300.970.96988.10M983.35M
2023-10-260.900.80937.50M910.06M
2023-07-271.010.91960.80M965.73M
2023-04-270.940.78966.40M922.26M
2023-01-310.860.79936.10M919.23M
2022-10-270.690.69874.20M964.54M
2022-07-280.820.81965.90M959.78M
2022-04-280.770.75977.70M969.22M
2022-01-270.870.77995.50M963.69M
2021-10-280.790.68914.60M962.81M
2021-07-290.730.65859.80M816.55M
2021-04-290.600.57769.00M768.42M
2021-01-280.740.59834.50M622.34M
2020-10-290.660.52760.00M598.79M
2020-07-300.450.42663.90M619.64M
2020-05-050.320.34636.90M676.71M
2020-01-280.560.59750.90M804.54M
2019-10-290.530.53728.20M728.20M
2019-07-300.610.63765.40M790.50M
2019-04-300.530.57748.20M804.67M
2019-01-290.740.71812.50M779.56M
2018-10-300.610.63754.10M778.82M
2018-07-250.660.62833.30M782.80M
2018-04-250.600.58788.00M761.73M
2018-01-300.600.56768.60M717.36M
2017-10-250.540.53749.90M736.01M
2017-07-260.530.53738.20M738.20M
2017-04-270.500.47740.00M695.60M
2017-02-020.470.46698.10M683.25M

Dividends

Yield 2.33%. Payout ratio 39.58%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 95/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 40% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 42 separate years. Yield is 2.3%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-10-30$0.382026-10-302026-11-16Quarterly
2026-07-31$0.362026-07-312026-08-17Quarterly
2026-04-30$0.362026-04-302026-05-15Quarterly
2026-01-30$0.362026-01-302026-02-17Quarterly
2025-10-31$0.362025-10-312025-11-17Quarterly
2025-07-31$0.342025-07-312025-08-15Quarterly
2025-04-30$0.342025-04-302025-05-15Quarterly
2025-01-31$0.342025-01-312025-02-18Quarterly
2024-10-31$0.342024-10-312024-11-15Quarterly
2024-07-31$0.322024-07-312024-08-15Quarterly
2024-04-29$0.322024-04-302024-05-15Quarterly
2024-01-30$0.322024-01-312024-02-15Quarterly
2023-10-30$0.322023-10-312023-11-15Quarterly
2023-07-28$0.302023-07-312023-08-15Quarterly
2023-04-27$0.302023-04-282023-05-15Quarterly
2023-01-30$0.302023-01-312023-02-15Quarterly
2022-10-28$0.302022-10-312022-11-15Quarterly
2022-07-28$0.282022-07-292022-08-15Quarterly
2022-04-28$0.282022-04-292022-05-16Quarterly
2022-01-28$0.282022-01-312022-02-15Quarterly
2021-10-28$0.282021-10-292021-11-15Quarterly
2021-07-29$0.262021-07-302021-08-16Quarterly
2021-04-29$0.262021-04-302021-05-17Quarterly
2021-01-28$0.262021-01-292021-02-16Quarterly
2020-10-29$0.262020-10-302020-11-16Quarterly
2020-07-30$0.242020-07-312020-08-17Quarterly
2020-04-29$0.242020-04-302020-05-15Quarterly
2020-01-30$0.242020-01-312020-02-18Quarterly
2019-10-30$0.242019-10-312019-11-15Quarterly
2019-07-30$0.222019-07-312019-08-15Quarterly
2019-04-29$0.222019-04-302019-05-15Quarterly
2019-01-30$0.222019-01-312019-02-15Quarterly
2018-10-30$0.222018-10-312018-11-15Quarterly
2018-07-30$0.182018-07-312018-08-15Quarterly
2018-04-27$0.182018-04-302018-05-15Quarterly
2018-01-30$0.182018-01-312018-02-15Quarterly
2017-10-30$0.142017-10-312017-11-15Quarterly
2017-07-27$0.142017-07-312017-08-15Quarterly
2017-04-26$0.142017-04-282017-05-15Quarterly
2017-01-27$0.142017-01-312017-02-15Quarterly
2016-10-27$0.122016-10-312016-11-15Quarterly
2016-07-27$0.122016-07-292016-08-15Quarterly
2016-04-27$0.122016-04-292016-05-16Quarterly
2016-02-03$0.122016-02-052016-02-16Quarterly
2015-10-28$0.102015-10-302015-11-16Quarterly
2015-07-29$0.102015-07-312015-08-17Quarterly
2015-04-28$0.102015-04-302015-05-15Quarterly
2015-02-04$0.102015-02-062015-02-17Quarterly
2014-10-29$0.072014-10-312014-11-17Quarterly
2014-07-29$0.072014-07-312014-08-15Quarterly
2014-04-28$0.072014-04-302014-05-15Quarterly
2014-02-05$0.072014-02-072014-02-18Quarterly
2013-10-29$0.062013-10-312013-11-15Quarterly
2013-07-29$0.062013-07-312013-08-15Quarterly
2013-04-25$0.062013-04-292013-05-14Quarterly
2013-01-29$0.052013-01-312013-02-15Quarterly
2012-10-29$0.202012-10-312012-11-15Quarterly
2012-07-27$0.052012-07-312012-08-15Quarterly
2012-04-26$0.042012-04-302012-05-15Quarterly
2012-01-27$0.042012-01-312012-02-15Quarterly
2011-10-27$0.042011-10-312011-11-15Quarterly
2011-07-27$0.042011-07-292011-08-15Quarterly
2011-04-27$0.042011-04-292011-05-16Quarterly
2011-01-27$0.042011-01-312011-02-15Quarterly
2010-11-16$0.052010-10-29—Quarterly
2010-10-27$0.042010-10-292010-11-15Quarterly
2010-07-28$0.042010-07-302010-08-16Quarterly
2010-04-28$0.032010-04-302010-05-17Quarterly
2010-01-27$0.032010-01-292010-02-16Quarterly
2009-10-28$0.032009-10-302009-11-16Quarterly
2009-07-29$0.032009-07-312009-08-17Quarterly
2009-04-28$0.032009-04-302009-05-15Quarterly
2009-01-28$0.032009-01-302009-02-17Quarterly
2008-10-29$0.032008-10-312008-11-17Quarterly
2008-07-29$0.032008-07-312008-08-15Quarterly
2008-04-28$0.032008-04-302008-05-15Quarterly
2008-01-29$0.032008-01-312008-02-15Quarterly
2007-10-29$0.032007-10-312007-11-15Quarterly
2007-07-27$0.032007-07-312007-08-15Quarterly
2007-04-26$0.032007-04-302007-05-15Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-07-01Anderson Carrie LBuy32.06K$62.382.00M
2026-07-01Anderson Carrie LOther0——
2026-04-23Saak Aaron WBuy2.30K$65.34150.02K
2026-04-13Saak Aaron WBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13Saak Aaron WOther0——
2026-04-13SMITH MARK DBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13MARTIN LOIS MBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13MAPES CHRISTOPHER LBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13Larsen Michael MBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13Kadri IlhamBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13HOLT VICTORIA MBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-04-13Fister Todd WBuy2.26K$66.32150.02K
2026-03-04Schuh Darrell W.Sell1.10K$74.3982.13K
2026-02-23Carver Samuel M.Sell1.14K——
2026-02-13Schuh Darrell W.Sell356$79.8928.44K
2026-02-13Wheeler Kevin J.Buy36.05K——
2026-02-13Wheeler Kevin J.Buy8.60K$79.89686.85K
2026-02-13Wheeler Kevin J.Sell16.94K$79.891.35M
2026-02-13Wheeler Kevin J.Sell36.05K——
2026-02-13STERN JAMES FBuy6.85K——
2026-02-13STERN JAMES FBuy1.63K$79.89130.45K
2026-02-13STERN JAMES FSell3.22K$79.89257.23K
2026-02-13STERN JAMES FSell6.85K——
2026-02-13Schuh Darrell W.Buy1.46K——
2026-02-13Schuh Darrell W.Sell356$79.8928.44K
2026-02-13Schuh Darrell W.Sell1.46K——
2026-02-13Qiu JackSell3.27K——
2026-02-13Otchere Benjamin ABuy1.46K——
2026-02-13Otchere Benjamin ASell545$79.8943.54K
2026-02-13Otchere Benjamin ASell1.46K——
2026-02-13O'Brien Stephen D.Buy2.90K——
2026-02-13O'Brien Stephen D.Buy791——
2026-02-13O'Brien Stephen D.Sell1.14K——
2026-02-13O'Brien Stephen D.Sell2.90K——
2026-02-13Kulkarni ParagSell1.11K——
2026-02-13Lauber Charles TBuy9.46K——
2026-02-13Lauber Charles TBuy2.25K$79.89180.06K
2026-02-13Lauber Charles TSell4.45K$79.89355.25K
2026-02-13Lauber Charles TSell9.46K——
2026-02-13Karge Douglas SamuelBuy1.42K——
2026-02-13Karge Douglas SamuelBuy338$79.8927.00K
2026-02-13Karge Douglas SamuelSell666$79.8953.20K
2026-02-13Karge Douglas SamuelSell1.42K——
2026-02-13Carver Samuel M.Buy2.60K——
2026-02-13Carver Samuel M.Buy709$79.8956.64K
2026-02-13Carver Samuel M.Sell1.03K$79.8981.96K
2026-02-13Carver Samuel M.Sell2.60K——
2026-02-09Wheeler Kevin J.Buy18.96K——
2026-02-09STERN JAMES FBuy7.01K——
2026-02-09Shafer Stephen MBuy33.51K——
2026-02-09Selby Curtis EBuy4.74K——
2026-02-09Schuh Darrell W.Buy1.56K——
2026-02-09Qiu JackBuy3.12K——
2026-02-09Otchere Benjamin ABuy1.24K——
2026-02-09O'Brien Stephen D.Buy4.90K——
2026-02-09Lauber Charles TBuy9.48K——
2026-02-09Kulkarni ParagBuy1.10K——
2026-02-09Karge Douglas SamuelBuy1.35K——
2026-02-09Jones Paul JBuy4.90K——
2026-02-09Howe Christopher T.Buy3.63K——
2026-02-09Cheng MingBuy3.23K——
2026-02-09Carver Samuel M.Buy2.56K——
2025-12-01STERN JAMES FSell2.50K——
2025-10-13Jones Paul JBuy2.20K——
2025-10-08Howe Christopher T.Buy22.04K——
2025-10-08Howe Christopher T.Other0——
2025-10-01Jones Paul JOther1.99K——
2025-09-01Kulkarni ParagSell2.14K——
2025-08-07STERN JAMES FSell17.43K$71.241.24M
2025-07-31Lauber Charles TBuy2.93K$31.6792.89K
2025-07-31Lauber Charles TSell2.07K$70.79146.82K
2025-07-31Lauber Charles TSell2.93K$31.6792.89K
2025-07-30Wheeler Kevin J.Buy22.20K$31.67703.07K
2025-07-30Wheeler Kevin J.Sell22.20K$71.261.58M
2025-07-30Wheeler Kevin J.Sell22.20K$31.67703.07K
2025-07-29SMITH MARK DSell2.40K$71.36171.26K
2025-07-07Cheng MingBuy25.38K——
2025-07-07Cheng MingOther0——
2025-07-01Shafer Stephen MBuy7.45K——
2025-06-04STERN JAMES FSell1.19K——
2025-04-08SMITH MARK DBuy2.47K$60.78150.01K
2025-04-08MARTIN LOIS MBuy2.47K$60.78150.01K
2025-04-08MAPES CHRISTOPHER LBuy2.47K$60.78150.01K
2025-04-08Larsen Michael MBuy2.47K——
2025-04-08Kadri IlhamBuy2.47K$60.78150.01K
2025-04-08HOLT VICTORIA MBuy2.47K——
2025-04-08Fister Todd WBuy2.47K$60.78150.01K
2025-04-08BROWN RONALD DBuy2.47K——
2025-04-01O'Brien Stephen D.Buy1.93K——
2025-04-01O'Brien Stephen D.Sell760$65.2249.57K
2025-04-01O'Brien Stephen D.Sell1.93K——
2025-02-27Carver Samuel M.Sell3.46K$66.51230.14K
2025-02-21Carver Samuel M.Sell369——
2025-02-10Wheeler Kevin J.Buy43.24K——
2025-02-10STERN JAMES FBuy8.21K——
2025-02-10Shafer Stephen MBuy23.82K——
2025-02-10Selby Curtis EBuy5.34K——
2025-02-10Schuh Darrell W.Buy1.83K——
2025-02-10Scheppele Stephanie MelissaBuy3.21K——
2025-02-10Qiu JackBuy3.77K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 632, holders -28 vs prior quarter. Ownership 91.35%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
FMR LLC10.42M2.49M+31.36%653.41M
BLACKROCK, INC.8.06M699.61K+9.51%505.32M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC7.29M-47.14K-0.64%456.99M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC7.05M-47.92K-0.68%442.26M
STATE STREET CORP6.58M822.55K+14.28%412.79M
INVESCO LTD.5.54M805.87K+17.04%347.17M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC4.73M511.17K+12.13%296.44M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.73M-207.79K-5.27%233.69M
IMPAX ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP PLC2.81M-1.46M-34.23%176.48M
MORGAN STANLEY2.72M-862.54K-24.09%170.45M
PROSHARE ADVISORS LLC2.50M194.99K+8.44%157.09M
UBS GROUP AG2.47M1.55M+168.40%155.14M
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP2.30M132.40K+6.10%144.34M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP2.04M75.95K+3.88%127.66M
EARNEST PARTNERS LLC1.97M-55.71K-2.75%123.66M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.55M-137.78K-8.16%97.22M
1832 ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.1.47M222.00K+17.82%92.08M
MADISON ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC1.47M324.32K+28.38%92.01M
NORGES BANK1.45M1.45MNew91.23M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP1.42M-1.57K-0.11%89.32M
RIVER ROAD ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC1.35M1.35MNew84.48M
SEI INVESTMENTS CO1.33M-15.44K-1.15%83.51M
TALARIA ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD1.20M416.80K+53.17%75.31M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP1.17M-7.12K-0.60%73.60M
NATIXIS ADVISORS, LLC1.16M75.12K+6.94%72.62M

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2025Reportable Segments: 3830200000.0
Revenue by region
PeriodValue
FY2011North America Segment: 1094300000.0, Rest of World: 616200000.0
FY2012North America Segment: 1241000000.0, Rest of World: 698300000.0
FY2013North America Segment: 1335400000.0, Rest of World: 818400000.0
FY2014North America Segment: 1447900000.0, Rest of World: 908100000.0
FY2015North America Segment: 1531400000.0, Rest of World: 1005100000.0
FY2016North America Segment: 1570700000.0, Rest of World: 1115200000.0
FY2017North America Segment: 1698100000.0, Rest of World: 1298600000.0
FY2018North America Segment: 1820800000.0, Rest of World: 1367100000.0
FY2019North America Segment: 1868700000.0, Rest of World: 1124000000.0
FY2020North America Segment: 2118300000.0, Rest of World: 990400000.0
FY2021North America Segment: 2239100000.0, Rest of World: 1299800000.0
FY2022North America Segment: 2430000000.0, Rest of World: 1323900000.0
FY2023North America Segment: 2547100000.0, Rest of World: 1305700000.0
FY2024North America Segment: 2573700000.0, Rest of World: 1244400000.0
FY2025North America Segment: 2619100000.0, Rest of World: 1211100000.0

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A. O. Smith (AOS) Stock Insights

AOS$61.91+1.05 +1.73%

$8.41B

Market Cap

17.29

P/E

16.68

Forward P/E

55

Score

Price History