Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) Stock Insights
ARCT$12.07+0.84 +7.48%
$343.07M
Market Cap
-3.37
P/E
3.84
Forward P/E
48
Score
Arcturus Therapeutics (ARCT) Stock Insights
ARCT price $12.07 +0.84 +7.48%
- Ticker
- ARCT
- Price
- $12.07
- Change
- +0.84 +7.48%
- Market cap ?
- $343.07M
- P/E ?
- -3.37
- Forward P/E ?
- 3.84
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 2.48
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Industry
- Biotechnology
- Stocklytics score
- 48
- Value
- 60
- Quality
- 34
- Growth
- 50
Stocklytics score rationale: value 60, quality 34, growth 50.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20382000 | 12998000 | 15753000 | 20789000 | 9539000 | 12359000 | 205755000 | 157748000 | 138389000 | 67221000 |
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on RNA-based medicines, developing a pipeline of vaccines for infectious diseases alongside treatments for rare liver and respiratory conditions across the United States. Its notable development programs encompass LUNAR-OTC, designed for ornithine transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency, and LUNAR-CF, targeting cystic fibrosis lung disease caused by…
Fair value
ARCT fair value $68.29. Price $12.07. Price is 82% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 18.97M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 28.42M. Net debt -205.91M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | -0.60 | — | 8.04M |
| 2026-08-06 | -0.84 | -1.00 | 2.96M | 3.11M |
| 2026-05-07 | -0.95 | -1.03 | 2.06M | 6.30M |
| 2026-03-03 | -1.03 | -0.92 | 7.20M | 15.90M |
| 2025-11-10 | -0.49 | -0.80 | 17.15M | 16.03M |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.34 | -0.89 | 28.30M | 18.83M |
| 2025-05-12 | -0.52 | -1.58 | 29.38M | 23.35M |
| 2025-03-06 | -1.11 | -0.33 | 22.77M | 39.95M |
| 2024-11-07 | -0.26 | -0.70 | 38.81M | 45.92M |
| 2024-08-05 | -0.64 | -1.85 | 45.98M | 34.25M |
| 2024-05-08 | -1.00 | -1.17 | 32.60M | 17.54M |
| 2024-03-07 | -0.32 | -1.69 | 28.21M | 37.86M |
| 2023-11-14 | -0.61 | -1.79 | 43.38M | 41.64M |
| 2023-08-07 | -1.98 | 0.09 | 9.56M | 48.50M |
| 2023-05-09 | 1.87 | 0.06 | 80.28M | 37.94M |
| 2023-03-28 | 4.43 | 0.98 | 160.05M | 72.68M |
| 2022-11-09 | -1.33 | -2.01 | 13.37M | 4.57M |
| 2022-08-09 | -0.82 | -1.84 | 27.09M | 3.14M |
| 2022-05-09 | -1.94 | -1.29 | 5.24M | 7.08M |
| 2022-02-28 | -1.47 | -1.77 | 5.79M | 14.75M |
| 2021-11-08 | -2.05 | -1.40 | 2.44M | 11.65M |
| 2021-08-09 | -2.07 | -1.99 | 2.00M | 2.00M |
| 2021-05-10 | -2.15 | -1.16 | 2.13M | 1.47M |
| 2021-03-01 | -1.25 | -0.90 | 2.24M | — |
| 2020-11-09 | -0.92 | -0.47 | 2.33M | 1.59M |
| 2020-08-10 | -0.55 | -0.53 | 2.32M | 2.32M |
| 2020-05-07 | -0.67 | -0.49 | 2.65M | 2.41M |
| 2020-03-11 | -0.76 | -0.49 | 2.97M | 2.07M |
| 2019-11-07 | -0.56 | -0.24 | 3.32M | 2.13M |
| 2019-08-15 | -0.07 | -0.53 | 10.15M | 91.38M |
| 2019-05-13 | -0.68 | -0.44 | 4.35M | 3.71M |
| 2019-03-18 | -0.08 | -0.48 | 7.58M | 26.10M |
| 2018-11-07 | -0.42 | -0.35 | 3.42M | 4.56M |
| 2018-10-01 | -0.50 | -0.34 | 2.39M | 2.42M |
| 2018-05-14 | -1.08 | -0.46 | 13.00M | 2.04M |
| 2018-04-02 | -0.66 | — | 2.37M | — |
| 2017-11-09 | -0.70 | -2.66 | 3.30M | — |
| 2017-08-11 | -0.91 | -0.94 | 3.76M | — |
| 2017-05-30 | -0.91 | -1.26 | 3.84M | — |
| 2017-02-15 | -1.54 | -1.90 | — | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Special.
Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-01-08 | $0.06 | 2013-01-08 | 2013-01-15 | Special |
| 2013-01-04 | $0.06 | 2013-01-08 | 2013-01-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-12-05 | $0.06 | — | 2012-12-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-11-06 | $0.06 | — | 2012-11-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-10-03 | $0.06 | — | 2012-10-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-09-05 | $0.06 | — | 2012-09-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-08-06 | $0.06 | — | 2012-08-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-07-03 | $0.06 | — | 2012-07-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-06-06 | $0.06 | — | 2012-06-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-05-04 | $0.06 | — | 2012-05-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-04-03 | $0.06 | — | 2012-04-15 | Monthly |
| 2012-03-06 | $0.02 | — | 2012-03-15 | Monthly |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-06-05 | FARRELL PETER C | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-06-05 | BARLOW JAMES F | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-06-05 | Markels John | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-06-05 | Slaoui Moncef | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-06-05 | Marquet Magda | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-06-05 | Marantz Jing L. | Buy | 15.00K | $7.30 | 109.50K |
| 2026-05-01 | MULROY DENNIS | Buy | 100.00K | $8.63 | 863.00K |
| 2026-05-01 | MULROY DENNIS | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-17 | Roberts Joseph | Buy | 10.00K | $6.52 | 65.20K |
| 2025-12-17 | Chivukula Pad | Buy | 54.00K | $6.52 | 352.08K |
| 2025-12-17 | Payne Joseph E | Buy | 175.00K | $6.52 | 1.14M |
| 2025-12-17 | Kurata Lance | Buy | 54.00K | $6.52 | 352.08K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 1.00K | $37.44 | 37.44K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 5.00K | $14.12 | 70.60K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 5.00K | $8.00 | 40.00K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 6.49K | $99.29 | 644.59K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 7.00K | $34.57 | 241.99K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 7.00K | $16.92 | 118.44K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 9.00K | $16.24 | 146.16K |
| 2025-12-12 | Roberts Joseph | Other | 7.50K | $28.88 | 216.60K |
| 2025-08-15 | SASSINE ANDY | Buy | 1.24K | $16.56 | 20.50K |
| 2025-08-15 | SASSINE ANDY | Sell | 1.24K | $16.56 | 20.50K |
| 2025-06-09 | FARRELL PETER C | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2025-06-09 | Slaoui Moncef | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2025-06-09 | Marquet Magda | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2025-06-09 | Markels John | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2025-06-09 | Marantz Jing L. | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2025-06-09 | BARLOW JAMES F | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2025-06-09 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Buy | 15.00K | $12.54 | 188.10K |
| 2024-12-16 | Kurata Lance | Buy | 60.00K | $16.24 | 974.40K |
| 2024-12-16 | Payne Joseph E | Buy | 196.00K | $16.24 | 3.18M |
| 2024-12-16 | Chivukula Pad | Buy | 60.00K | $16.24 | 974.40K |
| 2024-12-16 | SASSINE ANDY | Buy | 60.00K | $16.24 | 974.40K |
| 2024-10-15 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 12.00K | $20.76 | 249.12K |
| 2024-06-19 | Slaoui Moncef | Buy | 15.00K | $25.96 | 389.40K |
| 2024-06-19 | Slaoui Moncef | Buy | 14.79K | $25.96 | 384.05K |
| 2024-06-19 | Slaoui Moncef | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | Marantz Jing L. | Buy | 15.00K | $31.00 | 465.00K |
| 2024-06-14 | Marantz Jing L. | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | Marantz Jing L. | Sell | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Buy | 15.00K | $31.00 | 465.00K |
| 2024-06-14 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Sell | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | Markels John | Buy | 15.00K | $31.00 | 465.00K |
| 2024-06-14 | Markels John | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | Markels John | Sell | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | Marquet Magda | Buy | 15.00K | $31.00 | 465.00K |
| 2024-06-14 | Marquet Magda | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | Marquet Magda | Sell | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | BARLOW JAMES F | Buy | 15.00K | $31.00 | 465.00K |
| 2024-06-14 | BARLOW JAMES F | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | BARLOW JAMES F | Sell | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | FARRELL PETER C | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-14 | FARRELL PETER C | Buy | 15.00K | $31.00 | 465.00K |
| 2024-06-14 | FARRELL PETER C | Sell | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | SASSINE ANDY | Sell | 50.00K | $32.03 | 1.60M |
| 2024-06-05 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 114 | $45.00 | 5.13K |
| 2024-06-03 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 26.00K | $40.01 | 1.04M |
| 2024-03-25 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 17.43K | $35.02 | 610.57K |
| 2024-03-19 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 8.56K | $35.01 | 299.84K |
| 2023-12-15 | SASSINE ANDY | Buy | 75.00K | $28.88 | 2.17M |
| 2023-12-15 | Chivukula Pad | Buy | 125.00K | $28.88 | 3.61M |
| 2023-12-15 | Kurata Lance | Buy | 75.00K | $28.88 | 2.17M |
| 2023-12-15 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Buy | 30.00K | $28.88 | 866.40K |
| 2023-12-15 | Payne Joseph E | Buy | 200.00K | $28.88 | 5.78M |
| 2023-11-01 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $18.72 | 93.60K |
| 2023-10-02 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $25.61 | 128.06K |
| 2023-09-01 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $31.45 | 157.26K |
| 2023-08-15 | SASSINE ANDY | Buy | 1.22K | $17.37 | 21.25K |
| 2023-08-01 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $34.91 | 174.55K |
| 2023-08-01 | Markels John | Buy | 11.87K | $34.92 | 414.47K |
| 2023-08-01 | Markels John | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2023-08-01 | FARRELL PETER C | Buy | 11.87K | $34.92 | 414.47K |
| 2023-08-01 | FARRELL PETER C | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2023-08-01 | Marantz Jing L. | Buy | 11.87K | $34.92 | 414.47K |
| 2023-08-01 | Marantz Jing L. | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2023-08-01 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Buy | 11.87K | $34.92 | 414.47K |
| 2023-08-01 | HOLMES EDWARD W | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2023-08-01 | BARLOW JAMES F | Buy | 11.87K | $34.92 | 414.47K |
| 2023-08-01 | BARLOW JAMES F | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2023-08-01 | Marquet Magda | Buy | 11.87K | $34.92 | 414.47K |
| 2023-08-01 | Marquet Magda | Buy | 3.13K | — | — |
| 2023-07-14 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 25.00K | $35.01 | 875.25K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Sell | 4.50K | $9.04 | 40.68K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Sell | 1.03K | $14.12 | 14.56K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Buy | 1.03K | $14.12 | 14.56K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Sell | 1.44K | $4.99 | 7.17K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Buy | 1.44K | $4.99 | 7.17K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Buy | 4.50K | $9.04 | 40.68K |
| 2023-07-14 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Sell | 6.97K | $35.00 | 243.88K |
| 2023-07-03 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $28.75 | 143.75K |
| 2023-06-01 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $27.16 | 135.80K |
| 2023-05-11 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 7.92K | $30.24 | 239.65K |
| 2023-05-10 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 17.07K | $30.00 | 512.25K |
| 2023-05-01 | Chivukula Pad | Sell | 5.00K | $25.93 | 129.65K |
| 2023-04-18 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Buy | 1.44K | $4.99 | 7.17K |
| 2023-04-18 | Kummerfeld Keith C | Buy | 4.50K | $9.04 | 40.68K |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 140, holders +10 vs prior quarter. Ownership 88.72%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FEDERATED HERMES, INC. | 3.30M | 0 | 0.00% | 22.20M |
| ARK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.90M | 132.12K | +4.77% | 19.50M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 2.61M | 731 | +0.03% | 17.57M |
| SUMITOMO MITSUI TRUST GROUP, INC. | 1.96M | -325.81K | -14.23% | 13.19M |
| AMOVA ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS, INC. | 1.96M | -328.48K | -14.35% | 13.14M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.11M | 7.94K | +0.72% | 7.49M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 1.09M | 9.35K | +0.86% | 7.33M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 951.58K | -26.35K | -2.69% | 6.39M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 693.66K | 32.73K | +4.95% | 4.66M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 675.01K | 513.74K | +318.54% | 4.54M |
| JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC | 647.51K | 448.78K | +225.83% | 4.35M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 569.60K | 25.73K | +4.73% | 3.83M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 490.63K | 32.35K | +7.06% | 3.30M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 392.36K | 140.32K | +55.68% | 2.64M |
| EMPIRE LIFE INVESTMENTS INC. | 366.22K | -17.28K | -4.50% | 2.46M |
| HENNION & WALSH ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. | 346.21K | 66.53K | +23.79% | 2.33M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 337.00K | -141.56K | -29.58% | 2.26M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 309.86K | 111.18K | +55.96% | 2.08M |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 261.79K | 66.93K | +34.35% | 1.76M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 231.63K | 15.13K | +6.99% | 1.56M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 231.63K | 231.63K | New | 1.56M |
| POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 231.58K | 167.74K | +262.73% | 1.56M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 221.32K | -67.03K | -23.25% | 1.49M |
| HEARTLAND ADVISORS INC | 219.30K | -36.70K | -14.34% | 1.47M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 204.58K | -15.04K | -6.85% | 1.37M |
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