ARQ Stock Insights
$79.04M
Market Cap
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P/E
—
Forward P/E
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Score
ARQ price $1.81 +0.03 +1.69%
ARQ fair value $6.25. Price $1.81. Price is 71% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 93% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 46.84M. Growth 3.21%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 43.67M. Net debt 30.82M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, kept between 8 and 40. Fewer than five years of history uses the sector's typical P/E. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | 0.04 | — | 35.23M |
| 2026-08-10 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 29.88M | 28.57M |
| 2026-05-06 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 29.05M | 27.82M |
| 2026-03-09 | -1.20 | -0.05 | 29.43M | 28.61M |
| 2025-11-05 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 35.07M | 28.59M |
| 2025-08-11 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 28.58M | 26.22M |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 27.25M | 25.20M |
| 2025-03-05 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 27.04M | 28.34M |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 34.77M | 28.34M |
| 2024-08-12 | -0.06 | -0.05 | 25.41M | 20.60M |
| 2024-05-08 | -0.09 | -0.07 | 21.74M | 21.74M |
| 2024-03-12 | 0.10 | -0.08 | 28.10M | 27.00M |
| 2023-11-09 | -0.07 | -0.11 | 29.83M | 25.50M |
| 2023-08-09 | -0.21 | -0.16 | 20.45M | 17.30M |
| 2023-05-09 | -0.32 | -0.10 | 20.80M | 23.20M |
| 2023-03-08 | -0.17 | -0.26 | 23.40M | 24.40M |
| 2022-11-08 | -0.13 | — | 28.44M | — |
| 2022-08-15 | -0.02 | — | 24.74M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 49/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividends were paid in 4 separate years. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-20 | $0.25 | 2020-02-21 | 2020-03-10 | Quarterly |
| 2019-11-25 | $0.25 | 2019-11-26 | 2019-12-13 | Quarterly |
| 2019-08-16 | $0.25 | 2019-08-19 | 2019-09-06 | Quarterly |
| 2019-05-17 | $0.25 | 2019-05-20 | 2019-06-07 | Quarterly |
| 2019-02-15 | $0.25 | 2019-02-19 | 2019-03-07 | Quarterly |
| 2018-11-19 | $0.25 | 2018-11-20 | 2018-12-06 | Quarterly |
| 2018-08-17 | $0.25 | 2018-08-20 | 2018-09-06 | Quarterly |
| 2018-05-21 | $0.25 | 2018-05-22 | 2018-06-08 | Quarterly |
| 2018-02-20 | $0.25 | 2018-02-21 | 2018-03-08 | Quarterly |
| 2017-11-16 | $0.25 | 2017-11-17 | 2017-12-06 | Quarterly |
| 2017-08-17 | $0.25 | 2017-08-21 | 2017-09-07 | Quarterly |
| 2017-06-26 | $0.25 | — | — | Special |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 1.10K | $2.34 | 2.57K |
| 2026-09-08 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 1.87K | $2.34 | 4.38K |
| 2026-09-04 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 1.40K | $2.29 | 3.21K |
| 2026-09-04 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 4.36K | $2.27 | 9.90K |
| 2026-09-03 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 7.50K | $2.22 | 16.63K |
| 2026-09-03 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 8.77K | $2.23 | 19.51K |
| 2026-09-01 | Owino Peter Oluoch | Buy | 61.05K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Owino Peter Oluoch | Buy | 100.00K | — | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Owino Peter Oluoch | Buy | 61.05K | — | — |
| 2026-08-14 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 55.00K | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 93.02K | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 93.02K | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 61.05K | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 61.05K | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 61.05K | — | — |
| 2026-08-01 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 61.05K | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 250.00K | — | — |
| 2026-07-31 | Steinmetz Shimon | Buy | 150.00K | — | — |
| 2026-07-27 | Steinmetz Shimon | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-23 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 600.00K | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 400.00K | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | Rasmus Robert E. | Sell | 400.00K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | EICHER CAROL S | Buy | 24.64K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Blank Jeremy | Buy | 49.28K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Bergman Laurie | Buy | 24.64K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Buy | 49.28K | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 49.28K | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | Owino Peter Oluoch | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-04 | Voncannon Jay Loring | Sell | 16.71K | $2.27 | 37.93K |
| 2026-03-23 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 10.09K | $2.27 | 22.89K |
| 2026-03-23 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Sell | 8.03K | $2.27 | 18.22K |
| 2026-03-23 | Hansen Stacia | Sell | 8.89K | $2.27 | 20.19K |
| 2026-03-23 | Rasmus Robert E. | Sell | 845 | $2.27 | 1.92K |
| 2026-03-23 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 150.00K | $2.21 | 331.67K |
| 2026-03-17 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 10.00K | $1.89 | 18.90K |
| 2026-03-16 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 1.00K | $1.92 | 1.92K |
| 2026-03-13 | EICHER CAROL S | Buy | 77.50K | $1.95 | 151.01K |
| 2026-03-12 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 1.00K | $1.92 | 1.92K |
| 2026-02-27 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 40.29K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 17.34K | $3.51 | 60.86K |
| 2026-02-27 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 30.23K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Williamson Jeremy | Buy | 68.60K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Williamson Jeremy | Sell | 18.28K | $3.51 | 64.17K |
| 2026-02-27 | Williamson Jeremy | Sell | 51.47K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 28.23K | — | — |
| 2026-02-27 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Sell | 10.18K | $3.51 | 35.72K |
| 2026-02-27 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Sell | 21.18K | — | — |
| 2025-11-11 | Voncannon Jay Loring | Buy | 6.00K | $3.55 | 21.31K |
| 2025-11-11 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 28.64K | $3.54 | 101.49K |
| 2025-11-10 | Voncannon Jay Loring | Buy | 9.00K | $3.74 | 33.66K |
| 2025-11-10 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 50.00K | $3.79 | 189.59K |
| 2025-09-25 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Sell | 30.00K | — | — |
| 2025-09-18 | Williamson Jeremy | Sell | 2.03K | $7.00 | 14.20K |
| 2025-08-04 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 3.05K | $5.20 | 15.87K |
| 2025-08-04 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Sell | 2.59K | $5.20 | 13.47K |
| 2025-08-04 | Hansen Stacia | Sell | 2.74K | $5.20 | 14.26K |
| 2025-08-04 | Williamson Jeremy | Sell | 1.78K | $5.20 | 9.27K |
| 2025-07-01 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Buy | 21.83K | — | — |
| 2025-07-01 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 29.10K | — | — |
| 2025-07-01 | Blank Jeremy | Buy | 29.10K | — | — |
| 2025-07-01 | EICHER CAROL S | Buy | 14.55K | — | — |
| 2025-07-01 | Bergman Laurie | Buy | 14.55K | — | — |
| 2025-05-23 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 25.00K | $4.10 | 102.50K |
| 2025-05-23 | Blank Jeremy | Buy | 50.00K | $4.10 | 205.00K |
| 2025-05-23 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 75.00K | $4.10 | 307.50K |
| 2025-05-16 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 16.00K | $4.61 | 73.76K |
| 2025-05-14 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 12.54K | $3.93 | 49.26K |
| 2025-05-13 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 2.92K | $4.00 | 11.68K |
| 2025-05-12 | Williamson Jeremy | Buy | 400 | $4.02 | 1.61K |
| 2025-05-12 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 4.68K | $4.00 | 18.72K |
| 2025-05-09 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 582 | $3.60 | 2.10K |
| 2025-04-02 | Voncannon Jay Loring | Buy | 50.00K | — | — |
| 2025-04-02 | Voncannon Jay Loring | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-24 | Hansen Stacia | Sell | 3.56K | $4.68 | 16.65K |
| 2025-03-24 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Sell | 5.20K | $4.68 | 24.35K |
| 2025-03-24 | Williamson Jeremy | Sell | 5.23K | $4.68 | 24.49K |
| 2025-03-24 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 6.60K | $4.68 | 30.87K |
| 2025-03-23 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 4.99K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 4.99K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Hansen Stacia | Buy | 22.45K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Hansen Stacia | Buy | 22.45K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 23.95K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Smith Claiborne Benson | Buy | 23.95K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Williamson Jeremy | Buy | 28.07K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Williamson Jeremy | Buy | 28.07K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 26.20K | — | — |
| 2025-03-23 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 26.20K | — | — |
| 2025-02-12 | Wong Joseph M | Buy | 14.73K | — | — |
| 2025-02-12 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 7.00K | $5.93 | 41.48K |
| 2025-02-12 | Wong Joseph M | Sell | 33.42K | — | — |
| 2024-11-26 | Blank Jeremy | Buy | 132.05K | — | — |
| 2024-11-26 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Buy | 33.41K | $0.00 | 33 |
| 2024-11-26 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Buy | 3.76K | $0.00 | 4 |
| 2024-11-26 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Buy | 1.34K | $0.00 | 1 |
| 2024-11-26 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 8.61K | $0.00 | 9 |
| 2024-11-26 | Campbell-Breeden Richard | Buy | 708 | $0.00 | 1 |
| 2024-11-20 | Blank Jeremy | Buy | 4.15K | — | — |
| 2024-11-20 | McIntyre Julian Alexander | Buy | 137.94K | $0.00 | 138 |
| 2024-09-23 | Rasmus Robert E. | Buy | 25.00K | $5.25 | 131.25K |
| 2024-09-18 | Williamson Jeremy | Sell | 2.03K | $6.11 | 12.40K |
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$79.04M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
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Score