Aviat Networks (AVNW) Stock Insights

AVNW price $20.53 +0.07 +0.34%

Ticker
AVNW
Price
$20.53
Change
+0.07 +0.34%
Market cap ?
$263.99M
Beta ?
0.68
Sector
Technology
Industry
Communication Equipment

Fair value

AVNW fair value $102.45. Price $20.53. Price is 80% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 98% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 8.90M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 12.86M. Net debt 26.34M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare AVNW

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-03—0.32—103.54M
2026-08-270.640.55120.89M110.12M
2026-05-040.060.42100.00M106.39M
2026-02-030.540.48111.47M109.67M
2025-11-040.430.32107.32M112.80M
2025-09-100.830.43112.64M109.26M
2025-05-060.880.23112.64M114.67M
2025-02-040.820.09118.20M103.59M
2024-11-05-0.870.0288.43M94.21M
2024-09-250.720.69116.66M112.92M
2024-05-010.730.59111.61M116.52M
2024-02-060.970.9495.04M91.47M
2023-11-010.870.7987.57M87.61M
2023-08-230.870.8791.18M88.98M
2023-05-030.750.7683.48M89.06M
2023-02-010.940.7990.68M84.87M
2022-11-020.750.7281.25M81.09M
2022-08-230.670.6877.42M74.88M
2022-05-040.670.5574.52M71.33M
2022-02-020.710.6177.86M73.15M
2021-11-030.670.5273.16M69.10M
2021-08-250.450.4371.69M69.10M
2021-05-050.490.3766.40M61.63M
2021-02-030.740.3670.53M49.10M
2020-11-050.620.2966.29M56.31M
2020-08-270.380.2362.65M22.55M
2020-05-120.200.1361.38M39.35M
2020-02-06-0.090.2356.00M46.12M
2019-11-070.260.3358.61M37.20M
2019-08-270.24—64.23M—
2019-05-13-0.17—54.04M—
2019-02-110.27—65.09M—
2018-11-12-0.06—60.50M—
2018-08-280.26—62.51M—
2018-05-14-0.13—62.09M—
2018-02-080.27—61.72M—
2017-11-13-0.06—56.18M—
2017-09-06-0.02—56.43M—
2017-05-100.04—58.70M—
2017-02-080.29—68.54M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-09SMITH PETE ASell8.99K$20.77186.72K
2026-10-09Croke GarySell788$20.7716.37K
2026-10-09Boase ErinSell847$20.7717.59K
2026-10-08Pakbaz khashayarBuy9.79K——
2026-10-05Pakbaz khashayarOther0——
2026-09-21Mikulenka JonannaOther0——
2026-09-12Boase ErinSell442$20.739.16K
2026-09-12SMITH PETE ASell9.93K$20.73205.79K
2026-09-03Schmidt Andrew CBuy9.47K——
2026-09-03Croke GaryBuy5.84K——
2026-09-03Boase ErinBuy6.21K——
2026-09-03SMITH PETE ABuy60.04K——
2026-08-31Croke GarySell629$19.6912.39K
2026-08-31SMITH PETE ASell14.26K$19.69280.90K
2026-08-31Boase ErinSell1.35K$19.6926.53K
2026-08-28SMITH PETE ABuy27.65K——
2026-08-28SMITH PETE ASell1.82K$20.0036.34K
2026-08-28Croke GaryBuy1.43K——
2026-08-28Croke GarySell80$20.001.60K
2026-08-28Boase ErinBuy4.53K——
2026-08-28Boase ErinSell172$20.003.44K
2026-08-28Croke GaryBuy1.21K——
2026-08-28SMITH PETE ABuy23.36K——
2026-08-28Boase ErinBuy3.83K——
2026-07-07Croke GarySell1.97K$20.5440.42K
2026-02-09SMITH PETE ABuy26.39K$11.00290.25K
2026-02-09SMITH PETE ASell17.09K$26.33449.81K
2026-02-09SMITH PETE ASell26.39K$11.00290.25K
2026-02-06Croke GaryBuy6.91K$7.2349.99K
2026-02-06Croke GarySell6.91K$26.20181.17K
2026-02-06Croke GarySell6.91K$7.2349.99K
2025-12-03Schmidt Andrew CBuy15.65K——
2025-12-03Schmidt Andrew COther0——
2025-11-11TATEN BRUCE M.Sell3.27K$23.3976.44K
2025-11-11SMITH PETE ASell5.35K$23.39125.14K
2025-11-07TATEN BRUCE M.Buy5.48K——
2025-11-07MUTCH JOHNBuy5.48K——
2025-11-07Klein MicheleBuy5.48K——
2025-11-07Ingram BryanBuy5.48K——
2025-11-07Halliday Scott KBuy5.48K——
2025-11-07Akkaraju LaxmiBuy5.48K——
2025-10-10Boase ErinSell847$21.0417.82K
2025-10-10Fredrickson Andrew MichaelSell214$21.044.50K
2025-10-10Croke GarySell786$21.0416.54K
2025-10-10SMITH PETE ASell8.99K$21.04189.15K
2025-09-26Fredrickson Andrew MichaelBuy2.66K——
2025-09-26Fredrickson Andrew MichaelBuy1.94K——
2025-09-25Fredrickson Andrew MichaelOther0——
2025-09-25Fredrickson Andrew MichaelOther1.14K$32.1036.53K
2025-09-25Fredrickson Andrew MichaelOther1.89K$33.6563.56K
2025-09-12SMITH PETE ABuy70.32K——
2025-09-12Boase ErinBuy5.44K——
2025-09-09SMITH PETE ASell78$23.251.81K
2025-09-02Croke GaryBuy6.74K$8.9060.00K
2025-09-02Croke GarySell6.74K$22.41151.09K
2025-09-02Croke GarySell6.74K$8.9060.00K
2025-09-01Croke GarySell504$22.9611.57K
2025-09-01Boase ErinSell694$22.9615.93K
2025-09-01SMITH PETE ASell13.83K$22.96317.63K
2025-08-28Boase ErinSell389$23.259.04K
2025-08-28Croke GarySell181$23.254.21K
2025-08-28SMITH PETE ASell4.05K$23.2594.21K
2025-07-07Croke GaryBuy16.45K——
2025-07-03Boase ErinSell5.63K$25.00140.85K
2025-07-01Boase ErinSell200$25.005.00K
2025-06-24Boase ErinBuy4.77K$11.0052.44K
2025-06-24Boase ErinSell4.77K$23.07110.00K
2025-06-24Boase ErinSell4.77K$11.0052.44K
2025-06-09Boase ErinBuy1.17K$11.0012.86K
2025-06-09Boase ErinSell1.17K$23.0026.89K
2025-06-09Boase ErinSell1.17K$11.0012.86K
2025-06-05Connaway MichaelSell2.64K$21.7057.24K
2025-01-31Halliday Scott KBuy3.15K——
2025-01-31Halliday Scott KOther0——
2024-12-03SMITH PETE ABuy12.90K——
2024-11-27Akkaraju LaxmiBuy900$15.8514.27K
2024-11-08AOYAMA ASAKOBuy8.34K——
2024-11-08Klein MicheleBuy1.40K$13.9519.53K
2024-11-08Klein MicheleBuy8.34K——
2024-11-08Connaway MichaelBuy3.50K$14.1349.45K
2024-11-08SMITH PETE ABuy3.00K$14.1342.39K
2024-11-08TATEN BRUCE M.Buy8.34K——
2024-11-08TATEN BRUCE M.Sell1.62K$14.3923.30K
2024-11-08Akkaraju LaxmiBuy8.34K——
2024-11-08Ingram BryanBuy8.34K——
2024-11-08MUTCH JOHNBuy8.34K——
2024-11-06AOYAMA ASAKOOther0——
2024-10-11SMITH PETE ABuy63.68K——
2024-10-11Croke GaryBuy6.59K——
2024-10-11Boase ErinBuy10.43K——
2024-10-11Connaway MichaelBuy21.90K——
2024-10-11Boase ErinBuy470——
2024-10-11Boase ErinSell392$27.4510.76K
2024-10-11Croke GaryBuy568——
2024-10-11Croke GarySell715$27.4519.63K
2024-08-30SMITH PETE ASell3.21K$27.4588.20K
2024-08-30Croke GarySell293$27.458.04K
2024-08-30Boase ErinSell265$27.457.27K
2024-08-28SMITH PETE ASell3.84K$27.18104.29K
2024-08-28Croke GarySell176$27.184.78K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 130, holders -10 vs prior quarter. Ownership 81.35%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.844.05K61.13K+7.81%18.74M
TIETON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC676.44K-7.89K-1.15%15.02M
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP655.33K-5.38K-0.81%14.55M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC526.24K25.25K+5.04%11.68M
FIRST WILSHIRE SECURITIES MANAGEMENT INC523.32K-6.22K-1.17%11.62M
PACIFIC RIDGE CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC441.14K57.90K+15.11%9.79M
KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC430.39K-8.09K-1.85%9.55M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP429.35K162.99K+61.19%9.53M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP390.21K-42.31K-9.78%8.66M
FIRST EAGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC360.46K69.30K+23.80%8.00M
CSM ADVISORS, LLC335.62K192.66K+134.77%7.45M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC311.52K17.63K+6.00%6.92M
WESTERN STANDARD LLC301.03K-114.72K-27.59%6.68M
STATE STREET CORP257.92K-1.30K-0.50%5.73M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.244.40K117.94K+93.26%5.43M
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC216.22K23.20K+12.02%4.80M
HOTCHKIS & WILEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC200.79K61.32K+43.97%4.46M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC197.31K197.31KNew4.38M
SEI INVESTMENTS CO193.76K-238.56K-55.18%4.30M
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC185.49K63.83K+52.46%4.12M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC145.12K64.72K+80.50%3.22M
WEBER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC /ADV141.17K-1.74K-1.21%3.13M
JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC134.92K73.45K+119.50%3.00M
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT127.92K00.00%2.84M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC122.80K51.07K+71.19%2.73M

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Aviat Networks (AVNW) Stock Insights

AVNW$20.53+0.07 +0.34%

$263.99M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History