Bally's (BALY) Stock Price & Analysis

BALY price $13.37 -0.10 -0.74%

Ticker
BALY
Price
$13.37
Change
-0.10 -0.74%
Market cap ?
$567.72M
P/E ?
-1.11
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
2.66
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
Stocklytics score
41
Value
50
Quality
28
Growth
44

Stocklytics score rationale: value 50, quality 28, growth 44.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
41481700042105300043753700052357700037279200013224430002255705000244907300024504780002656687000

Bally’s also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America. Bally’s holds a majority interest in Bally’s Intralot S.A. a leading lottery solutions supplier and igaming operator. Bally’s also has rights to developable land in Las Vegas at the site of the former Tropicana Las Vegas, has been awarded a license to build a full-scale casino and resort…

Fair value

BALY fair value $65.84. Price $13.37. Price is 80% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 69% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 378.45M. Growth 18.71%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 42.46M. Net debt 5.64B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare BALY

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-11—-1.30—804.14M
2026-08-14-2.41-1.08792.23M789.89M
2026-05-18-2.69-1.00755.72M769.69M
2026-03-16-0.57-0.73746.25M638.23M
2025-11-10-1.70-0.71663.72M668.47M
2025-08-11-3.76-0.39657.53M651.09M
2025-05-12-0.27-1.36589.19M603.66M
2025-03-05-1.77-0.56580.37M597.01M
2024-11-06-5.10-0.25630.00M652.14M
2024-07-31-1.24-1.47621.66M641.17M
2024-05-01-3.61-0.96618.48M627.25M
2024-02-21-5.11-0.55611.67M623.32M
2023-11-01-1.15-0.09632.48M634.49M
2023-08-03-0.48-0.16606.21M608.67M
2023-05-09-3.24-0.31598.72M596.43M
2023-02-23-0.420.02576.69M573.92M
2022-11-030.010.30578.25M570.32M
2022-08-040.980.25552.50M596.74M
2022-05-050.03-0.43548.27M573.95M
2022-02-24-1.870.51547.66M586.66M
2021-11-040.090.51314.78M311.20M
2021-08-090.480.65267.73M267.73M
2021-05-100.280.34192.27M498.76M
2021-03-040.39-0.12118.10M122.98M
2020-10-290.220.19116.62M98.21M
2020-08-11-0.77-1.0328.92M36.23M
2020-05-13-0.280.24109.15M311.07M
2020-02-100.370.37130.42M130.79M
2019-11-140.180.32129.31M167.29M
2019-08-120.420.55143.22M177.07M
2019-05-140.460.53120.63M136.56M
2019-04-010.66—111.42M—
2018-09-300.45—110.49M—
2018-06-300.49—110.81M—
2018-03-310.29—104.81M—
2017-12-310.48—99.55M—
2017-09-300.33—106.56M—
2017-06-300.37—107.47M—
2017-03-310.37—107.47M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Semi-Annual.

Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2020-03-05$0.102020-03-062020-03-20Semi-Annual
2019-10-11$0.102019-10-152019-10-25Quarterly
2019-07-08$0.102019-07-092019-07-23Irregular

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-06-01Eaton Craig LBuy10.96K——
2026-06-01Barker Lee KimBuy37.67K——
2026-05-19ROLLINS JEFFREY WBuy9.36K——
2026-05-19PATEL JAYMIN BBuy18.73K——
2026-05-19Wilson Wanda Y.Buy9.36K——
2026-05-19Harris Tracy S.Buy9.36K——
2026-05-15Harris Tracy S.Sell2.92K$10.6831.15K
2026-03-23Eaton Craig LBuy7.03K——
2026-03-23Eaton Craig LSell3.19K$12.1138.59K
2026-03-23Reeves RobesonBuy32.14K——
2026-03-23Reeves RobesonSell15.11K$12.11182.96K
2026-03-23Barker Lee KimBuy7.37K——
2026-03-23Barker Lee KimSell3.34K$12.1140.45K
2026-03-23Papanier George T.Buy30.36K——
2026-03-23Papanier George T.Sell11.95K$12.11144.67K
2026-03-01Barker Lee KimBuy8.18K——
2026-03-01Barker Lee KimSell3.99K$14.2256.77K
2026-03-01Barker Lee KimSell8.18K——
2026-03-01Papanier George T.Buy35.71K——
2026-03-01Papanier George T.Sell14.05K$14.22199.82K
2026-03-01Papanier George T.Sell35.71K——
2026-03-01Eaton Craig LBuy8.27K——
2026-03-01Eaton Craig LSell4.16K$14.2259.18K
2026-03-01Eaton Craig LSell5.89K——
2026-03-01Eaton Craig LSell2.38K——
2026-01-01Reeves RobesonBuy35.71K——
2026-01-01Reeves RobesonSell16.79K$16.52277.30K
2026-01-01Reeves RobesonSell35.71K——
2025-12-31Kim SoohyungBuy3.03K——
2025-12-22Kim SoohyungSell623.88K——
2025-11-24Kim SoohyungSell254.90K——
2025-10-07Papanier George T.Buy627.00K$18.2511.44M
2025-10-07Reeves RobesonBuy940.50K$18.2517.16M
2025-09-30Kim SoohyungBuy4.50K——
2025-09-16Kim SoohyungSell2.40M——
2025-06-30Kim SoohyungBuy5.22K——
2025-05-15Harris Tracy S.Buy9.22K——
2025-05-15Harris Tracy S.Sell3.08K$10.8433.33K
2025-05-15Wilson Wanda Y.Buy9.22K——
2025-05-15ROLLINS JEFFREY WBuy9.22K——
2025-05-15PATEL JAYMIN BBuy18.45K——
2025-05-15Kim SoohyungBuy18.45K——
2025-05-14Mircheva VladimiraOther0——
2025-03-31Kim SoohyungBuy4.07K——
2025-03-25Downey TerrenceBuy7.35K——
2025-03-21Reeves RobesonBuy25.62K——
2025-03-21Reeves RobesonSell12.04K$18.25219.73K
2025-03-21Eaton Craig LBuy6.99K——
2025-03-21Eaton Craig LSell3.17K$18.2557.82K
2025-03-21Glover MarcusBuy10.96K——
2025-03-21Glover MarcusSell3.33K$18.2560.68K
2025-03-21Papanier George T.Buy20.43K——
2025-03-21Papanier George T.Sell8.04K$18.25146.77K
2025-03-21Barker Lee KimBuy9.64K——
2025-03-21Barker Lee KimSell2.93K$18.2553.40K
2025-03-17Reeves RobesonBuy14.34K——
2025-03-17Reeves RobesonSell6.74K$18.09121.96K
2025-03-17Barker Lee KimBuy5.24K——
2025-03-17Barker Lee KimSell1.59K$18.0928.76K
2025-03-17Glover MarcusBuy10.58K——
2025-03-17Glover MarcusSell3.21K$18.0958.09K
2025-03-17Papanier George T.Buy27.32K——
2025-03-17Papanier George T.Sell10.75K$18.09194.50K
2025-03-17Eaton Craig LBuy7.03K——
2025-03-17Eaton Craig LSell3.19K$18.0957.65K
2025-03-11Harris Tracy S.Sell7.83K$16.02125.47K
2025-03-01Papanier George T.Buy35.71K——
2025-03-01Papanier George T.Sell14.05K$18.00252.88K
2025-03-01Papanier George T.Sell35.71K——
2025-03-01Glover MarcusSell16.53K——
2025-03-01Glover MarcusBuy16.53K——
2025-03-01Glover MarcusSell5.17K$18.0093.02K
2025-03-01Barker Lee KimBuy8.19K——
2025-03-01Barker Lee KimSell8.19K——
2025-03-01Barker Lee KimSell2.68K$18.0048.19K
2025-03-01Eaton Craig LBuy8.27K——
2025-03-01Eaton Craig LSell4.03K$18.0072.47K
2025-03-01Eaton Craig LSell5.89K——
2025-03-01Eaton Craig LSell2.38K——
2025-02-07Glover MarcusSell12.01K$18.25219.26K
2025-02-07Papanier George T.Sell224.49K$18.254.10M
2025-02-07Papanier George T.Sell9.00K$18.25164.25K
2025-02-07Downey TerrenceSell37.77K$18.25689.36K
2025-02-07Harris Tracy S.Sell7.83K$18.25142.93K
2025-02-07ROLLINS JEFFREY WSell85.75K$18.251.56M
2025-02-07ROLLINS JEFFREY WSell3.41K$18.2562.21K
2025-02-07PATEL JAYMIN BSell33.62K$18.25613.64K
2025-02-07Barker Lee KimSell12.04K$18.25219.71K
2025-02-07Reeves RobesonBuy18.84K——
2025-02-07Reeves RobesonSell8.48K$18.25154.74K
2025-02-07Reeves RobesonSell196.78K$18.253.59M
2025-02-07Reeves RobesonSell447$18.258.16K
2025-02-07Wilson Wanda Y.Sell28.22K$18.25515.03K
2025-02-07Kim SoohyungSell26.91M——
2024-12-31Kim SoohyungBuy2.79K——
2024-12-31Reeves RobesonBuy35.72K——
2024-12-31Reeves RobesonSell16.79K$17.89300.32K
2024-12-31Reeves RobesonSell16.88K——
2024-12-31Reeves RobesonSell18.84K——
2024-10-18Kim SoohyungSell1.74M——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 68, holders +6 vs prior quarter. Ownership 62.94%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
STANDARD GENERAL L.P.32.48M00.00%445.31M
WHITEFORT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP2.41M00.00%33.01M
BLACKROCK, INC.661.13K80.14K+13.79%9.06M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC543.22K12.43K+2.34%7.45M
SESSA CAPITAL IM, L.P.447.80K00.00%6.14M
RATHBONES GROUP PLC350.19K00.00%4.80M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC212.82K20.45K+10.63%2.92M
STATE STREET CORP130.26K3.95K+3.13%1.79M
JB CAPITAL PARTNERS LP108.91K5.79K+5.61%1.49M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC90.07K75.98K+539.11%1.23M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP71.32K5.02K+7.57%977.77K
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC69.11K11.73K+20.44%947.43K
REGATTA CAPITAL GROUP, LLC63.41K00.00%869.39K
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.61.33K61.33KNew840.81K
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC61.33K2.24K+3.79%840.81K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO53.56K-3.38K-5.94%734.28K
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC44.93K-10.72K-19.27%615.93K
CASTLEKNIGHT MANAGEMENT LP26.15K9.53K+57.29%358.56K
CROSSINGBRIDGE ADVISORS, LLC24.19K24.19KNew331.60K
ALPHACENTRIC ADVISORS LLC24.19K24.19KNew331.60K
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP23.60K4.38K+22.76%323.58K
SPIREPOINT PRIVATE CLIENT, LLC20.00K00.00%274.20K
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/15.37K2.79K+22.15%211.00K
XTX TOPCO LTD14.90K3.47K+30.40%204.25K
NUVEEN, LLC13.54K13.54KNew185.69K

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Bally's (BALY) Stock Price & Analysis

BALY$13.37-0.10 -0.74%

$567.72M

Market Cap

-1.11

P/E

—

Forward P/E

41

Score

Price History