Bally's (BALY) Stock Forecast & Price Target
BALY$13.73+0.26 +1.93%
$583.01M
Market Cap
-1.11
P/E
—
Forward P/E
41
Score
Bally's (BALY) Stock Forecast & Price Target
BALY price $13.73 +0.26 +1.93%
- Ticker
- BALY
- Price
- $13.73
- Change
- +0.26 +1.93%
- Market cap ?
- $583.01M
- P/E ?
- -1.11
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 2.66
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- Stocklytics score
- 41
- Value
- 50
- Quality
- 28
- Growth
- 44
Stocklytics score rationale: value 50, quality 28, growth 44.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414817000 | 421053000 | 437537000 | 523577000 | 372792000 | 1322443000 | 2255705000 | 2449073000 | 2450478000 | 2656687000 |
Bally’s also owns Bally Bet, a first-in-class sports betting and igaming platform, licensed in 13 jurisdictions in North America. Bally’s holds a majority interest in Bally’s Intralot S.A. a leading lottery solutions supplier and igaming operator. Bally’s also has rights to developable land in Las Vegas at the site of the former Tropicana Las Vegas, has been awarded a license to build a full-scale casino and resort…
Fair value
BALY fair value $65.84. Price $13.73. Price is 79% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 69% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 378.45M. Growth 18.71%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 42.46M. Net debt 5.64B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | — | -1.30 | — | 804.14M |
| 2026-08-14 | -2.41 | -1.08 | 792.23M | 789.89M |
| 2026-05-18 | -2.69 | -1.00 | 755.72M | 769.69M |
| 2026-03-16 | -0.57 | -0.73 | 746.25M | 638.23M |
| 2025-11-10 | -1.70 | -0.71 | 663.72M | 668.47M |
| 2025-08-11 | -3.76 | -0.39 | 657.53M | 651.09M |
| 2025-05-12 | -0.27 | -1.36 | 589.19M | 603.66M |
| 2025-03-05 | -1.77 | -0.56 | 580.37M | 597.01M |
| 2024-11-06 | -5.10 | -0.25 | 630.00M | 652.14M |
| 2024-07-31 | -1.24 | -1.47 | 621.66M | 641.17M |
| 2024-05-01 | -3.61 | -0.96 | 618.48M | 627.25M |
| 2024-02-21 | -5.11 | -0.55 | 611.67M | 623.32M |
| 2023-11-01 | -1.15 | -0.09 | 632.48M | 634.49M |
| 2023-08-03 | -0.48 | -0.16 | 606.21M | 608.67M |
| 2023-05-09 | -3.24 | -0.31 | 598.72M | 596.43M |
| 2023-02-23 | -0.42 | 0.02 | 576.69M | 573.92M |
| 2022-11-03 | 0.01 | 0.30 | 578.25M | 570.32M |
| 2022-08-04 | 0.98 | 0.25 | 552.50M | 596.74M |
| 2022-05-05 | 0.03 | -0.43 | 548.27M | 573.95M |
| 2022-02-24 | -1.87 | 0.51 | 547.66M | 586.66M |
| 2021-11-04 | 0.09 | 0.51 | 314.78M | 311.20M |
| 2021-08-09 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 267.73M | 267.73M |
| 2021-05-10 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 192.27M | 498.76M |
| 2021-03-04 | 0.39 | -0.12 | 118.10M | 122.98M |
| 2020-10-29 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 116.62M | 98.21M |
| 2020-08-11 | -0.77 | -1.03 | 28.92M | 36.23M |
| 2020-05-13 | -0.28 | 0.24 | 109.15M | 311.07M |
| 2020-02-10 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 130.42M | 130.79M |
| 2019-11-14 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 129.31M | 167.29M |
| 2019-08-12 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 143.22M | 177.07M |
| 2019-05-14 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 120.63M | 136.56M |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.66 | — | 111.42M | — |
| 2018-09-30 | 0.45 | — | 110.49M | — |
| 2018-06-30 | 0.49 | — | 110.81M | — |
| 2018-03-31 | 0.29 | — | 104.81M | — |
| 2017-12-31 | 0.48 | — | 99.55M | — |
| 2017-09-30 | 0.33 | — | 106.56M | — |
| 2017-06-30 | 0.37 | — | 107.47M | — |
| 2017-03-31 | 0.37 | — | 107.47M | — |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Semi-Annual.
Safety score 43/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-05 | $0.10 | 2020-03-06 | 2020-03-20 | Semi-Annual |
| 2019-10-11 | $0.10 | 2019-10-15 | 2019-10-25 | Quarterly |
| 2019-07-08 | $0.10 | 2019-07-09 | 2019-07-23 | Irregular |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Eaton Craig L | Buy | 10.96K | — | — |
| 2026-06-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Buy | 37.67K | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | ROLLINS JEFFREY W | Buy | 9.36K | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | PATEL JAYMIN B | Buy | 18.73K | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | Wilson Wanda Y. | Buy | 9.36K | — | — |
| 2026-05-19 | Harris Tracy S. | Buy | 9.36K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Harris Tracy S. | Sell | 2.92K | $10.68 | 31.15K |
| 2026-03-23 | Eaton Craig L | Buy | 7.03K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 3.19K | $12.11 | 38.59K |
| 2026-03-23 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 32.14K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 15.11K | $12.11 | 182.96K |
| 2026-03-23 | Barker Lee Kim | Buy | 7.37K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 3.34K | $12.11 | 40.45K |
| 2026-03-23 | Papanier George T. | Buy | 30.36K | — | — |
| 2026-03-23 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 11.95K | $12.11 | 144.67K |
| 2026-03-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Buy | 8.18K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 3.99K | $14.22 | 56.77K |
| 2026-03-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 8.18K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Papanier George T. | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 14.05K | $14.22 | 199.82K |
| 2026-03-01 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Buy | 8.27K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 4.16K | $14.22 | 59.18K |
| 2026-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 5.89K | — | — |
| 2026-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 2.38K | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2026-01-01 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 16.79K | $16.52 | 277.30K |
| 2026-01-01 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-12-31 | Kim Soohyung | Buy | 3.03K | — | — |
| 2025-12-22 | Kim Soohyung | Sell | 623.88K | — | — |
| 2025-11-24 | Kim Soohyung | Sell | 254.90K | — | — |
| 2025-10-07 | Papanier George T. | Buy | 627.00K | $18.25 | 11.44M |
| 2025-10-07 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 940.50K | $18.25 | 17.16M |
| 2025-09-30 | Kim Soohyung | Buy | 4.50K | — | — |
| 2025-09-16 | Kim Soohyung | Sell | 2.40M | — | — |
| 2025-06-30 | Kim Soohyung | Buy | 5.22K | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 | Harris Tracy S. | Buy | 9.22K | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 | Harris Tracy S. | Sell | 3.08K | $10.84 | 33.33K |
| 2025-05-15 | Wilson Wanda Y. | Buy | 9.22K | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 | ROLLINS JEFFREY W | Buy | 9.22K | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 | PATEL JAYMIN B | Buy | 18.45K | — | — |
| 2025-05-15 | Kim Soohyung | Buy | 18.45K | — | — |
| 2025-05-14 | Mircheva Vladimira | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | Kim Soohyung | Buy | 4.07K | — | — |
| 2025-03-25 | Downey Terrence | Buy | 7.35K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 25.62K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 12.04K | $18.25 | 219.73K |
| 2025-03-21 | Eaton Craig L | Buy | 6.99K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 3.17K | $18.25 | 57.82K |
| 2025-03-21 | Glover Marcus | Buy | 10.96K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Glover Marcus | Sell | 3.33K | $18.25 | 60.68K |
| 2025-03-21 | Papanier George T. | Buy | 20.43K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 8.04K | $18.25 | 146.77K |
| 2025-03-21 | Barker Lee Kim | Buy | 9.64K | — | — |
| 2025-03-21 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 2.93K | $18.25 | 53.40K |
| 2025-03-17 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 14.34K | — | — |
| 2025-03-17 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 6.74K | $18.09 | 121.96K |
| 2025-03-17 | Barker Lee Kim | Buy | 5.24K | — | — |
| 2025-03-17 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 1.59K | $18.09 | 28.76K |
| 2025-03-17 | Glover Marcus | Buy | 10.58K | — | — |
| 2025-03-17 | Glover Marcus | Sell | 3.21K | $18.09 | 58.09K |
| 2025-03-17 | Papanier George T. | Buy | 27.32K | — | — |
| 2025-03-17 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 10.75K | $18.09 | 194.50K |
| 2025-03-17 | Eaton Craig L | Buy | 7.03K | — | — |
| 2025-03-17 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 3.19K | $18.09 | 57.65K |
| 2025-03-11 | Harris Tracy S. | Sell | 7.83K | $16.02 | 125.47K |
| 2025-03-01 | Papanier George T. | Buy | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 14.05K | $18.00 | 252.88K |
| 2025-03-01 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 35.71K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Glover Marcus | Sell | 16.53K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Glover Marcus | Buy | 16.53K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Glover Marcus | Sell | 5.17K | $18.00 | 93.02K |
| 2025-03-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Buy | 8.19K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 8.19K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 2.68K | $18.00 | 48.19K |
| 2025-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Buy | 8.27K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 4.03K | $18.00 | 72.47K |
| 2025-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 5.89K | — | — |
| 2025-03-01 | Eaton Craig L | Sell | 2.38K | — | — |
| 2025-02-07 | Glover Marcus | Sell | 12.01K | $18.25 | 219.26K |
| 2025-02-07 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 224.49K | $18.25 | 4.10M |
| 2025-02-07 | Papanier George T. | Sell | 9.00K | $18.25 | 164.25K |
| 2025-02-07 | Downey Terrence | Sell | 37.77K | $18.25 | 689.36K |
| 2025-02-07 | Harris Tracy S. | Sell | 7.83K | $18.25 | 142.93K |
| 2025-02-07 | ROLLINS JEFFREY W | Sell | 85.75K | $18.25 | 1.56M |
| 2025-02-07 | ROLLINS JEFFREY W | Sell | 3.41K | $18.25 | 62.21K |
| 2025-02-07 | PATEL JAYMIN B | Sell | 33.62K | $18.25 | 613.64K |
| 2025-02-07 | Barker Lee Kim | Sell | 12.04K | $18.25 | 219.71K |
| 2025-02-07 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 18.84K | — | — |
| 2025-02-07 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 8.48K | $18.25 | 154.74K |
| 2025-02-07 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 196.78K | $18.25 | 3.59M |
| 2025-02-07 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 447 | $18.25 | 8.16K |
| 2025-02-07 | Wilson Wanda Y. | Sell | 28.22K | $18.25 | 515.03K |
| 2025-02-07 | Kim Soohyung | Sell | 26.91M | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Kim Soohyung | Buy | 2.79K | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Reeves Robeson | Buy | 35.72K | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 16.79K | $17.89 | 300.32K |
| 2024-12-31 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 16.88K | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Reeves Robeson | Sell | 18.84K | — | — |
| 2024-10-18 | Kim Soohyung | Sell | 1.74M | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 68, holders +6 vs prior quarter. Ownership 62.94%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STANDARD GENERAL L.P. | 32.48M | 0 | 0.00% | 445.31M |
| WHITEFORT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 2.41M | 0 | 0.00% | 33.01M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 661.13K | 80.14K | +13.79% | 9.06M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 543.22K | 12.43K | +2.34% | 7.45M |
| SESSA CAPITAL IM, L.P. | 447.80K | 0 | 0.00% | 6.14M |
| RATHBONES GROUP PLC | 350.19K | 0 | 0.00% | 4.80M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 212.82K | 20.45K | +10.63% | 2.92M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 130.26K | 3.95K | +3.13% | 1.79M |
| JB CAPITAL PARTNERS LP | 108.91K | 5.79K | +5.61% | 1.49M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 90.07K | 75.98K | +539.11% | 1.23M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 71.32K | 5.02K | +7.57% | 977.77K |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 69.11K | 11.73K | +20.44% | 947.43K |
| REGATTA CAPITAL GROUP, LLC | 63.41K | 0 | 0.00% | 869.39K |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 61.33K | 61.33K | New | 840.81K |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 61.33K | 2.24K | +3.79% | 840.81K |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 53.56K | -3.38K | -5.94% | 734.28K |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 44.93K | -10.72K | -19.27% | 615.93K |
| CASTLEKNIGHT MANAGEMENT LP | 26.15K | 9.53K | +57.29% | 358.56K |
| CROSSINGBRIDGE ADVISORS, LLC | 24.19K | 24.19K | New | 331.60K |
| ALPHACENTRIC ADVISORS LLC | 24.19K | 24.19K | New | 331.60K |
| BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP | 23.60K | 4.38K | +22.76% | 323.58K |
| SPIREPOINT PRIVATE CLIENT, LLC | 20.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 274.20K |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 15.37K | 2.79K | +22.15% | 211.00K |
| XTX TOPCO LTD | 14.90K | 3.47K | +30.40% | 204.25K |
| NUVEEN, LLC | 13.54K | 13.54K | New | 185.69K |
Forecast
Consensus Hold from 5 analysts. Average price target $10.25, -25.3% versus the current price. Low $7.00. High $13.00.
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