BP p.l.c (BP) Stock Price & Analysis
$131.19B
Market Cap
23.79
P/E
6.29
Forward P/E
53
Score
BP price $50.02 +0.23 +0.47%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 62, quality 50, growth 48.
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183008000000 | 240208000000 | 298756000000 | 159307000000 | 105944000000 | 157739000000 | 241392000000 | 210130000000 | 189185000000 | 189335000000 |
BP p.l.c. operates as a global energy company, offering a wide array of carbon-based and sustainable products and services. Its operations are structured across three primary segments: Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. The Gas & Low Carbon Energy division is responsible for the extraction and integrated generation of natural gas and power. It actively trades gas and both…
BP fair value $76.84. Price $50.02. Price is 35% below fair value.
Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 89% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 16.14B. Growth 1.98%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.00%. Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 2.62B. Net debt 47.71B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | — | 2.66 | — | 63.14B |
| 2026-08-04 | 2.22 | 1.98 | 69.11B | 62.24B |
| 2026-04-28 | 1.24 | 0.91 | 52.26B | 48.50B |
| 2026-02-10 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 47.38B | 42.89B |
| 2025-11-04 | 0.85 | 0.72 | 48.39B | 44.44B |
| 2025-08-05 | 0.90 | 0.68 | 47.18B | 41.64B |
| 2025-04-29 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 46.91B | 42.88B |
| 2025-02-11 | 0.44 | 0.56 | 45.75B | 46.95B |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 47.25B | 48.57B |
| 2024-07-30 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 47.30B | 52.92B |
| 2024-05-07 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 48.88B | 55.08B |
| 2024-02-06 | 1.07 | 1.09 | 52.14B | 53.14B |
| 2023-10-31 | 1.15 | 1.37 | 53.27B | 55.24B |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 48.54B | 52.83B |
| 2023-05-02 | 1.66 | 1.33 | 56.18B | 56.84B |
| 2023-02-07 | 1.59 | 1.65 | 69.26B | 55.39B |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.59 | 1.94 | 55.01B | 59.18B |
| 2022-08-02 | 2.61 | 2.20 | 67.87B | 59.26B |
| 2022-05-03 | 1.92 | 1.41 | 49.26B | 55.86B |
| 2022-02-08 | 1.26 | 1.17 | 50.55B | 52.76B |
| 2021-11-02 | 0.99 | 0.96 | 36.17B | 39.49B |
| 2021-08-03 | 0.83 | 0.61 | 36.47B | 36.47B |
| 2021-04-27 | 0.77 | 0.43 | 34.54B | 34.17B |
| 2021-02-02 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 44.79B | 62.70B |
| 2020-10-27 | 0.03 | -0.09 | 44.25B | 58.81B |
| 2020-08-04 | -1.98 | -0.99 | 31.68B | 23.52B |
| 2020-04-28 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 59.65B | 78.64B |
| 2020-02-04 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 71.11B | 61.72B |
| 2019-10-29 | 0.66 | 0.53 | 68.29B | 188.13B |
| 2019-07-30 | 0.84 | 0.79 | 72.68B | 137.36B |
| 2019-04-30 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 66.32B | 66.18B |
| 2019-02-05 | 1.04 | 0.78 | 75.68B | 63.32B |
| 2018-10-30 | 1.14 | 0.85 | 79.47B | 76.12B |
| 2018-07-31 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 75.44B | 111.08B |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.78 | 0.67 | 68.17B | 49.16B |
| 2018-02-06 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 67.82B | 60.47B |
| 2017-10-31 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 60.02B | 68.91B |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.21 | 0.11 | 56.51B | 74.09B |
| 2017-05-02 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 55.86B | 34.06B |
| 2017-02-07 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 51.01B | 55.98B |
Yield 4.03%. Payout ratio 94.69%. Frequency Quarterly.
Safety score 82/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 95% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 57 separate years. Yield is 4.0%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | $0.52 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-09-18 | Quarterly |
| 2026-05-15 | $0.50 | 2026-05-15 | 2026-06-26 | Quarterly |
| 2026-02-20 | $0.50 | 2026-02-20 | 2026-03-27 | Quarterly |
| 2025-11-14 | $0.50 | 2025-11-14 | 2025-12-19 | Quarterly |
| 2025-08-15 | $0.50 | 2025-08-15 | 2025-09-19 | Quarterly |
| 2025-05-16 | $0.47 | 2025-05-16 | 2025-06-27 | Quarterly |
| 2025-02-21 | $0.47 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-03-28 | Quarterly |
| 2024-11-08 | $0.48 | 2024-11-08 | 2024-12-20 | Quarterly |
| 2024-08-09 | $0.47 | 2024-08-09 | 2024-09-20 | Quarterly |
| 2024-05-16 | $0.44 | 2024-05-17 | 2024-06-28 | Quarterly |
| 2024-02-15 | $0.44 | 2024-02-16 | 2024-03-28 | Quarterly |
| 2023-11-09 | $0.44 | 2023-11-10 | 2023-12-19 | Quarterly |
| 2023-08-10 | $0.44 | 2023-08-11 | 2023-09-22 | Quarterly |
| 2023-05-11 | $0.40 | 2023-05-12 | 2023-06-23 | Quarterly |
| 2023-02-16 | $0.40 | 2023-02-17 | 2023-03-31 | Quarterly |
| 2022-11-09 | $0.36 | 2022-11-11 | 2022-12-16 | Quarterly |
| 2022-08-11 | $0.36 | 2022-08-12 | 2022-09-23 | Quarterly |
| 2022-05-12 | $0.33 | 2022-05-13 | 2022-06-24 | Quarterly |
| 2022-02-17 | $0.33 | 2022-02-18 | 2022-03-25 | Quarterly |
| 2021-11-10 | $0.33 | 2021-11-12 | 2021-12-17 | Quarterly |
| 2021-08-12 | $0.33 | 2021-08-13 | 2021-09-24 | Quarterly |
| 2021-05-06 | $0.32 | 2021-05-07 | 2021-06-18 | Quarterly |
| 2021-02-18 | $0.32 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-03-26 | Quarterly |
| 2020-11-05 | $0.32 | 2020-11-06 | 2020-12-18 | Quarterly |
| 2020-08-13 | $0.32 | 2020-08-14 | 2020-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2020-05-08 | $0.62 | 2020-05-11 | 2020-06-19 | Quarterly |
| 2020-02-13 | $0.62 | 2020-02-14 | 2020-03-27 | Quarterly |
| 2019-11-07 | $0.61 | 2019-11-08 | 2019-12-20 | Quarterly |
| 2019-08-08 | $0.61 | 2019-08-09 | 2019-09-20 | Quarterly |
| 2019-05-09 | $0.61 | 2019-05-10 | 2019-06-21 | Quarterly |
| 2019-02-14 | $0.61 | 2019-02-15 | 2019-03-29 | Quarterly |
| 2018-11-08 | $0.61 | 2018-11-09 | 2018-12-21 | Quarterly |
| 2018-08-09 | $0.61 | 2018-08-10 | 2018-09-21 | Quarterly |
| 2018-05-10 | $0.59 | 2018-05-11 | 2018-06-22 | Quarterly |
| 2018-02-15 | $0.59 | 2018-02-16 | 2018-03-29 | Quarterly |
| 2017-11-09 | $0.59 | 2017-11-10 | 2017-12-21 | Quarterly |
| 2017-08-09 | $0.59 | 2017-08-11 | 2017-09-22 | Quarterly |
| 2017-05-10 | $0.59 | 2017-05-12 | 2017-06-23 | Quarterly |
| 2017-02-15 | $0.59 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-03-31 | Quarterly |
| 2016-11-08 | $0.59 | 2016-11-11 | 2016-12-16 | Quarterly |
| 2016-08-03 | $0.59 | 2016-08-05 | 2016-09-16 | Quarterly |
| 2016-05-04 | $0.60 | 2016-05-06 | 2016-06-17 | Quarterly |
| 2016-02-10 | $0.60 | 2016-02-12 | 2016-03-24 | Quarterly |
| 2015-11-04 | $0.60 | 2015-11-06 | 2015-12-18 | Quarterly |
| 2015-08-05 | $0.60 | 2015-08-07 | 2015-09-18 | Quarterly |
| 2015-05-06 | $0.60 | 2015-05-08 | 2015-06-19 | Quarterly |
| 2015-02-11 | $0.60 | 2015-02-13 | 2015-03-27 | Quarterly |
| 2014-11-05 | $0.60 | 2014-11-07 | 2014-12-19 | Quarterly |
| 2014-08-06 | $0.58 | 2014-08-08 | 2014-09-19 | Quarterly |
| 2014-05-07 | $0.58 | 2014-05-09 | 2014-06-20 | Quarterly |
| 2014-02-12 | $0.57 | 2014-02-14 | 2014-03-28 | Quarterly |
| 2013-11-06 | $0.57 | 2013-11-08 | 2013-12-20 | Quarterly |
| 2013-08-07 | $0.54 | 2013-08-09 | 2013-09-20 | Quarterly |
| 2013-05-08 | $0.54 | 2013-05-10 | 2013-06-21 | Quarterly |
| 2013-02-13 | $0.54 | 2013-02-15 | 2013-03-28 | Quarterly |
| 2012-11-07 | $0.54 | — | 2012-12-21 | Quarterly |
| 2012-08-08 | $0.48 | — | 2012-09-25 | Quarterly |
| 2012-05-09 | $0.48 | — | 2012-06-27 | Quarterly |
| 2012-02-15 | $0.48 | — | 2012-03-30 | Quarterly |
| 2011-11-02 | $0.42 | — | 2011-12-19 | Quarterly |
| 2011-08-03 | $0.42 | — | 2011-09-20 | Quarterly |
| 2011-05-11 | $0.42 | — | 2011-06-28 | Quarterly |
| 2011-02-09 | $0.42 | — | 2011-03-28 | Quarterly |
| 2010-02-17 | $0.84 | — | 2010-03-08 | Quarterly |
| 2009-11-10 | $0.84 | — | 2009-12-07 | Quarterly |
| 2009-08-12 | $0.84 | — | 2009-09-08 | Quarterly |
| 2009-05-13 | $0.84 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2009-02-18 | $0.84 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2008-11-12 | $0.84 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2008-08-13 | $0.84 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2008-05-14 | $0.81 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2008-02-20 | $0.81 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2007-11-07 | $0.65 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2007-08-08 | $0.65 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2007-05-09 | $0.62 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2007-02-21 | $0.62 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2006-11-08 | $0.59 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2006-08-09 | $0.59 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2006-05-10 | $0.56 | — | — | Quarterly |
| 2006-02-22 | $0.56 | — | — | Quarterly |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 1.23K, holders -98 vs prior quarter. Ownership 14.04%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FISHER ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC | 66.31M | -312.38K | -0.47% | 2.45B |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 23.07M | 5.24M | +29.39% | 852.46M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 18.73M | 828.12K | +4.62% | 692.31M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | 17.37M | 4.55M | +35.53% | 641.71M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 15.04M | -1.18M | -7.29% | 555.75M |
| GQG PARTNERS LLC | 14.14M | 8.68M | +158.82% | 522.41M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 10.76M | 705.68K | +7.02% | 397.40M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 10.65M | 78.86K | +0.75% | 393.66M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 8.14M | -1.65M | -16.89% | 300.74M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 6.53M | 1.91M | +41.22% | 241.18M |
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 6.19M | -9.72M | -61.11% | 228.61M |
| CAXTON ASSOCIATES LLP | 5.84M | 5.84M | New | 215.82M |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 5.52M | -1.05M | -15.98% | 204.08M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 5.23M | 3.93M | +301.69% | 193.29M |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 5.07M | 3.54M | +230.97% | 187.48M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 4.45M | 1.75M | +65.06% | 166.25M |
| VOLORIDGE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 4.34M | 1.65M | +61.08% | 160.50M |
| MONDRIAN INVESTMENT PARTNERS LTD | 4.08M | -517.62K | -11.25% | 150.82M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 3.80M | 2.80M | +280.41% | 140.27M |
| ALTRINSIC GLOBAL ADVISORS LLC | 3.55M | -165.57K | -4.45% | 131.33M |
| LONG FOCUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.50M | -100.10K | -2.78% | 129.42M |
| RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC | 3.42M | -836.21K | -19.64% | 126.43M |
| LMR PARTNERS LLP | 3.39M | -216.93K | -6.01% | 125.32M |
| SEI INVESTMENTS CO | 3.14M | 558.43K | +21.62% | 116.07M |
| BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P. | 3.09M | 2.62M | +561.25% | 114.25M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$131.19B
Market Cap
23.79
P/E
6.29
Forward P/E
53
Score