Brilliant Earth Group (BRLT) Stock Insights
$99.09M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
BRLT price $1.55 +0.04 +2.65%
BRLT fair value $4.25. Price $1.55. Price is 64% below fair value.
Below fair value, but more expensive than usual. A smaller discount than on 97% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 10.90M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 63.93M. Net debt -41.03M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | — | 0.03 | — | 110.18M |
| 2026-08-06 | 0.03 | -0.00 | 115.10M | 111.39M |
| 2026-05-06 | -0.05 | -0.05 | 99.50M | 98.16M |
| 2026-03-05 | -0.06 | 0.02 | 124.40M | 125.33M |
| 2025-11-05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 110.25M | 125.33M |
| 2025-08-07 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 108.94M | 109.30M |
| 2025-05-06 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 93.88M | 104.03M |
| 2025-03-12 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 119.53M | 116.83M |
| 2024-11-07 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 99.87M | 116.82M |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 105.43M | 107.15M |
| 2024-05-09 | 0.03 | -0.02 | 97.34M | 97.56M |
| 2024-03-14 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 124.30M | 124.61M |
| 2023-11-09 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 114.15M | 124.61M |
| 2023-08-09 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 110.18M | 111.33M |
| 2023-05-11 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 97.70M | 111.33M |
| 2023-03-15 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 119.63M | 95.22M |
| 2022-11-10 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 111.41M | 111.21M |
| 2022-08-11 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 108.81M | 107.70M |
| 2022-05-12 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 100.04M | 97.88M |
| 2022-03-16 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 121.91M | 112.01M |
| 2021-11-12 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 95.24M | — |
| 2021-09-24 | 0.03 | — | 70.70M | — |
| 2021-06-30 | 0.09 | — | 92.35M | — |
| 2020-12-31 | 0.15 | — | 88.61M | — |
| 2020-09-30 | 0.08 | — | 71.44M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio —. Frequency Irregular.
Safety score 30/100 · At risk. Payout ratio is not reported, so this part stays neutral. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. Dividend history is short. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-22 | $0.25 | 2025-08-22 | 2025-09-08 | Irregular |
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | TURNER GAVIN | Buy | 16.01K | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | TURNER GAVIN | Buy | 16.01K | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Buy | 16.01K | — | — |
| 2026-08-24 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Buy | 16.01K | — | — |
| 2026-08-19 | Gerstein Beth Tamara | Buy | 3.20K | $1.26 | 4.04K |
| 2026-08-19 | Grossberg Eric Scott | Buy | 381 | $1.26 | 480 |
| 2026-08-18 | Gerstein Beth Tamara | Buy | 6.80K | $1.25 | 8.50K |
| 2026-08-18 | Grossberg Eric Scott | Buy | 9.62K | $1.27 | 12.22K |
| 2026-08-17 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 10.12K | $1.27 | 12.86K |
| 2026-08-13 | Kuo Jeffrey Chuenhong | Buy | 10.00K | $1.36 | 13.60K |
| 2026-08-10 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Sell | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Sell | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Buy | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Sell | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | TURNER GAVIN | Sell | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | TURNER GAVIN | Sell | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | TURNER GAVIN | Buy | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-08-10 | TURNER GAVIN | Sell | 50.00K | $1.29 | 64.35K |
| 2026-06-22 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Sell | 18.34K | $1.03 | 18.89K |
| 2026-06-18 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Sell | 20.02K | $1.07 | 21.42K |
| 2026-06-17 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 72.52K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | KAPLAN BETH J | Buy | 72.52K | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 72.52K | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 10.12K | $1.15 | 11.64K |
| 2026-03-06 | Kuo Jeffrey Chuenhong | Buy | 112.58K | — | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Buy | 105.96K | — | — |
| 2026-02-18 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 19.69K | $1.37 | 26.97K |
| 2025-11-17 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 9.19K | $1.99 | 18.29K |
| 2025-06-18 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 95.89K | — | — |
| 2025-06-18 | KAPLAN BETH J | Buy | 95.89K | — | — |
| 2025-06-18 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 95.89K | — | — |
| 2025-06-18 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 95.89K | — | — |
| 2025-06-18 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Sell | 5.32K | $1.35 | 7.18K |
| 2025-06-17 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Sell | 7.10K | $1.35 | 9.59K |
| 2025-06-16 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Sell | 2.96K | $1.38 | 4.09K |
| 2025-05-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 605 | — | — |
| 2025-05-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 605 | — | — |
| 2025-05-16 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 9.19K | $1.40 | 12.87K |
| 2025-04-30 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-04-30 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 900 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-03-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-03-26 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Buy | 113.47K | — | — |
| 2025-03-26 | Kuo Jeffrey Chuenhong | Buy | 120.57K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Sell | 2.70K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Sell | 2.70K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Buy | 2.70K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | MAINSAIL GP III, LLC | Sell | 2.70K | $1.85 | 5.01K |
| 2025-03-13 | TURNER GAVIN | Sell | 2.70K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | TURNER GAVIN | Sell | 2.70K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | TURNER GAVIN | Buy | 2.70K | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | TURNER GAVIN | Sell | 2.70K | $1.85 | 5.01K |
| 2025-02-28 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-02-28 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2025-02-28 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-02-18 | Kuo Jeffrey Chuenhong | Sell | 31.71K | $1.52 | 48.20K |
| 2025-02-18 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 20.79K | $1.50 | 31.19K |
| 2025-01-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2025-01-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-12-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-12-13 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 5.32K | $1.96 | 10.44K |
| 2024-11-30 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-11-30 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-11-30 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-11-18 | Kuo Jeffrey Chuenhong | Sell | 9.13K | $1.64 | 14.98K |
| 2024-10-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-10-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-10-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-09-30 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-09-30 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-09-30 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-08-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-08-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-08-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-08-25 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-08-25 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-08-25 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 33.67K | $12.00 | 404.08K |
| 2024-08-25 | Dziesietnik Sharon | Sell | 454.44K | — | — |
| 2024-07-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-07-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-07-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-06-30 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-06-30 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-06-30 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 56.45K | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 56.45K | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | KAPLAN BETH J | Buy | 56.45K | — | — |
| 2024-06-12 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 56.45K | — | — |
| 2024-06-05 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Sell | 15.18K | $2.19 | 33.24K |
| 2024-05-31 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-05-31 | Harris Jennifer Noel | Buy | 859 | — | — |
| 2024-05-31 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-05-17 | Kuo Jeffrey Chuenhong | Sell | 8.12K | $2.43 | 19.73K |
| 2024-05-15 | Bickley Ian | Sell | 30.00K | $2.52 | 75.60K |
| 2024-04-30 | Jaques Attica | Buy | 571 | — | — |
| 2024-04-30 | Bickley Ian | Buy | 571 | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 37, holders +2 vs prior quarter. Ownership 25.83%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS | 1.05M | 0 | 0.00% | 1.19M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 859.82K | 51.37K | +6.35% | 971.60K |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 524.32K | 0 | 0.00% | 592.48K |
| RUSSELL INVESTMENTS GROUP, LTD. | 391.36K | -81.56K | -17.25% | 442.23K |
| POTOMAC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC. | 340.00K | 25.00K | +7.94% | 384.20K |
| RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC | 186.60K | -15.56K | -7.70% | 210.86K |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 183.41K | -21.57K | -10.52% | 207.30K |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 147.85K | 0 | 0.00% | 167.07K |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 84.57K | -24.00K | -22.10% | 95.56K |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 77.52K | 0 | 0.00% | 87.60K |
| BOSTON PARTNERS | 60.95K | -7.70K | -11.21% | 68.87K |
| STATE STREET CORP | 46.28K | 0 | 0.00% | 52.30K |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 39.09K | -279 | -0.71% | 44.17K |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 37.08K | 7.69K | +26.17% | 41.90K |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 33.77K | 1.97K | +6.19% | 38.16K |
| CENTIVA CAPITAL, LP | 31.52K | 1.57K | +5.24% | 35.62K |
| GSA CAPITAL PARTNERS LLP | 22.69K | 9.03K | +66.04% | 26.00K |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 22.80K | 0 | 0.00% | 25.76K |
| FEDERATION DES CAISSES DESJARDINS DU QUEBEC | 22.04K | 0 | 0.00% | 24.91K |
| COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC | 19.42K | 0 | 0.00% | 21.95K |
| XTX TOPCO LTD | 14.32K | -862 | -5.68% | 16.18K |
| LPL FINANCIAL LLC | 11.74K | 11.74K | New | 13.27K |
| TLS ADVISORS LLC | 11.22K | 11.22K | New | 12.68K |
| UBS GROUP AG | 10.96K | 10.96K | +1096200.00% | 12.39K |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 10.70K | 10.70K | New | 12.09K |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$99.09M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
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Score