Armlogi (BTOC) Stock Insights
$6.02M
Market Cap
-0.30
P/E
0.44
Forward P/E
28
Score
BTOC price $2.12 -0.10 -4.50%
Stocklytics score rationale: value 59, quality 10, growth 16.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9017286 | 56030258 | 135044436 | 166977034 | 190408258 | 185835053 |
Armlogi Holding Corp., together with its associated entities, functions as a third-party logistics solutions provider across the United States. The company offers a wide array of transportation and supply chain management services. Its core operations involve managing various types of freight, ranging from small parcels to full truckloads, alongside truck dispatching and vehicle leasing. Additionally, Armlogi…
BTOC fair value $120.76. Price $2.12. Price is 98% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 15.40M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 2.84M. Net debt 109.56M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-25 | -1.92 | — | 43.13M | — |
| 2026-05-13 | -0.11 | 0.05 | 41.68M | 55.01M |
| 2026-02-13 | -0.08 | 0.04 | 51.54M | 61.37M |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 49.47M | 50.98M |
| 2025-09-25 | -0.13 | -0.64 | 50.14M | 50.14M |
| 2025-05-14 | -0.09 | -0.64 | 45.84M | 50.14M |
| 2025-02-14 | -0.04 | — | 51.14M | — |
| 2024-11-15 | -1.76 | — | 42.48M | — |
| 2024-09-26 | 0.01 | — | 45.29M | — |
| 2024-06-11 | 0.26 | — | 38.44M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | Lin Maxwell E. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Zhou Zhiliang | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-01-13 | Hsu Sheng-Kai | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Wu Tong | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Morgan Russell | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | SANG LIU KWONG | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Zhou Zhiliang | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Ng Florence | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-13 | Chou Aidy | Other | 0 | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 13, holders +5 vs prior quarter. Ownership 2.28%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 406.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 121.80K |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 150.00K | 150.00K | New | 45.00K |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 121.94K | 121.94K | New | 36.58K |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 107.17K | 81.65K | +320.06% | 32.15K |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 80.28K | -128.82K | -61.61% | 24.08K |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 54.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 16.20K |
| XTX TOPCO LTD | 47.19K | 21.32K | +82.41% | 14.16K |
| STONEX GROUP INC. | 15.01K | 15.01K | New | 4.92K |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 15.30K | 15.30K | New | 4.59K |
| VIRTU FINANCIAL LLC | 13.30K | -15.80K | -54.30% | 4.00K |
| UBS GROUP AG | 13.13K | 13.13K | New | 3.94K |
| ACT ADVISORS, LLC. | 10.94K | -1.12K | -9.31% | 3.28K |
| NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO | 20 | 20 | New | 6 |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 0 | -47.36K | -100.00% | 0 |
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$6.02M
Market Cap
-0.30
P/E
0.44
Forward P/E
28
Score