Corporacion America Airports (CAAP) Stock Forecast & Price Target
CAAP$24.28+0.67 +2.84%
$3.96B
Market Cap
14.22
P/E
13.18
Forward P/E
57
Score
Corporacion America Airports (CAAP) Stock Forecast & Price Target
CAAP price $24.28 +0.67 +2.84%
- Ticker
- CAAP
- Price
- $24.28
- Change
- +0.67 +2.84%
- Market cap ?
- $3.96B
- P/E ?
- 14.22
- Forward P/E ?
- 13.18
- Dividend yield ?
- 3.76%
- Beta ?
- 0.68
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Airlines, Airports & Air Services
- Stocklytics score
- 57
- Value
- 67
- Quality
- 66
- Growth
- 38
Stocklytics score rationale: value 67, quality 66, growth 38.
Financials
| 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1366336000 | 1575153000 | 1426145000 | 1558640000 | 607356000 | 706913000 | 1378663000 | 1400038000 | 1843267000 | 1962134000 |
Corporación América Airports S.A., through its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, and operates airport concessions. It operates 52 airports in Latin America, Europe, and Eurasia. The company was formerly known as A.C.I. Airports International S.à r.l. and changed its name to Corporación América Airports S.A. in September 2017. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Corporación América…
Fair value
CAAP fair value $74.21. Price $24.28. Price is 67% below fair value.
Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 84% of days in the past 5 years.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 455.19M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 163.18M. Net debt 512.19M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-23 | — | 0.58 | — | 547.17M |
| 2026-08-18 | 0.32 | 0.50 | 534.00M | 497.52M |
| 2026-05-13 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 537.60M | 470.63M |
| 2026-03-17 | 0.65 | 0.37 | 545.40M | 484.20M |
| 2025-11-24 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 527.27M | 491.60M |
| 2025-08-20 | 0.30 | 0.47 | 476.81M | 473.00M |
| 2025-05-22 | 0.25 | 0.48 | 416.90M | 436.05M |
| 2025-03-19 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 473.41M | 411.52M |
| 2024-11-20 | 0.09 | 0.42 | 461.81M | 463.47M |
| 2024-08-21 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 416.25M | 400.00M |
| 2024-05-22 | 0.95 | 0.41 | 433.05M | 428.44M |
| 2024-03-20 | 0.81 | 0.30 | 365.04M | 404.01M |
| 2023-11-15 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 469.54M | 418.48M |
| 2023-08-17 | 0.43 | 0.20 | 422.70M | 398.23M |
| 2023-05-23 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 382.06M | 347.35M |
| 2023-03-22 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 372.57M | 329.10M |
| 2022-11-17 | 0.36 | 0.04 | 395.49M | 320.96M |
| 2022-08-18 | 0.43 | 0.06 | 332.66M | 273.28M |
| 2022-05-17 | 0.16 | — | 258.20M | 226.74M |
| 2022-03-23 | -0.14 | -0.07 | 246.58M | 234.67M |
| 2021-11-17 | -0.09 | -0.09 | 186.88M | 196.79M |
| 2021-08-18 | -0.21 | -0.33 | 135.26M | 138.52M |
| 2021-05-19 | -0.28 | -0.42 | 138.19M | 124.40M |
| 2021-03-30 | -0.24 | -0.63 | 129.40M | — |
| 2020-11-18 | -0.61 | -0.57 | 97.57M | 70.68M |
| 2020-08-20 | -0.35 | -0.50 | 81.73M | 618.79M |
| 2020-05-21 | -0.07 | -0.35 | 302.83M | 708.62M |
| 2020-04-06 | -0.23 | 0.19 | 380.06M | 318.77M |
| 2019-11-22 | -0.15 | 0.22 | 417.10M | 472.71M |
| 2019-08-23 | 0.31 | -0.10 | 412.56M | 229.72M |
| 2019-05-21 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 360.55M | 40.66M |
| 2019-04-11 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 370.90M | 247.20M |
| 2018-11-26 | -0.09 | 0.14 | 347.96M | 115.99M |
| 2018-08-21 | -0.14 | 0.13 | 397.05M | 1.10B |
| 2018-05-23 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 390.88M | 307.12M |
| 2018-04-27 | -0.02 | — | 416.70M | — |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.13 | — | 421.11M | — |
| 2017-06-30 | 0.11 | — | 383.77M | — |
| 2017-03-31 | 0.22 | — | 353.65M | — |
| 2016-12-31 | -0.05 | — | 384.46M | — |
Dividends
Yield 3.74%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency Irregular.
Safety score 81/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividend history is short. Yield is 3.7%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | $0.91 | 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-10 | Irregular |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Zenarruza Andres Pedro Mariano | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Eurnekian Martin Francisco Antranik | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | McGeoch Roderick Hamilton | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Arruda Filho Jorge | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Pechon Valerie | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Montagna Carlo Alberto | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | MARX DANIEL | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Bomchil Maximo Luis | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-03-18 | Arendt David Ernest Maximilien Glenn | Other | 0 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 114, holders +8 vs prior quarter. Ownership 15.35%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HELIKON INVESTMENTS LTD | 13.59M | 429.10K | +3.26% | 342.31M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 1.51M | 118.32K | +8.51% | 38.00M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.21M | -12.88K | -1.05% | 30.47M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 993.22K | -49.33K | -4.73% | 25.01M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD. | 792.55K | 53.99K | +7.31% | 19.96M |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 756.36K | 52.90K | +7.52% | 19.48M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 550.23K | -124.87K | -18.50% | 13.85M |
| ABERDEEN GROUP PLC | 401.46K | 4.50K | +1.13% | 10.11M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 385.70K | 27.82K | +7.77% | 9.71M |
| GEMSSTOCK LTD. | 308.36K | 308.36K | New | 7.76M |
| EMPOWERED FUNDS, LLC | 307.56K | -118.03K | -27.73% | 7.74M |
| PILLSBURY LAKE CAPITAL LLC | 295.07K | 295.07K | New | 7.43M |
| QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD | 293.73K | -74.57K | -20.25% | 7.40M |
| WEXFORD CAPITAL LP | 257.20K | 102.44K | +66.19% | 6.48M |
| RENAISSANCE GROUP LLC | 227.29K | 227.29K | New | 5.72M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 219.66K | 210.36K | +2261.96% | 5.53M |
| STOKES FAMILY OFFICE, LLC | 161.55K | -18.50K | -10.27% | 4.07M |
| MILITIA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 161.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 4.05M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 148.10K | -168.43K | -53.21% | 3.73M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 146.09K | 28.43K | +24.16% | 3.68M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 111.22K | 35.56K | +47.00% | 2.80M |
| LMG WEALTH PARTNERS, LLC | 102.67K | -574 | -0.56% | 2.59M |
| VENNLIGHT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 94.14K | 94.14K | New | 2.37M |
| ASSENAGON ASSET MANAGEMENT S.A. | 87.52K | -18.10K | -17.13% | 2.20M |
| RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC | 87.42K | 8.96K | +11.41% | 2.20M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 6 analysts. Average price target $24.40, +0.5% versus the current price. Low $17.80. High $31.00.
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