Candel Therapeutics (CADL) Stock Insights
$663.42M
Market Cap
-5.85
P/E
73.93
Forward P/E
—
Score
CADL price $8.67 +0.42 +5.09%
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125000 | 125000 | 125000 | 125000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical firm based in Needham, Massachusetts, dedicated to developing innovative immunotherapies for cancer patients. Its pipeline features CAN-2409, which is presently in Phase II clinical trials for pancreatic and lung cancers, and has progressed to Phase III for prostate cancer. This therapy also successfully completed Phase Ib/II trials for high-grade…
CADL fair value $3.07. Price $8.67. Price is 182% above fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 33.90K. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.00%. Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 76.52M. Net debt -117.83M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | — | -0.35 | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | -0.52 | -0.24 | — | — |
| 2026-05-14 | -0.14 | -0.22 | — | — |
| 2026-03-12 | -0.54 | -0.24 | — | — |
| 2025-11-13 | -0.21 | -0.17 | — | — |
| 2025-08-14 | -0.09 | -0.17 | — | — |
| 2025-05-13 | 0.13 | -0.24 | — | — |
| 2025-03-13 | -0.40 | -0.23 | — | — |
| 2024-11-14 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| 2024-08-13 | -0.74 | — | — | — |
| 2024-05-14 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| 2024-03-28 | -0.38 | -0.16 | 1.78M | — |
| 2023-11-09 | -0.29 | -0.19 | — | — |
| 2023-08-10 | -0.33 | -0.23 | — | — |
| 2023-05-11 | -0.30 | -0.35 | — | — |
| 2023-03-30 | -0.18 | -0.16 | 31.00K | 13.00K |
| 2022-11-10 | -0.30 | -0.53 | 31.00K | 15.50K |
| 2022-08-05 | -0.14 | -0.54 | 31.00K | — |
| 2022-05-12 | -0.03 | -0.49 | 31.00K | 20.67K |
| 2022-03-29 | 0.05 | -0.32 | 31.00K | 15.00K |
| 2021-11-12 | -0.34 | -0.27 | 31.00K | 22.96K |
| 2021-09-08 | -0.31 | -0.12 | 31.00K | — |
| 2021-07-28 | -0.24 | — | 31.00K | — |
| 2020-12-31 | -0.56 | — | 31.00K | — |
| 2020-09-30 | -0.14 | — | 31.00K | — |
| 2020-06-30 | -0.15 | — | 31.00K | — |
| 2020-03-31 | -0.09 | — | 31.00K | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Loggia Nicoletta | Buy | 380 | $10.44 | 3.97K |
| 2026-09-30 | PAPA JOSEPH C | Buy | 1.32K | $10.44 | 13.83K |
| 2026-09-30 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 2.19K | $10.44 | 22.85K |
| 2026-09-11 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 59.38K | $10.46 | 620.89K |
| 2026-09-10 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 125.00K | $1.55 | 193.75K |
| 2026-09-10 | Tak Paul Peter | Buy | 125.00K | $1.55 | 193.75K |
| 2026-09-10 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 220.87K | $11.50 | 2.54M |
| 2026-09-08 | Zimmermann Martine | Buy | 64.00K | $12.60 | 806.40K |
| 2026-09-08 | Zimmermann Martine | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Sell | 7.00K | $12.00 | 84.00K |
| 2026-07-06 | Sims Mark E. | Buy | 285.00K | $10.03 | 2.86M |
| 2026-07-06 | Sims Mark E. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 2.20K | $10.30 | 22.65K |
| 2026-06-30 | PAPA JOSEPH C | Buy | 1.33K | $10.30 | 13.71K |
| 2026-06-30 | Loggia Nicoletta | Buy | 381 | $10.30 | 3.92K |
| 2026-06-29 | Barone Francesca | Sell | 23.45K | $10.06 | 235.77K |
| 2026-06-29 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Sell | 7.00K | $10.02 | 70.15K |
| 2026-06-23 | Radhakrishnan Maha | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Loggia Nicoletta | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | PAPA JOSEPH C | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Benz Edward J. JR | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Martell Christopher | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Gaeta Renee | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Nabel Gary J. | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Nguyen Diem | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-06-23 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 32.00K | $9.08 | 290.56K |
| 2026-03-31 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 4.62K | $4.90 | 22.63K |
| 2026-03-31 | PAPA JOSEPH C | Buy | 2.79K | $4.90 | 13.70K |
| 2026-03-31 | Loggia Nicoletta | Buy | 779 | $4.90 | 3.82K |
| 2026-02-23 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 550.46K | $5.45 | 3.00M |
| 2026-01-26 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Buy | 154.00K | $6.01 | 925.54K |
| 2026-01-26 | Nichols William Garrett | Buy | 136.50K | $6.01 | 820.37K |
| 2026-01-26 | Schoch Charles | Buy | 232.00K | $6.01 | 1.39M |
| 2026-01-26 | Tak Paul Peter | Buy | 629.00K | $6.01 | 3.78M |
| 2026-01-26 | Barone Francesca | Buy | 232.00K | $6.01 | 1.39M |
| 2025-07-28 | Nichols William Garrett | Buy | 937 | $1.29 | 1.21K |
| 2025-07-28 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 937 | $6.98 | 6.54K |
| 2025-07-28 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 937 | $1.29 | 1.21K |
| 2025-06-30 | Nichols William Garrett | Buy | 781 | $1.29 | 1.01K |
| 2025-06-30 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 781 | $5.04 | 3.94K |
| 2025-06-30 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 781 | $1.29 | 1.01K |
| 2025-06-25 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Buy | 5.35K | $4.67 | 25.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | Tak Paul Peter | Buy | 42.83K | $4.67 | 200.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 1.07M | $4.67 | 5.00M |
| 2025-06-25 | Martell Christopher | Buy | 111.35K | $4.67 | 520.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | Schoch Charles | Buy | 5.35K | $4.67 | 25.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | Loggia Nicoletta | Buy | 2.14K | $4.67 | 10.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | Nabel Gary J. | Buy | 5.35K | $4.67 | 25.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | Barone Francesca | Buy | 4.28K | $4.67 | 20.00K |
| 2025-06-25 | PAPA JOSEPH C | Buy | 64.24K | $4.67 | 300.00K |
| 2025-06-20 | Schoch Charles | Buy | 50.00K | $4.75 | 237.50K |
| 2025-06-17 | Benz Edward J. JR | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | Gaeta Renee | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | Loggia Nicoletta | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | Manning Paul B | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | Martell Christopher | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | Nabel Gary J. | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | Nguyen Diem | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-17 | PAPA JOSEPH C | Buy | 14.24K | $4.94 | 70.35K |
| 2025-06-04 | Radhakrishnan Maha | Buy | 28.48K | $5.60 | 159.49K |
| 2025-06-04 | Radhakrishnan Maha | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-03-19 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 400 | $9.00 | 3.60K |
| 2025-03-18 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 4.58K | $3.75 | 17.19K |
| 2025-03-18 | Nichols William Garrett | Buy | 13.90K | $1.29 | 17.94K |
| 2025-03-18 | Nichols William Garrett | Buy | 4.58K | $3.75 | 17.19K |
| 2025-03-18 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 45.32K | $8.76 | 397.00K |
| 2025-03-18 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 13.90K | $1.29 | 17.94K |
| 2025-03-18 | Barone Francesca | Buy | 18.00K | $1.55 | 27.90K |
| 2025-03-18 | Barone Francesca | Sell | 32.15K | $8.76 | 281.67K |
| 2025-03-18 | Barone Francesca | Sell | 18.00K | $1.55 | 27.90K |
| 2025-03-18 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 25.77K | $8.77 | 226.02K |
| 2025-03-17 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Buy | 20.00K | $1.29 | 25.80K |
| 2025-03-17 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Sell | 31.28K | $8.82 | 275.95K |
| 2025-03-17 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Sell | 20.00K | $1.29 | 25.80K |
| 2025-03-17 | Schoch Charles | Sell | 5.00K | $8.83 | 44.17K |
| 2025-02-21 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 10.58K | $12.02 | 127.21K |
| 2025-02-21 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 10.58K | $12.02 | 127.20K |
| 2025-02-12 | Schoch Charles | Buy | 83.00K | $8.55 | 709.65K |
| 2025-02-12 | Nichols William Garrett | Buy | 107.25K | $8.55 | 916.99K |
| 2025-02-12 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Buy | 65.00K | $8.55 | 555.75K |
| 2025-02-12 | Tak Paul Peter | Buy | 525.00K | $8.55 | 4.49M |
| 2025-02-12 | Barone Francesca | Buy | 115.00K | $8.55 | 983.25K |
| 2025-02-10 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 31.34K | $8.61 | 269.79K |
| 2025-01-15 | Barone Francesca | Sell | 13.53K | $7.22 | 97.78K |
| 2025-01-15 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Sell | 14.32K | $7.22 | 103.48K |
| 2025-01-15 | Schoch Charles | Sell | 9.51K | $7.22 | 68.72K |
| 2025-01-15 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 21.70K | $7.22 | 156.81K |
| 2025-01-15 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 10.43K | $7.22 | 75.34K |
| 2025-01-08 | Barone Francesca | Sell | 13.67K | $8.22 | 112.37K |
| 2025-01-08 | Schoch Charles | Sell | 9.97K | $8.22 | 81.94K |
| 2025-01-08 | Tak Paul Peter | Sell | 21.17K | $8.22 | 174.00K |
| 2025-01-08 | Tyagarajan Seshu | Sell | 14.54K | $8.22 | 119.53K |
| 2025-01-08 | Nichols William Garrett | Sell | 10.80K | $8.22 | 88.75K |
| 2024-12-27 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 50.00K | $8.85 | 442.50K |
| 2024-12-27 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 50.00K | $8.85 | 442.50K |
| 2024-12-26 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 50.00K | $9.01 | 450.50K |
| 2024-12-26 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 50.00K | $9.01 | 450.50K |
| 2024-12-24 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Buy | 50.00K | $8.82 | 441.00K |
| 2024-12-24 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 50.00K | $8.82 | 441.00K |
| 2024-12-23 | Aguilar-Cordova Estuardo | Sell | 50.00K | $8.52 | 426.00K |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 146, holders +28 vs prior quarter. Ownership 68.64%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | 10.99M | 3.52K | +0.03% | 113.20M |
| RTW INVESTMENTS, LP | 6.42M | 0 | 0.00% | 66.15M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.97M | 1.86M | +59.83% | 51.18M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 3.55M | 2.73M | +333.67% | 36.56M |
| ACORN CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC | 3.50M | 0 | 0.00% | 36.03M |
| PORTOLAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3.49M | 596.07K | +20.59% | 35.95M |
| SATURN V CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 3.30M | 407.10K | +14.05% | 34.03M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.69M | 231.28K | +9.39% | 27.75M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.57M | 535.59K | +51.73% | 16.18M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.09M | 33.82K | +3.19% | 11.27M |
| HALTER FERGUSON FINANCIAL INC. | 772.46K | -131.59K | -14.56% | 7.96M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 492.46K | 169.31K | +52.39% | 5.07M |
| KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 488.29K | 395.67K | +427.17% | 5.03M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 437.15K | 168.90K | +62.96% | 4.50M |
| VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO | 412.11K | 131.66K | +46.95% | 4.24M |
| SANDS CAPITAL ALTERNATIVES, LLC | 405.84K | 0 | 0.00% | 4.18M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 305.22K | 77.69K | +34.15% | 3.14M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 300.64K | 300.64K | New | 3.10M |
| ARETE WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC | 289.66K | 289.66K | New | 2.98M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 278.94K | 231.54K | +488.46% | 2.87M |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 227.94K | 114.97K | +101.76% | 2.35M |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 205.75K | 205.75K | New | 2.12M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 199.45K | 87.74K | +78.54% | 2.05M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 199.45K | 199.45K | New | 2.05M |
| TANAGER WEALTH MANAGEMENT LLP | 198.18K | 0 | 0.00% | 2.04M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$663.42M
Market Cap
-5.85
P/E
73.93
Forward P/E
—
Score