Candel Therapeutics (CADL) Stock Insights

CADL price $8.67 +0.42 +5.09%

Ticker
CADL
Price
$8.67
Change
+0.42 +5.09%
Market cap ?
$663.42M
P/E ?
-5.85
Forward P/E ?
73.93
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
-0.47
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology

Financials

2019202020212022202320242025
125000125000125000125000000

Candel Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical firm based in Needham, Massachusetts, dedicated to developing innovative immunotherapies for cancer patients. Its pipeline features CAN-2409, which is presently in Phase II clinical trials for pancreatic and lung cancers, and has progressed to Phase III for prostate cancer. This therapy also successfully completed Phase Ib/II trials for high-grade…

Fair value

CADL fair value $3.07. Price $8.67. Price is 182% above fair value.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 33.90K. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.00%. Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 76.52M. Net debt -117.83M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare CADL

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-12—-0.35——
2026-08-13-0.52-0.24——
2026-05-14-0.14-0.22——
2026-03-12-0.54-0.24——
2025-11-13-0.21-0.17——
2025-08-14-0.09-0.17——
2025-05-130.13-0.24——
2025-03-13-0.40-0.23——
2024-11-14-0.33———
2024-08-13-0.74———
2024-05-14-0.28———
2024-03-28-0.38-0.161.78M—
2023-11-09-0.29-0.19——
2023-08-10-0.33-0.23——
2023-05-11-0.30-0.35——
2023-03-30-0.18-0.1631.00K13.00K
2022-11-10-0.30-0.5331.00K15.50K
2022-08-05-0.14-0.5431.00K—
2022-05-12-0.03-0.4931.00K20.67K
2022-03-290.05-0.3231.00K15.00K
2021-11-12-0.34-0.2731.00K22.96K
2021-09-08-0.31-0.1231.00K—
2021-07-28-0.24—31.00K—
2020-12-31-0.56—31.00K—
2020-09-30-0.14—31.00K—
2020-06-30-0.15—31.00K—
2020-03-31-0.09—31.00K—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-30Loggia NicolettaBuy380$10.443.97K
2026-09-30PAPA JOSEPH CBuy1.32K$10.4413.83K
2026-09-30Manning Paul BBuy2.19K$10.4422.85K
2026-09-11Tak Paul PeterSell59.38K$10.46620.89K
2026-09-10Tak Paul PeterSell125.00K$1.55193.75K
2026-09-10Tak Paul PeterBuy125.00K$1.55193.75K
2026-09-10Tak Paul PeterSell220.87K$11.502.54M
2026-09-08Zimmermann MartineBuy64.00K$12.60806.40K
2026-09-08Zimmermann MartineOther0——
2026-08-17Tyagarajan SeshuSell7.00K$12.0084.00K
2026-07-06Sims Mark E.Buy285.00K$10.032.86M
2026-07-06Sims Mark E.Other0——
2026-06-30Manning Paul BBuy2.20K$10.3022.65K
2026-06-30PAPA JOSEPH CBuy1.33K$10.3013.71K
2026-06-30Loggia NicolettaBuy381$10.303.92K
2026-06-29Barone FrancescaSell23.45K$10.06235.77K
2026-06-29Tyagarajan SeshuSell7.00K$10.0270.15K
2026-06-23Radhakrishnan MahaBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Loggia NicolettaBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23PAPA JOSEPH CBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Benz Edward J. JRBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Martell ChristopherBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Gaeta ReneeBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Nabel Gary J.Buy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Nguyen DiemBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-06-23Manning Paul BBuy32.00K$9.08290.56K
2026-03-31Manning Paul BBuy4.62K$4.9022.63K
2026-03-31PAPA JOSEPH CBuy2.79K$4.9013.70K
2026-03-31Loggia NicolettaBuy779$4.903.82K
2026-02-23Manning Paul BBuy550.46K$5.453.00M
2026-01-26Tyagarajan SeshuBuy154.00K$6.01925.54K
2026-01-26Nichols William GarrettBuy136.50K$6.01820.37K
2026-01-26Schoch CharlesBuy232.00K$6.011.39M
2026-01-26Tak Paul PeterBuy629.00K$6.013.78M
2026-01-26Barone FrancescaBuy232.00K$6.011.39M
2025-07-28Nichols William GarrettBuy937$1.291.21K
2025-07-28Nichols William GarrettSell937$6.986.54K
2025-07-28Nichols William GarrettSell937$1.291.21K
2025-06-30Nichols William GarrettBuy781$1.291.01K
2025-06-30Nichols William GarrettSell781$5.043.94K
2025-06-30Nichols William GarrettSell781$1.291.01K
2025-06-25Tyagarajan SeshuBuy5.35K$4.6725.00K
2025-06-25Tak Paul PeterBuy42.83K$4.67200.00K
2025-06-25Manning Paul BBuy1.07M$4.675.00M
2025-06-25Martell ChristopherBuy111.35K$4.67520.00K
2025-06-25Schoch CharlesBuy5.35K$4.6725.00K
2025-06-25Loggia NicolettaBuy2.14K$4.6710.00K
2025-06-25Nabel Gary J.Buy5.35K$4.6725.00K
2025-06-25Barone FrancescaBuy4.28K$4.6720.00K
2025-06-25PAPA JOSEPH CBuy64.24K$4.67300.00K
2025-06-20Schoch CharlesBuy50.00K$4.75237.50K
2025-06-17Benz Edward J. JRBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17Gaeta ReneeBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17Loggia NicolettaBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17Manning Paul BBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17Martell ChristopherBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17Nabel Gary J.Buy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17Nguyen DiemBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-17PAPA JOSEPH CBuy14.24K$4.9470.35K
2025-06-04Radhakrishnan MahaBuy28.48K$5.60159.49K
2025-06-04Radhakrishnan MahaOther0——
2025-03-19Tak Paul PeterSell400$9.003.60K
2025-03-18Nichols William GarrettSell4.58K$3.7517.19K
2025-03-18Nichols William GarrettBuy13.90K$1.2917.94K
2025-03-18Nichols William GarrettBuy4.58K$3.7517.19K
2025-03-18Nichols William GarrettSell45.32K$8.76397.00K
2025-03-18Nichols William GarrettSell13.90K$1.2917.94K
2025-03-18Barone FrancescaBuy18.00K$1.5527.90K
2025-03-18Barone FrancescaSell32.15K$8.76281.67K
2025-03-18Barone FrancescaSell18.00K$1.5527.90K
2025-03-18Tak Paul PeterSell25.77K$8.77226.02K
2025-03-17Tyagarajan SeshuBuy20.00K$1.2925.80K
2025-03-17Tyagarajan SeshuSell31.28K$8.82275.95K
2025-03-17Tyagarajan SeshuSell20.00K$1.2925.80K
2025-03-17Schoch CharlesSell5.00K$8.8344.17K
2025-02-21Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell10.58K$12.02127.21K
2025-02-21Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell10.58K$12.02127.20K
2025-02-12Schoch CharlesBuy83.00K$8.55709.65K
2025-02-12Nichols William GarrettBuy107.25K$8.55916.99K
2025-02-12Tyagarajan SeshuBuy65.00K$8.55555.75K
2025-02-12Tak Paul PeterBuy525.00K$8.554.49M
2025-02-12Barone FrancescaBuy115.00K$8.55983.25K
2025-02-10Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell31.34K$8.61269.79K
2025-01-15Barone FrancescaSell13.53K$7.2297.78K
2025-01-15Tyagarajan SeshuSell14.32K$7.22103.48K
2025-01-15Schoch CharlesSell9.51K$7.2268.72K
2025-01-15Tak Paul PeterSell21.70K$7.22156.81K
2025-01-15Nichols William GarrettSell10.43K$7.2275.34K
2025-01-08Barone FrancescaSell13.67K$8.22112.37K
2025-01-08Schoch CharlesSell9.97K$8.2281.94K
2025-01-08Tak Paul PeterSell21.17K$8.22174.00K
2025-01-08Tyagarajan SeshuSell14.54K$8.22119.53K
2025-01-08Nichols William GarrettSell10.80K$8.2288.75K
2024-12-27Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell50.00K$8.85442.50K
2024-12-27Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell50.00K$8.85442.50K
2024-12-26Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell50.00K$9.01450.50K
2024-12-26Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell50.00K$9.01450.50K
2024-12-24Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoBuy50.00K$8.82441.00K
2024-12-24Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell50.00K$8.82441.00K
2024-12-23Aguilar-Cordova EstuardoSell50.00K$8.52426.00K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 146, holders +28 vs prior quarter. Ownership 68.64%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
FMR LLC10.99M3.52K+0.03%113.20M
RTW INVESTMENTS, LP6.42M00.00%66.15M
BLACKROCK, INC.4.97M1.86M+59.83%51.18M
STATE STREET CORP3.55M2.73M+333.67%36.56M
ACORN CAPITAL ADVISORS, LLC3.50M00.00%36.03M
PORTOLAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.49M596.07K+20.59%35.95M
SATURN V CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP3.30M407.10K+14.05%34.03M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.69M231.28K+9.39%27.75M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.57M535.59K+51.73%16.18M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC1.09M33.82K+3.19%11.27M
HALTER FERGUSON FINANCIAL INC.772.46K-131.59K-14.56%7.96M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP492.46K169.31K+52.39%5.07M
KENNEDY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC488.29K395.67K+427.17%5.03M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC437.15K168.90K+62.96%4.50M
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO412.11K131.66K+46.95%4.24M
SANDS CAPITAL ALTERNATIVES, LLC405.84K00.00%4.18M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC305.22K77.69K+34.15%3.14M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP300.64K300.64KNew3.10M
ARETE WEALTH ADVISORS, LLC289.66K289.66KNew2.98M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/278.94K231.54K+488.46%2.87M
SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP227.94K114.97K+101.76%2.35M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP205.75K205.75KNew2.12M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC199.45K87.74K+78.54%2.05M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.199.45K199.45KNew2.05M
TANAGER WEALTH MANAGEMENT LLP198.18K00.00%2.04M

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Candel Therapeutics (CADL) Stock Insights

CADL$8.67+0.42 +5.09%

$663.42M

Market Cap

-5.85

P/E

73.93

Forward P/E

—

Score

Price History