Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Insights

CAKE price $105.73 -2.74 -2.53%

Ticker
CAKE
Price
$105.73
Change
-2.74 -2.53%
Market cap ?
$5.26B
P/E ?
28.30
Forward P/E ?
22.53
Dividend yield ?
1.08%
Beta ?
1.04
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Stocklytics score
35
Value
26
Quality
26
Growth
53

Stocklytics score rationale: value 26, quality 26, growth 53.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
2275719000226050200023323310002482692000198322500029275400003303156000343950300035816990003751806000

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated primarily operates restaurants. The company also maintains two bakeries that produce its signature cheesecakes and other baked goods. These products are distributed to its own restaurant network, international licensees, external foodservice operators, third-party bakery customers, retailers, and distributors. The Cheesecake Factory operates 306 restaurants across the United…

Fair value

CAKE fair value $75.55. Price $105.73. Price is 40% above fair value.

Above fair value, around its usual premium.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 206.30M. Growth 12.53%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.00% (beta 1.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 49.76M. Net debt 3.25B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare CAKE

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-17—1.27—1.05B
2026-10-271.020.961.03B1.00B
2026-07-281.441.181.03B999.54M
2026-04-291.051.03978.83M964.57M
2026-02-181.000.98961.56M948.92M
2025-10-280.680.60907.23M948.91M
2025-07-291.161.06955.83M911.68M
2025-04-300.930.81927.20M925.71M
2025-02-191.040.91920.96M935.98M
2024-10-290.580.49865.47M912.23M
2024-07-311.091.00904.04M908.66M
2024-05-080.730.63891.22M890.87M
2024-02-210.800.74877.01M878.15M
2023-11-010.390.43830.21M842.75M
2023-08-020.880.82866.17M879.66M
2023-05-100.610.59866.11M871.16M
2023-02-220.560.56892.80M901.37M
2022-11-01-0.030.28784.00M799.23M
2022-07-270.520.77832.64M837.26M
2022-04-270.470.51793.71M783.46M
2022-02-160.490.59776.69M774.52M
2021-11-030.650.70754.47M765.32M
2021-07-270.800.75768.96M764.84M
2021-04-280.20-0.15627.42M3.01B
2021-02-17-0.32-0.09554.55M2.20B
2020-10-29-0.33-0.51517.72M658.91M
2020-07-29-0.87-1.07295.85M380.87M
2020-05-050.04-0.46615.11M4.15B
2020-02-190.580.61694.03M717.96M
2019-10-290.590.54586.54M546.77M
2019-07-310.820.81602.64M595.30M
2019-05-010.620.60599.48M580.14M
2019-02-200.600.61585.15M604.66M
2018-10-300.620.58580.88M538.05M
2018-07-310.650.81593.18M731.87M
2018-04-250.560.68590.69M709.99M
2018-02-210.530.53571.82M571.80M
2017-11-010.560.60555.39M595.07M
2017-08-020.780.76569.87M555.29M
2017-05-030.720.73563.43M571.23M

Dividends

Yield 1.11%. Payout ratio 26.58%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 91/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 27% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 14 separate years. Yield is 1.1%, which is modest.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-11-10$0.302026-11-102026-11-24Quarterly
2026-08-11$0.302026-08-112026-08-25Quarterly
2026-05-13$0.302026-05-132026-05-26Quarterly
2026-03-04$0.302026-03-042026-03-17Quarterly
2025-11-10$0.272025-11-112025-11-25Quarterly
2025-08-12$0.272025-08-122025-08-26Quarterly
2025-05-14$0.272025-05-142025-05-27Quarterly
2025-03-05$0.272025-03-052025-03-18Quarterly
2024-11-13$0.272024-11-132024-11-26Quarterly
2024-08-14$0.272024-08-142024-08-27Quarterly
2024-05-21$0.272024-05-222024-06-04Quarterly
2024-03-05$0.272024-03-062024-03-19Quarterly
2023-11-14$0.272023-11-152023-11-28Quarterly
2023-08-15$0.272023-08-162023-08-29Quarterly
2023-05-23$0.272023-05-242023-06-06Quarterly
2023-03-07$0.272023-03-082023-03-21Quarterly
2022-11-14$0.272022-11-152022-11-28Quarterly
2022-08-09$0.272022-08-102022-08-23Quarterly
2022-05-10$0.272022-05-112022-05-24Quarterly
2020-03-06$0.362020-03-092020-03-20Quarterly
2019-11-08$0.362019-11-122019-11-26Quarterly
2019-08-13$0.362019-08-142019-08-27Quarterly
2019-05-15$0.332019-05-162019-05-29Quarterly
2019-03-01$0.332019-03-042019-03-19Quarterly
2018-11-13$0.332018-11-142018-11-27Quarterly
2018-08-14$0.332018-08-152018-08-28Quarterly
2018-05-09$0.292018-05-102018-05-22Quarterly
2018-02-27$0.292018-02-282018-03-20Quarterly
2017-11-14$0.292017-11-152017-11-28Quarterly
2017-08-14$0.292017-08-162017-08-29Quarterly
2017-05-15$0.242017-05-172017-05-30Quarterly
2017-03-06$0.242017-03-082017-03-21Quarterly
2016-11-07$0.242016-11-092016-11-22Quarterly
2016-08-08$0.242016-08-102016-08-23Quarterly
2016-05-09$0.202016-05-112016-05-24Quarterly
2016-02-26$0.202016-03-012016-03-14Quarterly
2015-11-05$0.202015-11-092015-11-23Quarterly
2015-08-03$0.202015-08-052015-08-18Quarterly
2015-05-04$0.172015-05-062015-05-19Quarterly
2015-02-23$0.172015-02-252015-03-10Quarterly
2014-11-03$0.172014-11-052014-11-18Quarterly
2014-08-04$0.172014-08-062014-08-19Quarterly
2014-05-05$0.142014-05-072014-05-20Quarterly
2014-02-24$0.142014-02-262014-03-11Quarterly
2013-11-04$0.142013-11-062013-11-19Quarterly
2013-08-05$0.142013-08-072013-08-20Quarterly
2013-05-06$0.122013-05-082013-05-21Quarterly
2013-03-04$0.122013-03-062013-03-19Quarterly
2012-11-05$0.122012-11-072012-11-20Quarterly
2012-08-06$0.122012-08-082012-08-21Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-01KRANSDORF JEROME ISell200——
2026-08-26KRANSDORF JEROME ISell800——
2026-08-17Meyer Janice L.Sell1.96K$109.36214.12K
2026-08-10Gordon David MBuy5.83K$34.91203.39K
2026-08-10Gordon David MBuy11.04K$40.16443.37K
2026-08-10Gordon David MSell16.87K$109.981.85M
2026-08-10Gordon David MSell15.08K$110.081.66M
2026-08-10Gordon David MSell5.83K$34.91203.39K
2026-08-10Gordon David MSell11.04K$40.16443.37K
2026-08-10Ames Edie ASell3.00K$106.95320.85K
2026-08-05OVERTON DAVIDSell94.14K$106.2710.00M
2026-08-04CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell64$106.086.79K
2026-08-03CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell59$104.206.15K
2026-07-31CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell100$103.0410.30K
2026-07-31May ScarlettSell7.98K$102.66819.02K
2026-07-30CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell2.10K$101.50212.64K
2026-07-30Hanscom Ashley WSell3.50K$100.00350.00K
2026-07-30Clark Matthew EliotBuy68.90K$40.162.77M
2026-07-30Clark Matthew EliotSell68.90K$99.306.84M
2026-07-30Clark Matthew EliotSell68.90K$40.162.77M
2026-06-02CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell2.49K$64.90161.60K
2026-05-28Meyer Janice L.Buy2.49K——
2026-05-28Collins KhanhBuy1.25K——
2026-05-28CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LBuy2.49K——
2026-05-01OVERTON DAVIDBuy104.00K$46.034.79M
2026-05-01OVERTON DAVIDSell104.00K$61.026.35M
2026-05-01OVERTON DAVIDSell104.00K$46.034.79M
2026-04-01OVERTON DAVIDSell4.66K$55.30257.42K
2026-04-01May ScarlettSell525$55.3029.03K
2026-04-01Gordon David MSell1.17K$55.3064.54K
2026-04-01Clark Matthew EliotSell1.06K$55.3058.56K
2026-03-10May ScarlettSell5.21K$62.95327.71K
2026-02-25Alex Spero GSell4.79K$66.00316.12K
2026-02-25Clark Matthew EliotSell7.00K$65.70459.90K
2026-02-25Hanscom Ashley WSell2.95K$65.64193.69K
2026-02-23CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell635$63.7440.47K
2026-02-16Alex Spero GSell1.79K$58.67104.84K
2026-02-16OVERTON DAVIDSell19.25K$58.671.13M
2026-02-16OVERTON DAVIDSell21.15K$58.671.24M
2026-02-16May ScarlettSell1.52K$58.6788.94K
2026-02-16May ScarlettSell1.67K$58.6797.80K
2026-02-16Hanscom Ashley WSell880$58.6751.63K
2026-02-16Gordon David MSell3.56K$58.67208.98K
2026-02-16Gordon David MSell5.29K$58.67310.25K
2026-02-16Clark Matthew EliotSell3.03K$58.67177.95K
2026-02-11Alex Spero GBuy2.60K——
2026-02-11Alex Spero GOther0——
2026-02-11Clark Matthew EliotBuy14.09K——
2026-02-11Clark Matthew EliotBuy11.86K——
2026-02-11Gordon David MBuy15.76K——
2026-02-11Gordon David MBuy13.40K——
2026-02-11Hanscom Ashley WBuy2.28K——
2026-02-11May ScarlettBuy7.04K——
2026-02-11May ScarlettBuy5.89K——
2026-02-11OVERTON DAVIDBuy63.05K——
2026-02-11OVERTON DAVIDBuy50.35K——
2026-02-10May ScarlettSell1.51K$60.5791.34K
2026-02-10Hanscom Ashley WSell430$60.5726.05K
2026-02-10Clark Matthew EliotSell2.86K$60.57173.47K
2026-02-10Carango KeithSell1.23K$60.5774.44K
2026-02-10Gordon David MSell3.13K$60.57189.71K
2026-02-10OVERTON DAVIDSell14.79K$60.57895.53K
2025-12-10OVERTON DAVIDSell50——
2025-08-14Gordon David MBuy13.40K$46.03616.80K
2025-08-14Gordon David MBuy20.00K$40.16803.20K
2025-08-14Gordon David MSell20.00K$63.041.26M
2025-08-14Gordon David MSell13.40K$62.87842.46K
2025-08-14Gordon David MSell9.94K$63.37629.58K
2025-08-14Gordon David MSell20.00K$40.16803.20K
2025-08-14Gordon David MSell13.40K$46.03616.80K
2025-07-31CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LSell12.39K$65.88816.12K
2025-06-09May ScarlettBuy18.80K$40.16755.01K
2025-06-09May ScarlettSell18.80K$58.821.11M
2025-06-09May ScarlettSell18.80K$40.16755.01K
2025-05-29May ScarlettBuy11.60K$46.03533.95K
2025-05-29May ScarlettSell9.20K$56.06515.76K
2025-05-29May ScarlettBuy9.20K$52.14479.69K
2025-05-29May ScarlettSell11.60K$55.98649.36K
2025-05-29May ScarlettSell9.20K$52.14479.69K
2025-05-29May ScarlettSell11.60K$46.03533.95K
2025-05-28Carango KeithBuy30.00K$40.161.20M
2025-05-28Carango KeithSell8.30K$55.12457.47K
2025-05-28Carango KeithSell3.00K$55.12165.35K
2025-05-28Carango KeithSell9.20K$55.12507.07K
2025-05-28Carango KeithBuy9.20K$46.03423.48K
2025-05-28Carango KeithBuy3.00K$51.74155.22K
2025-05-28Carango KeithBuy8.30K$47.06390.60K
2025-05-28Carango KeithSell30.00K$55.121.65M
2025-05-28Carango KeithSell9.20K$46.03423.48K
2025-05-28Carango KeithSell30.00K$40.161.20M
2025-05-27Clark Matthew EliotBuy42.90K$46.031.97M
2025-05-27Clark Matthew EliotSell42.90K$56.002.40M
2025-05-27Clark Matthew EliotSell42.90K$46.031.97M
2025-05-22Meyer Janice L.Buy2.67K——
2025-05-22Collins KhanhBuy1.34K——
2025-05-22CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LBuy2.67K——
2025-05-08Gordon David MBuy5.83K$34.91203.39K
2025-05-08Gordon David MBuy30.00K$40.161.20M
2025-05-08Gordon David MSell16.60K$50.44837.27K
2025-05-08Gordon David MSell10.00K$50.44504.38K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 361, holders +10 vs prior quarter. Ownership 110.59%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.6.98M303.25K+4.54%554.96M
FMR LLC6.10M181.26K+3.06%485.00M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.85M78.74K+2.84%226.86M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.03M5.76K+0.28%161.26M
EARNEST PARTNERS LLC2.01M-75.92K-3.64%160.09M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC2.00M230.74K+13.01%159.43M
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC.2.00M735.63K+58.21%159.03M
STATE STREET CORP1.87M66.91K+3.72%148.53M
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC1.79M-199.56K-10.02%142.58M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC1.65M1.21M+272.94%131.00M
INVESCO LTD.1.64M-367.41K-18.28%130.67M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.26M20.32K+1.64%100.42M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.22M69.64K+6.06%96.99M
UBS GROUP AG1.21M28.52K+2.41%96.29M
MORGAN STANLEY859.37K-179.57K-17.28%68.35M
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC689.03K-616.83K-47.24%54.81M
HENNESSY ADVISORS INC646.70K00.00%51.44M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/623.81K573.06K+1129.15%49.62M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/622.55K-747.19K-54.55%49.52M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.619.98K619.98KNew49.31M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC619.98K5.68K+0.92%49.31M
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.562.40K562.40KNew44.73M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP544.89K41.69K+8.28%43.34M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP478.00K4.78K+1.01%38.02M
FISHER ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC468.47K-23.06K-4.69%37.26M

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Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Insights

CAKE$105.73-2.74 -2.53%

$5.26B

Market Cap

28.30

P/E

22.53

Forward P/E

35

Score

Price History