Certara (CERT) Financials: Revenue & Earnings

CERT price $11.38 +0.43 +3.96%

Ticker
CERT
Price
$11.38
Change
+0.43 +3.96%
Market cap ?
$1.74B
P/E ?
-24.70
Forward P/E ?
33.47
Dividend yield ?
0.00%
Beta ?
1.43
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
Stocklytics score
39
Value
49
Quality
55
Growth
13

Stocklytics score rationale: value 49, quality 55, growth 13.

Financials

20182019202020212022202320242025
163719000208511000243530000286104000335644000354337000385148000418838000

Certara, Inc. provides advanced software solutions and technology-driven services, specializing in biosimulation throughout the entire drug development lifecycle. From initial drug discovery and preclinical research to clinical trials, regulatory submissions, and market entry, the company's core mission is to accelerate the delivery of new medicines to patients by transforming these processes with its innovative…

Fair value

CERT fair value $12.19. Price $11.38. Price is 7% below fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 64% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 61.64M. Growth 16.59%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.4). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 152.54M. Net debt -177.99M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare CERT

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-05—0.09—91.98M
2026-08-040.080.0993.27M98.09M
2026-05-110.090.11106.92M106.13M
2026-02-260.090.11103.60M103.07M
2025-11-060.140.11104.62M103.23M
2025-08-060.070.10104.57M104.08M
2025-05-050.140.13106.00M104.27M
2025-02-260.150.13100.36M99.13M
2024-11-060.130.1194.82M98.26M
2024-08-060.070.1193.31M96.05M
2024-05-070.100.1096.65M93.64M
2024-02-290.090.1188.01M86.60M
2023-11-080.110.1185.58M86.60M
2023-08-090.120.1390.45M92.18M
2023-05-080.120.1290.30M90.99M
2023-03-010.160.1486.63M82.55M
2022-11-070.100.1184.70M81.68M
2022-08-090.090.1182.76M85.46M
2022-05-050.110.1181.55M79.88M
2022-03-010.010.0975.35M83.26M
2021-11-090.070.0673.94M72.24M
2021-08-050.030.0570.10M69.43M
2021-05-060.060.0466.72M53.37M
2021-03-040.090.0364.64M—
2020-12-140.02—61.12M—
2020-09-300.01—60.32M—
2020-03-310.01—57.45M—
2019-12-31-0.04—53.86M—
2019-09-300.02—53.49M—
2019-06-30-0.02—50.58M—
2019-03-31-0.02—50.58M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-09-01Mohammed FaizBuy63.53K——
2026-07-15Mohammed FaizOther0——
2026-07-15Mohammed FaizOther13.29K——
2026-07-15Mohammed FaizOther8.54K——
2026-06-01Anhalt RonaBuy7.15K——
2026-06-01Anhalt RonaSell2.24K$5.8213.04K
2026-06-01Anhalt RonaSell7.15K——
2026-06-01Corcoran DanielBuy14.89K——
2026-06-01Corcoran DanielSell7.89K$5.8245.94K
2026-06-01Corcoran DanielBuy7.94K——
2026-06-01Corcoran DanielSell4.21K$5.8224.50K
2026-06-01Corcoran DanielSell7.94K——
2026-06-01Corcoran DanielSell14.89K——
2026-05-14Collins CynthiaBuy15.76K——
2026-05-14Collins CynthiaSell15.76K——
2026-05-14Reynders John V WBuy33.22K——
2026-05-14Reynders John V WBuy15.76K——
2026-05-14Reynders John V WSell15.76K——
2026-05-14BROSHY ERANBuy15.76K——
2026-05-14BROSHY ERANBuy33.22K——
2026-05-14BROSHY ERANSell15.76K——
2026-05-14Bedi ArjunBuy33.22K——
2026-05-14Bedi ArjunBuy5.55K——
2026-05-14Bedi ArjunSell5.55K——
2026-05-14CASHMAN JAMES E IIIBuy15.76K——
2026-05-14CASHMAN JAMES E IIIBuy33.22K——
2026-05-14CASHMAN JAMES E IIISell15.76K——
2026-05-14Killefer NancyBuy15.76K——
2026-05-14Killefer NancyBuy33.22K——
2026-05-14Killefer NancySell15.76K——
2026-05-14Crane Rosemary ABuy15.76K——
2026-05-14Crane Rosemary ASell15.76K——
2026-05-14WALSH MATTHEW MBuy15.76K——
2026-05-14WALSH MATTHEW MBuy33.22K——
2026-05-14WALSH MATTHEW MSell15.76K——
2026-05-11Aspbury RobertBuy246.91K——
2026-05-11Aspbury RobertBuy129.63K——
2026-05-11Aspbury RobertBuy86.42K——
2026-05-11Aspbury RobertBuy68.35K——
2026-05-11Aspbury RobertSell68.35K——
2026-05-11Pedersen Leif EBuy111.11K——
2026-05-11Pedersen Leif EBuy74.07K——
2026-05-11Pedersen Leif EBuy68.35K——
2026-05-11Pedersen Leif ESell68.35K——
2026-05-11Anhalt RonaBuy92.59K——
2026-05-11Anhalt RonaBuy61.73K——
2026-05-11Anhalt RonaBuy43.94K——
2026-05-11Anhalt RonaSell43.94K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewBuy740.74K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewBuy728.40K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewBuy493.83K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewBuy268.95K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewBuy179.30K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewSell59.77K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewBuy59.77K——
2026-05-11Resnick Jon MatthewSell24.38K$6.31153.82K
2026-05-11Corcoran DanielBuy111.11K——
2026-05-11Corcoran DanielBuy74.07K——
2026-05-11Corcoran DanielBuy48.82K——
2026-05-11Corcoran DanielSell48.82K——
2026-05-11Gallagher John EBuy194.44K——
2026-05-11Gallagher John EBuy129.63K——
2026-05-11Gallagher John EBuy102.52K——
2026-05-11Gallagher John ESell102.52K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif EBuy15.19K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell3.70K$5.7021.08K
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif EBuy10.13K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell2.47K$5.7014.06K
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif EBuy7.85K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell1.91K$5.7010.90K
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif EBuy14.51K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell3.53K$5.7020.14K
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell15.19K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell10.13K——
2026-04-01Pedersen Leif ESell7.85K——
2026-04-01McKemey AdrianSell10.85K——
2026-04-01McKemey AdrianBuy10.85K——
2026-04-01McKemey AdrianSell2.64K$5.7015.06K
2026-04-01Corcoran DanielBuy10.85K——
2026-04-01Corcoran DanielSell10.85K——
2026-04-01Corcoran DanielSell5.75K$5.7032.78K
2026-04-01Gallagher John EBuy22.78K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell7.80K$5.7044.48K
2026-04-01Gallagher John EBuy15.19K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell5.20K$5.7029.66K
2026-04-01Gallagher John EBuy12.63K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell4.33K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John EBuy23.35K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell7.78K$5.7044.32K
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell22.78K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell15.19K——
2026-04-01Gallagher John ESell12.63K——
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertBuy15.19K——
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertSell7.14K$5.7040.69K
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertBuy10.13K——
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertSell4.76K$5.7027.13K
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertBuy7.85K——
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertBuy14.51K——
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertSell3.69K$5.7021.04K
2026-04-01Aspbury RobertSell6.82K$5.7038.88K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 245, holders -15 vs prior quarter. Ownership 87.77%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.18.82M4.51M+31.52%123.26M
DEERFIELD MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.7.51M-295.68K-3.79%49.21M
HAVELI INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC7.40M7.40MNew48.47M
JEFFERIES FINANCIAL GROUP INC.7.09M232.84K+3.40%46.45M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC7.06M1.09M+18.21%46.22M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP6.02M-2.54M-29.66%39.45M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.28M-77.25K-1.44%34.60M
STATE STREET CORP4.82M881.31K+22.37%31.58M
WASATCH ADVISORS LP4.30M-973.34K-18.46%28.16M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.14M1.03M+48.57%20.58M
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/2.86M188.66K+7.05%18.76M
ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP2.76M1.54M+126.82%18.05M
UBS GROUP AG2.67M-754.18K-22.05%17.47M
MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC2.56M2.27M+800.01%16.74M
MORGAN STANLEY2.55M-689.11K-21.27%16.71M
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP2.42M1.51M+164.80%15.88M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.16M1.59M+278.49%13.76M
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC2.03M-217.01K-9.65%13.30M
T. ROWE PRICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC.2.00M660.75K+49.40%13.09M
SYSTEMATIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT LP1.89M1.89MNew12.39M
KOPION ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC1.86M570.09K+44.25%12.17M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.80M-244.50K-11.97%11.78M
BOSTON PARTNERS1.68M1.68MNew11.03M
DIXON MITCHELL INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC.1.55M8.08K+0.53%10.13M
QUANTINNO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP1.46M474.26K+47.95%9.58M

Earnings and financials

Certara, Inc. (CERT) trades at $11.38, with a market cap of $1.74B and a trailing P/E of -24.70. Revenue below is the annual history on file. It describes what the business has already reported. It is not a forecast and it is not a recommendation.

Financials

20182019202020212022202320242025
163719000208511000243530000286104000335644000354337000385148000418838000

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Certara (CERT) Financials: Revenue & Earnings

CERT$11.38+0.43 +3.96%

$1.74B

Market Cap

-24.70

P/E

33.47

Forward P/E

39

Score

Price History