Choice Hotels International (CHH) Stock Forecast & Price Target

CHH price $112.85 +2.83 +2.57%

Ticker
CHH
Price
$112.85
Change
+2.83 +2.57%
Market cap ?
$5.13B
P/E ?
15.71
Forward P/E ?
16.10
Dividend yield ?
1.03%
Beta ?
0.71
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Travel Lodging
Stocklytics score
45
Value
42
Quality
47
Growth
45

Stocklytics score rationale: value 42, quality 47, growth 45.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
92464100010073560001041304000111482000077407200010692980001401949000154416500015848390001596793000

Choice Hotels International, Inc., also known as Choice Hotels, operates as a prominent global hotel franchisor, conducting its extensive business through its various subsidiary entities. The company's activities are primarily divided into two main segments: Hotel Franchising and Corporate & Other. It authorizes the use of its brand names for a diverse portfolio of lodging establishments, including well-known brands…

Fair value

CHH fair value $108.51. Price $112.85. Price is about fair value.

Above fair value, but less expensive than usual. A smaller premium than on 67% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 253.63M. Growth 6.95%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 45.50M. Net debt 2.09B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Free cash flow adds back growth capex above depreciation.

Compare CHH

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-02—2.29—447.56M
2026-08-052.021.98440.76M436.48M
2026-04-301.071.35340.57M333.48M
2026-02-191.601.56390.15M369.60M
2025-11-052.102.18447.34M369.12M
2025-08-061.921.90426.44M430.13M
2025-05-081.341.38332.86M449.74M
2025-02-201.551.45389.77M339.48M
2024-11-042.231.92427.96M374.42M
2024-08-081.841.86435.16M438.23M
2024-05-081.281.15331.95M343.17M
2024-02-201.441.35358.40M370.40M
2023-11-071.821.85425.56M431.90M
2023-08-081.751.69427.42M418.76M
2023-05-091.121.01332.79M315.69M
2023-02-151.261.05361.98M356.79M
2022-11-071.561.69414.27M374.90M
2022-08-041.431.45367.97M322.25M
2022-05-101.030.89257.73M255.31M
2022-02-160.990.84284.64M274.85M
2021-11-041.511.36323.37M326.93M
2021-08-051.220.89278.34M278.34M
2021-05-100.570.63182.95M200.24M
2021-02-170.510.66193.39M232.68M
2020-11-050.660.72210.77M236.32M
2020-08-060.130.28151.73M373.50M
2020-05-110.760.70218.18M203.82M
2020-02-180.920.85268.08M247.69M
2019-11-051.371.29310.73M292.59M
2019-08-061.191.14317.68M304.34M
2019-05-090.840.75218.32M194.93M
2019-02-150.880.83244.98M233.84M
2018-11-081.241.16291.49M272.68M
2018-08-081.111.04295.44M276.77M
2018-05-100.670.60209.39M187.52M
2018-02-200.630.63237.57M221.50M
2017-11-060.950.92295.09M261.38M
2017-08-020.790.77276.80M254.39M
2017-05-040.510.50197.90M185.20M
2017-02-150.560.53208.19M86.60M

Dividends

Yield 1.02%. Payout ratio 16.14%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 91/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 16% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 23 separate years. Yield is 1.0%, which is modest.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-10-01$0.292026-10-012026-10-15Quarterly
2026-07-01$0.292026-07-012026-07-15Quarterly
2026-04-01$0.292026-04-012026-04-15Irregular
2026-01-02$0.292026-01-022026-01-15Quarterly
2025-10-01$0.292025-10-012025-10-16Quarterly
2025-07-01$0.292025-07-012025-07-16Quarterly
2025-04-01$0.292025-04-012025-04-16Irregular
2025-01-02$0.292025-01-022025-01-16Quarterly
2024-10-01$0.292024-10-012024-10-16Quarterly
2024-07-01$0.292024-07-012024-07-16Quarterly
2024-04-01$0.292024-04-022024-04-17Quarterly
2023-12-29$0.292024-01-022024-01-17Quarterly
2023-09-29$0.292023-10-022023-10-17Quarterly
2023-07-03$0.292023-07-052023-07-19Quarterly
2023-03-31$0.292023-04-032023-04-18Quarterly
2022-12-30$0.242023-01-032023-01-17Quarterly
2022-09-30$0.242022-10-032022-10-14Quarterly
2022-06-30$0.242022-07-012022-07-14Quarterly
2022-03-31$0.242022-04-012022-04-15Quarterly
2022-01-03$0.242022-01-042022-01-18Quarterly
2021-09-30$0.232021-10-012021-10-15Quarterly
2021-06-30$0.232021-07-012021-07-16Quarterly
2020-04-01$0.232020-04-022020-04-16Quarterly
2019-12-31$0.232020-01-022020-01-16Quarterly
2019-10-01$0.212019-10-022019-10-17Quarterly
2019-07-01$0.212019-07-022019-07-17Quarterly
2019-04-01$0.212019-04-022019-04-17Quarterly
2018-12-31$0.212019-01-022019-01-17Quarterly
2018-10-01$0.212018-10-022018-10-17Quarterly
2018-06-29$0.212018-07-022018-07-17Quarterly
2018-03-29$0.212018-04-022018-04-17Quarterly
2017-12-29$0.212018-01-022018-01-17Quarterly
2017-09-29$0.212017-10-022017-10-17Quarterly
2017-06-29$0.212017-07-032017-07-18Quarterly
2017-03-30$0.212017-04-032017-04-18Quarterly
2016-12-30$0.212017-01-042017-01-18Quarterly
2016-09-29$0.202016-10-032016-10-17Quarterly
2016-06-29$0.202016-07-012016-07-15Quarterly
2016-03-31$0.202016-04-042016-04-18Quarterly
2015-12-30$0.202016-01-042016-01-18Quarterly
2015-09-30$0.202015-10-022015-10-16Quarterly
2015-06-29$0.202015-07-012015-07-15Quarterly
2015-03-31$0.202015-04-032015-04-17Quarterly
2014-12-30$0.202015-01-022015-01-16Irregular
2014-10-01$0.182014-10-032014-10-17Quarterly
2014-06-27$0.182014-07-012014-07-15Irregular
2014-06-27$0.182014-07-012014-07-15Quarterly
2014-04-02$0.182014-04-042014-04-18Quarterly
2013-12-31$0.182014-01-032014-01-17Quarterly
2013-10-08$0.182013-10-102013-10-16Quarterly
2013-06-27$0.182013-07-012013-07-15Quarterly
2013-03-28$0.182013-04-022013-04-16Quarterly
2012-12-14$0.182012-12-182012-12-27Quarterly
2012-09-28$0.182012-10-022012-10-12Monthly
2012-08-24$10.412012-08-20—Irregular
2012-06-28$0.182012-07-022012-07-16Quarterly
2012-03-29$0.182012-04-022012-04-16Quarterly
2011-12-30$0.182012-01-042012-01-18Quarterly
2011-09-29$0.182011-10-032011-10-14Quarterly
2011-06-29$0.182011-07-012011-07-15Quarterly
2011-03-30$0.182011-04-012011-04-15Quarterly
2010-12-31$0.182011-01-042011-01-14Quarterly
2010-09-29$0.182010-10-012010-10-15Quarterly
2010-06-30$0.182010-07-022010-07-16Quarterly
2010-03-31$0.182010-04-052010-04-16Quarterly
2009-12-30$0.182010-01-042010-01-15Quarterly
2009-09-30$0.182009-10-022009-10-16Quarterly
2009-06-30$0.182009-07-022009-07-17Quarterly
2009-04-01$0.182009-04-032009-04-17Quarterly
2008-12-31$0.182009-01-052009-01-16Quarterly
2008-10-01$0.182008-10-032008-10-17Quarterly
2008-07-01$0.172008-07-032008-07-18Quarterly
2008-04-02$0.172008-04-042008-04-18Quarterly
2008-01-02$0.172008-01-042008-01-18Quarterly
2007-10-03$0.172007-10-052007-10-19Quarterly
2007-07-03$0.152007-07-062007-07-20Quarterly
2007-04-03$0.152007-04-052007-04-20Quarterly
2007-01-03$0.152007-01-052007-01-19Quarterly
2006-10-04$0.152006-10-062006-10-20Quarterly
2006-07-05$0.132006-07-072006-07-21Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-20Dragisich DominicSell1.23K$112.00137.42K
2026-10-15VIEIRA DONNA FBuy4$103.61363
2026-10-15Ramirez Sanchez RaulBuy9$103.61966
2026-10-15Smith GordonBuy23$103.612.41K
2026-10-15JEWS WILLIAM LBuy17$103.611.78K
2026-10-15Landsman LizaBuy22$103.612.24K
2026-10-15Maureen SullivanBuy30$103.613.11K
2026-10-15Koch Monte JMBuy36$103.613.74K
2026-10-15TAGUE JOHN PBuy71$103.617.31K
2026-10-15Cimerola PatrickBuy77$103.617.98K
2026-10-15SHAMES ERVIN RBuy113$103.6111.67K
2026-08-31Dragisich DominicBuy9.68K——
2026-08-31Pacious PatrickSell46.12K$103.364.77M
2026-08-18JEWS WILLIAM LSell5.06K$106.98541.00K
2026-08-15Abdalla NohaSell503$104.7352.68K
2026-07-15VIEIRA DONNA FBuy3$106.26361
2026-07-15Ramirez Sanchez RaulBuy9$106.26963
2026-07-15Smith GordonBuy23$106.262.40K
2026-07-15JEWS WILLIAM LBuy17$106.261.77K
2026-07-15Landsman LizaBuy21$106.262.23K
2026-07-15Maureen SullivanBuy29$106.263.10K
2026-07-15Koch Monte JMBuy35$106.263.73K
2026-07-15TAGUE JOHN PBuy69$106.267.29K
2026-07-15Cimerola PatrickBuy75$106.267.96K
2026-07-15SHAMES ERVIN RBuy110$106.2611.64K
2026-06-26Keshavarz AliOther0——
2026-06-22Landsman LizaSell1.03K——
2026-06-16Oaksmith Scott ESell2.00K$115.00230.00K
2026-06-12Oaksmith Scott ESell2.00K$110.00220.00K
2026-05-26Dragisich DominicBuy12.80K$91.281.17M
2026-05-26Dragisich DominicSell2.10K$112.50236.70K
2026-05-26Dragisich DominicSell5.02K$113.56570.53K
2026-05-26Dragisich DominicSell13.52K$114.651.55M
2026-05-26Dragisich DominicSell1.97K$115.15227.08K
2026-05-26Dragisich DominicSell12.80K$91.281.17M
2026-05-21VIEIRA DONNA FBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21TAGUE JOHN PBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21Maureen SullivanBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21Smith GordonBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21SHAMES ERVIN RBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21Landsman LizaBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21Koch Monte JMBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21JEWS WILLIAM LBuy1.57K——
2026-05-21Bainum BrianBuy1.57K$111.49175.04K
2026-05-20Dragisich DominicBuy4.45K——
2026-05-18Bainum BrianBuy416——
2026-05-18Bainum BrianSell416——
2026-05-16Bainum BrianBuy423——
2026-05-16Bainum BrianSell423——
2026-05-15Bainum BrianBuy455——
2026-05-15Bainum BrianSell455——
2026-04-15VIEIRA DONNA FBuy2$117.65241
2026-04-15Ramirez Sanchez RaulBuy8$117.65960
2026-04-15Smith GordonBuy13$117.651.58K
2026-04-15JEWS WILLIAM LBuy15$117.651.77K
2026-04-15Landsman LizaBuy17$117.651.97K
2026-04-15Maureen SullivanBuy23$117.652.69K
2026-04-15Koch Monte JMBuy27$117.653.19K
2026-04-15TAGUE JOHN PBuy62$117.657.27K
2026-04-15Cimerola PatrickBuy68$117.657.94K
2026-04-15SHAMES ERVIN RBuy99$117.6511.61K
2026-03-26Lobb Jeffrey WOther0——
2026-03-26Lobb Jeffrey WOther2.05K$104.87215.40K
2026-03-26Lobb Jeffrey WOther1.99K$146.68291.75K
2026-03-26Lobb Jeffrey WOther1.01K$123.71124.82K
2026-03-18Oaksmith Scott ESell1.60K$100.00160.30K
2026-03-17Oaksmith Scott ESell600$100.0760.04K
2026-03-02Scozzafava AnnaSell241$104.1525.10K
2026-03-02Pacious PatrickSell22.81K$104.152.38M
2026-03-02Oaksmith Scott ESell2.10K$104.15218.92K
2026-03-02Dragisich DominicSell12.26K$104.151.28M
2026-03-02WU SimoneSell2.60K$104.15271.21K
2026-03-02Abdalla NohaSell1.26K$104.15131.54K
2026-03-02BAINUM STEWART JRBuy2.43K——
2026-03-02BAINUM STEWART JRSell2.43K——
2026-02-26BAINUM STEWART JRBuy3.24K$107.98350.07K
2026-02-26Pacious PatrickBuy12.22K——
2026-02-26Dragisich DominicBuy12.22K——
2026-02-26Oaksmith Scott EBuy5.16K——
2026-02-26Cimerola PatrickBuy2.72K——
2026-02-26Ramirez Sanchez RaulBuy5.73K——
2026-02-26Abdalla NohaBuy1.87K——
2026-02-26Scozzafava AnnaBuy1.25K——
2026-02-25Scozzafava AnnaSell506$107.4354.36K
2026-02-20Scozzafava AnnaBuy661——
2026-02-20Ramirez Sanchez RaulBuy3.34K——
2026-02-20Pacious PatrickBuy16.49K——
2026-02-20Oaksmith Scott EBuy4.30K——
2026-02-20Dragisich DominicBuy18.64K——
2026-02-20WU SimoneBuy5.77K——
2026-02-20Cimerola PatrickBuy6.80K——
2026-02-20Abdalla NohaBuy4.12K——
2026-02-19Pacious PatrickBuy1.23K$81.1599.98K
2026-02-19Pacious PatrickBuy65.06K$81.155.28M
2026-02-19Pacious PatrickSell55.67K$111.056.18M
2026-02-19Pacious PatrickSell900$111.0599.94K
2026-02-19Pacious PatrickSell1.23K$81.1599.98K
2026-02-12Cimerola PatrickBuy1.23K$81.1599.98K
2026-02-12Cimerola PatrickSell917$109.0199.96K
2026-02-12Cimerola PatrickSell1.23K$81.1599.98K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 342, holders +5 vs prior quarter. Ownership 75.26%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BAMCO INC /NY/9.33M1.64M+21.30%1.03B
MORGAN STANLEY2.89M-344.60K-10.65%318.82M
BLACKROCK, INC.2.27M114.60K+5.33%249.93M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.10M27.46K+2.57%120.97M
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT L.P.1.09M-78.20K-6.67%120.57M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.07M-19.13K-1.75%118.44M
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC917.15K-2.30M-71.53%101.13M
VOSS CAPITAL, LP910.00K-57.50K-5.94%100.35M
BOSTON TRUST WALDEN CORP898.93K-31.83K-3.42%99.13M
STATE STREET CORP746.56K13.14K+1.79%82.32M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC742.11K720.41K+3319.86%81.83M
UBS GROUP AG723.35K-170.99K-19.12%79.76M
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP669.69K11.37K+1.73%73.85M
ROCK CREEK GROUP LLC660.88K-5.00K-0.75%72.88M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP609.33K-3.52K-0.57%67.20M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP549.32K-367.00K-40.05%60.57M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC473.91K-8.81K-1.83%52.26M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC456.75K27.41K+6.38%50.38M
POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P.453.03K453.03KNew49.96M
WOODLINE PARTNERS LP386.60K386.60KNew42.63M
FORT WASHINGTON INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC /OH/359.56K149+0.04%39.65M
ERSTE ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH335.00K65.00K+24.07%37.51M
QUANTINNO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP323.81K65.46K+25.34%35.71M
NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC.311.30K-2.35K-0.75%34.33M
FREESTONE GROVE PARTNERS LP276.29K276.29KNew30.47M

Forecast

Consensus Hold from 28 analysts. Average price target $112.33, -0.5% versus the current price. Low $93.00. High $129.00.

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Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $112.33 for Choice Hotels International (CHH), 0.5% above the current price of $111.73. Of 28 analysts covering the stock, 3 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 18 Hold, and 7 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Hold.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

CHH price target

12-month price target
Low$93.00
Average$112.33
High$129.00

The average is 0.5% above the current price of $111.73.

Is Choice Hotels International a buy or sell?

Of 28 analysts, 3 rate Choice Hotels International Buy or Strong Buy, 18 Hold, and 7 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Hold. That split is not a recommendation.

Choice Hotels International earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $7.01, revenue $1.63 billion. 2027, EPS $7.49, revenue $1.67 billion.

CHH score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for CHH is 45 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

CHH forecast FAQs

What is the CHH price target?

$112.33 average, with a published range of $93.00 to $129.00.

Is Choice Hotels International a buy or sell?

The consensus is Hold from 28 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Choice Hotels International stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $7.01. The average revenue estimate is $1.63 billion.

What will CHH be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Choice Hotels International's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

Choice Hotels International (CHH) Stock Forecast & Price Target

CHH$112.85+2.83 +2.57%

$5.13B

Market Cap

15.71

P/E

16.10

Forward P/E

45

Score

Price History