Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) Stock Insights

CPSS price $9.83 +0.28 +2.93%

Ticker
CPSS
Price
$9.83
Change
+0.28 +2.93%
Market cap ?
$215.33M
Beta ?
1.14
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Fair value

CPSS fair value $202.13. Price $9.83. Price is 95% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 93% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 350.43M. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 10.55% (beta 1.1). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 21.91M. Net debt 3.50B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Model uncertainty high for this stock

Compare CPSS

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-03-18————
2026-10-220.30—131.91M—
2026-08-040.27—121.39M—
2026-05-050.24—112.33M—
2026-03-100.210.23109.41M118.62M
2025-11-100.200.25108.42M110.64M
2025-08-110.200.26109.76M113.66M
2025-05-120.190.30106.87M109.99M
2025-02-250.210.27105.30M102.37M
2024-10-310.200.21100.58M102.37M
2024-07-300.19—90.38M—
2024-05-100.19—86.74M—
2024-03-150.290.2685.98M308.88M
2023-11-090.410.2654.19M79.94M
2023-08-020.550.2449.15M78.25M
2023-04-260.540.2450.34M76.31M
2023-03-090.590.2254.15M308.88M
2022-11-090.950.2266.82M70.25M
2022-07-250.910.1963.25M68.28M
2022-04-180.750.2057.97M66.00M
2022-02-140.710.2052.38M60.39M
2021-10-270.520.1950.23M60.06M
2021-08-110.390.2147.79M44.80M
2021-05-100.210.2342.17M67.71M
2021-02-230.170.2339.47M—
2020-10-190.160.3045.77M132.50M
2020-07-210.130.2940.81M171.41M
2020-04-150.080.1543.78M34.25M
2020-03-160.000.0858.13M—
2019-10-290.080.0857.58M85.52M
2019-07-240.080.0858.62M86.33M
2019-04-180.070.1660.94M201.67M
2019-02-120.130.1364.81M91.22M
2018-10-170.130.1269.82M88.27M
2018-07-240.130.1374.17M99.40M
2018-04-180.120.1679.50M138.13M
2018-02-140.200.1683.52M91.12M
2017-10-230.170.1786.17M109.50M
2017-07-240.170.1886.84M116.58M
2017-04-190.160.2085.51M134.50M

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-01Robinson TeriSell660——
2026-09-01Jackson NoelSell7.50K$2.4718.52K
2026-09-01Jackson NoelBuy7.50K$2.4718.52K
2026-09-01Jackson NoelSell7.50K$9.3169.83K
2026-08-26BRADLEY CHARLES E JRSell125.00K$9.461.18M
2026-08-12Ralston Catrina MarieSell3.62K$9.5034.36K
2026-08-11TERRY CHRISBuy90.00K$9.20828.00K
2026-08-11Schween StevenBuy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11Ryan SusanBuy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11Robinson TeriBuy90.00K$9.20828.00K
2026-08-11RIEDL ROBERT EBuy120.00K$9.201.10M
2026-08-11Reynoso LisetteBuy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11Ralston Catrina MarieBuy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11Lavin Michael T.Buy120.00K$9.201.10M
2026-08-11Jackson NoelBuy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11Gonel Charles E.Buy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11BRADLEY CHARLES E JRBuy300.00K$9.202.76M
2026-08-11Bharwani DeneshBuy90.00K$9.20828.00K
2026-08-11Baumeister Michele LBuy60.00K$9.20552.00K
2026-08-11Carnahan Scott W.Buy30.00K$9.20276.00K
2026-08-10Ralston Catrina MarieSell916$9.508.70K
2026-08-07Ralston Catrina MarieSell467$9.504.44K
2026-08-07BRADLEY CHARLES E JRSell300.00K$3.531.06M
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Buy99.30K——
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Buy61.35K$3.53216.58K
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Sell45.83K$2.47113.20K
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Sell36.52K$9.57349.54K
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Buy28.65K$3.53101.12K
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Buy45.83K$2.47113.20K
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Sell90.00K$3.53317.70K
2026-08-06Lavin Michael T.Sell99.30K——
2026-08-06Rayhill BrianBuy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-08-06Rayhill BrianSell11.07K$9.57105.90K
2026-08-06Rayhill BrianSell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-08-05BRADLEY CHARLES E JRBuy300.00K$3.531.06M
2026-08-05Bharwani DeneshBuy60.00K$3.53211.80K
2026-08-05Bharwani DeneshSell60.00K$3.53211.80K
2026-08-05TERRY CHRISBuy60.00K$3.53211.80K
2026-08-05TERRY CHRISSell27.79K$9.18255.08K
2026-08-05TERRY CHRISSell60.00K$3.53211.80K
2026-08-04Baumeister Michele LBuy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-08-04Baumeister Michele LSell14.17K$9.31131.93K
2026-08-04Baumeister Michele LSell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-08-03Reynoso LisetteBuy5.00K$3.5317.65K
2026-08-03Reynoso LisetteSell1.84K$9.6017.65K
2026-08-03Reynoso LisetteSell5.00K$3.5317.65K
2026-08-03Robinson TeriBuy43.59K——
2026-08-03Robinson TeriBuy31.46K$3.53111.05K
2026-08-03Robinson TeriSell16.41K$9.60157.56K
2026-08-03Robinson TeriBuy28.54K$3.53100.75K
2026-08-03Robinson TeriSell43.59K——
2026-08-03Robinson TeriSell60.00K$3.53211.80K
2026-08-03Ralston Catrina MarieBuy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-08-03Ralston Catrina MarieSell12.46K$9.60119.61K
2026-08-03Ralston Catrina MarieSell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-07-24WOOD DANIEL SBuy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-07-24WOOD DANIEL SSell11.21K$9.45105.91K
2026-07-24WOOD DANIEL SSell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-07-03Robinson TeriSell660——
2026-06-30Ryan SusanBuy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-06-30Ryan SusanSell11.64K$9.60111.75K
2026-06-30Ryan SusanSell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-06-26Gonel Charles E.Buy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-06-26Gonel Charles E.Sell11.10K$10.00110.95K
2026-06-26Gonel Charles E.Sell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-06-16Jackson NoelBuy7.00K$3.5324.71K
2026-06-16Jackson NoelSell7.00K$9.6367.41K
2026-06-16Jackson NoelSell7.00K$3.5324.71K
2026-04-27Schween StevenBuy30.00K$2.4774.10K
2026-04-27Schween StevenSell30.00K$2.4774.10K
2026-04-09Robinson TeriSell660——
2026-04-07Schween StevenBuy30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-04-07Schween StevenSell30.00K$3.53105.90K
2026-03-13WOOD DANIEL SSell20.00K$7.53150.60K
2026-02-18Carnahan Scott W.Other0——
2026-02-12Bharwani DeneshSell9.00K——
2026-01-07Robinson TeriSell660——
2025-12-04ROBERTS WILLIAM BSell100.00K$8.69869.00K
2025-09-22Grasso Louis MBuy20.00K$2.4749.40K
2025-09-22Grasso Louis MSell20.00K$2.4749.40K
2025-09-16Jackson NoelSell9.37K$2.4723.14K
2025-09-16Jackson NoelBuy9.37K$2.4723.14K
2025-09-16Jackson NoelSell9.37K$8.4979.58K
2025-09-16Reynoso LisetteBuy4.80K$3.8318.38K
2025-09-16Reynoso LisetteSell2.17K$8.4918.38K
2025-09-16Reynoso LisetteSell4.80K$3.8318.38K
2025-09-15ROBERTS WILLIAM BSell100.00K$8.62862.00K
2025-09-09TERRY CHRISBuy90.00K$8.19737.10K
2025-09-09Schween StevenBuy60.00K$8.19491.40K
2025-09-09Ryan SusanBuy60.00K$8.19491.40K
2025-09-09Robinson TeriBuy90.00K$8.19737.10K
2025-09-09RIEDL ROBERT EBuy120.00K$8.19982.80K
2025-09-09Reynoso LisetteBuy60.00K$8.19491.40K
2025-09-09Ralston Catrina MarieBuy60.00K$8.19491.40K
2025-09-09Lavin Michael T.Buy120.00K$8.19982.80K
2025-09-09Jackson NoelBuy60.00K$8.19491.40K
2025-09-09Gonel Charles E.Buy60.00K$8.19491.40K
2025-09-09BRADLEY CHARLES E JRBuy300.00K$8.192.46M
2025-09-09Bharwani DeneshBuy90.00K$8.19737.10K
2025-09-09Baumeister Michele LBuy60.00K$8.19491.40K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 65, holders +4 vs prior quarter. Ownership 45.51%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACK DIAMOND CAPITAL MANAGEMENT I, LLLP5.13M00.00%49.20M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.57M4.37K+0.28%15.07M
BLACKROCK, INC.656.33K21.74K+3.43%6.30M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC415.82K2.26K+0.55%3.99M
BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC395.61K00.00%3.80M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC339.96K-16.20K-4.55%3.26M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC225.93K7.45K+3.41%2.17M
STATE STREET CORP195.84K41+0.02%1.88M
EMPOWERED FUNDS, LLC151.76K00.00%1.46M
ALLIANZ ASSET MANAGEMENT GMBH90.40K-69.64K-43.51%867.40K
NORTHERN TRUST CORP84.82K2.22K+2.69%813.82K
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA82.38K1.39K+1.71%790.00K
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC73.68K00.00%706.96K
VERITY & VERITY, LLC65.74K-7.27K-9.95%630.79K
VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO62.09K5.72K+10.16%595.71K
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC61.75K6.16K+11.07%592.46K
JANNEY MONTGOMERY SCOTT LLC51.59K583+1.14%495.00K
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC27.92K3.99K+16.67%267.87K
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.27.92K27.92KNew267.87K
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC27.20K27.20KNew260.98K
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP23.02K00.00%220.90K
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC22.18K-13.46K-37.76%212.81K
ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP16.62K-4.07K-19.66%159.48K
RUSSELL INVESTMENTS GROUP, LTD.14.85K4.99K+50.59%142.52K
NUVEEN, LLC13.51K13.51KNew129.63K

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Consumer Portfolio Services (CPSS) Stock Insights

CPSS$9.83+0.28 +2.93%

$215.33M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History