Cerence (CRNC) Stock Insights
$383.55M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
CRNC price $8.48 +0.01 +0.12%
CRNC fair value $14.20. Price $8.48. Price is 40% below fair value.
Around fair value, and around its usual valuation.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 78.64M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 45.23M. Net debt 146.24M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-18 | — | 0.17 | — | 63.82M |
| 2026-08-06 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 69.59M | 70.06M |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 64.19M | 60.87M |
| 2026-02-04 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 115.08M | 114.50M |
| 2025-11-19 | 0.06 | -0.66 | 60.64M | 61.55M |
| 2025-08-06 | 0.09 | -0.34 | 62.24M | 55.30M |
| 2025-05-07 | 0.53 | 0.34 | 78.01M | 75.34M |
| 2025-02-06 | -0.03 | -0.27 | 50.90M | 49.08M |
| 2024-11-21 | -0.07 | -0.36 | 54.80M | 55.69M |
| 2024-08-08 | 0.19 | 0.05 | 70.54M | 48.04M |
| 2024-05-09 | -0.09 | -0.23 | 67.83M | 62.15M |
| 2024-02-06 | 1.12 | 0.90 | 138.34M | 131.13M |
| 2023-11-27 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 80.76M | 73.38M |
| 2023-08-08 | -0.04 | -0.15 | 61.66M | 73.93M |
| 2023-05-09 | -0.04 | -0.15 | 68.39M | 65.96M |
| 2023-02-08 | 0.36 | 0.09 | 83.66M | 76.62M |
| 2022-11-29 | -0.14 | -0.24 | 58.14M | 56.10M |
| 2022-08-09 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 89.04M | 91.73M |
| 2022-05-10 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 86.28M | 84.59M |
| 2022-02-07 | 0.59 | 0.51 | 94.43M | 95.07M |
| 2021-11-22 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 98.08M | 94.34M |
| 2021-08-09 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 96.80M | 95.96M |
| 2021-05-10 | 0.69 | 0.53 | 98.66M | 66.41M |
| 2021-02-08 | 0.59 | 0.51 | 94.96M | 80.07M |
| 2020-11-16 | 0.61 | 0.33 | 90.88M | 69.46M |
| 2020-08-04 | 0.31 | 0.08 | 74.81M | 16.89M |
| 2020-05-07 | 0.43 | 0.12 | 86.50M | 24.14M |
| 2020-02-11 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 77.46M | 74.79M |
| 2019-12-17 | 0.34 | 0.48 | 82.49M | 117.12M |
| 2019-09-09 | 0.01 | — | 70.30M | — |
| 2019-06-30 | 0.05 | — | 77.57M | — |
| 2018-12-31 | 0.06 | — | 72.48M | — |
| 2018-09-30 | 0.24 | — | 75.36M | — |
| 2018-06-30 | 0.18 | — | 72.18M | — |
| 2018-03-31 | 0.26 | — | 67.50M | — |
| 2017-12-31 | -0.52 | — | 61.95M | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Krzanich Brian M | Sell | 131.72K | $8.26 | 1.09M |
| 2026-10-07 | Rodriquez Antonio | Sell | 76.61K | $8.00 | 612.91K |
| 2026-10-07 | Krzanich Brian M | Sell | 21.70K | $8.00 | 173.62K |
| 2026-10-07 | Mentz Christian | Sell | 48.92K | $8.00 | 391.38K |
| 2026-10-07 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 66.15K | $8.00 | 529.22K |
| 2026-10-07 | Schanz Nils | Sell | 52.44K | $8.00 | 419.51K |
| 2026-08-10 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 26.00K | $8.83 | 229.51K |
| 2026-02-15 | Rodriquez Antonio | Buy | 2.00K | $7.02 | 14.04K |
| 2026-02-12 | Matus Kristi Ann | Buy | 12.97K | $0.01 | 130 |
| 2026-02-12 | Budnik Marianne | Buy | 12.97K | $0.01 | 130 |
| 2026-02-12 | DAVIS DOUGLAS LEE | Buy | 12.97K | $0.01 | 130 |
| 2026-02-12 | Klevorn Marcy S | Buy | 12.97K | $0.01 | 130 |
| 2026-02-12 | Harris Marion | Buy | 12.97K | $0.01 | 130 |
| 2026-01-09 | Krzanich Brian M | Buy | 263.34K | $12.35 | 3.25M |
| 2026-01-09 | Mentz Christian | Buy | 131.69K | $12.35 | 1.63M |
| 2026-01-09 | Schanz Nils | Buy | 87.80K | $12.35 | 1.08M |
| 2026-01-09 | Salinas Jennifer | Buy | 131.69K | $12.35 | 1.63M |
| 2026-01-09 | Rodriquez Antonio | Buy | 131.69K | $12.35 | 1.63M |
| 2025-11-21 | Krzanich Brian M | Buy | 552.77K | $10.35 | 5.72M |
| 2025-11-21 | Salinas Jennifer | Buy | 242.04K | $10.35 | 2.51M |
| 2025-11-21 | Rodriquez Antonio | Buy | 166.82K | $10.35 | 1.73M |
| 2025-11-21 | Mentz Christian | Buy | 49.91K | $10.35 | 516.52K |
| 2025-11-21 | Schanz Nils | Buy | 49.91K | $10.35 | 516.52K |
| 2025-10-09 | Krzanich Brian M | Sell | 132.07K | $11.46 | 1.51M |
| 2025-10-07 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 77.99K | $12.31 | 960.28K |
| 2025-10-06 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 64.78K | $12.76 | 826.47K |
| 2025-10-06 | Rodriquez Antonio | Sell | 38.35K | $12.76 | 489.20K |
| 2025-10-06 | Mentz Christian | Sell | 26.87K | $12.76 | 342.81K |
| 2025-10-06 | Schanz Nils | Sell | 30.56K | $12.76 | 389.86K |
| 2025-10-01 | Schanz Nils | Buy | 90.25K | $0.01 | 903 |
| 2025-08-15 | Rodriquez Antonio | Buy | 1.79K | $10.06 | 18.06K |
| 2025-08-14 | Mentz Christian | Sell | 4.00K | $12.74 | 50.94K |
| 2025-04-01 | Harris Marion | Buy | 14.21K | $0.01 | 142 |
| 2025-04-01 | Harris Marion | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-02-13 | Mentz Christian | Sell | 3.60K | $14.73 | 53.03K |
| 2025-02-13 | SARIN ARUN | Buy | 9.96K | $0.01 | 100 |
| 2025-02-13 | Klevorn Marcy S | Buy | 9.96K | $0.01 | 100 |
| 2025-02-13 | DAVIS DOUGLAS LEE | Buy | 9.96K | $0.01 | 100 |
| 2025-02-13 | Budnik Marianne | Buy | 9.96K | $0.01 | 100 |
| 2025-02-13 | Nietzel Alfred A | Buy | 9.96K | $0.01 | 100 |
| 2025-02-13 | Matus Kristi Ann | Buy | 9.96K | $0.01 | 100 |
| 2025-02-03 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $11.68 | 58.40K |
| 2025-01-13 | Mentz Christian | Buy | 93.72K | $13.76 | 1.29M |
| 2025-01-13 | Schanz Nils | Buy | 93.72K | $13.76 | 1.29M |
| 2025-01-06 | Mentz Christian | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-01-02 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $7.98 | 39.90K |
| 2024-12-06 | Rodriquez Antonio | Buy | 313.28K | $8.31 | 2.60M |
| 2024-12-02 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $7.36 | 36.80K |
| 2024-11-26 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 28.38K | $6.67 | 189.29K |
| 2024-11-25 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 12.09K | $7.21 | 87.15K |
| 2024-11-25 | Roman Katherine | Sell | 635 | $7.21 | 4.58K |
| 2024-11-25 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 8.98K | $7.21 | 64.72K |
| 2024-11-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $3.11 | 15.55K |
| 2024-10-11 | Krzanich Brian M | Buy | 1.04M | $0.01 | 10.38K |
| 2024-10-09 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 13.96K | $3.59 | 50.10K |
| 2024-10-09 | Schanz Nils | Sell | 16.41K | $3.59 | 58.92K |
| 2024-10-07 | Krzanich Brian M | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-10-07 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 11.40K | $2.89 | 32.95K |
| 2024-10-07 | Roman Katherine | Buy | 1.60K | $2.28 | 3.66K |
| 2024-10-07 | Roman Katherine | Sell | 2.23K | $2.89 | 6.43K |
| 2024-10-07 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 6.17K | $2.89 | 17.84K |
| 2024-10-07 | Schanz Nils | Sell | 15.85K | $2.89 | 45.80K |
| 2024-10-01 | Salinas Jennifer | Buy | 454.55K | $0.01 | 4.55K |
| 2024-10-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $3.13 | 15.65K |
| 2024-09-03 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $3.34 | 16.70K |
| 2024-08-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $3.15 | 15.75K |
| 2024-07-05 | Schanz Nils | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-07-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $2.81 | 14.05K |
| 2024-06-24 | Ortmanns Stefan | Sell | 9.54K | $3.29 | 31.43K |
| 2024-06-12 | Salinas Jennifer | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-06-11 | Rodriquez Antonio | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-06-03 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $3.47 | 17.35K |
| 2024-05-29 | Roman Katherine | Sell | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-05-22 | Ortmanns Stefan | Sell | 5.25K | $3.87 | 20.31K |
| 2024-05-07 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.46K | $9.69 | 52.95K |
| 2024-05-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $9.03 | 45.15K |
| 2024-04-22 | Ortmanns Stefan | Sell | 10.76K | $10.04 | 108.05K |
| 2024-04-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 3.77K | $15.35 | 57.81K |
| 2024-04-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 1.23K | $15.34 | 18.93K |
| 2024-03-22 | Ortmanns Stefan | Sell | 15.39K | $14.82 | 228.04K |
| 2024-03-21 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.00K | $14.99 | 74.93K |
| 2024-03-18 | Tempesta Daniel David | Buy | 205.20K | $0.01 | 2.05K |
| 2024-03-18 | Tempesta Daniel David | Buy | 102.60K | $0.01 | 1.03K |
| 2024-03-18 | Tempesta Daniel David | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-03-14 | Ortmanns Stefan | Sell | 21.45K | $14.73 | 315.99K |
| 2024-02-15 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Buy | 1.00K | $13.58 | 13.65K |
| 2024-02-15 | Klevorn Marcy S | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-02-15 | Nietzel Alfred A | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-02-15 | Matus Kristi Ann | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-02-15 | JHA SANJAY K | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-02-15 | DAVIS DOUGLAS LEE | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-02-15 | Budnik Marianne | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-02-15 | SARIN ARUN | Buy | 7.20K | $0.01 | 72 |
| 2024-01-12 | Ortmanns Stefan | Sell | 11.94K | $19.26 | 230.00K |
| 2024-01-09 | Arshad Iqbal | Sell | 5.19K | $18.79 | 97.48K |
| 2024-01-09 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Sell | 5.18K | $18.79 | 97.43K |
| 2023-12-04 | Arshad Iqbal | Buy | 86.91K | $0.01 | 869 |
| 2023-12-01 | BEAUDOIN THOMAS L | Buy | 15.73K | $0.01 | 157 |
| 2023-12-01 | Ortmanns Stefan | Buy | 25.39K | $0.01 | 254 |
| 2023-12-01 | Arshad Iqbal | Buy | 15.77K | $0.01 | 158 |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 211, holders +3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 83.31%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.54M | 373.02K | +8.94% | 51.43M |
| PARADIGM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC/NY | 2.51M | 4.72K | +0.19% | 28.44M |
| AMERICAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 2.41M | -111.89K | -4.44% | 27.25M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.84M | 32.48K | +1.80% | 20.81M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.65M | 215.51K | +15.04% | 18.66M |
| NO STREET GP LP | 1.52M | 0 | 0.00% | 17.26M |
| ONE FIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 1.43M | 129.98K | +10.00% | 16.19M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.41M | 51.79K | +3.83% | 15.91M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.34M | 251.65K | +23.07% | 15.19M |
| FEDERATED HERMES, INC. | 1.28M | 43.15K | +3.49% | 14.49M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.25M | -107.70K | -7.95% | 14.13M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.17M | 86.34K | +7.94% | 13.29M |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.17M | 275.69K | +30.91% | 12.79M |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 807.77K | -354.01K | -30.47% | 9.14M |
| CONNOR, CLARK & LUNN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD. | 777.20K | -318.26K | -29.05% | 8.80M |
| ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 772.32K | 89.77K | +13.15% | 8.74M |
| NUVEEN, LLC | 731.40K | -13.67K | -1.83% | 8.28M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 716.67K | 313.29K | +77.67% | 8.11M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 545.19K | -500.02K | -47.84% | 6.17M |
| MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP | 521.33K | 10.40K | +2.04% | 5.90M |
| MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD. | 388.88K | 14.22K | +3.80% | 4.40M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 380.62K | 29.93K | +8.53% | 4.31M |
| TREXQUANT INVESTMENT LP | 371.83K | -163.21K | -30.50% | 4.21M |
| CONCURRENT INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC | 343.02K | 248.25K | +261.95% | 3.88M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 319.00K | 256.28K | +408.63% | 3.61M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$383.55M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score