Cerence (CRNC) Stock Insights

CRNC price $8.48 +0.01 +0.12%

Ticker
CRNC
Price
$8.48
Change
+0.01 +0.12%
Market cap ?
$383.55M
Beta ?
3.05
Sector
Technology
Industry
Software - Application

Fair value

CRNC fair value $14.20. Price $8.48. Price is 40% below fair value.

Around fair value, and around its usual valuation.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 78.64M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 2.0). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 45.23M. Net debt 146.24M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare CRNC

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-11-18—0.17—63.82M
2026-08-060.150.2069.59M70.06M
2026-05-070.150.1464.19M60.87M
2026-02-040.170.12115.08M114.50M
2025-11-190.06-0.6660.64M61.55M
2025-08-060.09-0.3462.24M55.30M
2025-05-070.530.3478.01M75.34M
2025-02-06-0.03-0.2750.90M49.08M
2024-11-21-0.07-0.3654.80M55.69M
2024-08-080.190.0570.54M48.04M
2024-05-09-0.09-0.2367.83M62.15M
2024-02-061.120.90138.34M131.13M
2023-11-270.090.1380.76M73.38M
2023-08-08-0.04-0.1561.66M73.93M
2023-05-09-0.04-0.1568.39M65.96M
2023-02-080.360.0983.66M76.62M
2022-11-29-0.14-0.2458.14M56.10M
2022-08-090.430.4289.04M91.73M
2022-05-100.330.3386.28M84.59M
2022-02-070.590.5194.43M95.07M
2021-11-220.660.5598.08M94.34M
2021-08-090.620.5396.80M95.96M
2021-05-100.690.5398.66M66.41M
2021-02-080.590.5194.96M80.07M
2020-11-160.610.3390.88M69.46M
2020-08-040.310.0874.81M16.89M
2020-05-070.430.1286.50M24.14M
2020-02-110.290.2477.46M74.79M
2019-12-170.340.4882.49M117.12M
2019-09-090.01—70.30M—
2019-06-300.05—77.57M—
2018-12-310.06—72.48M—
2018-09-300.24—75.36M—
2018-06-300.18—72.18M—
2018-03-310.26—67.50M—
2017-12-31-0.52—61.95M—

Dividends

Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.

Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
No data yet.

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-09Krzanich Brian MSell131.72K$8.261.09M
2026-10-07Rodriquez AntonioSell76.61K$8.00612.91K
2026-10-07Krzanich Brian MSell21.70K$8.00173.62K
2026-10-07Mentz ChristianSell48.92K$8.00391.38K
2026-10-07Salinas JenniferSell66.15K$8.00529.22K
2026-10-07Schanz NilsSell52.44K$8.00419.51K
2026-08-10Salinas JenniferSell26.00K$8.83229.51K
2026-02-15Rodriquez AntonioBuy2.00K$7.0214.04K
2026-02-12Matus Kristi AnnBuy12.97K$0.01130
2026-02-12Budnik MarianneBuy12.97K$0.01130
2026-02-12DAVIS DOUGLAS LEEBuy12.97K$0.01130
2026-02-12Klevorn Marcy SBuy12.97K$0.01130
2026-02-12Harris MarionBuy12.97K$0.01130
2026-01-09Krzanich Brian MBuy263.34K$12.353.25M
2026-01-09Mentz ChristianBuy131.69K$12.351.63M
2026-01-09Schanz NilsBuy87.80K$12.351.08M
2026-01-09Salinas JenniferBuy131.69K$12.351.63M
2026-01-09Rodriquez AntonioBuy131.69K$12.351.63M
2025-11-21Krzanich Brian MBuy552.77K$10.355.72M
2025-11-21Salinas JenniferBuy242.04K$10.352.51M
2025-11-21Rodriquez AntonioBuy166.82K$10.351.73M
2025-11-21Mentz ChristianBuy49.91K$10.35516.52K
2025-11-21Schanz NilsBuy49.91K$10.35516.52K
2025-10-09Krzanich Brian MSell132.07K$11.461.51M
2025-10-07Salinas JenniferSell77.99K$12.31960.28K
2025-10-06Salinas JenniferSell64.78K$12.76826.47K
2025-10-06Rodriquez AntonioSell38.35K$12.76489.20K
2025-10-06Mentz ChristianSell26.87K$12.76342.81K
2025-10-06Schanz NilsSell30.56K$12.76389.86K
2025-10-01Schanz NilsBuy90.25K$0.01903
2025-08-15Rodriquez AntonioBuy1.79K$10.0618.06K
2025-08-14Mentz ChristianSell4.00K$12.7450.94K
2025-04-01Harris MarionBuy14.21K$0.01142
2025-04-01Harris MarionOther0——
2025-02-13Mentz ChristianSell3.60K$14.7353.03K
2025-02-13SARIN ARUNBuy9.96K$0.01100
2025-02-13Klevorn Marcy SBuy9.96K$0.01100
2025-02-13DAVIS DOUGLAS LEEBuy9.96K$0.01100
2025-02-13Budnik MarianneBuy9.96K$0.01100
2025-02-13Nietzel Alfred ABuy9.96K$0.01100
2025-02-13Matus Kristi AnnBuy9.96K$0.01100
2025-02-03BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$11.6858.40K
2025-01-13Mentz ChristianBuy93.72K$13.761.29M
2025-01-13Schanz NilsBuy93.72K$13.761.29M
2025-01-06Mentz ChristianOther0——
2025-01-02BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$7.9839.90K
2024-12-06Rodriquez AntonioBuy313.28K$8.312.60M
2024-12-02BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$7.3636.80K
2024-11-26Salinas JenniferSell28.38K$6.67189.29K
2024-11-25BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell12.09K$7.2187.15K
2024-11-25Roman KatherineSell635$7.214.58K
2024-11-25Salinas JenniferSell8.98K$7.2164.72K
2024-11-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$3.1115.55K
2024-10-11Krzanich Brian MBuy1.04M$0.0110.38K
2024-10-09Salinas JenniferSell13.96K$3.5950.10K
2024-10-09Schanz NilsSell16.41K$3.5958.92K
2024-10-07Krzanich Brian MOther0——
2024-10-07BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell11.40K$2.8932.95K
2024-10-07Roman KatherineBuy1.60K$2.283.66K
2024-10-07Roman KatherineSell2.23K$2.896.43K
2024-10-07Salinas JenniferSell6.17K$2.8917.84K
2024-10-07Schanz NilsSell15.85K$2.8945.80K
2024-10-01Salinas JenniferBuy454.55K$0.014.55K
2024-10-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$3.1315.65K
2024-09-03BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$3.3416.70K
2024-08-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$3.1515.75K
2024-07-05Schanz NilsSell0——
2024-07-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$2.8114.05K
2024-06-24Ortmanns StefanSell9.54K$3.2931.43K
2024-06-12Salinas JenniferSell0——
2024-06-11Rodriquez AntonioOther0——
2024-06-03BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$3.4717.35K
2024-05-29Roman KatherineSell0——
2024-05-22Ortmanns StefanSell5.25K$3.8720.31K
2024-05-07BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.46K$9.6952.95K
2024-05-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$9.0345.15K
2024-04-22Ortmanns StefanSell10.76K$10.04108.05K
2024-04-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell3.77K$15.3557.81K
2024-04-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell1.23K$15.3418.93K
2024-03-22Ortmanns StefanSell15.39K$14.82228.04K
2024-03-21BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.00K$14.9974.93K
2024-03-18Tempesta Daniel DavidBuy205.20K$0.012.05K
2024-03-18Tempesta Daniel DavidBuy102.60K$0.011.03K
2024-03-18Tempesta Daniel DavidOther0——
2024-03-14Ortmanns StefanSell21.45K$14.73315.99K
2024-02-15BEAUDOIN THOMAS LBuy1.00K$13.5813.65K
2024-02-15Klevorn Marcy SBuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-02-15Nietzel Alfred ABuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-02-15Matus Kristi AnnBuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-02-15JHA SANJAY KBuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-02-15DAVIS DOUGLAS LEEBuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-02-15Budnik MarianneBuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-02-15SARIN ARUNBuy7.20K$0.0172
2024-01-12Ortmanns StefanSell11.94K$19.26230.00K
2024-01-09Arshad IqbalSell5.19K$18.7997.48K
2024-01-09BEAUDOIN THOMAS LSell5.18K$18.7997.43K
2023-12-04Arshad IqbalBuy86.91K$0.01869
2023-12-01BEAUDOIN THOMAS LBuy15.73K$0.01157
2023-12-01Ortmanns StefanBuy25.39K$0.01254
2023-12-01Arshad IqbalBuy15.77K$0.01158

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 211, holders +3 vs prior quarter. Ownership 83.31%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.4.54M373.02K+8.94%51.43M
PARADIGM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC/NY2.51M4.72K+0.19%28.44M
AMERICAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC2.41M-111.89K-4.44%27.25M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.84M32.48K+1.80%20.81M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.65M215.51K+15.04%18.66M
NO STREET GP LP1.52M00.00%17.26M
ONE FIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP1.43M129.98K+10.00%16.19M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.41M51.79K+3.83%15.91M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC1.34M251.65K+23.07%15.19M
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.1.28M43.15K+3.49%14.49M
STATE STREET CORP1.25M-107.70K-7.95%14.13M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.17M86.34K+7.94%13.29M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.17M275.69K+30.91%12.79M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP807.77K-354.01K-30.47%9.14M
CONNOR, CLARK & LUNN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD.777.20K-318.26K-29.05%8.80M
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC772.32K89.77K+13.15%8.74M
NUVEEN, LLC731.40K-13.67K-1.83%8.28M
MORGAN STANLEY716.67K313.29K+77.67%8.11M
MARSHALL WACE, LLP545.19K-500.02K-47.84%6.17M
MACKENZIE FINANCIAL CORP521.33K10.40K+2.04%5.90M
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS LTD.388.88K14.22K+3.80%4.40M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP380.62K29.93K+8.53%4.31M
TREXQUANT INVESTMENT LP371.83K-163.21K-30.50%4.21M
CONCURRENT INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC343.02K248.25K+261.95%3.88M
CITADEL ADVISORS LLC319.00K256.28K+408.63%3.61M

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Cerence (CRNC) Stock Insights

CRNC$8.48+0.01 +0.12%

$383.55M

Market Cap

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P/E

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Forward P/E

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Score

Price History