DAVE Fair Value & DCF
DAVE fair value $553.54. Price $273.85. Price is 51% below fair value.
Worked example
Cash-flow value. Starting free cash flow is $12.81 a share. Year 1 is the first earnings forecast, so it has no growth rate of its own. The forecast then reaches 46.45%, and that pace fades in a straight line to 3% terminal growth by year 10. The discount rate is 12.00% (beta 2.00, capped at 12%). It is beta-adjusted and capped at 12%. The cash-flow value is $532.66 a share.
Earnings value. Next-twelve-months earnings per share of $19.15 times 30.00 is $574.41. The peer group is Software - Application, 26 companies worth at least $10 billion. This stock has no 10-year median P/E, so the peer median of 33.3 is kept between 8 and 30, which is 30.00.
Fair value is the average of the two, $553.54. The price is $273.85, which is 50.5% below fair value.