Diageo (DEO) Stock Price & Analysis
DEO$90.76-1.20 -1.30%
$50.48B
Market Cap
30.37
P/E
18.19
Forward P/E
52
Score
Diageo (DEO) Stock Price & Analysis
DEO price $90.76 -1.20 -1.30%
- Ticker
- DEO
- Price
- $90.76
- Change
- -1.20 -1.30%
- Market cap ?
- $50.48B
- P/E ?
- 30.37
- Forward P/E ?
- 18.19
- Dividend yield ?
- 2.10%
- Beta ?
- 0.31
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Beverages - Alcoholic
- Stocklytics score
- 52
- Value
- 64
- Quality
- 64
- Growth
- 29
Stocklytics score rationale: value 64, quality 64, growth 29.
Financials
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12050000000 | 12163000000 | 12867000000 | 11752000000 | 12733000000 | 16960987519 | 16226939000 | 20269000000 | 20245000000 | 19603627000 |
Diageo plc, operating through its various subsidiaries, stands as a major global player in the production, marketing, and distribution of alcoholic beverages. The company boasts an extensive product range, featuring a wide selection of spirits such as Scotch, diverse whiskies (including Canadian and American varieties), gin, vodka, rum, tequila, cachaça, brandy, raki, and liqueurs. Beyond spirits, their offerings…
Fair value
DEO fair value $200.59. Price $90.76. Price is 55% below fair value.
Below fair value, around its usual discount.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 6.79B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 556.15M. Net debt 20.68B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-28 | — | 3.95 | — | 10.27B |
| 2026-08-06 | 2.80 | 2.55 | 9.18B | 9.15B |
| 2026-02-25 | 3.80 | 3.67 | 10.46B | 10.53B |
| 2025-08-05 | 2.64 | 2.48 | 9.34B | 9.33B |
| 2025-02-04 | 3.91 | 4.25 | 10.90B | 10.75B |
| 2024-07-30 | 2.84 | 2.85 | 9.31B | 9.19B |
| 2024-01-30 | 4.31 | 4.43 | 10.96B | 10.80B |
| 2023-08-01 | 3.32 | 3.35 | 9.71B | 10.03B |
| 2023-01-26 | 4.86 | 4.86 | 11.64B | 11.19B |
| 2022-07-28 | 3.19 | 2.72 | 9.09B | 8.25B |
| 2022-01-27 | 4.57 | 4.49 | 10.66B | 10.48B |
| 2021-07-29 | 2.66 | 2.59 | 8.19B | 7.93B |
| 2021-01-28 | 3.70 | 3.55 | 9.43B | 8.69B |
| 2020-08-04 | 1.52 | 1.66 | 5.89B | 5.63B |
| 2020-01-30 | 4.20 | 4.23 | 9.43B | 9.41B |
| 2018-06-30 | 1.52 | — | 5.63B | — |
| 2016-06-30 | 0.68 | — | 4.88B | — |
| 2015-06-30 | 1.72 | — | 4.91B | — |
| 2014-06-30 | 0.88 | — | 4.33B | — |
| 2013-12-31 | 1.36 | — | 2.16B | — |
| 2006-12-31 | 1.08 | — | 3.74B | — |
| 2004-12-31 | 1.60 | — | 3.34B | — |
| 2003-06-30 | 0.56 | — | 4.72B | — |
| 2002-12-31 | -0.76 | — | 4.72B | — |
Dividends
Yield 2.20%. Payout ratio 105.38%. Frequency Semi-Annual.
Safety score 75/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 105% of earnings, above what earnings cover. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 34 separate years. Yield is 2.2%, in a range that is usually sustainable.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | $1.20 | 2026-10-16 | 2026-12-03 | Semi-Annual |
| 2026-04-17 | $0.80 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-06-04 | Semi-Annual |
| 2025-10-17 | $2.52 | 2025-10-17 | 2025-12-04 | Semi-Annual |
| 2025-02-28 | $1.62 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-04-24 | Semi-Annual |
| 2024-08-30 | $2.52 | 2024-08-30 | 2024-10-17 | Semi-Annual |
| 2024-02-29 | $1.62 | 2024-03-01 | 2024-04-17 | Semi-Annual |
| 2023-08-24 | $2.51 | 2023-08-25 | 2023-10-17 | Semi-Annual |
| 2023-03-02 | $1.53 | 2023-03-03 | 2023-04-18 | Semi-Annual |
| 2022-08-25 | $2.28 | 2022-08-26 | 2022-10-25 | Semi-Annual |
| 2022-02-24 | $1.57 | 2022-02-25 | 2022-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2021-08-26 | $2.48 | 2021-08-27 | 2021-10-13 | Semi-Annual |
| 2021-02-25 | $1.53 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-04-13 | Semi-Annual |
| 2020-08-13 | $2.21 | 2020-08-14 | 2020-10-14 | Semi-Annual |
| 2020-02-27 | $1.44 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-04-14 | Semi-Annual |
| 2019-08-08 | $2.12 | 2019-08-09 | 2019-10-08 | Semi-Annual |
| 2019-02-28 | $1.37 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-04-16 | Semi-Annual |
| 2018-08-09 | $2.13 | 2018-08-10 | 2018-10-10 | Semi-Annual |
| 2018-02-22 | $1.42 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-04-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2017-08-09 | $2.03 | 2017-08-11 | 2017-10-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2017-02-22 | $1.19 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-04-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2016-08-10 | $1.93 | 2016-08-12 | 2016-10-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2016-02-24 | $1.27 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2015-08-12 | $2.18 | 2015-08-14 | 2015-10-14 | Semi-Annual |
| 2015-02-25 | $1.30 | 2015-02-27 | 2015-04-10 | Semi-Annual |
| 2014-09-19 | $2.16 | 2014-08-15 | 2014-10-07 | Semi-Annual |
| 2014-02-26 | $1.30 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-04-10 | Semi-Annual |
| 2013-08-14 | $1.79 | 2013-08-16 | 2013-10-08 | Semi-Annual |
| 2013-02-27 | $1.13 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2012-09-05 | $1.71 | 2012-09-07 | 2012-10-26 | Semi-Annual |
| 2012-02-29 | $1.05 | 2012-03-02 | 2012-04-13 | Semi-Annual |
| 2011-09-07 | $1.63 | 2011-09-09 | 2011-10-28 | Semi-Annual |
| 2011-03-02 | $1.00 | 2011-03-04 | 2011-04-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2010-09-08 | $1.46 | 2010-09-10 | 2010-10-25 | Semi-Annual |
| 2010-03-03 | $0.92 | 2010-03-05 | 2010-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2009-09-09 | $1.45 | 2009-09-11 | 2009-10-23 | Semi-Annual |
| 2009-03-04 | $0.79 | 2009-03-06 | 2009-04-14 | Semi-Annual |
| 2008-09-10 | $1.55 | 2008-09-12 | 2008-10-24 | Semi-Annual |
| 2008-03-05 | $1.03 | 2008-03-07 | 2008-04-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2007-09-12 | $1.62 | 2007-09-14 | 2007-10-26 | Semi-Annual |
| 2007-03-07 | $0.98 | 2007-03-09 | 2007-04-16 | Semi-Annual |
| 2006-09-13 | $1.46 | 2006-09-15 | 2006-10-30 | Semi-Annual |
| 2006-03-08 | $0.83 | 2006-03-10 | 2006-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2005-09-14 | $1.34 | 2005-09-16 | 2005-10-28 | Semi-Annual |
| 2005-03-02 | $0.86 | 2005-03-04 | 2005-04-12 | Semi-Annual |
| 2004-09-15 | $1.22 | 2004-09-17 | 2004-10-29 | Semi-Annual |
| 2004-03-03 | $0.80 | 2004-03-05 | 2004-04-13 | Semi-Annual |
| 2003-09-17 | $0.99 | 2003-09-19 | 2003-10-31 | Semi-Annual |
| 2003-03-05 | $0.70 | 2003-03-07 | 2003-04-11 | Semi-Annual |
| 2002-09-18 | $1.01 | 2002-09-20 | 2002-11-08 | Semi-Annual |
| 2002-03-06 | $0.59 | 2002-03-08 | 2002-05-02 | Semi-Annual |
| 2001-09-19 | $0.87 | 2001-09-21 | 2001-11-15 | Semi-Annual |
| 2001-03-07 | $0.57 | 2001-03-09 | 2001-04-27 | Semi-Annual |
| 2000-10-11 | $0.80 | 2000-10-13 | 2000-11-27 | Semi-Annual |
| 2000-03-08 | $0.60 | 2000-03-10 | 2000-04-20 | Semi-Annual |
| 1999-10-06 | $0.83 | 1999-10-08 | 1999-11-19 | Semi-Annual |
| 1999-03-24 | $0.56 | 1999-03-26 | 1999-05-07 | Semi-Annual |
| 1998-10-07 | $0.74 | 1998-10-09 | 1998-12-04 | Semi-Annual |
| 1998-04-01 | $0.83 | 1998-04-03 | 1998-05-01 | Semi-Annual |
| 1998-02-16 | $4.62 | 1998-02-13 | — | Annual |
| 1995-01-20 | $0.70 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1994-07-18 | $0.41 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1994-01-24 | $0.60 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1993-08-02 | $0.36 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1993-01-15 | $0.60 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1992-08-03 | $0.42 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1992-01-17 | $0.67 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1991-08-05 | $0.39 | — | — | Semi-Annual |
| 1991-04-15 | $1.20 | — | — | Irregular |
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | |||||
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 750, holders -23 vs prior quarter. Ownership 10.18%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMR LLC | 7.58M | 599.84K | +8.59% | 609.67M |
| ORBIS ALLAN GRAY LTD | 4.78M | 1.08M | +29.12% | 384.03M |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ | 2.92M | 1.49K | +0.05% | 234.32M |
| EQUITY INVESTMENT CORP | 1.67M | 199.28K | +13.57% | 134.03M |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 1.64M | 271.76K | +19.80% | 132.42M |
| FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC | 1.56M | 206.26K | +15.29% | 125.33M |
| MARKEL GROUP INC. | 1.37M | 0 | 0.00% | 110.30M |
| BROOKFIELD CORP /ON/ | 1.20M | 901.56K | +301.34% | 96.52M |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1.05M | 69.78K | +7.11% | 84.53M |
| BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/ | 1.02M | -427.47K | -29.55% | 81.92M |
| CULLEN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.02M | 54.09K | +5.61% | 81.85M |
| ENVESTNET ASSET MANAGEMENT INC | 951.70K | -60.04K | -5.93% | 76.50M |
| CAUSEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 899.01K | 232.70K | +34.92% | 72.26M |
| WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN | 825.14K | -47.27K | -5.42% | 66.32M |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 824.71K | 21.94K | +2.73% | 66.29M |
| CONFLUENCE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 776.94K | -576.50K | -42.60% | 62.45M |
| RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INC | 737.21K | -50.96K | -6.47% | 59.26M |
| BRANDES INVESTMENT PARTNERS, LP | 680.97K | 179.00K | +35.66% | 54.74M |
| GABELLI FUNDS LLC | 679.55K | 19.73K | +2.99% | 54.62M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 666.89K | -484.08K | -42.06% | 53.60M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 620.02K | 34.81K | +5.95% | 49.84M |
| PARTNERS VALUE INVESTMENTS L.P. | 609.15K | 609.15K | New | 48.96M |
| ABC ARBITRAGE SA | 584.31K | 77.47K | +15.29% | 46.97M |
| FIRST EAGLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 554.15K | 394.96K | +248.10% | 44.54M |
| BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS | 548.91K | -12.87K | -2.29% | 44.12M |
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