Evolus (EOLS) Stock Insights
$504.29M
Market Cap
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P/E
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Forward P/E
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Score
EOLS price $7.63 +0.27 +3.60%
EOLS fair value $12.27. Price $7.63. Price is 38% below fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 54.09M. Growth 12.45%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 11.67% (beta 1.3). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 66.05M. Net debt 101.17M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | — | -0.05 | — | 77.58M |
| 2026-08-05 | 0.01 | -0.03 | 84.08M | 81.55M |
| 2026-05-04 | -0.10 | -0.14 | 73.14M | 72.52M |
| 2026-03-03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 90.30M | 89.53M |
| 2025-11-05 | -0.14 | -0.19 | 68.97M | 89.61M |
| 2025-08-05 | -0.24 | -0.09 | 69.39M | 85.31M |
| 2025-05-07 | -0.18 | -0.10 | 68.07M | 82.33M |
| 2025-03-04 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 78.95M | 79.00M |
| 2024-11-06 | -0.19 | -0.08 | 61.09M | 76.98M |
| 2024-07-31 | -0.07 | -0.04 | 66.91M | 64.93M |
| 2024-05-07 | -0.13 | -0.15 | 59.33M | 57.27M |
| 2024-03-07 | -0.14 | -0.07 | 61.00M | 60.06M |
| 2023-11-07 | -0.19 | -0.22 | 49.32M | 56.80M |
| 2023-08-02 | -0.22 | -0.22 | 49.35M | 44.41M |
| 2023-05-09 | -0.17 | -0.13 | 41.72M | 40.69M |
| 2023-03-08 | -0.16 | -0.14 | 43.65M | 43.79M |
| 2022-11-08 | -0.32 | -0.27 | 33.90M | 36.00M |
| 2022-08-02 | -0.38 | -0.24 | 37.16M | 36.60M |
| 2022-05-10 | -0.27 | -0.41 | 33.91M | 29.83M |
| 2022-03-03 | -0.29 | -0.20 | 34.66M | 34.76M |
| 2021-11-02 | -0.26 | -0.32 | 26.68M | 25.98M |
| 2021-08-04 | -0.27 | -0.24 | 26.10M | 26.10M |
| 2021-05-12 | 0.19 | -0.50 | 12.24M | 19.22M |
| 2021-03-24 | -0.73 | -0.22 | 20.58M | — |
| 2020-10-29 | -0.27 | -0.35 | 17.66M | — |
| 2020-08-10 | -0.63 | -0.84 | 7.81M | 12.71M |
| 2020-05-11 | -0.59 | -0.60 | 10.50M | 8.26M |
| 2020-02-25 | -0.47 | -0.73 | 19.45M | 30.20M |
| 2019-11-04 | -0.98 | -1.19 | 13.17M | 19.08M |
| 2019-08-12 | -1.37 | -0.96 | 2.31M | 1.64M |
| 2019-04-30 | -0.93 | -0.82 | — | — |
| 2019-03-18 | -0.46 | -0.53 | — | — |
| 2018-11-05 | -0.48 | -0.51 | — | — |
| 2018-08-02 | -0.34 | -0.29 | — | — |
| 2018-05-10 | -0.30 | -0.36 | — | — |
| 2018-03-29 | -0.28 | -0.30 | — | — |
| 2018-02-09 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| 2017-06-30 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| 2017-03-31 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| 2016-12-31 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 105.11K | $9.04 | 950.02K |
| 2026-03-20 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 3.12K | $4.75 | 14.82K |
| 2026-03-20 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 13.67K | $4.75 | 64.93K |
| 2026-03-17 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 116.72K | $4.89 | 570.56K |
| 2026-03-17 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 30.00K | $4.89 | 146.63K |
| 2026-03-16 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 67.49K | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 67.49K | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 8.80K | — | — |
| 2026-03-16 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 8.80K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Parschauer Karah Herdman | Buy | 45.56K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Stewart Brady | Buy | 45.56K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Mitchell Tatjana | Buy | 121.49K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Mitchell Tatjana | Buy | 177.47K | $4.39 | 779.10K |
| 2026-02-17 | Mitchell Tatjana | Buy | 121.49K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | White Albert G III | Buy | 45.56K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 313.21K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 626.42K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 457.54K | $4.39 | 2.01M |
| 2026-02-17 | Malik Vikram | Buy | 45.56K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 94.91K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 138.65K | $4.39 | 608.67K |
| 2026-02-17 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 94.91K | — | — |
| 2026-02-17 | GILL DAVID N | Buy | 45.56K | — | — |
| 2025-12-22 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 10.54K | $7.15 | 75.36K |
| 2025-12-22 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 2.26K | $7.15 | 16.17K |
| 2025-09-08 | Mitchell Tatjana | Buy | 143.40K | $7.61 | 1.09M |
| 2025-09-08 | Mitchell Tatjana | Buy | 104.60K | — | — |
| 2025-09-08 | Mitchell Tatjana | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2025-08-22 | Yamagishi-Dressler Tomoko | Sell | 5.72K | $7.51 | 42.97K |
| 2025-08-15 | Stewart Brady | Buy | 30.00K | $6.82 | 204.49K |
| 2025-06-16 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 16.58K | $9.89 | 164.05K |
| 2025-06-13 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 111.32K | $10.05 | 1.12M |
| 2025-06-09 | White Albert G III | Buy | 20.00K | $9.45 | 189.00K |
| 2025-05-13 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 6.49K | $10.02 | 65.07K |
| 2025-05-12 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 3.38K | $9.87 | 33.40K |
| 2025-05-12 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 15.79K | $9.87 | 155.76K |
| 2025-03-27 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 6.25K | $12.40 | 77.51K |
| 2025-03-18 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 27.90K | $13.26 | 369.87K |
| 2025-03-18 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 9.00K | $13.26 | 119.24K |
| 2025-03-18 | Yamagishi-Dressler Tomoko | Sell | 4.54K | $13.26 | 60.12K |
| 2025-03-18 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 103.38K | $13.26 | 1.37M |
| 2025-03-12 | Parschauer Karah Herdman | Sell | 12.89K | $12.99 | 167.47K |
| 2025-03-07 | Yamagishi-Dressler Tomoko | Buy | 17.83K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Yamagishi-Dressler Tomoko | Buy | 25.41K | $13.58 | 345.03K |
| 2025-03-07 | Yamagishi-Dressler Tomoko | Buy | 17.83K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Beaver Sandra | Buy | 35.66K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Beaver Sandra | Buy | 50.81K | $13.58 | 690.04K |
| 2025-03-07 | Beaver Sandra | Buy | 35.66K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 95.40K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 190.80K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 135.93K | $13.58 | 1.85M |
| 2025-03-07 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 23.78K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 33.88K | $13.58 | 460.02K |
| 2025-03-07 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 23.78K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | BLANK SIMONE | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | BLANK SIMONE | Buy | 11.15K | $13.58 | 151.36K |
| 2025-03-07 | GILL DAVID N | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | GILL DAVID N | Buy | 11.15K | $13.58 | 151.36K |
| 2025-03-07 | Stewart Brady | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Stewart Brady | Buy | 11.15K | $13.58 | 151.36K |
| 2025-03-07 | White Albert G III | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | White Albert G III | Buy | 11.15K | $13.58 | 151.36K |
| 2025-03-07 | Malik Vikram | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Malik Vikram | Buy | 11.15K | $13.58 | 151.36K |
| 2025-03-07 | Parschauer Karah Herdman | Buy | 7.36K | — | — |
| 2025-03-07 | Parschauer Karah Herdman | Buy | 11.15K | $13.58 | 151.36K |
| 2024-12-23 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 2.25K | $10.85 | 24.44K |
| 2024-12-23 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 1.59K | $10.85 | 17.21K |
| 2024-12-23 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 10.50K | $10.85 | 113.97K |
| 2024-09-06 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 3.28K | $14.98 | 49.07K |
| 2024-08-30 | Yamagishi-Dressler Tomoko | Sell | 5.63K | $15.85 | 89.25K |
| 2024-07-01 | White Albert G III | Buy | 23.01K | — | — |
| 2024-07-01 | White Albert G III | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2024-06-06 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 175.94K | $7.28 | 1.28M |
| 2024-06-06 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 175.94K | $7.28 | 1.28M |
| 2024-06-06 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 175.94K | $12.59 | 2.21M |
| 2024-06-05 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 155.28K | $5.46 | 847.82K |
| 2024-06-05 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 155.28K | $12.92 | 2.01M |
| 2024-06-05 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 155.28K | $5.46 | 847.82K |
| 2024-06-04 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 140.21K | $12.73 | 1.78M |
| 2024-06-03 | Malik Vikram | Sell | 7.50K | $12.96 | 97.20K |
| 2024-05-14 | GILL DAVID N | Sell | 6.72K | $12.60 | 84.65K |
| 2024-05-13 | GILL DAVID N | Sell | 3.64K | $12.72 | 46.36K |
| 2024-05-13 | Malik Vikram | Sell | 28.00K | $12.93 | 362.01K |
| 2024-05-10 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 16.05K | $12.72 | 204.13K |
| 2024-05-10 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 3.44K | $12.72 | 43.76K |
| 2024-05-10 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 2.42K | $12.72 | 30.81K |
| 2024-03-27 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 6.24K | $13.86 | 86.43K |
| 2024-03-19 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 27.60K | $13.92 | 384.35K |
| 2024-03-19 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 5.67K | $13.92 | 78.98K |
| 2024-03-19 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 96.57K | $13.92 | 1.34M |
| 2024-02-22 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Sell | 7.71K | $13.08 | 100.80K |
| 2024-02-22 | Avelar Rui | Sell | 1.82K | $13.08 | 23.82K |
| 2024-02-22 | Beaver Sandra | Sell | 1.82K | $13.08 | 23.82K |
| 2024-02-21 | MOATAZEDI DAVID | Buy | 61.20K | — | — |
| 2024-02-21 | Avelar Rui | Buy | 13.12K | — | — |
| 2024-02-21 | Beaver Sandra | Buy | 13.12K | — | — |
| 2024-02-07 | BLANK SIMONE | Buy | 6.46K | — | — |
| 2024-02-07 | BLANK SIMONE | Buy | 9.38K | $13.15 | 123.31K |
| 2024-02-07 | GILL DAVID N | Buy | 6.46K | — | — |
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 168, holders +14 vs prior quarter. Ownership 74.10%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NANTAHALA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5.60M | -774.84K | -12.15% | 38.88M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 4.84M | 550.45K | +12.83% | 33.60M |
| BRAIDWELL LP | 3.16M | 50.00K | +1.61% | 21.90M |
| FRAZIER LIFE SCIENCES MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 2.63M | 0 | 0.00% | 18.26M |
| PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC | 2.46M | 1.17M | +91.11% | 17.07M |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2.36M | -107.52K | -4.35% | 16.40M |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.79M | 326.77K | +22.36% | 12.41M |
| STATE STREET CORP | 1.70M | 376.50K | +28.51% | 11.78M |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.61M | 227.06K | +16.44% | 11.17M |
| STONEPINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1.59M | 1.17M | +278.61% | 11.04M |
| POINT72 ASSET MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 1.51M | 1.51M | New | 10.47M |
| PINNACLE ASSOCIATES LTD | 1.49M | 328.37K | +28.33% | 10.32M |
| ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC | 1.44M | 40.00K | +2.87% | 9.97M |
| RICE HALL JAMES & ASSOCIATES, LLC | 1.29M | 35.07K | +2.79% | 8.95M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1.22M | 133.02K | +12.24% | 8.46M |
| ASSENAGON ASSET MANAGEMENT S.A. | 908.18K | 310.04K | +51.83% | 6.30M |
| SOLEUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | 822.43K | -1.42M | -63.37% | 5.71M |
| SOVIERO ASSET MANAGEMENT, LP | 770.00K | 89.63K | +13.17% | 5.34M |
| UBS GROUP AG | 752.68K | -202 | -0.03% | 5.22M |
| AWH CAPITAL, L.P. | 625.00K | 0 | 0.00% | 4.34M |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 545.70K | 68.62K | +14.38% | 3.79M |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 530.84K | 15.33K | +2.97% | 3.68M |
| SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P. | 530.84K | 530.84K | New | 3.68M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 506.35K | 465.95K | +1153.35% | 3.51M |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 497.02K | 24.68K | +5.22% | 3.45M |
Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn
$504.29M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
Forward P/E
—
Score