EagleRock Land LLC (EROK) Stock Forecast & Price Target
EROK$21.08+0.35 +1.69%
$2.29B
Market Cap
-62.90
P/E
62.00
Forward P/E
61
Score
EagleRock Land LLC (EROK) Stock Forecast & Price Target
EROK price $21.08 +0.35 +1.69%
- Ticker
- EROK
- Price
- $21.08
- Change
- +0.35 +1.69%
- Market cap ?
- $2.29B
- P/E ?
- -62.90
- Forward P/E ?
- 62.00
- Dividend yield ?
- 0.00%
- Beta ?
- 0.67
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- Stocklytics score
- 61
- Value
- 57
- Quality
- 32
- Growth
- 95
Stocklytics score rationale: value 57, quality 32, growth 95.
Financials
| 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|
| 17701000 | 141438000 |
EagleRock Land, LLC functions as a specialized land management firm. The company oversees a significant portfolio of surface acres within the Permian Basin, comprising roughly 236,000 acres either directly owned or controlled. Additionally, it holds a vested interest in approximately 70,000 acres dedicated to water infrastructure assets in the Midland Basin, as stipulated by an acreage dedication. Founded in 2023…
Fair value
EROK fair value $6.51. Price $21.08. Price is 224% above fair value.
Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.
Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 12.84M. Growth 14.27%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 108.66M. Net debt 285.45M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.
Model uncertainty high for this stock
Earnings
| Date | EPS actual | EPS estimate | Revenue | Revenue estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | — | 0.12 | — | 44.00M |
| 2026-08-10 | -0.29 | 0.13 | 41.53M | 43.37M |
Dividends
Yield 0.00%. Payout ratio 0.00%. Frequency —.
Safety score 37/100 · Watch. Payout ratio is 0% of earnings. Free-cash-flow coverage is not available, so this part stays neutral. No dividend history was found. There is no dividend yield.
| Ex-date | Dividend | Record | Payment | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No data yet. | ||||
Insider trades
| Date | Insider | Action | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lott Jeff Slaughter | Buy | 7.24K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Wallace Michael Wayne | Buy | 7.24K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Kumar Raj | Buy | 7.82K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Shah Neal H | Buy | 47.62K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Hunt Robert W JR | Buy | 27.47K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Reed Stephanie L | Buy | 7.53K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Coats Richard Harlan | Buy | 7.24K | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Nelson James Carl | Buy | 7.53K | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | Hunt Robert W JR | Buy | 533.51K | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | Hunt Robert W JR | Sell | 203.49K | $22.32 | 4.54M |
| 2026-07-24 | Pipkin Gregory Phillip Jr. | Buy | 1.28M | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | Pipkin Gregory Phillip Jr. | Sell | 498.47K | $22.32 | 11.13M |
| 2026-07-24 | Shah Neal H | Buy | 1.28M | — | — |
| 2026-07-24 | Shah Neal H | Sell | 498.47K | $22.32 | 11.13M |
| 2026-05-15 | Nelson James Carl | Buy | 50.00K | $18.50 | 925.00K |
| 2026-05-15 | Wallace Michael Wayne | Buy | 250.00K | $18.50 | 4.62M |
| 2026-05-15 | Reed Stephanie L | Buy | 13.51K | $18.50 | 249.99K |
| 2026-05-15 | Kumar Raj | Buy | 5.41K | $18.50 | 99.99K |
| 2026-05-15 | Coats Richard Harlan | Buy | 8.77M | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Coats Richard Harlan | Buy | 8.77M | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Coats Richard Harlan | Buy | 743.75K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Coats Richard Harlan | Buy | 743.75K | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | Lott Jeff Slaughter | Buy | 250.00K | $18.50 | 4.62M |
| 2026-05-15 | TCW GROUP INC | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Lott Jeff Slaughter | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Wallace Michael Wayne | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Reed Stephanie L | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Shah Neal H | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Hunt Robert W JR | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Coats Richard Harlan | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Pipkin Gregory Phillip Jr. | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Kumar Raj | Other | 0 | — | — |
| 2026-05-13 | Nelson James Carl | Other | 0 | — | — |
Institutional holders
Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.
Institutions holding: 74. Ownership 65.74%.
| Holder | Shares | Change | Change % | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIRST MANHATTAN CO. LLC. | 3.26M | New | New | 69.21M |
| PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ | 2.03M | New | New | 43.20M |
| ENCOMPASS CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC | 1.86M | New | New | 39.49M |
| HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | 1.68M | New | New | 35.79M |
| MEREWETHER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LP | 873.24K | New | New | 18.56M |
| CIBC BANCORP USA INC. | 726.01K | New | New | 15.43M |
| EAGLE GLOBAL ADVISORS LLC | 700.00K | New | New | 14.88M |
| BLACKROCK, INC. | 605.85K | New | New | 12.87M |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 549.39K | New | New | 11.67M |
| YAUPON CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 535.72K | New | New | 11.38M |
| SCHWARTZ INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC | 488.12K | New | New | 10.37M |
| CUSHING ASSET MANAGEMENT, LP DBA NXG INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT | 470.00K | New | New | 9.99M |
| COVALIS CAPITAL LLP | 271.49K | New | New | 5.77M |
| AMICUS FINANCIAL ADVISORS, LLC | 189.30K | New | New | 4.02M |
| RUSSELL INVESTMENTS GROUP, LTD. | 173.01K | New | New | 3.68M |
| SOURCEROCK GROUP LLC | 167.46K | New | New | 3.56M |
| NEEDHAM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 160.00K | New | New | 3.40M |
| JANE STREET GROUP, LLC | 153.74K | New | New | 3.27M |
| SEVEN GRAND MANAGERS, LLC | 150.00K | New | New | 3.19M |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 123.61K | New | New | 2.63M |
| BURKEHILL GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LP | 110.00K | New | New | 2.34M |
| GHISALLO CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 110.00K | New | New | 2.34M |
| LMR PARTNERS LLP | 102.68K | New | New | 2.18M |
| SCHONFELD STRATEGIC ADVISORS LLC | 102.29K | New | New | 2.17M |
| D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. | 100.00K | New | New | 2.12M |
Forecast
Consensus Buy from 4 analysts. Average price target $27.20, +29.0% versus the current price. Low $25.00. High $31.00.
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