Expand Energy (EXE) Stock Insights

EXE price $92.27 -2.35 -2.48%

Ticker
EXE
Price
$92.27
Change
-2.35 -2.48%
Market cap ?
$21.36B
P/E ?
8.01
Forward P/E ?
10.66
Dividend yield ?
2.47%
Beta ?
0.32
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Stocklytics score
67
Value
74
Quality
69
Growth
58

Stocklytics score rationale: value 74, quality 69, growth 58.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
7872000000949600000010231000000848900000052100000007301000000114430000007775000000422100000011648000000

Expand Energy Corporation functions as an independent entity primarily focused on the discovery and extraction of energy resources throughout the United States. Its core operations involve the acquisition, exploration, and subsequent development of properties to produce crude oil, natural gas, and associated liquid hydrocarbons from subterranean geological formations. The company maintains significant interests in…

Fair value

EXE fair value $104.74. Price $92.27. Price is 12% below fair value.

Below fair value, around its usual discount.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 2.46B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 231.50M. Net debt 4.36B. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare EXE

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-16—2.14—3.22B
2026-10-271.461.293.29B2.85B
2026-07-281.331.132.96B3.05B
2026-04-283.833.694.40B3.53B
2026-02-172.001.873.27B2.94B
2025-10-280.970.902.97B2.71B
2025-07-291.101.143.69B2.55B
2025-04-292.021.912.20B2.55B
2025-02-260.550.522.00B1.97B
2024-10-290.16-0.05648.00M708.98M
2024-07-290.01-0.01505.00M822.54M
2024-04-300.560.591.08B1.30B
2024-02-201.310.711.95B1.64B
2023-10-311.090.571.51B1.47B
2023-08-010.640.401.46B1.58B
2023-05-021.871.703.37B1.42B
2023-02-214.222.933.14B1.65B
2022-11-015.064.451.76B1.80B
2022-08-039.753.823.50B1.99B
2022-05-07-6.322.43656.00M1.57B
2022-02-253.662.484.26B1.79B
2021-11-03-3.511.67887.00M1.39B
2021-08-11-4.481.20691.00M736.63M
2021-05-130.580.031.47B854.00M
2021-03-02-42.53—1.22B—
2020-11-10-0.76—959.00M—
2020-08-11-28.22—507.00M—
2020-05-11-8.53—2.52B—
2020-02-27-36.00—1.90B—
2019-11-05-11.89—2.06B—
2019-08-069.21—2.37B—
2019-05-10-6.00—2.16B—
2019-02-271.07—3.07B—
2018-10-31-38.00—2.42B—
2018-08-01-0.60—2.25B—
2018-05-02-2.00—2.49B—
2018-02-220.68—2.52B—
2017-11-02-10.00—1.94B—
2017-08-031.04—2.28B—
2017-05-0516.00—2.75B—

Dividends

Yield 2.49%. Payout ratio 19.91%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 93/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 20% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 6 separate years. Yield is 2.5%, in a range that is usually sustainable.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-08-13$0.572026-08-132026-09-03Quarterly
2026-05-14$0.572026-05-142026-06-04Quarterly
2026-03-05$0.572026-03-052026-03-26Quarterly
2025-11-13$0.572025-11-132025-12-04Semi-Annual
2025-08-14$1.472025-08-142025-09-04Special
2025-05-15$0.572025-05-152025-06-04Irregular
2025-03-11$0.572025-03-112025-03-27Quarterly
2024-11-14$0.572024-11-142024-12-04Quarterly
2024-08-15$0.572024-08-152024-09-05Semi-Annual
2024-05-15$0.712024-05-162024-06-05Special
2024-03-06$0.572024-03-072024-03-26Quarterly
2023-11-15$0.572023-11-162023-12-06Quarterly
2023-08-16$0.572023-08-172023-09-06Annual
2023-05-17$1.182023-05-182023-06-06Special
2023-03-06$1.292023-03-072023-03-23Special
2022-11-14$3.162022-11-152022-12-01Special
2022-08-16$2.322022-08-172022-09-01Special
2022-05-18$2.342022-05-192022-06-02Special
2022-03-04$1.772022-03-072022-03-22Special
2021-11-23$0.442021-11-242021-12-09Annual
2021-08-23$0.342021-08-242021-09-09Quarterly
2021-05-21$0.342021-05-242021-06-10Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-10-15Raiford BrittanySell511$90.8046.40K
2026-10-15Lacy Christopher WSell1.84K$90.80166.98K
2026-10-08Grose Sarah TinteraOther0——
2026-10-08Grose Sarah TinteraOther246——
2026-06-12Wichterich MichaelBuy1.00K$88.9088.90K
2026-06-04Steck BrianBuy2.75K$96.53265.07K
2026-06-04Konar ShameekBuy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04Kehr Catherine ABuy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04JOHNSON S P IVBuy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04Gallagher MatthewBuy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04Emerson Sarah A.Buy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04Duster BenjaminBuy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04Duncan Timothy S.Buy2.33K$96.53225.01K
2026-06-04Wichterich MichaelBuy1.00K$93.3693.36K
2026-06-04Teunissen MarcelBuy2.00K$92.88185.76K
2026-05-07Teunissen MarcelBuy2.00K$96.43192.86K
2026-04-06Teunissen MarcelBuy5.14K——
2026-04-06Teunissen MarcelBuy6.00K——
2026-04-06Teunissen MarcelOther0——
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy1.11K——
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy13.63K——
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Sell3.73K$107.02398.97K
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Sell6.46K$107.02691.56K
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy10.81K——
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy12.62K——
2026-03-15Viets Joshua J.Sell1.11K——
2026-03-15Lacy Christopher WBuy5.69K——
2026-03-15Lacy Christopher WSell820$107.0287.76K
2026-03-15Lacy Christopher WBuy6.64K——
2026-03-15Raiford BrittanyBuy3.56K——
2026-03-15Raiford BrittanySell170$107.0218.19K
2026-03-15Raiford BrittanyBuy1.78K——
2026-03-15Turco Daniel FBuy5.69K——
2026-03-15Turco Daniel FSell775$107.0282.94K
2026-03-15Turco Daniel FBuy6.64K——
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy72——
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy881——
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Sell522$107.0255.86K
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Sell276$107.0229.54K
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy2.37K——
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy1.19K——
2026-03-15Larson Gregory M.Sell72——
2026-03-06Wichterich MichaelBuy1.00K$108.00108.00K
2026-03-06Wichterich MichaelBuy1.00K$107.00107.00K
2026-02-20Lacy Christopher WSell7.46K$108.06806.34K
2026-02-20Raiford BrittanySell485$108.0652.41K
2026-02-19Gallagher MatthewBuy1.00K$100.66100.66K
2026-02-18Turco Daniel FSell740$99.5273.64K
2026-02-09Wichterich MichaelBuy16.86K——
2026-02-09Wichterich MichaelBuy16.86K——
2025-10-15Raiford BrittanySell511$103.1752.72K
2025-10-15Lacy Christopher WSell1.85K$103.17190.86K
2025-08-18Viets Joshua J.Buy2.00K$92.16184.32K
2025-08-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRBuy2.50K$95.86239.65K
2025-08-13Raiford BrittanyOther0——
2025-08-13Raiford BrittanyOther1.05K——
2025-06-05Wichterich MichaelBuy3.16K$110.89350.08K
2025-06-05Steck BrianBuy2.12K$110.89235.09K
2025-06-05Konar ShameekBuy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05Kehr Catherine ABuy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05JOHNSON S P IVBuy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05Gass John DBuy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05Gallagher MatthewBuy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05Emerson Sarah A.Buy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05Duster BenjaminBuy1.80K$110.89200.05K
2025-06-05Duncan Timothy S.Buy1.94K$110.89215.02K
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRBuy22.46K——
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRBuy10.06K——
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRSell32.50K$102.603.33M
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRBuy63.64K——
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRSell7.29K$102.60748.16K
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRBuy26.21K——
2025-03-15DELL'OSSO DOMENIC J JRSell15.91K——
2025-03-15Singh MohitBuy7.67K——
2025-03-15Singh MohitBuy4.39K——
2025-03-15Singh MohitBuy27.76K——
2025-03-15Singh MohitSell14.18K$102.601.45M
2025-03-15Singh MohitSell3.11K$102.60319.50K
2025-03-15Singh MohitBuy8.95K——
2025-03-15Singh MohitSell6.94K——
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy9.74K——
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy4.39K——
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy27.76K——
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Sell14.18K$102.601.45M
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Sell3.34K$102.60342.58K
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Buy11.36K——
2025-03-15Viets Joshua J.Sell6.94K——
2025-03-15Lacy Christopher WBuy5.61K——
2025-03-15Lacy Christopher WBuy6.54K——
2025-03-15Turco Daniel FBuy5.90K$1.005.90K
2025-03-15Turco Daniel FBuy6.89K——
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy2.46K——
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Sell458$102.6046.99K
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Sell388$102.6039.81K
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy215——
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy1.36K——
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Buy1.23K——
2025-03-15Larson Gregory M.Sell339——
2025-03-15Wichterich MichaelBuy3.99K——
2025-03-15Wichterich MichaelBuy25.25K——

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 899, holders -49 vs prior quarter. Ownership 92.84%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.19.50M860.32K+4.62%1.78B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC15.62M72.47K+0.47%1.42B
STATE STREET CORP15.62M1.12M+7.76%1.42B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC11.83M476.61K+4.20%1.08B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC6.73M110.47K+1.67%611.67M
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS6.64M-155.10K-2.28%605.82M
INVESCO LTD.6.06M1.14M+23.21%552.68M
VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC5.40M635.68K+13.35%492.10M
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC5.38M1.53M+39.72%491.06M
OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP5.24M00.00%477.61M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/3.55M-164.33K-4.42%324.15M
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS3.29M-2.92M-47.01%300.16M
MORGAN STANLEY3.26M-58.84K-1.77%296.98M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP2.93M-1.57M-34.89%267.11M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP2.78M310.19K+12.57%253.13M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC2.71M398.12K+17.26%246.69M
UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC2.68M-93.12K-3.36%244.16M
PACER ADVISORS, INC.2.55M1.58M+163.09%232.88M
MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/2.52M-1.21M-32.34%229.88M
UBS GROUP AG2.38M1.02M+74.24%217.46M
DISCIPLINED GROWTH INVESTORS INC /MN2.35M-26.38K-1.11%214.02M
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA2.23M1.82M+439.35%203.58M
PHOENIX FINANCIAL LTD.2.08M289.87K+16.19%189.70M
CIBC BANCORP USA INC.2.06M-735.41K-26.33%187.96M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP2.03M66.25K+3.38%184.67M

Insights

Revenue by product
PeriodValue
FY2010Exploration and Production: 5647000000.0, Intercompany Eliminations: 4471000000.0, Marketing, Gathering and Compression: 7433000000.0, Other Operations: 757000000.0
FY2011Business Intersegment Eliminations: 5983000000.0, Marketing Gathering And Compression: 10336000000.0, Oil And Gas Exploration And Production: 6024000000.0, Oilfield Services: 1258000000.0
FY2012Consolidated Entities: 12316000000.0, Intersegment Elimination: 6795000000.0, Marketing Gathering And Compression: 10895000000.0, Oil And Gas Exploration And Production: 6278000000.0, Oilfield Services: 1917000000.0, Other Operations: 21000000.0
FY2013Marketing Gathering And Compression: 9559000000.0, Oil And Gas Exploration And Production: 7052000000.0, Oilfield Services: 879000000.0, Other Segments: 16000000.0
FY2014Marketing Gathering And Compression: 12225000000.0, Oil And Gas Exploration And Production: 8180000000.0, Oilfield Services: 544000000.0, Other Segments: 30000000.0
FY2015Marketing Gathering And Compression: 7373000000.0, Oil And Gas Exploration And Production: 5391000000.0
FY2016Marketing Gathering And Compression: 4584000000.0, Oil, Natural Gas and NGL: 3288000000.0
FY2018Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 5076000000.0, Oil and Gas: 5155000000.0
FY2019Manufactured Product, Other: 63000000.0, Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 3967000000.0, Oil and Gas: 4522000000.0, Oil and Gas and Marketing: 8489000000.0, Oil and Gas, Refining and Marketing: 3967000000.0
FY2020Manufactured Product, Other: 56000000.0, Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 1869000000.0, Oil and Gas: 3341000000.0, Oil and Gas and Marketing: 5210000000.0
FY2021Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 2263000000.0, Oil and Gas: 4401000000.0
FY2022Natural Gas Liquids Sales: 225000000.0, Natural Gas Sales: 7803000000.0, Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 4231000000.0, Oil and Gas: 9892000000.0, Oil Sales: 1864000000.0
FY2023Natural Gas Liquids Sales: 98000000.0, Natural Gas Sales: 2853000000.0, Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 2500000000.0, Oil and Gas: 3547000000.0, Oil Sales: 596000000.0
FY2024Natural Gas Liquids Sales: 214000000.0, Natural Gas Sales: 2686000000.0, Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 1290000000.0, Oil and Gas: 2969000000.0, Oil Sales: 69000000.0
FY2025Natural Gas Liquids Sales: 724000000.0, Natural Gas Sales: 7433000000.0, Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing: 3163000000.0, Oil and Gas: 8476000000.0, Oil Sales: 319000000.0
Revenue by region
PeriodValue
FY2025Haynesville: 3477000000.0, Northeast Appalachia: 2860000000.0, Southwest Appalachia: 2139000000.0

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Expand Energy (EXE) Stock Insights

EXE$92.27-2.35 -2.48%

$21.36B

Market Cap

8.01

P/E

10.66

Forward P/E

67

Score

Price History