Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Stock Forecast & Price Target

FIX price $1,367.12 +21.35 +1.59%

Ticker
FIX
Price
$1,367.12
Change
+21.35 +1.59%
Market cap ?
$48.11B
P/E ?
29.02
Forward P/E ?
26.95
Dividend yield ?
0.22%
Beta ?
1.66
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Engineering & Construction
Stocklytics score
72
Value
56
Quality
73
Growth
88

Stocklytics score rationale: value 56, quality 73, growth 88.

Financials

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025
1634340000178792200021828790002615277000285665900030736360004140364000520676000070274760009101641000

Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Mechanical and Electrical. It offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, as well as plumbing, electrical, piping and…

Fair value

FIX fair value $1,447.00. Price $1,367.12. Price is 6% below fair value.

Above fair value, and more expensive than usual. A larger premium than on 69% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 2.44B. Growth 20.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 12.00% (beta 1.7). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 35.19M. Net debt -195.95M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare FIX

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2027-02-18—13.96—3.82B
2026-10-2213.9112.853.77B3.40B
2026-07-2312.5310.453.27B2.99B
2026-04-2310.516.812.87B2.39B
2026-02-199.376.752.65B2.34B
2025-10-238.256.292.45B2.16B
2025-07-246.534.842.17B1.97B
2025-04-244.753.661.83B1.77B
2025-02-204.093.631.87B1.77B
2024-10-244.093.971.81B1.75B
2024-07-253.743.141.81B1.69B
2024-04-252.692.011.54B1.48B
2024-02-222.552.201.36B1.33B
2023-10-262.742.151.38B1.30B
2023-07-261.931.601.30B1.27B
2023-04-261.511.061.17B1.08B
2023-02-221.541.391.12B1.08B
2022-10-261.671.371.12B1.05B
2022-07-271.170.991.02B912.12M
2022-04-270.910.91885.22M825.40M
2022-02-231.041.04856.08M806.55M
2021-10-271.270.99833.90M768.52M
2021-07-280.900.91713.89M713.89M
2021-04-280.730.61669.76M694.92M
2021-02-251.170.83698.96M694.68M
2020-10-261.191.03714.10M540.82M
2020-07-271.080.45743.47M309.78M
2020-04-270.480.41700.13M598.03M
2020-02-260.840.69719.58M591.09M
2019-10-240.980.85706.92M613.14M
2019-07-250.690.85650.30M850.39M
2019-04-250.540.52538.47M528.31M
2019-02-210.740.80588.36M636.06M
2018-10-251.010.83594.54M488.58M
2018-07-260.790.69535.04M467.28M
2018-04-260.370.33464.94M414.64M
2018-02-220.450.52461.07M522.58M
2017-10-260.550.56480.85M489.64M
2017-07-270.490.52465.41M493.89M
2017-04-260.220.27380.59M467.10M

Dividends

Yield 0.22%. Payout ratio 6.47%. Frequency Quarterly.

Safety score 91/100 · Safe. Payout ratio is 6% of earnings. Dividends use less than 40% of free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 22 separate years. Yield is 0.2%, which is low.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-11-12$1.002026-11-122026-11-23Quarterly
2026-08-13$0.902026-08-132026-08-24Quarterly
2026-05-15$0.802026-05-152026-05-26Quarterly
2026-03-06$0.702026-03-062026-03-17Quarterly
2025-11-13$0.602025-11-132025-11-24Quarterly
2025-08-14$0.502025-08-142025-08-25Quarterly
2025-05-16$0.452025-05-162025-05-27Quarterly
2025-03-10$0.402025-03-102025-03-21Quarterly
2024-11-14$0.352024-11-142024-11-25Quarterly
2024-08-12$0.302024-08-122024-08-23Quarterly
2024-05-10$0.302024-05-132024-05-24Quarterly
2024-03-07$0.252024-03-082024-03-19Quarterly
2023-11-15$0.252023-11-162023-11-27Quarterly
2023-08-16$0.232023-08-172023-08-28Quarterly
2023-05-17$0.202023-05-182023-05-29Quarterly
2023-03-09$0.172023-03-102023-03-21Quarterly
2022-11-16$0.152022-11-172022-11-28Quarterly
2022-08-17$0.142022-08-182022-08-29Quarterly
2022-05-13$0.142022-05-162022-05-27Quarterly
2022-03-10$0.132022-03-112022-03-22Quarterly
2021-11-10$0.132021-11-122021-11-23Quarterly
2021-08-12$0.122021-08-132021-08-24Quarterly
2021-05-13$0.122021-05-142021-05-25Quarterly
2021-03-11$0.122021-03-122021-03-23Quarterly
2020-11-06$0.112020-11-092020-11-20Quarterly
2020-08-13$0.102020-08-142020-08-25Quarterly
2020-05-14$0.102020-05-152020-05-26Quarterly
2020-03-06$0.102020-03-092020-03-20Quarterly
2019-11-07$0.102019-11-112019-11-22Quarterly
2019-08-09$0.102019-08-122019-08-23Quarterly
2019-05-10$0.102019-05-132019-05-24Quarterly
2019-03-08$0.102019-03-112019-03-22Quarterly
2018-11-08$0.092018-11-092018-11-20Quarterly
2018-08-10$0.092018-08-132018-08-24Quarterly
2018-05-11$0.082018-05-142018-05-25Quarterly
2018-03-09$0.072018-03-122018-03-23Quarterly
2017-11-09$0.072017-11-102017-11-21Quarterly
2017-08-10$0.072017-08-142017-08-25Quarterly
2017-05-10$0.072017-05-122017-05-23Quarterly
2017-03-08$0.072017-03-102017-03-21Quarterly
2016-11-08$0.072016-11-102016-11-23Quarterly
2016-08-10$0.072016-08-122016-08-23Quarterly
2016-05-11$0.072016-05-132016-05-24Quarterly
2016-03-09$0.072016-03-112016-03-22Quarterly
2015-11-06$0.072015-11-102015-11-23Quarterly
2015-08-12$0.072015-08-142015-08-25Quarterly
2015-05-12$0.062015-05-142015-05-25Quarterly
2015-03-10$0.062015-03-122015-03-23Quarterly
2014-11-06$0.062014-11-102014-11-21Quarterly
2014-08-08$0.062014-08-122014-08-22Quarterly
2014-05-08$0.062014-05-122014-05-23Quarterly
2014-03-06$0.062014-03-102014-03-21Quarterly
2013-11-06$0.062013-11-112013-11-22Quarterly
2013-08-08$0.062013-08-122013-08-23Quarterly
2013-05-09$0.052013-05-132013-05-24Quarterly
2013-03-07$0.052013-03-112013-03-22Quarterly
2012-11-07$0.052012-11-122012-11-23Quarterly
2012-08-09$0.052012-08-132012-08-24Quarterly
2012-05-10$0.052012-05-142012-05-25Quarterly
2012-03-08$0.052012-03-122012-03-23Quarterly
2011-11-23$0.052011-11-282011-12-20Quarterly
2011-08-24$0.052011-08-262011-09-16Quarterly
2011-05-25$0.052011-05-272011-06-17Quarterly
2011-03-09$0.052011-03-112011-03-22Quarterly
2010-11-26$0.052010-11-302010-12-20Quarterly
2010-08-27$0.052010-08-312010-09-20Quarterly
2010-05-26$0.052010-05-282010-06-18Quarterly
2010-03-08$0.052010-03-102010-03-19Quarterly
2009-11-24$0.052009-11-272009-12-21Quarterly
2009-08-27$0.052009-08-312009-09-21Quarterly
2009-05-27$0.042009-05-292009-06-19Quarterly
2009-03-06$0.042009-03-102009-03-20Quarterly
2008-11-25$0.042008-11-282008-12-19Quarterly
2008-08-27$0.042008-08-292008-09-19Quarterly
2008-05-28$0.042008-05-302008-06-20Quarterly
2008-03-06$0.042008-03-102008-03-20Quarterly
2007-11-28$0.042007-11-302007-12-20Quarterly
2007-08-29$0.042007-08-312007-09-20Quarterly
2007-05-29$0.042007-05-312007-06-20Quarterly
2007-03-07$0.042007-03-092007-03-19Quarterly

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-08-26Lane Brian E.Sell16.02K$1,608.2125.77M
2026-08-17GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell2.55K$1,859.654.75M
2026-08-11MYERS FRANKLINSell4.00K$1,693.926.78M
2026-08-10MYERS FRANKLINSell3.50K$1,690.475.92M
2026-07-01Sasser CraigOther0——
2026-07-01Sasser CraigOther0——
2026-06-24MYERS FRANKLINSell6.70K$1,954.4713.09M
2026-05-27Hardy Rhoman JSell342$1,900.08649.83K
2026-05-21MYERS FRANKLINSell273——
2026-05-18ANDERSON DARCYBuy105——
2026-05-18MYERS FRANKLINBuy105——
2026-05-18BULLS HERMAN EBuy105——
2026-05-18Hardy Rhoman JBuy105——
2026-05-18Kapoor GauravBuy105——
2026-05-18Mercado, Pablo G.Buy105——
2026-05-18SANDBROOK WILLIAM JBuy105——
2026-05-18Skidmore Constance EllenBuy105——
2026-05-18Wallis-Lage Cindy L.Buy105——
2026-05-11GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell1.00K$2,020.962.02M
2026-05-11Shaeff JulieSell1.12K$2,000.372.25M
2026-05-08GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell4.00K$1,948.177.79M
2026-05-07MYERS FRANKLINSell51——
2026-05-07MYERS FRANKLINSell205——
2026-05-07MYERS FRANKLINSell256——
2026-05-07MYERS FRANKLINSell4.50K$1,902.578.56M
2026-05-05Lane Brian E.Sell11.11K$1,969.8421.89M
2026-04-30Mercado, Pablo G.Sell500$1,779.78889.89K
2026-04-29SANDBROOK WILLIAM JSell1.50K$1,732.672.60M
2026-04-01Eslicker Rachel R.Sell31$1,429.6044.32K
2026-04-01Eslicker Rachel R.Sell25$1,429.6035.74K
2026-04-01Eslicker Rachel R.Sell43$1,429.6061.47K
2026-04-01Shaeff JulieSell87$1,429.60124.37K
2026-04-01Shaeff JulieSell87$1,429.60124.37K
2026-04-01Shaeff JulieSell145$1,429.60207.29K
2026-04-01Reed TerrenceSell98$1,429.60140.10K
2026-04-01Reed TerrenceSell82$1,429.60117.23K
2026-04-01Reed TerrenceSell93$1,429.60132.95K
2026-04-01GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell284$1,429.60406.00K
2026-04-01GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell297$1,429.60424.59K
2026-04-01GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell500$1,429.60714.80K
2026-04-01Trent T McKennaSell266$1,429.60380.27K
2026-04-01Trent T McKennaSell210$1,429.60300.21K
2026-04-01Trent T McKennaSell341$1,429.60487.49K
2026-04-01Lane Brian E.Sell1.15K$1,429.601.64M
2026-04-01Lane Brian E.Sell941$1,429.601.35M
2026-04-01Lane Brian E.Sell1.51K$1,429.602.16M
2026-03-23Shaeff JulieBuy220——
2026-03-23Shaeff JulieSell84$1,408.25118.29K
2026-03-23Shaeff JulieBuy194——
2026-03-23GEORGE WILLIAM IIIBuy764——
2026-03-23GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell300$1,408.25422.48K
2026-03-23GEORGE WILLIAM IIIBuy597——
2026-03-23Reed TerrenceBuy188——
2026-03-23Reed TerrenceSell56$1,408.2578.86K
2026-03-23Reed TerrenceBuy275——
2026-03-23Eslicker Rachel R.Buy217——
2026-03-23Trent T McKennaBuy520——
2026-03-23Trent T McKennaSell204$1,408.25287.28K
2026-03-23Trent T McKennaBuy1.21K——
2026-03-23Lane Brian E.Buy2.31K——
2026-03-23Lane Brian E.Sell910$1,408.251.28M
2026-03-23Lane Brian E.Buy2.88K——
2026-03-03Reed TerrenceSell1.12K$1,397.331.56M
2026-03-03ANDERSON DARCYSell4.50K$1,369.746.16M
2026-03-03Shaeff JulieSell2.29K$1,382.153.16M
2026-02-25MYERS FRANKLINSell8.64K$1,472.5612.72M
2026-02-25Lane Brian E.Sell9.37K$1,453.1213.61M
2026-02-24Reed TerrenceSell671$1,457.17977.76K
2026-02-24SANDBROOK WILLIAM JSell2.50K$1,443.323.61M
2026-02-24Skidmore Constance EllenSell1.00K$1,425.001.43M
2026-02-23Mercado, Pablo G.Sell500$1,405.00702.50K
2026-02-23GEORGE WILLIAM IIIBuy9.00K$42.50382.50K
2026-02-23GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell9.00K$1,434.9712.91M
2026-02-23GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell9.00K$42.50382.50K
2025-12-31Eslicker Rachel R.Other0——
2025-12-04Howell Laura FinleySell1.00K$996.16996.16K
2025-12-03MYERS FRANKLINSell270——
2025-12-01GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell3.28K$955.733.13M
2025-12-01GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell4.37K$958.884.19M
2025-12-01GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell2.00K——
2025-11-24Lane Brian E.Sell7.16K$947.986.79M
2025-11-14BULLS HERMAN ESell800——
2025-10-31ANDERSON DARCYSell4.00K$958.723.83M
2025-10-29BULLS HERMAN ESell2.00K$1,013.622.03M
2025-10-29MYERS FRANKLINSell5.00K$1,006.685.03M
2025-10-29Mercado, Pablo G.Sell2.50K$1,005.412.51M
2025-09-10SANDBROOK WILLIAM JSell800$733.56586.85K
2025-09-09SANDBROOK WILLIAM JSell600$708.97425.38K
2025-09-09SANDBROOK WILLIAM JSell100$706.0070.60K
2025-08-27BULLS HERMAN ESell3.00K$710.002.13M
2025-08-25SANDBROOK WILLIAM JSell700$689.58482.70K
2025-08-22Mercado, Pablo G.Sell1.08K$695.88750.16K
2025-08-12Shaeff JulieSell1.37K$704.50964.46K
2025-08-08GEORGE WILLIAM IIIBuy5.51K$42.50234.34K
2025-08-08GEORGE WILLIAM IIIBuy2.92K$36.25105.92K
2025-08-08GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell8.44K$692.605.84M
2025-08-08GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell5.51K$42.50234.34K
2025-08-08GEORGE WILLIAM IIISell2.92K$36.25105.92K
2025-08-07Lane Brian E.Sell10.00K$691.746.92M
2025-08-06MYERS FRANKLINSell4.50K$683.573.08M

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 1.40K. Ownership 93.63%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.3.40MNewNew6.73B
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.30MNewNew4.55B
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.87MNewNew3.70B
FMR LLC1.66MNewNew3.29B
STATE STREET CORP1.54MNewNew3.05B
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.15MNewNew2.29B
AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.06MNewNew2.08B
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO838.42KNewNew1.63B
CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS720.24KNewNew1.43B
INVESCO LTD.658.31KNewNew1.30B
NORGES BANK471.56KNewNew934.62M
MORGAN STANLEY430.08KNewNew852.41M
FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP375.09KNewNew743.41M
WESTFIELD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LP355.43KNewNew704.45M
FEDERATED HERMES, INC.341.49KNewNew676.81M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP340.99KNewNew675.83M
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/324.67KNewNew643.48M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC297.85KNewNew590.31M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.297.85KNewNew590.31M
AMUNDI292.90KNewNew580.52M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP285.44KNewNew565.66M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC268.24KNewNew531.64M
VALUE ALIGNED RESEARCH ADVISORS, LLC243.61KNewNew482.82M
DEUTSCHE BANK AG\223.90KNewNew443.75M
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON INC222.97KNewNew441.91M

Forecast

Consensus Buy from 10 analysts. Average price target $1,935.33, +41.6% versus the current price. Low $1,808.00. High $2,200.00.

Insights · Dividends · Forecast · Financials · Learn

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Analysts have an average 12-month price target of $1,935.33 for Comfort Systems USA (FIX), 41.5% above the current price of $1,367.75. Of 10 analysts covering the stock, 9 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell, giving a consensus of Buy.

Forecasts are third-party estimates and often wrong. They are not investment advice.

FIX price target

12-month price target
Low$1,808.00
Average$1,935.33
High$2,200.00

The average is 41.5% above the current price of $1,367.75.

Is Comfort Systems USA a buy or sell?

Of 10 analysts, 9 rate Comfort Systems USA Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold, and 0 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus label is Buy. That split is not a recommendation.

Comfort Systems USA earnings and revenue forecast

Analyst averages on file: 2026, EPS $50.72, revenue $13.64 billion. 2027, EPS $65.86, revenue $17.05 billion.

FIX score and fair value

The Stocklytics Score for FIX is 72 out of 100. It averages value, quality, and growth against a large-cap US universe. It is not a price target and not a buy or sell rating. Fair value is a separate estimate on the fair value tab.

FIX forecast FAQs

What is the FIX price target?

$1,935.33 average, with a published range of $1,808.00 to $2,200.00.

Is Comfort Systems USA a buy or sell?

The consensus is Buy from 10 analysts. This is not a recommendation.

What is the Comfort Systems USA stock forecast for 2026?

Analysts' average EPS estimate for 2026 on file is $50.72. The average revenue estimate is $13.64 billion.

What will FIX be worth in 2030?

No reliable forecast exists that far out.

When is Comfort Systems USA's next earnings report?

The next earnings date is shown on the stock page when a future report is on the calendar. This forecast does not invent a date.

Capital is at risk. Stocklytics is operated by Stocklytics Inc., a Marshall Islands company. It is not regulated by the FCA and does not give investment advice.

Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Stock Forecast & Price Target

FIX$1,367.12+21.35 +1.59%

$48.11B

Market Cap

29.02

P/E

26.95

Forward P/E

72

Score

Price History