National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock Insights

FIZZ price $34.27 -0.69 -1.97%

Ticker
FIZZ
Price
$34.27
Change
-0.69 -1.97%
Market cap ?
$3.21B
P/E ?
19.93
Forward P/E ?
18.79
Dividend yield ?
8.77%
Beta ?
0.76
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stocklytics score
50
Value
55
Quality
69
Growth
26

Stocklytics score rationale: value 55, quality 69, growth 26.

Financials

2017201820192020202120222023202420252026
82691800097573400010141050001000394000107221000011380130001172932000119169400012013540001180552000

National Beverage Corp., operating through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the creation, production, promotion, and distribution of a diverse portfolio of beverages. Its primary markets are the United States and Canada, where it offers sparkling waters, fruit juices, energy drinks, and carbonated soft drinks. The company particularly targets consumers who prioritize an active and health-conscious lifestyle…

Fair value

FIZZ fair value $38.61. Price $34.27. Price is 11% below fair value.

Below fair value, and cheaper than usual. A larger discount than on 79% of days in the past 5 years.

Fair value is an estimate of what one share is worth if future cash flows arrive as modeled. It is not a forecast of the share price. How discounted cash flow works.

Calculated with a 10-year free-cash-flow discount. Starting free cash flow 161.90M. Growth 0.00%. When analyst earnings forecasts are available, free cash flow in those years is forecast earnings times the company's usual conversion of earnings into free cash flow, kept between 60% and 130%. Years with fewer than 3 analyst estimates are left out. Growth then fades in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10, starting from the last well-covered year's growth, or from the pace across those years when the final year slows sharply, kept between 0% and 20%. Without those forecasts, year-1 growth is analyst revenue growth for the next full fiscal year, or 5-year historical revenue growth when that forecast is missing, held for five years, then fading in a straight line to terminal growth by year 10. Terminal growth 3.00%. Discount rate 8.70% (beta 0.8). Beta is kept between 0.8 and 2.0, which on its own would make the discount rate 8.7% to 15.3%. The rate is then capped at 12%. A cap is used because a discount above 12% pushes higher-beta stocks further from the price. The discount rate stays at least 5 percentage points above terminal growth. Shares 93.62M. Net debt -290.61M. The earnings value is next-12-months earnings per share, or trailing earnings when that forecast is missing, times the median P/E of the company's industry. That median uses listed stocks worth at least $10 billion with a positive P/E of 100 or below, and the industry needs at least eight of them. Otherwise the sector median is used when that group also has at least eight, then the market median of those large companies. The multiple used is the lower of that median and 1.25 times the stock's own 10-year median P/E, then kept between 8 and 30. If the stock has no 10-year median, the peer median is kept between 8 and 30. Fair value is the average of the cash-flow value and the earnings value when both exist. Card and credit companies use the earnings value only, because changes in customer receivables distort free cash flow. Model uncertainty is high when fair value is more than 60% from the price, or when most of the cash-flow value sits after year 10.

Compare FIZZ

Earnings

DateEPS actualEPS estimateRevenueRevenue estimate
2026-12-10—0.45—308.51M
2026-09-100.500.59330.66M342.08M
2026-07-010.430.47297.15M294.81M
2026-03-120.440.44264.59M269.72M
2025-12-110.490.52288.33M292.66M
2025-09-110.600.51330.51M304.31M
2025-07-020.480.48313.63M303.26M
2025-03-060.420.44267.05M303.26M
2024-12-050.490.51291.20M309.98M
2024-09-050.610.60329.47M330.72M
2024-06-260.470.47297.31M291.02M
2024-03-070.420.41270.06M273.83M
2023-12-070.470.47300.07M305.63M
2023-09-070.530.53324.24M327.66M
2023-06-280.390.39286.70M291.30M
2023-03-090.370.32268.48M301.27M
2022-12-080.390.34299.63M293.80M
2022-09-080.380.55318.12M327.29M
2022-06-290.370.43284.22M285.90M
2022-03-100.330.35258.92M252.06M
2021-12-090.420.50283.16M252.06M
2021-09-090.580.51311.71M246.77M
2021-06-300.420.41261.10M257.88M
2021-03-110.390.39245.93M238.87M
2020-12-100.510.46271.81M248.43M
2020-09-100.550.48293.37M258.38M
2020-07-010.390.30262.40M201.85M
2020-03-050.280.25222.81M195.45M
2019-12-050.350.34251.61M244.42M
2019-09-050.370.38263.57M270.69M
2019-06-260.280.33239.91M282.76M
2019-03-070.270.38220.89M316.75M
2018-12-060.440.44260.71M257.75M
2018-09-060.520.52292.59M292.60M
2018-06-270.390.41244.31M260.16M
2018-03-080.440.34227.48M175.80M
2017-12-070.360.34244.12M230.54M
2017-09-070.410.37259.83M234.45M
2017-07-130.310.30212.07M205.26M
2017-03-090.260.19194.56M145.95M

Dividends

Yield 9.48%. Payout ratio 1.74%. Frequency Special.

Safety score 60/100 · Moderate. Payout ratio is 2% of earnings. Dividends are larger than free cash flow. Dividends were paid in 12 separate years. Yield is 9.5%, high enough that the payout may be hard to keep.

Ex-dateDividendRecordPaymentFrequency
2026-07-13$3.252026-07-132026-07-30Special
2024-06-24$3.252024-06-242024-07-24Special
2021-12-10$3.002021-12-132022-02-11Special
2020-12-03$3.002020-12-042021-01-29Special
2018-11-29$1.452018-11-302019-01-29Special
2017-06-01$0.752017-06-052017-08-04Special
2016-11-23$0.752016-11-282017-01-27Special
2012-12-05$1.272012-12-072012-12-27Special
2010-12-14$1.152010-12-162011-02-14Annual
2010-01-04$0.682010-01-062010-01-22Annual
2007-07-18$0.402007-07-202007-08-17Special
2006-01-03$0.422006-01-052006-01-27Special
2004-03-24$0.422004-03-262004-04-30Special

Insider trades

DateInsiderActionSharesPriceValue
2026-07-20Waldman Glenn J.Buy250$31.787.95K
2025-10-03Waldman Glenn J.Other0——
2025-04-15sheridan stanley michaelSell8.00K$43.40347.20K
2024-12-31sheridan stanley michaelSell6.10K$42.49259.21K
2024-12-30HATHORN SAMUEL CSell20.00K$42.50850.00K
2024-12-13CONLEE CECIL DSell5.26K$46.76246.14K
2024-12-12CONLEE CECIL DSell2.74K$47.01128.62K
2024-07-11CONLEE CECIL DSell10.00K$50.11501.13K
2024-07-05sheridan stanley michaelSell16.00K$51.81829.01K
2024-06-13CONLEE CECIL DBuy6.00K$0.0160
2024-06-13CONLEE CECIL DSell4.40K$0.0144
2024-06-13CONLEE CECIL DSell1.60K$0.0116
2024-04-09CONLEE CECIL DSell12.00K$47.94575.24K
2023-12-28sheridan stanley michaelBuy16.00K$1.5024.00K
2023-12-28sheridan stanley michaelSell16.00K$1.5024.00K
2023-12-28BRACKEN GEORGE RBuy30.00K$4.60138.00K
2023-12-28BRACKEN GEORGE RSell30.00K$4.60138.00K
2023-12-26HATHORN SAMUEL CSell2.00K$49.8099.60K
2023-12-22HATHORN SAMUEL CSell6.00K$49.34296.04K
2023-12-22CONLEE CECIL DBuy24.00K$1.5036.00K
2023-12-22CONLEE CECIL DSell24.00K$1.5036.00K
2023-12-13CONLEE CECIL DSell5.00K$51.96259.80K
2023-12-12CAPORELLA JOSEPH GBuy40.00K$4.60184.00K
2023-12-12CAPORELLA JOSEPH GSell40.00K$4.60184.00K
2023-11-14sheridan stanley michaelSell3.00K$49.14147.42K
2023-10-23HATHORN SAMUEL CBuy30.00K$1.5045.00K
2023-10-23HATHORN SAMUEL CSell30.00K$1.5045.00K
2023-10-18CONLEE CECIL DSell5.33K$45.44242.42K
2023-10-17CONLEE CECIL DSell4.84K$45.53220.55K
2023-10-16CONLEE CECIL DSell3.02K$45.74138.18K
2022-07-11CONLEE CECIL DSell12.00K$49.52594.24K
2022-04-30CONLEE CECIL DOther0——
2022-04-30CAPORELLA NICK AOther0——
2021-12-15sheridan stanley michaelBuy100$45.964.60K
2021-12-07CONLEE CECIL DBuy1.60K$0.0116
2021-12-07CONLEE CECIL DBuy4.40K$0.0144
2021-12-07CONLEE CECIL DSell4.40K$0.0144
2021-12-07CONLEE CECIL DSell1.60K$0.0116
2021-09-29CONLEE CECIL DSell2.00K$52.53105.06K
2021-07-27sheridan stanley michaelBuy2.00K$0.0120
2021-07-27sheridan stanley michaelBuy4.00K$0.0140
2021-07-27sheridan stanley michaelSell2.00K$0.0120
2021-07-12CAPORELLA NICK ASell1.20K$44.5353.44K
2021-06-08CONLEE CECIL DBuy6.00K$0.0160
2021-06-08CONLEE CECIL DSell6.00K$0.0160
2021-05-01HATHORN SAMUEL COther0——
2021-05-01CONLEE CECIL DOther0——
2021-03-22CONLEE CECIL DSell4.00K$49.99199.96K
2021-01-26HATHORN SAMUEL CSell2.50K$64.75161.88K
2020-12-29HATHORN SAMUEL CSell31.00K$43.101.34M
2020-12-23HATHORN SAMUEL CSell30.00K$43.241.30M
2020-12-23CONLEE CECIL DSell3.00K$43.24129.72K
2020-12-11HATHORN SAMUEL CBuy745$0.017
2020-12-11HATHORN SAMUEL CSell745$0.017
2020-12-08HATHORN SAMUEL CSell6.00K$46.59279.54K
2020-10-06HATHORN SAMUEL CSell4.00K$37.11148.44K
2020-10-02sheridan stanley michaelBuy5.00K$69.96349.80K
2020-10-02HATHORN SAMUEL CBuy7.50K$69.96524.70K
2020-10-02CAPORELLA JOSEPH GBuy7.50K$69.96524.70K
2020-10-02CONLEE CECIL DBuy6.00K$69.96419.76K
2020-10-02BRACKEN GEORGE RBuy6.00K$69.96419.76K
2020-07-06sheridan stanley michaelBuy4.00K$5.6722.68K
2020-07-06sheridan stanley michaelSell4.00K$5.6722.68K
2020-05-02HATHORN SAMUEL COther0——
2020-03-17CAPORELLA JOSEPH GBuy38.00K$5.67215.46K
2020-03-17CAPORELLA JOSEPH GSell38.00K$5.67215.46K
2019-12-31CONLEE CECIL DBuy10.00K$1.8518.50K
2019-12-31CONLEE CECIL DSell10.00K$1.8518.50K
2019-12-30BRACKEN GEORGE RBuy8.00K$5.6745.36K
2019-12-30BRACKEN GEORGE RSell8.00K$5.6745.36K
2019-12-27HATHORN SAMUEL CSell2.00K$51.69103.38K
2019-12-26HATHORN SAMUEL CBuy15.00K$1.8527.75K
2019-12-26HATHORN SAMUEL CSell15.00K$1.8527.75K
2019-12-24HATHORN SAMUEL CSell1.00K$52.3252.32K
2019-04-27CONLEE CECIL DOther0——
2019-03-25CAPORELLA JOSEPH GBuy3.00K$35.97107.91K
2019-03-18CAPORELLA NICK ABuy1.65K$60.3199.51K
2019-03-15CAPORELLA NICK ABuy1.65K$60.3099.50K
2019-03-14CAPORELLA JOSEPH GBuy6.00K$59.95359.70K
2018-12-07CONLEE CECIL DSell1.50K$83.68125.52K
2017-12-26HATHORN SAMUEL CSell450$99.4444.75K
2017-12-19HATHORN SAMUEL CSell450$105.3247.39K
2017-12-18HATHORN SAMUEL CSell900$104.4093.96K
2017-05-01HATHORN SAMUEL COther0——
2017-03-28THOMPSON DENNIS LSell6.50K$11.3573.78K
2016-12-22HATHORN SAMUEL CSell1.00K$51.1251.12K
2016-06-08HATHORN SAMUEL CSell4.00K$56.46225.84K
2016-04-30HATHORN SAMUEL COther0——
2016-02-08HATHORN SAMUEL CBuy18.00K$1.2221.96K
2016-02-08HATHORN SAMUEL CSell18.00K$1.2221.96K
2016-02-08CONLEE CECIL DSell3.00K$0.0130
2016-02-08CONLEE CECIL DBuy3.00K$0.0130
2016-02-08BRACKEN GEORGE RBuy4.80K$1.256.00K
2016-02-08BRACKEN GEORGE RSell4.80K$1.256.00K
2016-01-19CAPORELLA JOSEPH GBuy42.00K$1.7573.50K
2016-01-19CAPORELLA JOSEPH GSell42.00K$1.7573.50K
2015-12-28HATHORN SAMUEL CSell2.17K$47.19102.40K
2015-11-12COOK GREGORY PBuy2.40K$6.2114.90K
2015-11-12COOK GREGORY PSell2.40K$6.2114.90K
2015-09-24CONLEE CECIL DBuy800$17.0313.62K

Institutional holders

Latest filed quarter: Q2 2026.

Institutions holding: 262, holders +16 vs prior quarter. Ownership 26.55%.

HolderSharesChangeChange %Value
BLACKROCK, INC.4.27M183.90K+4.51%133.09M
RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC2.84M-106.90K-3.63%88.58M
KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC2.04M-301.02K-12.88%63.55M
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP1.64M57.37K+3.62%51.18M
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.57M-31.55K-1.97%49.06M
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.05M7.29K+0.70%32.83M
STATE STREET CORP972.48K69.85K+7.74%30.34M
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC907.11K58.61K+6.91%28.30M
TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP663.79K67.23K+11.27%20.71M
MORGAN STANLEY519.18K8.97K+1.76%16.20M
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC498.52K-39.13K-7.28%15.55M
NORTHERN TRUST CORP301.33K14.31K+4.99%9.40M
JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLP269.81K15.22K+5.98%8.83M
ALGERT GLOBAL LLC273.85K96.55K+54.46%8.54M
NATIXIS ADVISORS, LLC269.33K9.02K+3.46%8.40M
NORGES BANK266.02K266.02KNew8.30M
CREATIVE PLANNING263.68K102.67K+63.77%8.23M
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/254.68K10.04K+4.10%7.95M
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC245.18K173.27K+240.94%7.65M
CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC235.81K17.16K+7.85%7.36M
SIXTH STREET PARTNERS MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.P.235.81K235.81KNew7.36M
DENALI ADVISORS LLC223.10K-13.42K-5.67%6.96M
TEACHER RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS200.09K2.86K+1.45%6.24M
INVESCO LTD.189.82K-1.41K-0.74%5.92M
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORP178.56K7.58K+4.44%5.57M

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National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock Insights

FIZZ$34.27-0.69 -1.97%

$3.21B

Market Cap

19.93

P/E

18.79

Forward P/E

50

Score

Price History